{"id":236672,"date":"2025-10-24T10:25:10","date_gmt":"2025-10-24T10:25:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/236672\/"},"modified":"2025-10-24T10:25:10","modified_gmt":"2025-10-24T10:25:10","slug":"who-wins-the-epic-struggle-between-torontos-contact-hitting-and-the-dodgers-strikeout-pitching","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/236672\/","title":{"rendered":"Who Wins the Epic Struggle Between Toronto&#8217;s Contact Hitting and the Dodgers&#8217; Strikeout Pitching?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!pZ3U!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8aa3da82-3f76-4b0a-9f34-c12c6881d655_1900x1170.png\" data-component-name=\"Image2ToDOM\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" class=\"image-link image2 is-viewable-img\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/https:\/\/substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com\/public\/images\/8aa3da82-3f76-4b0a-9f34-c12c6881d655_1900.jpeg\" width=\"1456\" height=\"897\" data-attrs=\"{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com\/public\/images\/8aa3da82-3f76-4b0a-9f34-c12c6881d655_1900x1170.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:897,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:3541119,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image\/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/neilpaine.substack.com\/i\/176957221?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8aa3da82-3f76-4b0a-9f34-c12c6881d655_1900x1170.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}\" alt=\"\"   fetchpriority=\"high\" class=\"sizing-normal\"\/><\/a>Ernie Clement (R) was one of MLB\u2019s best at making contact; the Dodgers were the best at whiffing batters. (Kevork Djansezian\/Getty Images)<\/p>\n<p>The 2025 World Series, which <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/mlb\/game\/_\/gameId\/401809297\/dodgers-blue-jays\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">finally starts tonight<\/a> in Toronto, is a study in contrasts in many regards. In the biggest-picture view, it\u2019s the U.S. versus Canada \u2014 and <a href=\"https:\/\/neilpaine.substack.com\/p\/once-a-mismatch-the-us-and-canada?utm_source=publication-search\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">all of the feelings that entails<\/a> \u2014 or Shohei Ohtani\u2019s current team against the one <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.yahoo.com\/mlb\/breaking-news\/article\/shohei-ohtanis-flight-to-toronto-why-so-many-fans-thought-the-dodgers-star-was-blue-jays-bound-in-2023-230831845.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">he spurned in 2023<\/a>. But it\u2019s also the <a href=\"https:\/\/neilpaine.substack.com\/p\/so-can-the-blue-jays-actually-beat\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">star power, rotation riches and salary of the Dodgers as big favorites<\/a> against the togetherness and resilience of the underdog Blue Jays. Plus, it\u2019s an L.A. team that\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/neilpaine.substack.com\/i\/176740064\/the-dodgers-have-rest-talent-experience-and-momentum-on-their-side\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">more rested and experienced<\/a> facing a Toronto club that\u2019s been hotter at the plate this postseason \u2014 and has outscored its opponents by more overall in the playoffs.<\/p>\n<p>But the most hyped-up referendum in the series, at least among the wonkier corners of the MLB punditariat, has been the strength-on-strength matchup between the Dodgers\u2019 strikeout pitching \u2014 with the league\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/leaders\/major-league?pos=all&amp;stats=pit&amp;lg=all&amp;qual=0&amp;type=23&amp;season=2025&amp;month=0&amp;season1=2025&amp;ind=0&amp;team=0%2Cts&amp;rost=0&amp;age=0&amp;filter=&amp;players=0&amp;sortcol=6&amp;sortdir=default&amp;pagenum=1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">No. 1 ranked K rate on the mound, 13 percent better than league average<\/a> during the regular season \u2014 and the Blue Jays\u2019 contact hitting \u2014 with the league\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/leaders\/major-league?pos=all&amp;stats=bat&amp;lg=all&amp;qual=0&amp;type=23&amp;season=2025&amp;month=0&amp;season1=2025&amp;ind=0&amp;team=0%2Cts&amp;rost=&amp;age=&amp;filter=&amp;players=0&amp;sortcol=3&amp;sortdir=asc&amp;pagenum=1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">lowest K rate at the plate, 21 percent better than league average<\/a> during the regular season.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s the classic case of the unstoppable force versus the immovable object (or something like that). So who tends to prevail when these strengths collide in the Fall Classic?<\/p>\n<p>First things first, let\u2019s quantify where this battle ranks among the biggest battles of contact-rate will in the World Series since the 1994 strike. Here are the matchups with the biggest differentials like the one we have this year \u2014 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/leaders\/major-league?pos=all&amp;stats=bat&amp;lg=all&amp;qual=0&amp;type=23&amp;season=2025&amp;month=0&amp;season1=2025&amp;ind=0&amp;team=0%2Cts&amp;rost=&amp;age=&amp;filter=&amp;players=0&amp;sortcol=3&amp;sortdir=asc&amp;pagenum=1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">great contact hitting<\/a> versus <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/leaders\/major-league?pos=all&amp;stats=pit&amp;lg=all&amp;qual=0&amp;type=23&amp;season=2025&amp;month=0&amp;season1=2025&amp;ind=0&amp;team=0%2Cts&amp;rost=0&amp;age=0&amp;filter=&amp;players=0&amp;sortcol=6&amp;sortdir=default&amp;pagenum=1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">great strikeout pitching<\/a> \u2014 in <a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.fangraphs.com\/fangraphs-spotlight-plus-stats\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">FanGraphs\u2019 \u201cplus\u201d stats<\/a> for strikeout rate at the plate for an offense and on the mound for a pitching staff during the regular season in question:<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Ernie Clement (R) was one of MLB\u2019s best at making contact; the Dodgers were the best at whiffing&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":236673,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[435],"tags":[49,48,462,82],"class_list":{"0":"post-236672","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-mlb","8":"tag-ca","9":"tag-canada","10":"tag-mlb","11":"tag-sports"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/236672","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=236672"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/236672\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/236673"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=236672"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=236672"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=236672"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}