![\"Eric](\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/f15683ce-901d-4db1-8d80-654890c6050b.jpg\")
<\/p>\nRosales’ prediction: With Jonquel Jones back in the lineup, expect the red-hot Liberty to stay on a roll and take care of a struggling Mercury squad tonight.<\/p>\n
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Jul 25, 2025 \u2022 16:31 ET<\/p>\n
\u2022 4 min read<\/p>\n
Photo By – Imagn Images. New York Liberty center Jonquel Jones (35) goes up for a basket.<\/p>\n
Two WNBA powerhouses clash Friday night as the third-seeded Phoenix Mercury visit the second-seeded New York Liberty.<\/p>\n
While Phoenix took the first two meetings this season, our Mercury vs. Liberty predictions back the defending champs to bounce back and grab the win on July 25.<\/p>\n
Let’s get into which star will guide the defending champs into the win column in our WNBA picks<\/a> for Friday, July 25.<\/p>\n Mercury vs Liberty predictions<\/p>\n My Mercury vs Liberty best bet: Liberty -5.5 (-111 at Pinnacle<\/a>)<\/p>\n The New York Liberty<\/a> have reeled off four wins in a row, winning by at least nine in every contest, most recently completing a two-game home sweep of the Indiana Fever.<\/p>\n Jonquel Jones<\/a> \u2014 who last played June 16, dealing with an ankle injury \u2014 returned last game, leading the team with 18 points and nine boards.<\/p>\n The Phoenix Mercury<\/a> are currently running a two-game slide as they kick off a five-game road trip. A loss to the defending champs would send them to their first three-game losing streak on the season.<\/p>\n I get the books giving Phoenix some credit here, as they covered in New York as 11.5-point dogs and thumped the Liberty 106-91 last game on June 27.\u00a0But Jones has played a total of nine minutes against Phoenix all year due to injury.<\/p>\n With her back to anchor the middle, New York has more balance and looks like the team that leads the WNBA in scoring. They\u2019re 9-1 in the 10 games Jones has been in the lineup.<\/p>\n The Liberty are also 11-2 at home with a +12.5 point differential.\u00a0New York gets back into this season series in a big way on Friday.<\/p>\n Mercury vs Liberty same-game parlay (SGP)<\/p>\n Liberty -6.5<\/p>\n Jonquel Jones Over 7.5 rebounds<\/p>\n Sabrina Ionescu Over 2.5 made threes<\/p>\n Jones is averaging 9.5 rebounds on the year, so that\u2019s a gracious 7.5 rebounding line prop being offered. She\u2019s grabbed at least eight rebounds in seven of 10 games this season.\u00a0<\/p>\n Her presence inside should help Sabrina Ionescu<\/a> get some better looks on the perimeter. She\u2019s shooting just 5-for-25 from 3-point range against the Mercury this season, a rough 20% clip.<\/p>\n Still, Ionescu has hit three 3-pointers in a game against Phoenix once this season, and I like her to do it again, but with better efficiency Friday.<\/p>\n Mercury vs Liberty odds Mercury vs Liberty opening odds<\/p>\n Spread: Phoenix +5.5 (-106) | New York -5.5 (-114) Mercury vs Liberty trend<\/p>\n The Over has hit in three of the last four head-to-head matchups. Find more\u00a0WNBA betting trends<\/a> for Mercury vs. Liberty.<\/p>\n How to watch Mercury vs Liberty<\/p>\n Location Date Tip-off TV Mercury vs Liberty latest injuries<\/p>\n![\"FanDuel](\"https:\/\/img.covers.com\/betting\/sportsbooks\/818\/fanduel_2.svg\")
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\nMercury vs Liberty live odds<\/p>\n
\nMoneyline: Phoenix +186 | New York -235
\nOver\/Under: Over 171.5 (-110) | Under 171.5 (-110)<\/p>\n
\nBarclays Center, Brooklyn, NY<\/p>\n
\nFriday, 7-25-2025<\/p>\n
\n7:30 p.m. ET<\/p>\n
\nFubo Sports US, ION<\/p>\n