{"id":262414,"date":"2025-11-05T02:49:10","date_gmt":"2025-11-05T02:49:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/262414\/"},"modified":"2025-11-05T02:49:10","modified_gmt":"2025-11-05T02:49:10","slug":"insider-predicts-red-sox-trade-unexpected-outfielder","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/262414\/","title":{"rendered":"Insider Predicts Red Sox Trade Unexpected Outfielder"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"Paragraph_blockParagraph__I2kr4\">No Boston Red Sox outfielder, it seems, has been the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportingnews.com\/us\/mlb\/boston-red-sox\/news\/red-sox-jarren-duran-trade-rumors-2026\/89d4f9f8aee657d9e2e4cd2d\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">subject of more trade speculation<\/a> this season \u2014 and now, offseason \u2014 than 29-year-old Jarren Duran. The 2024 All-Star Game MVP saw his production level off this season, finishing with a .774 OPS and 16 home runs, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/d\/duranja01.shtml\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">down from .834 and 21 a year earlier<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_blockParagraph__I2kr4\">In addition, on defense, Duran&#8217;s nine defensive runs saved, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/leaders-legacy.aspx?pos=of&amp;stats=fld&amp;lg=all&amp;qual=y&amp;type=1&amp;season=2025&amp;month=0&amp;season1=2025&amp;ind=0&amp;team=0&amp;rost=1&amp;age=0&amp;filter=&amp;players=0&amp;startdate=2025-01-01&amp;enddate=2025-12-31&amp;sort=13,d\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">according to FanGraphs<\/a>, were good enough to rank him 16th among all outfielders but were down significantly from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/leaders-legacy.aspx?pos=of&amp;stats=fld&amp;lg=all&amp;qual=y&amp;type=1&amp;season=2024&amp;month=0&amp;season1=2024&amp;ind=0&amp;team=0&amp;rost=1&amp;age=0&amp;filter=&amp;players=0&amp;startdate=2024-01-01&amp;enddate=2024-12-31&amp;sort=13,d\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">his 23 the year before, which placed him<\/a> second in MLB.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_blockParagraph__I2kr4\">It looks like Duran&#8217;s decline, while noticeable, has still left him as a solid player, making him a logical trade candidate in a Boston outfield already so overpopulated that it appears at least one player will need to be moved. But according to one Red Sox insider, it will not be Duran who gets traded out of Boston after all.<\/p>\n<p><img id=\"10992622\" alt=\"Red Sox outfielders\" caption=\"BOSTON, MASSACHUSETTS - JUNE 09: (L-R) Ceddanne Rafaela #3 of the Boston Red Sox, Roman Anthony #48, and Jarren Duran #16 stand in the outfield during a play challenge during a game against the Tampa Bay Rays at Fenway Park on June 09, 2025 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Jaiden Tripi\/Getty Images)\" credit=\"\" sourcealt=\"\" sources=\"[]\" fetchpriority=\"auto\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"3705\" height=\"2470\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" style=\"color:transparent;aspect-ratio:inherit;object-fit:cover\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Red-Sox-Outfield-trade.jpg\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_blockParagraph__I2kr4\">According to Chris Cotillo, who <a href=\"https:\/\/www.masslive.com\/redsox\/2025\/11\/red-sox-bold-predictions-will-they-trade-for-no-2-starter-sign-kyle-schwarber-or-pete-alonso.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">covers the Red Sox for MassLive<\/a>, the outfielder most likely to be traded is 25-year-old center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela, who just on Monday <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mlb.com\/news\/wilyer-abreu-ceddanne-rafaela-win-2025-al-gold-glove-awards\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">was named the American League Gold Glove<\/a> award winner for center fielders.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_blockParagraph__I2kr4\">Red Sox right fielder Wilyer Abreu also won a Gold Glove &#8212; for the second straight year &#8212; leaving Duran as the odd man out defensively.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_blockParagraph__I2kr4\">Rafaela&#8217;s award was well-deserved. The third-year outfielder from the Caribbean island of\u00a0Cura\u00e7ao led all major league center fielders in defensive runs saved with 20, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/leaders-legacy.aspx?pos=cf&amp;stats=fld&amp;lg=all&amp;qual=y&amp;type=1&amp;season=2025&amp;month=0&amp;season1=2025&amp;ind=0&amp;team=0&amp;rost=1&amp;age=0&amp;filter=&amp;players=0&amp;startdate=2025-01-01&amp;enddate=2025-12-31&amp;sort=13,d\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">per FanGraphs<\/a>, five more than Pete Crow-Armstrong of the Chicago Cubs in second place.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_blockParagraph__I2kr4\">So why does Cotillo believe that Rafaela, rather than Duran, will be traded away?<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_blockParagraph__I2kr4\">&#8220;The Red Sox are going to find Duran\u2019s value to be lower than they expect and Rafaela\u2019s to be much higher than expected across the game,&#8221; Cotillo wrote on Monday. &#8220;Therefore, headlining a trade package with Rafaela \u2014 most teams won\u2019t balk at the six years and $48 million (plus a club option) he\u2019s guaranteed \u2014 can\u2019t be ruled out.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_blockParagraph__I2kr4\">More MLB: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsweek.com\/sports\/mlb\/jarren-duran-hunter-greene-trade-idea-10954594\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Red Sox Tabbed to Deal Jarren Duran for \u2018Elite\u2019 103 MPH Righty<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_blockParagraph__I2kr4\">Rafaela signed his contract extension before the 2024 season, and if he is not traded, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.spotrac.com\/mlb\/player\/_\/id\/80131\/ceddanne-rafaela\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">the deal keeps him at Fenway Park<\/a> through 2031.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_blockParagraph__I2kr4\">The Red Sox have committed to Duran for just one more year, avoiding arbitration with the player going into his sixth year by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mlbtraderumors.com\/2025\/11\/red-sox-avoid-arbitration-with-jarren-duran.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">inking him Tuesday to a $7.7 million deal<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_blockParagraph__I2kr4\">At the same time, Cotillo on Monday also predicted that the Red Sox would sign free-agent designated hitter Kyle Schwarber, an 11-year veteran who led the National League by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/s\/schwaky01.shtml\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">blasting 56 home runs<\/a> for the Philadelphia Phillies.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_blockParagraph__I2kr4\">&#8220;Trading\u00a0(Rafaela<a href=\"https:\/\/www.masslive.com\/redsox\/2025\/11\/two-boston-red-sox-players-win-gold-glove-awards.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">)<\/a>\u00a0is not Plan A for the Sox but would allow a (left-to-right) outfield of (Roman) Anthony, Duran (who is better in center than left) and Abreu with someone like Schwarber getting a full load of DH at-bats,&#8221; Cotillo wrote.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_blockParagraph__I2kr4\">If Schwarber \u2014 who is anticipated to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mlb.com\/news\/kyle-schwarber-free-agent-market-2025-26-offseason\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">land a deal as long as five years<\/a> at $150 million, per MLB.com \u2014\u00a0lands with the Red Sox it would be a homecoming of sorts. The Chicago Cubs&#8217; 2014 first-round draft pick, fourth overall, ended up in Boston at the 2021 trade deadline and was instrumental in getting the Red Sox to the playoffs that year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_blockParagraph__I2kr4\">In 168 plate appearances down the stretch for the Red Sox, Schwarber compiled a .957 OPS with seven home runs and 10 doubles.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_blockParagraph__I2kr4\">More MLB: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsweek.com\/sports\/mlb\/trevor-story-opt-in-10992198\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Red Sox Get Final Decision on Trevor Story\u2019s Future in Boston: Report<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"No Boston Red Sox outfielder, it seems, has been the subject of more trade speculation this season \u2014&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":262415,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[435],"tags":[3959,49,48,462,82],"class_list":{"0":"post-262414","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-mlb","8":"tag-boston-red-sox","9":"tag-ca","10":"tag-canada","11":"tag-mlb","12":"tag-sports"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/262414","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=262414"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/262414\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/262415"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=262414"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=262414"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=262414"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}