POWER RANKINGS:\u00a0Patriots, Seahawks, Lions leap; Bills, 49ers, Steelers drop for Week 11<\/a><\/p>\n NFL picks against the spread for Week 11 Thursday 8:15 p.m. ET, Amazon Prime Video<\/p>\n The Jets<\/a> have won two consecutive games in gritty fashion for Aaron Glen over the Bengals<\/a> and Browns<\/a>. The Patriots<\/a> have been relentless with their offense and improving defense with seven straight wins under their first-year former defensive player, coach Mike Vrabel. New York is playing better defense and special teams to help itself, but New England has the big edge in offense with Drake Maye.<\/p>\n Pick: Patriots win 30-20 but fail to cover the spread.<\/p>\n MORE:\u00a0How Drake Maye outperformed Baker Mayfield in Week 10 battle<\/a><\/p>\n Game of the Week: Lions at Eagles (-1.5, 49\u00a0o\/u)<\/p>\n Sunday 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC\/Peacock<\/p>\n The Lions<\/a> saw Dan Campbell take over offensive play-calling and got their attack sizzling against an overmatched Washington defense. Philadelphia presents a different kind of challenge with its personnel and scheming and also can keep up on the scoreboard. The lost NFC title game from last season is a classic with the team trading big play blows through ground and air until the final home-team possession.<\/p>\n Pick: Eagles<\/a> win 41-38 and cover the spread.<\/p>\n Lock of the Week: Packers (-8.5, 44.5 o\/u) over Giants<\/p>\n Sunday 1 p.m. ET, Fox<\/p>\n The Bears<\/a> came through late with just enough points to deliver in this same matchup for an NFC North team, getting a break from no Jaxson Dart after a late concussion. There’s a potential of Dart not being cleared for this game and Russell Wilson being thrown back at Green bay. If Dart does play, this would be one of his hardest matchups yet. On the other side, this is a get-well game for Jordan Love.<\/p>\n Pick: Packers<\/a> win 27-13 and cover the spread<\/p>\n MORE:\u00a0Ranking Giants’ best replacements for Brian Daboll<\/a><\/p>\n Upset of the Week: Seahawks (+2.5, 48.5 o\/u) over Rams<\/p>\n Sunday 4:05 p.m. ET, Fox<\/p>\n The Seahawks<\/a> match up well with the Rams<\/a> in Los Angeles because they travel well and play stout run defense. They are a little leaky against the pass, but more so vs. backs and tight ends than receivers. They can pressure Matthew Stafford to cool off a little more than the Rams can rattle Sam Darno.d.<\/p>\n \u00a0Pick: Seahawks win 27-24.<\/p>\n MORE:\u00a0How Matthew Stafford has built MVP case<\/a><\/p>\n Sunday 9:30 a.m. ET, NFL Network (from Madrid, Spain)<\/p>\n The Commanders’ defense cannot hold up anymore vs. big plays, running or passing. It can get gashed through the middle and also be stretched vertically by speedy backs and receivers. That’s not good news vs. De’Von Achane and Jaylen Waddle, who help Tua Tagovailoa win another game vs. his fellow alliterative Saint Louis high school alum from Honolulu, Marcus Mariota.<\/p>\n Pick: Dolphins win 31-24 and cover the spread.<\/p>\n MORE:\u00a0What Dolphins’ upset win over Bills means for AFC East picture<\/a><\/p>\n Panthers at Falcons (-3.5, 42.5 o\/u)<\/p>\n Sunday 1 p.m. ET, Fox<\/p>\n The Panthers and Falcons have proved to be two of the most inconsistent teams in the NFL. The defenses are either stringy or spring key leaks. The offenses have potential, and sometimes can be effective running to help their QBs, sometimes not. Flip a coin a few times after the Panthers won a shutout in the first meeting in Carolina.<\/p>\n Pick: Falcons win 20-17 but fail to cover the spread.<\/p>\n Buccaneers at Bills (-5.5, 49.5 o\/u)<\/p>\n Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS<\/p>\n The Buccaneers can still stop the run well despite the anomalous breakdowns vs. the Patriots. They will focus on containing James Cook and feel good about the matchups with Josh Allen’s wide receivers, playing coverage. Baker Mayfield will get more support from the running game and has the speed skill around him to make this interesting in a high-scoring affair.<\/p>\n Pick:\u00a0Bills win 30-27 but fail to cover the spread.<\/p>\n MORE:\u00a0Why Bills’ loss to Dolphins proves Josh Allen isn’t team’s 2025 MVP<\/a><\/p>\n Texans\u00a0(-7, 38.5 o\/u) at Titans<\/p>\n Sunday 1 p.m. ET, Fox<\/p>\n The Texans got an unexpected spark from Davis Mills in the fourth quarter to save their season. Whether it is him or C.J. Stroud here, they can rely more on their key playmakers, led by Nico Collins to move the ball well enough to grind away victory on a post-bye division foe with nothing to lose. This is yet another rough defensive matchup for Cam Ward.<\/p>\n Pick:\u00a0Texans win 20-14 but fail to cover the spread.<\/p>\n MORE:\u00a0How Texans’ stunning comeback vs. Jaguars shakes up AFC South picture<\/a><\/p>\n Sunday 1 p.m. ET, Fox<\/p>\n The Bears have won two in a row to get back into playoff position in the NFC with Caleb Williams starting to steady his play in Ben Johnson’s offense. J.J. McCarhty doesn’t have the same benefit of full Year 2 work and it’s showing with his inconsistency in Kevin O’Connell’ s offense. Williams is in a groove deploying his many weapons better than McCarthy is.<\/p>\n Pick: Bears win 27-24.<\/p>\n Bengals at Steelers (-5.5, 50\u00a0o\/u)<\/p>\n Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS<\/p>\n The Bengals went nuts with Joe Flacco in stealing the first matchup with the Steelers. Pittsburgh’s defense found some answers vs. the Colts, only to lose them all against the Chargers, who ran the ball and made big pass plays in key moments. Aaron Rodgers redeems himself at home in the rematch, but it isn’t easy vs. fighting Flacco.<\/p>\n Pick:\u00a0Steelers win 30-27 but fail to cover the spread.<\/p>\nGame of Midweek: Jets at Patriots (-11.5, 44.5 o\/u)<\/p>\n
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\u00a0Commanders at Dolphins\u00a0(-2, 47.5 o\/u)<\/p>\nBears at Vikings (-3, 47 o\/u)<\/p>\n
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Ravens (-8.5, 41.5 o\/u) at Browns<\/p>\n