{"id":27818,"date":"2025-07-27T21:54:08","date_gmt":"2025-07-27T21:54:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/27818\/"},"modified":"2025-07-27T21:54:08","modified_gmt":"2025-07-27T21:54:08","slug":"amber-kanwars-weekly-setup-big-tests-are-coming-for-the-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/27818\/","title":{"rendered":"Amber Kanwar\u2019s Weekly Setup: Big tests are coming for the markets"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a style=\"display:block\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/resizer\/v2\/M6RICPAEIRAV3KLAXG74KL67NM.JPG?auth=36871755105f1e80f41667f0365abf82af42b33d9154c830b34228f9364f0773&amp;width=600&amp;height=400&amp;quality=80&amp;smart=true\" aria-haspopup=\"true\" data-photo-viewer-index=\"0\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Open this photo in gallery:<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"figcap-text\">Apple is the second-worst-performing Magnificent 7 company, with shares down about 14 per cent so far this year.Isabel Infantes\/Reuters<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">My husband got taken down by a nasty summer bug but has reintegrated into the family. He stayed in the guest room to avoid infecting me and the kids. He passed his time watching TV and having meals delivered. I\u2019m glad he is back in the fold, but I would be lying if I didn\u2019t admit there is a small part of me that thought about licking one of his spoons to get a few days alone in a quiet room. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">This is not the week to call in sick with huge catalysts on deck. Here are the five things to watch:<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Magnificent week: With the S&amp;P 500 sitting atop a record high, the resilience of the Magnificent 7 (also at a record) will be the next test for the markets. Four of the seven companies report this week, including Meta Platforms Inc. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/markets\/stocks\/META-Q\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/markets\/stocks\/META-Q\/\">META-Q<\/a>, Microsoft Corp. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/markets\/stocks\/MSFT-Q\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/markets\/stocks\/MSFT-Q\/\">MSFT-Q<\/a>, Apple Inc. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/markets\/stocks\/AAPL-Q\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/markets\/stocks\/AAPL-Q\/\">AAPL-Q<\/a> and Amazon.com Inc. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/markets\/stocks\/AMZN-Q\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/markets\/stocks\/AMZN-Q\/\">AMZN-Q<\/a> They represent a combined US$14-trillion in value. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">The big question for all of them will be how much each company is spending on AI. Although for Apple, it will be more like, \u201cHave you heard of AI?\u201d Apple is the second-worst-performing Mag7 after Tesla Inc. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/markets\/stocks\/TSLA-Q\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/markets\/stocks\/TSLA-Q\/\">TSLA-Q<\/a>, down about 14 per cent so far in 2025. The reason Apple is in the dog house is because it lacks a clear AI strategy, according to Needham senior analyst Laura Martin. She said \u201ccalls to replace Tim Cook as Apple CEO are getting louder every quarter that Apple doesn\u2019t lay out a comprehensive GenAI strategy.\u201d After Alphabet Inc. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/markets\/stocks\/GOOGL-Q\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/markets\/stocks\/GOOGL-Q\/\">GOOGL-Q<\/a> surprised investors with a US$85-billion spending plan, there is a good chance the others follow suit.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Is it any wonder that Nvidia Corp. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/markets\/stocks\/NVDA-Q\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/markets\/stocks\/NVDA-Q\/\">NVDA-Q<\/a> is back at a record high and the best-performing Magnificent 7 in 2025?<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Decisions, decisions: If mega-cap earnings weren\u2019t enough, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/topics\/bank-of-canada\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/topics\/bank-of-canada\/\">Bank of Canada<\/a> and U.S. Federal Reserve are delivering interest-rate announcements on Wednesday. The BoC is expected to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/business\/article-bank-of-canada-federal-reserve-rate-decision\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/business\/article-bank-of-canada-federal-reserve-rate-decision\/\">keep rates on hold<\/a> at 2.75 per cent for a third time in a row. Core inflation, which is hanging around 3 per cent, and the oddly robust jobs data from earlier this month make it an easy bet that the BoC will hold. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">It is also an easy bet that the Federal Reserve won\u2019t cut this month, although U.S. President Donald Trump may think otherwise after meeting with Fed Chair Jerome Powell this week on a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/business\/article-trump-to-visit-federal-reserve-during-campaign-escalation-of\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/business\/article-trump-to-visit-federal-reserve-during-campaign-escalation-of\/\">tour of the central bank\u2019s renovations<\/a>. Mr. Trump said Mr. Powell congratulated him on a strong economy, which he took to mean that rate cuts are coming. Watch for dissenters on the decision; those are the ones auditioning for Mr. Powell\u2019s job when his term expires next year. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Hold your breath: In the past three months, UnitedHealth Group Inc. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/markets\/stocks\/UNH-N\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/markets\/stocks\/UNH-N\/\">UNH-N<\/a> has slashed its profit forecast, announced that its CEO is leaving, then suspended its profit forecast altogether and endured a 50-per-cent drop in the value of its shares. And just last week, it confirmed that it is the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/business\/article-unitedhealth-under-us-federal-investigation\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/business\/article-unitedhealth-under-us-federal-investigation\/\">subject of a Department of Justice investigation<\/a> into its Medicare practices. Talk about a season to forget. The embattled health insurer is set to report quarterly results Tuesday morning as its stock languishes at the lowest level in five years. However, that now means it sports a low-teens multiple. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Before you let that lure you in, like yours truly, value investor Michael McCloskey, founder and president of GreensKeeper Asset Management, said on my podcast this week that this has the markings of a value trap. \u201cWhen you see the suggestion that maybe they\u2019re playing games with Medicare, it\u2019s the cockroach theory,\u201d he said. \u201cI might be totally wrong, but when I see that, I tend to stay away.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Flying close to the sun: Bombardier Inc. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/markets\/stocks\/BBD-B-T\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/markets\/stocks\/BBD-B-T\/\">BBD-B-T<\/a> reports this week and talk about a comeback story. The stock is up 1,400 per cent over the past five years compared with just 100 per cent for the TSX over that time. It went from a universally unloved stock with high debt levels to a Bay Street favourite with a new investment-grade debt rating. Its transformation into a business-jet company has paid off big time. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">But some analysts say the setup from here gets harder. TD Cowen analyst Tim James downgraded the stock last week on the runup and says it has a bad habit of falling on earnings days regardless of the results. \u201c[The] recent share-price strength may heighten Q2 hurdle for driving further short-term upside,\u201d said Mr. James in a note downgrading the stock from buy to hold. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Hot commodity: MEG Energy Corp. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/markets\/stocks\/MEG-T\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/markets\/stocks\/MEG-T\/\">MEG-T<\/a> reports results Thursday after the close. The energy producer is subject to a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/business\/article-meg-energy-urges-shareholders-to-reject-strathconas-hostile-takeover\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/business\/article-meg-energy-urges-shareholders-to-reject-strathconas-hostile-takeover\/\">hostile bid from Strathcona<\/a> but reports last week suggest Cenovus is preparing a rival bid. The company will likely be tight lipped about what it can say, but analysts and investors may pry to see where the companies are in the process and how many other bidders have kicked the tires. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">In the Money with Amber Kanwar brings you actionable insights from top portfolio managers and business leaders. New episodes out Tuesdays and Thursdays. Subscribe now! <a href=\"http:\/\/www.inthemoneypod.com\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">www.inthemoneypod.com<\/a> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Open this photo in gallery: Apple is the second-worst-performing Magnificent 7 company, with shares down about 14 per&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":27819,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[901,888,902,879,877,903,45,49,48,876,895,896,891,878,875,46,549,295,894,887,914,880,881,893,889,890,884,904,100,885,909,910,912,907,911,905,908,882,898,899,714,897,906,865,61,900,892,886,883,913],"class_list":["post-27818","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-markets","tag-alberta","tag-arts-news","tag-bc","tag-breaking-news","tag-breaking-news-video","tag-british-columbia","tag-business","tag-ca","tag-canada","tag-canada-news","tag-canada-sports","tag-canada-sports-news","tag-canada-trafficcanada-weather","tag-canadian-breaking-news","tag-canadian-news","tag-economy","tag-education","tag-environment","tag-federal-government","tag-foreign-news","tag-globe-and-mail","tag-globe-and-mail-breaking-news","tag-globe-and-mail-canada-news","tag-government","tag-life-news","tag-lifestyle","tag-local-news","tag-manitoba","tag-markets","tag-national-news","tag-new-brunswick","tag-newfoundland-and-labrador","tag-northwest-territories","tag-nova-scotia","tag-nunavut","tag-ontario","tag-pei","tag-photos","tag-political-news","tag-political-opinion","tag-politics","tag-politics-news","tag-quebec","tag-sports-news","tag-technology","tag-travel","tag-trudeau","tag-us-news","tag-world-news","tag-yukon"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27818","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=27818"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27818\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/27819"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=27818"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=27818"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=27818"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}