{"id":280568,"date":"2025-11-13T14:47:07","date_gmt":"2025-11-13T14:47:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/280568\/"},"modified":"2025-11-13T14:47:07","modified_gmt":"2025-11-13T14:47:07","slug":"will-kempe-panarin-tuch-go-to-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/280568\/","title":{"rendered":"Will Kempe, Panarin, Tuch go to market?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Perhaps we should\u2019ve known better.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">It was fun to hype up the epic-on-paper NHL unrestricted free agent class of 2026, but did the limp 2025 offseason teach us nothing? In the rising-salary-cap world, countless big-ticket UFAs re-signed before going to market, from Brock Nelson to Matt Duchene to John Tavares to Sam Bennett. The message: many high-end players don\u2019t want to leave the comfort of their familiar franchises if it can be helped.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">And that was in a landscape where the cap rose from $88 to $95.5 million. With the cap projected at $104 million for 2026-27 and $113.5 million for 2027-28, it\u2019s no wonder so many of 2026\u2019s top UFAs have re-upped over the past couple months.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Kirill Kaprizov. Connor McDavid. Kyle Connor. Jack Eichel. Martin Necas. Name the elite-tier UFA and he\u2019s off the board already. So whom does that leave at the moment?<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Over the summer, we previewed the top 10 UFAs of 2026. Now, we take an updated look and grow the list to 25, with the understanding that several of the best options will re-sign in the weeks and months to come.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Disclaimer 1: Reminder that Anze Kopitar plans to retire after this season. He will thus not appear on this list.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Disclaimer 2: I\u2019ve excluded Alex Ovechkin given he\u2019ll only re-sign with the Washington Capitals and nowhere else should he decide to continue his NHL career.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">(Ages are as of July 1, 2026)<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Age: 29<br \/>2025-26 cap hit: $4,500,000<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Kempe\u2019s current deal at $4.5 million per is criminal. He\u2019s scored between 28 and 41 goals in four consecutive seasons, bringing an edge along with his sniping ability and elevating his game in the postseason, where he averages 44 goals per 82 games in his career. There\u2019s a premium on players of his ilk, and we can expect him to land something in the $10-11-million AAV range unless he signs in a no-tax market. Kings GM Ken Holland does have a pretty strong history of retaining his top players (and some not-so-great players) on long-term pacts.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Age: 34<br \/>2025-26 cap hit: $11,642,857<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Panarin will go down as one of the most successful big-ticket UFA signings of all time, joining the likes of Zdeno Chara and Marian Hossa. Over the first six seasons of the Bread Man\u2019s seven-year pact with the Broadway Blueshirts, only Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl and Nathan MacKinnon had more points. Panarin has been named a first-team All-Star twice and finished top-five in the Hart Trophy vote twice as a Ranger, too. But his future feels cloudy. Panarin will turn 35 next October and has yet to win a Stanley Cup in his career; if the Rangers, who missed the playoffs last season and have struggled to score this season, don\u2019t reverse course and become a contender again, does Panarin want to re-up on a sinking ship? And from Rangers GM Chris Drury\u2019s perspective, would it be risky to re-sign a declining Panarin? It might make more sense to cash him out for a major haul approaching the 2026 Trade Deadline.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Age: 30<br \/>2025-26 cap hit: $4,750,000<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">After the 2024-25 season wrapped, Tuch stated publicly he loved being a Sabre and would be willing to re-sign. But how does he feel a few months later with his team no closer to ending its playoff drought at an NHL-record 14 seasons? If he and the Sabres don\u2019t strike a deal, he\u2019ll be one of the hottest commodities approaching the Trade Deadline as a big-bodied scorer with a strong two-way game. The two sides couldn\u2019t get anything done before the season <a class=\"text-secondary underline underline-offset-2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsnet.ca\/nhl\/article\/sabres-alex-tuch-tables-talks-on-contract-extension\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" hreflang=\"en\">and have tabled talks for now<\/a>, which doesn\u2019t bode well for Buffalo keeping him.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Age: 37<br \/>2025-26 cap hit: $10,000,000<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Remember when \u2018Bob\u2019 had one of the NHL\u2019s worst contracts a few years back? Now he\u2019s a two-time Stanley Cup champion with the Panthers, a certified stud clutch goaltender, a 400-game winner and, having won two Vezina Trophies before signing with the Cats, a surefire Hall of Famer. Who would\u2019ve expected he could ever flirt with another $10-million AAV on a contract? A goaltending-starved wannabe contender would likely pay him that much on a short-term deal next year. But if Florida continues keeping the band together and inking players to team-friendly pacts that break the game, we can expect Bob to re-sign for considerably less. Could we see two or three years at a $7-million AAV? What about a \u201clong-term\u201d contract similar to Marchand\u2019s, guaranteed to land \u2018Bob\u2019 on LTIR halfway through?\u00a0<a class=\"text-secondary underline underline-offset-2\" href=\"https:\/\/floridahockeynow.com\/future-goalie-of-the-florida-panthers-it-looks-like-bobrovsky\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" hreflang=\"en\">As coach Paul Maurice said a few months back<\/a>, \u201cThe future of the Florida Panthers is Sergei Bobrovsky.\u201d They made that pretty clear when they traded Spencer Knight.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Age: 29<br \/>2025-26 cap hit: $4,550,000<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Well, at least the Flames\u2019 struggles have made things less complicated. If they had remained a bubble contender trying to break through after missing the 2024-25 playoffs on a tiebreaker, Andersson might\u2019ve had to be an \u201cown rental.\u201d But with Calgary taking residence in the Pacific Division basement and looking like a lottery team so far this season, Andersson is a virtual lock to get moved. The question is whether an extension will be baked into a trade or if he\u2019ll go somewhere this winter as a pure rental and go to market in July.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Age: 30<br \/>2025-26 cap hit: $5,850,000<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Tallying between 20 and 23 goals and between 59 and 63 points four years in a row, Schmaltz had established himself as a reliable \u201cyou know exactly what you\u2019re getting\u201d secondary scorer. On an ascending Utah team that rolls multiple dangerous lines now, Schmaltz is teasing a higher ceiling just in time for a contract year. Sort of. He\u2019s produced as a point-per-game player, give or take, for extended stretches before, particularly in his injury-shortened 2021-22 and 2022-23 campaigns, but this time he\u2019s doing it at the start of a season. He\u2019s typically a much more productive player in the second half. If he can deliver a wire-to-wire consistent campaign, he\u2019ll set career highs across the board just in time for his walk year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Age: 36<br \/>2025-26 cap hit: $8,000,000<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">You could make a case for excluding Carlson for the same reason I did Ovechkin. Carlson is a Capitals institution, by far the franchise leader in points among defensemen and soon to be second on Washington\u2019s games list among all positions. He can still quarterback a power play and move the puck. He\u2019s extremely active in the community with his charity work. It would be a surprise if he finished his career anywhere but D.C., but it seems the Caps <a class=\"text-secondary underline underline-offset-2\" href=\"https:\/\/russianmachineneverbreaks.com\/2025\/05\/20\/john-carlson-capitals-no-imminent-contract-extension-plans-this-summer\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" hreflang=\"en\">are taking a wait-and-see approach<\/a> to their 2026 offseason, so it\u2019s not an absolute zero percent chance that he goes to market.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Age: 32<br \/>2025-26 cap hit: $4,875,000<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">The versatile Matheson was a higher-end offensive creator when needed for that role and, once Lane Hutson arrived, became more of a veteran presence and all-situations minute muncher. Matheson remains extremely valuable to the Habs and is building chemistry with Noah Dobson on their top pair. There\u2019s a risk of paying Matheson for his impending decline years on his next deal, <a class=\"text-secondary underline underline-offset-2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.thefourthperiod.com\/oct-2025\/matheson-next-on-habs-to-do-list#google_vignette\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" hreflang=\"en\">which will likely carry an AAV in the $7-million range<\/a>. But even young, rising teams need some veterans, and the Habs will be free of Patrik Laine\u2019s $8.7-million AAV next summer, meaning they shouldn\u2019t be in a bind. They can likely afford to re-sign Matheson and still hunt for that elusive No. 2 center.`<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Age: 33<br \/>2025-26 cap hit: $3,750,000<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Jenner, a heart-and-soul player and the Blue Jackets captain, hasn\u2019t logged a Stanley Cup playoff game since 2019-20. That\u2019s feels cruel. He\u2019s built for postseason hockey. If Columbus falls out of contention by late winter, there will be a feeding frenzy for his services approaching the Trade Deadline. The same will be true if he goes to market next July. On the other hand: he\u2019s the franchise\u2019s career games leader and hasn\u2019t seemed interested in leaving before. The bet here is an extension gets done, but if Columbus\u2019 playoff push stalls again, you have to wonder how many years Jenner can wait until he plays meaningful spring games.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Age: 39<br \/>2025-26 cap hit: $6,100,000<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Malkin\u2019s sizzling start has been a ton of fun, but he did this last fall before fading as the grind of the calendar got to his late-30s body. We\u2019ll see if Malkin is cooking when the dog days of February arrive. With his native Russia barred from the Olympics, the <a class=\"text-secondary underline underline-offset-2\" hreflang=\"en\" href=\"https:\/\/www.dailyfaceoff.com\/news\/pittsburgh-penguins-kyle-dubas-no-change-evgeni-malkin-contract-talks-olympics-nhl\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">break has been earmarked for contract talks<\/a> with Pens GM Kyle Dubas. But couldn\u2019t you see Malkin getting traded to Florida as an Aleksander Barkov stopgap, then falling in love with the place and re-upping for next year? A Marchand 2.0 situation. Of course, that only works if the Pens fall out of contention<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Age: 35<br \/>2025-26 cap hit: $7,000,000<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">The Isles\u2019 captain is classy, consistent and relatively durable. But with Bo Horvat signed long-term, this team has another ready-made captain, and it could make sense to turn the roster over during a rebuild. Isles GM Mathieu Darche expressed little urgency to re-up Lee before the season. Could Darche be waiting to see if his team is competitive come March? Lee would attract plenty of trade interest.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Age: 37<br \/>2025-26 cap hit: $3,000,000<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">When healthy, Kane can still be a power-play asset at this stage of his career. He also still has plenty to play for, currently hunting Mike Modano for the all-time scoring line among American-born players. <\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">I asked Kane point-blank a couple months ago: when you only have so many years left in the NHL, why do you place your faith in a Detroit team that hasn\u2019t made the playoffs in nine years?<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">\u201cIt\u2019s a good situation for me, it really is,\u201d he said, \u201cespecially coming into this year with Todd McLellan as a coach. It got a lot better under him last year when we made the switch. The team got a little bit more aggressive, and we started playing better as a team as well. But playing in the top six, playing on the top power play, I think as you get older, you really want to win, and I think we can do that there\u2026And we haven\u2019t been in the playoffs the past couple of years, but we really feel like we\u2019re on the verge and we should do it this year.\u201d <\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">For now, Kane still sees Detroit as somewhere he can win, but will that still be the case if the drought reaches 10 years?<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Age: 33<br \/>2025-26 cap hit: $3,250,000<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Don\u2019t be surprised if Lowry is gone from this list by the next update. The Jets are intent on keeping their captain, a prototypical third-line center and emotional leader. With Connor re-signing, Gabe Vilardi and Neal Pionk doing the same earlier this year, Connor Hellebuyck and Mark Scheifele still signed through 2030-31 and Josh Morrissey under contract a couple more seasons after this one, the Jets clearly believe they\u2019re still in their contention window. Expect a multi-year deal for Lowry soon, perhaps before the calendar reaches 2026, with a couple extra million bucks tacked on to the current AAV.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Age: 37<br \/>2025-26 cap hit: $6,750,000<\/p>\n<p>McDonagh is more of a 20-minute-a-night guy at his age now, but he\u2019s still mobile enough to stabilize a middle pair while contributing dressing-room leadership. He and Erik Cernak continue to form one of the best shutdown tandems in the NHL. McDonagh\u2019s next contract should be a short one, but he\u2019s arguably still worth his current AAV. He remains vital to the Lightning blueline.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Age: 31<br \/>2025-26 cap hit: $1.5 million<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">The Canucks have to be careful here. Dakota Joshua broke out as a crash-and-bang power forward two years ago and earned himself a new contract that he didn\u2019t live up to. Yes, he dealt with testicular cancer last year, which had to influence his performance as he worked his way back into playing shape, but it also was the unsustainable shooting percentage that made his 2023-24 unrepeatable. Now we have Sherwood, the most prolific hitter the has ever seen, who has buried 11 goals in his first 18 games on 29.7 percent shooting. It\u2019s Joshua 2.0. Still, a bottom-sixer scoring at north of a 40-goal pace while coming off an NHL single-season record 462 hits is a fascinating specimen and a candidate to get a nice (and perhaps ill-advised) raise on a competitive open market, a-la Tanner Jeannot with the Boston Bruins this past summer.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Age: 33<br \/>2025-26 cap hit: $5,500,000<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">It feels like Schwartz has toiled in obscurity out in the Pacific Northwest, playing for a franchise with one playoff appearance in its first four seasons. But Schwartz, who won a Stanley Cup with the 2018-19 St. Louis Blues, still has game. He\u2019s coming off a 26-goal season. He could sign on as a middle-six forward on an elite team or a top-six forward on a middling team as he is now.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Age: 27<br \/>2025-26 cap hit: $3,250,000<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Ferraro has been a popular name in trade-rumor talk for a couple seasons now. He plays a simple, grinding game and can log 20-plus minutes a night in his sleep. His under-the-hood defensive metrics typically aren\u2019t pretty, but it\u2019s hard to evaluate them given he\u2019s played on a bottom-dwelling Sharks team. Ferraro might flourish in a depth role on a higher-end team.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Age: 36<br \/>2025-26 cap hit: $2,750,000<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">The Hurricanes still trust Andersen more than Pyotr Kochetkov in playoff situations, but Kochetkov outplayed Andersen in the regular season last year and has so far in 2025-26 as well. If the Canes finally give the keys to Kochetkov, who has another year left on his deal, might Andersen seek a larger starting opportunity next season? The <a class=\"text-secondary underline underline-offset-2\" href=\"https:\/\/oilersnation.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" hreflang=\"en\">Edmonton Oilers<\/a> could certainly use him.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Age: 38<br \/>2025-26 cap hit: $4,125,000<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Over the past three seasons, only seven forwards average more primary assists per 60 on the power play than Zuccarrello. Even if he\u2019s pushing 40 and his body is breaking down, he\u2019s handy as a specialist, and his chemistry with Kirill Kaprizov in Minnesota tells us Zuccarello can still keep up with elite players.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Age: 32<br \/>2025-26 cap hit: $8,000,000<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">The bruising hitter has revived his career at an opportune moment with the Ducks surging into competitiveness just in time for his contract year. He and partner Olen Zellweger have won their minutes at 5-on-5 more than any other pair on the team. The Joel Quenneville effect? It\u2019s going to get Trouba a nice multi-year deal, whether it\u2019s in Anaheim or elsewhere.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Age: 33<br \/>2025-26 cap hit: $5,000,000<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">He\u2019s a demon on faceoffs, he can center your third line, he can kill penalties, and he has a history of coming up big in the playoffs. In a rising-cap world, Pageau might actually find a suitor to pay him his current AAV again.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Age: 31<br \/>2025-26 cap hit: $5,400,000<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">The raw talent hasn\u2019t gone anywhere, but Bjorkstrand has struggled to find his scoring touch in a diminished role since arriving in Tampa, with just six goals in 33 games. Bjorkstrand may be entering the \u201cmercenary contract\u201d phase of his career, in which he catches on with a lower-end team that will place him on a scoring line and inflate his trade value.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Age: 31<br \/>2025-26 cap hit: $4,500,000<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">He functions best as a disruptive middle-sixer who can chip in offense and get in opponents\u2019 heads. That worked well when he was a cog in the Dallas Stars machine. Asked to do a bit more on a weaker Kraken team and playing the most minutes of his career, Marchment has struggled. He feels like a lock to be moved before the Trade Deadline as a rental if Seattle isn\u2019t in playoff contention. As for his next contract: if he continues to disappoint this year, a shorter-term \u201cprove it\u201d deal looks likelier than a long-term pact.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Age: 34<br \/>2025-26 cap hit: $5,250,000<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">The same teams interested in Pageau should theoretically look into Coyle next summer. Bringing size, playoff experience and penalty-killing acumen, he\u2019s a quintessential third-line center who can play higher up someone\u2019s lineup if injuries strike.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Age: 33<br \/>2025-26 cap hit: $4,500,000<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">There will always be a significant market for a big, bruising, right-shot defenseman who can eat minutes, dish out physical punishment and block shots. As we can see with the ice time, which sits at a career-low 14:34 per contest, Murphy is being phased out as the Blackhawks break in a younger brigade of promising blueliners. It\u2019s pretty clear GM Kyle Davidson missed the sell-high window, and Murphy trends toward becoming a depth-rental trade chip at the deadline if the Hawks aren\u2019t in the mix. On the open market in the summer, though? He\u2019ll attract plenty of interest.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Other 2026 UFAs to watch: Cam Talbot, Corey Perry, Patrik Laine, Stuart Skinner, Michael Bunting, Scott Wedgewood, Jordan Eberle<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">_____<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">POST SPONSORED BY bet365<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">_____<\/p>\n<p>Recently by Matt Larkin<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Perhaps we should\u2019ve known better. It was fun to hype up the epic-on-paper NHL unrestricted free agent class&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":280569,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[433],"tags":[49,48,448,82],"class_list":{"0":"post-280568","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-nhl","8":"tag-ca","9":"tag-canada","10":"tag-nhl","11":"tag-sports"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/280568","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=280568"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/280568\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/280569"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=280568"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=280568"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=280568"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}