{"id":307037,"date":"2025-11-26T00:53:08","date_gmt":"2025-11-26T00:53:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/307037\/"},"modified":"2025-11-26T00:53:08","modified_gmt":"2025-11-26T00:53:08","slug":"finding-a-defensive-pairing-for-canadiens-prospect-engstrom","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/307037\/","title":{"rendered":"Finding A Defensive Pairing For Canadiens Prospect Engstrom"},"content":{"rendered":"

Now that the Montreal Canadiens<\/a> have recalled defenceman Adam Engstrom, it\u2019s the perfect time to evaluate the current pairings, in a bid to find the ideal role for the newest member of the team.<\/p>\n

Engstrom\u2019s promotion is particularly interesting, because unlike Marc Del Gaizo, he\u2019s unlikely to serve as a contingency plan. He\u2019s in the midst of his best stretch of hockey since arriving to Canada, as evidenced by the fact that he was named the Player Of The Week<\/a> in the AHL shortly after he received the call from the Habs. <\/p>\n

Promoting him simply to make him watch games as a healthy scratch would fly in the face of proper development.<\/p>\n

What To Expect From Engstrom<\/p>\n

The 22-year-old possesses excellent skating, which he uses to drive down low whenever the opportunity arises. And when I say excellent, I really mean it. It almost always seems like he\u2019s skating on velvet-filled clouds that are covered suede and packaged in silk. <\/p>\n

With five goals and nine assists in 18 games, Engstrom was ranked second in AHL defenceman scoring prior to the call-up, including a five-point game versus the Belleville Senators on Saturday. In other words, not only did Engstrom deserve the promotion, he has the skill set necessary to move the needle for the Canadiens.<\/p>\n

Adam Engstrom almost scores another great goal, but hits iron.<\/p>\n

His excellent skating on full display, as per tradition. #GoHabsGo<\/a> pic.twitter.com\/sTu8Tm1vjm<\/a><\/p>\n

\u2014 Marc Dumont (@MarcPDumont) November 20, 2025<\/a> <\/p>\n

His defensive play is not elite, but he\u2019s taken great strides in improving his positioning and gap control, which should serve him well once he\u2019s ready to make his NHL debut. He was Pascal Vincent\u2019s most trusted defenceman in the AHL for a good reason, and that includes his much-improved defensive prowess.<\/p>\n

Montreal Canadiens Defensive Pairings<\/p>\n

With over 20 games in the books, we now have a pretty good idea of how the defensive pairings have performed thanks to a relatively decent sample size.<\/p>\n

We\u2019ll take a look at four different metrics to evaluate the pairings. CF% represents shot share, HDCF% is high-danger shot share, xGF% is expected goals, and GF% is actual goals. <\/p>\n

As you can see in the chart below, every pairing falls on the wrong side of 50% in shot control, however, that\u2019s perfectly normal when you consider the team itself is ranked 20th among all NHL teams in that category.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Once we dig a little deeper, it becomes clear that Lane Hutson<\/a> and Jayden Struble form the only pairing that has been able to control more than 50% of the high-danger chances. In that vein, they\u2019re the only pairing that manages to tread water in the expected goals category.<\/p>\n

And yet, they\u2019ve actually managed to control the fewest goals, sitting at a very underwhelming 30.7%. <\/p>\n

In other words, the process has been solid, but the results have not yet caught up.<\/p>\n

The opposite scenario is taking place with the first pairing. With Mike Matheson and Noah Dobson<\/a> on the ice, the Canadiens have scored 18 goals, while allowing just 12, but they\u2019ve had a very hard time controlling the high-quality chances, and their share of the shot control has diminished significantly in November. <\/p>\n

The numbers tell us that they\u2019re probably not going to keep controlling 60% of the goals.<\/p>\n

As for the third pairing, they\u2019ve actually controlled the highest percentage of shots on the team, though it must be noted that they tend to face a lower quality of competition than the others. This is balanced, to a certain extent, by their quality of teammates, which tends to be lower as well.<\/p>\n

Montreal Canadiens Brass Tacks<\/p>\n

From a purely statistical standpoint, you could argue that the Matheson\/Dobson pairing, which started the season with some of the best underlying numbers in the league, may need to be modified before things get worse. <\/p>\n

And though the third pairing of Xhekaj\/Carrier has only controlled 40% of the goals while they\u2019re on the ice, the stats tell us that number should increase as the season unfolds. Idem for the second pairing of Hutson\/Struble. <\/p>\n

Given that Engstrom is not well suited for a third-pairing assignment, it stands to reason he should be used in the top four, the only situation that is conducive to producing as a puck-moving defenceman. Engstrom is also adept at playing on both sides of the ice, giving us a little more versatility to work with, while remembering it\u2019s always more difficult to quickly corral pucks when you\u2019re playing on your offside.<\/p>\n

The simplest answer would be to replace Struble on the second pairing, which may seem counterintuitive when we remember it\u2019s the only duo that has controlled more than 50% of the expected goals, but it\u2019s important to note that Hutson tends to produce excellent numbers alongside most defensive partners. <\/p>\n

Adding a player with Engstrom\u2019s dynamic skill set could complement Hutson\u2019s aggressive style of play, though there is a risk that it may backfire spectacularly if the defensive coverage goes awry.<\/p>\n

Adam Engstrom scores a very nice goal to open the scoring for the Laval Rocket. #GoHabsGo<\/a> pic.twitter.com\/L40rTRRraf<\/a><\/p>\n

\u2014 Marc Dumont (@MarcPDumont) November 20, 2025<\/a> <\/p>\n

Option No.1<\/p>\n

Mike Matheson \u2013 Noah Dobson<\/p>\n

Adam Engstrom \u2013 Lane Hutson<\/p>\n

Arber Xhekaj \u2013 Alexandre Carrier<\/p>\n

Healthy Scratch: Jayden Struble.<\/p>\n

Option No.2<\/p>\n

The more complicated scenario involves promoting Hutson to the top pairing, alongside Dobson, which would shift Mike Matheson to the second pairing, alongside Engstrom, and leave either Xhekaj or Struble to play with Carrier on the third pairing. <\/p>\n

Lane Hutson \u2013 Noah Dobson<\/p>\n

Mike Matheson \u2013 Adam Engstrom<\/p>\n

Arber Xhekaj\/Jayden Struble \u2013 Alex Carrier<\/p>\n

It would be quite interesting to see what Hutson can do alongside Dobson, but this would entail breaking apart the established pairings, and I strongly suspect head coach Martin St-Louis is not interested in running brand-new pairings at this point of the season. <\/p>\n

All Montreal Canadiens statistics are 5v5 unless otherwise noted, via Natural Stat Trick<\/a>.<\/p>\n

\t\t\"avatar\"<\/p>\n

\t\tMarc has been covering the Habs for over a decade. He previously worked for Journal Metro, The Athletic, The … More about Marc Dumont<\/a><\/p>\n

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