{"id":323210,"date":"2025-12-03T18:44:13","date_gmt":"2025-12-03T18:44:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/323210\/"},"modified":"2025-12-03T18:44:13","modified_gmt":"2025-12-03T18:44:13","slug":"rbc-posts-record-q4-profit-but-ceo-raises-concerns-about-uneven-economic-recovery","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/323210\/","title":{"rendered":"RBC posts record Q4 profit but CEO raises concerns about uneven economic recovery"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">TORONTO \u2014 Royal Bank of Canada handily beat analyst expectations as it reported record fourth-quarter results that showed rising profits across most divisions.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Canada&#8217;s most valuable bank, and company, reported a profit of $5.43 billion in the quarter ending Oct. 31, up from a profit of $4.22 billion a year ago.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Profits for the year totalled $20.4 billion, up 25 per cent from last year, as it saw growth across most of the bank and benefited from its takeover of HSBC Canada.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">The results helped lead RBC to increase its quarterly dividend to $1.64 per share, up from $1.54 per share.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">The bank sees continued strength ahead, raising its return-on-equity target to more than 17 per cent, up from more than 16 per cent, which itself was already ahead of other banks.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">RBC&#8217;s results and outlook come despite continued trade and economic uncertainty, but chief executive Dave McKay expressed cautious optimism on the wider picture.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">&#8220;While the operating environment remains fluid and complex, and there is a lot of hard work yet to be done by governments and the private sector, I am cautiously optimistic on the outlook for Canada,&#8221; he said on an earnings call with analysts Wednesday.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">McKay noted that overall Canada&#8217;s effective tariff rate remains low and has done little to impact exports to the U.S., while the ongoing shift to a service-oriented economy should also offset some trade-related headwinds.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">He did, however, express concern with the split economic recovery, which is leading to increased inequality.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">&#8220;The impact of the K-shaped economy is increasingly polarizing, with more affluent consumers investing disposable income and growing markets, while less affluent consumers struggle with affordability.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">The trend can be seen in RBC&#8217;s own results, with its capital markets and wealth management divisions driving much of the earnings beat.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Meanwhile, many borrowers continue to struggle, with the bank increasing its provisions for potentially bad loans in the quarter to $1.01 billion, up from $840 million a year ago.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Chief risk officer Graeme Hepworth said the overall Canadian economy has demonstrated strong resilience this past year with household spending strong, but the bank has maintained a prudent approach to provisions given trade issues are largely unresolved and pockets of concern remain.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">&#8220;Rising unemployment in Ontario and the Greater Toronto Area, coupled with higher payments at mortgage renewal, have contributed to rising consumer impairments in these regions,&#8221; said Hepworth.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">&#8220;We expect retail losses to remain elevated in 2026 as we work through the lag effect of higher unemployment, consumer insolvencies, and ongoing payment shocks for mortgage renewals in Canada.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">The areas of concern did little to hold back overall results, with adjusted earnings of $3.85 per diluted share in the quarter, up from an adjusted profit of $3.07 per diluted share in the same quarter last year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Analysts on average had expected an adjusted profit of $3.53 per share, according to estimates compiled by LSEG Data &amp; Analytics.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Scotiabank analyst Mike Rizvanovic said that while credit losses were elevated, they remained manageable as other areas like capital markets and wealth shined.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">&#8220;A strong quarter overall for (Royal Bank) at first look, driven by outsized growth in the top line that benefited once again from solid gains in market-sensitive businesses, which comfortably offset a modest miss across other business lines,&#8221; he said in a note.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Revenue totalled $17.21 billion, up from $15.07 billion in the same quarter last year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">RBC&#8217;s wealth management arm earned $1.28 billion, up from $969 million a year ago, while the bank&#8217;s capital markets business earned $1.43 billion, up from $985 million in the same quarter last year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Personal banking earned $1.89 billion in the bank&#8217;s latest quarter, up from $1.58 billion a year ago. Commercial banking operations earned $810 million, up from $774 million.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">RBC&#8217;s insurance business earned $98 million, down from $162 million a year ago.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">McKay said that going forward, the bank is looking both to push more into artificial intelligence and more international markets.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">The bank already has 30,000 employees using generative AI, and the benefits of the technology was one of the reasons RBC boosted its ROE expectations, he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">McKay said the bank is also looking at deploying capital into new markets, such as the Middle East potentially, using the strength of RBC&#8217;s wealth management and capital markets, with the benefits of its expansion in Asia having already been &#8220;incredibly significant&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">&#8220;I&#8217;m very excited about building a global business that can compete.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">This report by The Canadian Press was first published Dec. 3, 2025.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Companies in this story: (TSX: RY)<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Ian Bickis, The Canadian Press<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"TORONTO \u2014 Royal Bank of Canada handily beat analyst expectations as it reported record fourth-quarter results that showed&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":323211,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[49,48,19675,98227,143137,44,48537,3916,31344],"class_list":["post-323210","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-canada","tag-ca","tag-canada","tag-capital-markets","tag-dave-mckay","tag-hsbc-canada","tag-news","tag-profit","tag-royal-bank-of-canada","tag-wealth-management"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/323210","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=323210"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/323210\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/323211"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=323210"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=323210"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=323210"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}