Tennis best bets and predictions for Wednesday, July 30th:<\/p>\n
This week, the ATP and WTA Tours are in Canada for the 2025 National Bank Open presented by Rogers. The men are stationed in Toronto for their Masters 1000 event, and the women are playing their 1000-level tournament in Montreal. Unfortunately, Carlos Alcaraz, Jannik Sinner, Novak Djokovic and Aryna Sabalenka are a few of the big names that opted to rest up for Cincinnati. However, these fields are still rather loaded, so we\u2019re looking forward to soaking in the action up north. Make sure you\u2019re coming back to VSiN, where I\u2019ll be posting daily write-ups on the action as often as I can. That continues with the action on Wednesday, July 30th.<\/p>\n
Make sure you also check out the picks page<\/a> every couple of hours if you want more of my action. I occasionally post some extra picks there, including my picks for smaller tournaments and Challenger-level events. That\u2019s also where you\u2019ll find picks from Gill Alexander, who does great work handicapping tennis on A Numbers Game. You can watch Gill analyze tennis<\/a> Monday to Friday from 10:00 am to noon ET. That said, if you like tennis, you might want to consider becoming a VSiN Pro<\/a>.<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for everything our experts\u00a0are betting!<\/a><\/p>\n 2025 Record: 933-902-1 (+50.27 units)<\/p>\n Yosuke Watanuki vs. Frances Tiafoe<\/p>\n Back in March, Watanuki and Tiafoe met in the Round of 32 at the BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells. In that match, Watanuki stunned Tiafoe in a 6-4, 7-6 (6) victory. At the time, that looked like it could be a season-changing win for Watanuki. Unfortunately for him, nothing ever came from it. He has continued to have an up-and-down year, and he has mostly competed at the Challenger level. However, I do think this is a matchup that suits Watanuki quite well, so I\u2019m playing him to win a set. I\u2019m also sprinkling the moneyline. <\/p>\n It\u2019s just hard to overlook the fact that both of the previous meetings between these two have been competitive. When the two met in Miami in 2023, Tiafoe had to battle for a 6-7 (5), 7-6 (3), 6-4 win. Then, Watanuki ended up beating him in Indian Wells. There simply hasn\u2019t been a wide gap between them, despite the fact that Tiafoe has a much better ranking. <\/p>\n Watanuki is also getting Tiafoe at an interesting time, as the American just suffered a disappointing quarterfinal exit in his home tournament in DC. Tiafoe could be a little deflated after that result, which is something we have seen from him before. I\u2019ll also add that Watanuki spent some time with coach Wayne Ferreira earlier in the year. Ferreira was Tiafoe\u2019s coach for years, so Watanuki is probably just very familiar with the American\u2019s game. <\/p>\n Let\u2019s just hope Watanuki has a decent serving day. He has an unorthodox motion and that is a part of his game that can get away from him occasionally. Against Tiafoe, he\u2019ll need to avoid long, grueling service games. <\/p>\n Bet: Watanuki +1.5 Sets (-115 \u2013 1.5 units) & Watanuki ML (+275 \u2013 0.5 units)<\/p>\n Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Arthur Fils<\/p>\n Fils hasn\u2019t played since the French Open, so he\u2019ll be working off some rust in his return from a stress fracture in his back. However, this is a matchup he should be able to handle at less than 100% health. Carreno Busta is only 4-9 at the ATP level since the start of 2025, and his break percentage is a miserable 15.2%. Well, if the Spaniard isn\u2019t getting into Fils\u2019 service games, it\u2019s hard to imagine this being a competitive match.<\/p>\n Fils is simply a better server, returner and baseliner, and I expect him to find his game at some point in this match \u2014\u00a0even if the first set is a little rough. Honestly, Fils was able to cover a 3.5-game spread against Carreno Busta in Barcelona earlier this year, and that was a home match for the Spaniard. The conditions were also favorable for Carreno Busta. If he couldn\u2019t cover there, I don\u2019t see him doing it here. <\/p>\n Bet: Fils -3.5 Games (-123) <\/p>\n Maria Sakkari vs. Jessica Pegula<\/p>\n Sakkari is starting to find her game. In Washington DC, the Greek star earned straight-set wins over Katie Boulter and Emma Navarro, and she was also extremely competitive in a loss against a red-hot Emma Raducanu. The 30-year-old now has a tough matchup against Pegula, the back-to-back National Bank Open champion, but she\u2019s getting the American at a good time. Pegula lost in straight sets against Elisabetta Cocciaretto at Wimbledon, then she got upset by eventual champion Leylah Fernandez in her first match in the nation\u2019s capital last week. There\u2019s just not a lot that suggests Pegula\u2019s form is in a good spot right now, but you can definitely make that case for Sakkari. <\/p>\n What I\u2019m most interested in seeing is the Sakkari serve. She has had a hard time holding in 2025, but she has looked like a different player with the ball on her racquet over the last few weeks. Some equipment changes seem to have helped there. Well, if Sakkari serves well against Pegula, this should be a really good match. We all know Sakkari has the baseline game to hang with the American. <\/p>\n Also, while Pegula has won three straight matches against Sakkari, the Greek player does have five wins over the American. So, she should know that she can make this a match if she\u2019s just playing some solid tennis. <\/p>\n Bet: Sakkari +1.5 Sets (-143 \u2013 1.5 units) & Sakkari ML (+200 \u2013 0.5 units) <\/p>\n Added Plays<\/p>\n I usually have A LOT MORE on the Pro Picks page<\/a>. Those plays count towards my record and have been a big part of my success this season. Make sure you check them out. I\u2019ll probably add a few more over there, so refresh that page throughout the day if you\u2019re looking for action.<\/p>\n Tennis Links\u00a0<\/p>\n VSiN Tennis Betting Splits<\/a><\/p>\n