{"id":366961,"date":"2025-12-25T00:08:08","date_gmt":"2025-12-25T00:08:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/366961\/"},"modified":"2025-12-25T00:08:08","modified_gmt":"2025-12-25T00:08:08","slug":"bank-of-canada-uncertain-if-next-rate-move-will-be-cut-or-hike","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/366961\/","title":{"rendered":"Bank of Canada uncertain if next rate move will be cut or hike"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">By Melissa Shin<\/p>\n<p>(Bloomberg) \u2014 Bank of Canada officials agreed on holding the overnight rate at 2.25% earlier this month, but are unsure whether their next policy shift will be to lower rates again or to raise them.<\/p>\n<p>In a summary of deliberations of their Dec. 10 decision, policymakers said the \u201chigh level of uncertainty\u201d made it \u201cdifficult to predict when and in which direction the next change in the policy rate would be.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The seven members of the central bank\u2019s governing council discussed how the future of the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement would affect the outlook. If the trade deal were to fall apart, it would be very damaging to the economy. But a resolution that \u201cprovided some stability in North American trade policy could spur on business investment,\u201d the bank\u2019s summary said.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1340\" height=\"826\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/445739567.jpg\" alt=\"BoC policy rate\" class=\"wp-image-80962\"  \/><\/p>\n<p>The central bank reiterated that it\u2019s prepared to respond if the outlook for economic activity or inflation changes significantly. \u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Policymakers also noted that quarterly gross domestic product figures had been volatile of late, \u201can indication of how challenging it will be to assess the underlying trends in the economy.\u201d <\/p>\n<p>They expected fourth-quarter GDP to be soft, with increases in consumption, housing activity and government spending offsetting weakness in business investment and net exports.<\/p>\n<p>Initial GDP estimates released Tuesday showed a small expansion in November, following a 0.3% contraction in October, indicating that growth is likely to be negative in the quarter.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a92025 Bloomberg L.P.<\/p>\n<p>Visited 1 times, 1 visit(s) today<\/p>\n<p class=\"tmnf_posttag\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.canadianmortgagetrends.com\/tag\/bank-of-canada\/\" rel=\"tag nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Bank of Canada<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.canadianmortgagetrends.com\/tag\/bank-of-canada-rate-expectations\/\" rel=\"tag nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Bank of canada rate expectations<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.canadianmortgagetrends.com\/tag\/bloomberg\/\" rel=\"tag nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">bloomberg<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.canadianmortgagetrends.com\/tag\/boc\/\" rel=\"tag nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BoC<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.canadianmortgagetrends.com\/tag\/boc-minutes\/\" rel=\"tag nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BoC minutes<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.canadianmortgagetrends.com\/tag\/summary-of-deliberations\/\" rel=\"tag nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">summary of deliberations<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"modified small cntr\" itemprop=\"dateModified\">Last modified: December 24, 2025<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"By Melissa Shin (Bloomberg) \u2014 Bank of Canada officials agreed on holding the overnight rate at 2.25% earlier&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":366962,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[45,49,48,46],"class_list":{"0":"post-366961","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-business","9":"tag-ca","10":"tag-canada","11":"tag-economy"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/366961","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=366961"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/366961\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/366962"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=366961"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=366961"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=366961"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}