{"id":368099,"date":"2025-12-25T13:53:07","date_gmt":"2025-12-25T13:53:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/368099\/"},"modified":"2025-12-25T13:53:07","modified_gmt":"2025-12-25T13:53:07","slug":"cowboys-vs-commanders-prediction-odds-spread-week-17-nfl-christmas-day-picks-by-proven-model","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/368099\/","title":{"rendered":"Cowboys vs. Commanders prediction, odds, spread: Week 17 NFL Christmas Day picks by proven model"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>NFC East rivals looking to finish out disappointing seasons meet when the <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/teams\/DAL\/dallas-cowboys\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Dallas Cowboys<\/a> take on the <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/teams\/WAS\/washington-commanders\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Washington Commanders<\/a> on Christmas Day. Dallas is coming off a 34-17 loss to the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday, while Washington dropped a 29-18 decision to the Philadelphia Eagles on Saturday. The Cowboys (6-8-1), who have lost three in a row, are 2-5 on the road this season. Both teams have been eliminated from playoff contention. The Commanders (4-11), who have lost nine of 10, are 2-5 on their home field. Josh Johnson will start at quarterback for Washington with Marcus Mariota (hand\/quad) out.<\/p>\n<p>Kickoff from Northwest Stadium in Landover, Md., is set for 1 p.m. ET. The Cowboys are 8.5-point favorites in the latest Cowboys vs. Commanders odds, while the over\/under for total points scored is 50.5 via DraftKings Sportsbook. Before making any Commanders vs. Cowboys picks,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/cowboys-vs-commanders-line-odds-proven-model-releases-spread-pick-for-2025-nfl-week-17-matchup-on-christmas-day\/#ttag=12252025_agg_cbssports_picks_football_nfl_model_CowboysCommanders\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/nfl\/picks\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">NFL picks<\/a>\u00a0since its inception. The model entered Week 17 on a 53-37 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anybody following its\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/nfl\/\" target=\"_blank\">NFL betting<\/a>\u00a0picks at\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/best-betting-apps\/\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbooks<\/a>\u00a0and on\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/best-betting-apps\/\" target=\"_blank\">betting sites<\/a>\u00a0could have seen strong returns.<\/p>\n<p>Now, the model has set its sights on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/nfl\/game-forecast\/NFL_20251225_DAL@WAS\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Cowboys vs. Commanders<\/a>. You can <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/cowboys-vs-commanders-line-odds-proven-model-releases-spread-pick-for-2025-nfl-week-17-matchup-on-christmas-day\/#ttag=12252025_agg_cbssports_picks_football_nfl_model_CowboysCommanders\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">visit SportsLine now to see the picks<\/a>. Here are the FBS <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/college-football\/odds\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">college football odds<\/a> and trends for Cowboys vs. Commanders:<\/p>\n<p>Cowboys vs. Commanders                                                                         spread<\/p>\n<p>Dallas -8.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook<\/p>\n<p>Cowboys vs. Commanders                     over\/under<\/p>\n<p>50.5 points<\/p>\n<p>Cowboys vs. Commanders                                                                                                                                                                                     money line\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Dallas -469, Washington +360<\/p>\n<p>Cowboys vs. Commanders                                                                                                                                                                             picks<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/cowboys-vs-commanders-line-odds-proven-model-releases-spread-pick-for-2025-nfl-week-17-matchup-on-christmas-day\/#ttag=12252025_agg_cbssports_picks_football_nfl_model_CowboysCommanders\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">See picks at SportsLine<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Cowboys vs. Commanders                                                                                                                                                                               streaming\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Netflix\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>What you need to know about the Cowboys<\/p>\n<p>Veteran quarterback <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/players\/1824864\/dak-prescott\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Dak Prescott<\/a> powers the Dallas offense. In 15 games this season, he has completed 68.5% of his passes for 4,175 yards and 28 touchdowns with 10 interceptions and a 100.0 rating. He has also carried 47 times for 154 yards (3.3 average) and two touchdowns. In Sunday&#8217;s loss to the Chargers, Prescott completed 21 of 30 passes for 244 yards and two touchdowns. He also rushed twice for 14 yards.<\/p>\n<p>Wide receiver <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/players\/3123212\/george-pickens\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">George Pickens<\/a> is one of Prescott&#8217;s top targets. In 15 games, he has 88 receptions for 1,342 yards (15.3 average) and nine touchdowns. He has 21 explosive plays of 20 yards or more, including a long of 45, with 426 yards after the catch and 69 first-down conversions. In the loss to the Chargers, he caught seven passes for 130 yards (18.6 average) and one touchdown.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/cowboys-vs-commanders-line-odds-proven-model-releases-spread-pick-for-2025-nfl-week-17-matchup-on-christmas-day\/#ttag=12252025_agg_cbssports_picks_football_nfl_model_CowboysCommanders\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">See which team to back at SportsLine<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>What you need to know about the Commanders<\/p>\n<p>With quarterbacks options dwindling, Washington will turn to veteran journeyman\u00a0<a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/players\/1325808\/josh-johnson\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Josh Johnson<\/a>. In three games, Johnson has completed 55.6% of his passes for 43 yards and one interception. Washington also signed Jeff Driskel this week to provide depth.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Among Washington&#8217;s top receivers is veteran wide receiver <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/players\/2139735\/deebo-samuel\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Deebo Samuel<\/a>. In 14 games, he has 68 receptions for 639 yards (9.4 average) and five touchdowns. He has eight explosive plays of 20 yards or more, including a long of 38, with 384 yards after the catch and 29 first-down conversions. In a 16-13 loss against Miami on Nov. 16, he caught seven passes for 74 yards and one touchdown.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/cowboys-vs-commanders-line-odds-proven-model-releases-spread-pick-for-2025-nfl-week-17-matchup-on-christmas-day\/#ttag=12252025_agg_cbssports_picks_football_nfl_model_CowboysCommanders\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">See which team to back at SportsLine<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>How to make Cowboys vs. Commanders picks<\/p>\n<p>SportsLine&#8217;s model is going Over on the total, projecting 56 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits over 50% of the time.         <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/cowboys-vs-commanders-line-odds-proven-model-releases-spread-pick-for-2025-nfl-week-17-matchup-on-christmas-day\/#ttag=12252025_agg_cbssports_picks_football_nfl_model_CowboysCommanders\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">You can only get the pick at SportsLine.<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>So who wins Cowboys vs. Commanders, and which side of the spread hits over 50% of the time? <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/cowboys-vs-commanders-line-odds-proven-model-releases-spread-pick-for-2025-nfl-week-17-matchup-on-christmas-day\/#ttag=12252025_agg_cbssports_picks_football_nfl_model_CowboysCommanders\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Cowboys vs. Commanders spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that finished up over $7,000 on its NFL picks since its inception<\/a>, and find out.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"NFC East rivals looking to finish out disappointing seasons meet when the Dallas Cowboys take on the Washington&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":340652,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[436],"tags":[6359,49,48,157611,157612,157613,1721,514,157614,82,1758],"class_list":["post-368099","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-nfl","tag-betting","tag-ca","tag-canada","tag-cowboys-commanders-odds","tag-cowboys-commanders-picks","tag-cowboys-commanders-prediction","tag-dallas-cowboys","tag-nfl","tag-nfl-christmas-day-picks","tag-sports","tag-washington-commanders"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/368099","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=368099"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/368099\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/340652"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=368099"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=368099"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=368099"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}