{"id":398826,"date":"2026-01-09T18:32:14","date_gmt":"2026-01-09T18:32:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/398826\/"},"modified":"2026-01-09T18:32:14","modified_gmt":"2026-01-09T18:32:14","slug":"which-teams-have-the-best-chance-to-select-first-overall","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/398826\/","title":{"rendered":"Which teams have the best chance to select\u00a0first overall?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">It\u2019s that time of year again.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">The 2026 NHL Draft will take place this June, with the lottery expected sometime in the spring. This will also be the second incarnation of the decentralized draft, meaning all 32 teams will remain home while players are selected in person in a location still to be determined (though multiple reports have surfaced suggesting Buffalo is the frontrunner).<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Gavin McKenna entered the season as the projected No. 1 pick and is still expected to go quite high. But forwards Ivar Stenberg and Tynan Lawrence, as well as defensemen Keaton Verhoeff, Alberts Smits and Chase Reid, among others, have all put up strong arguments to be the first player chosen.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Teams can only win the lottery twice in a five-year span. It\u2019s been rare to see a team with minuscule odds win it all, but it happened in 2020 when the\u00a0<a class=\"text-secondary underline underline-offset-2\" hreflang=\"en\" href=\"https:\/\/www.dailyfaceoff.com\/teams\/new-york-rangers\/line-combinations\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">New York Rangers<\/a>\u00a0won the lottery with the 14th-best odds and took Alexis Lafreniere. Under the new rules, only the bottom 11 teams now qualify for a shot at the No. 1 overall pick, and the <a class=\"text-secondary underline underline-offset-2\" hreflang=\"en\" href=\"https:\/\/www.dailyfaceoff.com\/teams\/new-york-islanders\/line-combinations\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">New York Islanders <\/a>pulled it off with the 10th best odds of 3.5 percent last season, picking defenseman Matthew Schaefer.<\/p>\n<p>Key Dates:<\/p>\n<p>End of Regular Season:\u00a0April 16<\/p>\n<p>NHL Draft Lottery: TBA<\/p>\n<p>NHL Draft Combine:\u00a0June 1-7 at the LECOM Harborcenter in Buffalo, N.Y.<\/p>\n<p>NHL Draft:\u00a0Fri, Jun 26, 2025 \u2013 Sat, Jun 27, 2025, (Location TBD)<\/p>\n<p>Gavin McKenna, LW (Penn State University)<\/p>\n<p>Keaton Verhoeff, RHD\u00a0(University of North Dakota)<\/p>\n<p>Ivar Stenberg, LW (Frolunda)<\/p>\n<p>Tynan Lawrence, C (Boston University)<\/p>\n<p>Chase Reid, RHD (Soo Greyhounds)<\/p>\n<p>2026 NHL Draft Lottery Odds<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\"><a class=\"text-secondary underline underline-offset-2\" hreflang=\"en\" href=\"https:\/\/www.dailyfaceoff.com\/nhl-weekly-schedule\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Games completed as of January 8<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Reminder: as a result of Draft Lottery rule changes made effective in 2021, a team may only move up a maximum of 10 spots from their finishing position. That means only the bottom 11 teams have a shot at the No. 1 overall pick.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Therefore, instead of the published odds, which indicate the 32nd-place team has an 18.5 percent chance \u2013 which was accurate when all 16 non-playoff teams had a crack at the No. 1 pick \u2013 the additional percentages from those five clubs are effectively applied to the 32nd-place finisher, hence the 25.5 percent odds.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">Of note: the National Hockey League has previously ruled that the <a class=\"text-secondary underline underline-offset-2\" hreflang=\"en\" href=\"https:\/\/www.dailyfaceoff.com\/teams\/ottawa-senators\/line-combinations\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Ottawa Senators<\/a> must forfeit their own first-round pick in 2026 as punishment for their role in the invalidated deal between the <a class=\"text-secondary underline underline-offset-2\" hreflang=\"en\" href=\"https:\/\/www.dailyfaceoff.com\/teams\/vegas-golden-knights\/line-combinations\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Vegas Golden Knights <\/a>and <a class=\"text-secondary underline underline-offset-2\" hreflang=\"en\" href=\"https:\/\/www.dailyfaceoff.com\/teams\/anaheim-ducks\/line-combinations\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Anaheim Ducks <\/a>ahead of the 2022 trade deadline.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">The league ruled that the Senators had not been forthright with the Golden Knights about the trade protection in Dadonov\u2019s deal when they traded the veteran winger to Vegas in 2021. When the Golden Knights subsequently attempted to flip Dadonov to Anaheim, they did so without knowing that the Ducks were on his \u2018no-trade\u2019 list.<\/p>\n<p>Recent NHL Draft Lottery Results<\/p>\n<p>YearWinner (Previous Seed)Original No. 1 SeedFirst Overall Pick2020New York Rangers (14)Detroit Red WingsAlexis Lafreniere2021Buffalo Sabres (1)Buffalo SabresOwen Power2022Montreal Canadiens (1)Montreal CanadiensJuraj Slafkovsky2023Chicago Blackhawks (3)Anaheim DucksConnor Bedard2024San Jose Sharks (1)San Jose SharksMacklin Celebrini2025New York Islanders (10)San Jose SharksMatthew Schaefer<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">_____<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg\">POST SPONSORED BY bet365<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"It\u2019s that time of year again. The 2026 NHL Draft will take place this June, with the lottery&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":398827,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[433],"tags":[49,48,448,82],"class_list":{"0":"post-398826","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-nhl","8":"tag-ca","9":"tag-canada","10":"tag-nhl","11":"tag-sports"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/398826","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=398826"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/398826\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/398827"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=398826"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=398826"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=398826"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}