{"id":41670,"date":"2025-08-02T11:13:07","date_gmt":"2025-08-02T11:13:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/41670\/"},"modified":"2025-08-02T11:13:07","modified_gmt":"2025-08-02T11:13:07","slug":"ai-excitement-is-driving-the-markets-but-what-if-it-eats-tech-giants-from-within","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/41670\/","title":{"rendered":"AI excitement is driving the markets. But what if it eats tech giants from within?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a style=\"display:block\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/resizer\/v2\/Y5CWLT5R5BF27JV4FCEQGZ4QAU.JPG?auth=5e3656818a115ed0e52394d3a9dd31532ecc24bf708cc622659b303e94e3286a&amp;width=600&amp;height=400&amp;quality=80&amp;smart=true\" aria-haspopup=\"true\" data-photo-viewer-index=\"0\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Open this photo in gallery:<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"figcap-text\">Google has introduced AI-generated search overviews, which could hit the company&#8217;s ad revenue if users choose not to click through on search results.Francis Mascarenhas\/Reuters<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">If there is one force that can overcome U.S. President <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/topics\/donald-trump\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/topics\/donald-trump\/\">Donald Trump<\/a>\u2019s harebrained trade wars and drive the stock market higher in months to come, it is excitement over <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/topics\/artificial-intelligence\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/topics\/artificial-intelligence\/\">artificial intelligence<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Over the past three months, the share prices of Alphabet Inc. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/markets\/stocks\/GOOGL-Q\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/markets\/stocks\/GOOGL-Q\/\">GOOGL-Q<\/a>, Amazon.com Inc. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/markets\/stocks\/AMZN-Q\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/markets\/stocks\/AMZN-Q\/\">AMZN-Q<\/a>, Meta Platforms Inc. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/markets\/stocks\/META-Q\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/markets\/stocks\/META-Q\/\">META-Q<\/a> and Microsoft Corp. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/markets\/stocks\/MSFT-Q\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/markets\/stocks\/MSFT-Q\/\">MSFT-Q<\/a> have surged anywhere from 18 per cent (Alphabet) to 35 per cent (Meta Platforms). <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">The reason? Growing evidence that each of these companies is benefiting from AI-related spending. They have all reported strong earnings in recent days and all of them have been vocal in telling investors how they are positioning themselves for an AI-powered future.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">But with success comes questions. One of the most intriguing is whether AI will ultimately prove to be the reliable servant of the tech superpowers or a destructive obsession that gobbles cash and eats them from within.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">The tension is clearest in the case of Google\u2019s parent, Alphabet. For years, it has earned much of its revenue from selling ads that appear on third-party websites. This has been a highly profitable arrangement. Google has helped direct its users through a sprawling labyrinth of third-party sites. In exchange, Google has made money by populating many of the sites they visit with ads.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">But now Google has introduced AI-generated overviews, perched on top of its regular search links. That changes the nature of internet search. What if many people decide they don\u2019t have to enter the online labyrinth at all? A big chunk of Google\u2019s ad revenue could vanish. Users might read the AI-generated answer to their question and be satisfied. They might never click any further, meaning they will never visit the third-party websites where ads appear.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text mv-16 l-inset text-pb-8\" data-sophi-feature=\"interstitial\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/markets\/inside-the-market\/article-ai-microsoft-tech-layoffs-amazon-google-meta-cisco-intel\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">A billion-dollar bet on artificial intelligence is about to hit reality<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">The risk to Google\u2019s existing ad business seems substantial, yet markets are being remarkably complacent about it. \u201cGoogle is destroying its own business \u2013 and still winning,\u201d writes tech-industry analyst Rich Holmes.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">In fact, to aid its creative self-destruction, Google is planning to boost its capital expenditures from an already massive US$75-billion this year to US$85-billion. Like its fellow tech giants, it is pouring money into data centres, networking gear and engineering talent to make sure it\u2019s not left behind in the great AI arms race.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Google\u2019s bet is that it can transition \u201cfrom being a mere index to an oracle,\u201d declares economist Brad DeLong. He says the company wants to use its AI smarts to keep people in its own domain rather than sending them elsewhere.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">To be sure, this strategy would reduce the volume of visits that Google users make to third-party sites. However, the value of each outbound click to advertisers could rise, Prof. DeLong argues, because any user who chooses to go beyond Google\u2019s quick AI-generated answer will presumably be more highly motivated and more likely to buy or engage than a casual searcher.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Maybe so. At least so far, everything seems to be working out splendidly. Alphabet reported a 14-per-cent jump in second-quarter revenue. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Still, risks remain. Microsoft or Meta could start targeting the quick-answer business with their own chatbots, as could privately owned AI upstarts such as OpenAI and Anthropic. As chatbots grow more reliable, and people become more comfortable prompting them, the demand for Google\u2019s standard search functions may wither.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text mv-16 l-inset text-pb-8\" data-sophi-feature=\"interstitial\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/article-ai-gains-and-strong-earnings-support-wall-street-as-tariff-woes-linger\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">AI gains and strong earnings support Wall Street even as tariff woes linger<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Google could counterattack, of course. It might shapeshift and use its expanding AI capabilities to challenge Meta\u2019s social media empire or Microsoft\u2019s software kingdom.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">We simply don\u2019t know. In a future world where AI chatbots and AI agents answer our questions, fulfill our wishes and become our constant companions, the boundaries between tech giants are likely to fade. Social media, search, software and retailing will all begin to blur together.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">It\u2019s difficult to know which companies will come out on top or which business models will work best in this brave new world. The uncertainty makes the current market mood a bit of a head scratcher. Investors are treating AI as an undoubted positive for all the big tech giants. Yet it\u2019s not clear it will be, given the staggering amounts that are being thrown into AI development.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">In a recent note, Morgan Stanley analysts estimated that tech companies will be pouring nearly US$3-trillion \u2013 yes, trillion with a \u201ct\u201d \u2013 into building new data centres between now and 2028. Companies will need to invest even more to build new generating facilities to power those fancy new data centres. And then, of course, there is the cost of developing AI itself.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">The torrent of spending on AI is beginning to sound a lot like the massive fibre-optic splurges of the dot-com era of the late 1990s. That did not turn out well for many of the companies involved. Don\u2019t be surprised if there are also some losers this time round. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Open this photo in gallery: Google has introduced AI-generated search overviews, which could hit the company&#8217;s ad revenue&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":41671,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[901,888,902,879,877,903,45,49,48,876,895,896,891,878,875,46,549,295,894,887,914,880,881,893,889,890,884,904,100,885,909,910,912,907,911,905,908,882,898,899,714,897,906,865,61,900,892,886,883,913],"class_list":["post-41670","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-markets","tag-alberta","tag-arts-news","tag-bc","tag-breaking-news","tag-breaking-news-video","tag-british-columbia","tag-business","tag-ca","tag-canada","tag-canada-news","tag-canada-sports","tag-canada-sports-news","tag-canada-trafficcanada-weather","tag-canadian-breaking-news","tag-canadian-news","tag-economy","tag-education","tag-environment","tag-federal-government","tag-foreign-news","tag-globe-and-mail","tag-globe-and-mail-breaking-news","tag-globe-and-mail-canada-news","tag-government","tag-life-news","tag-lifestyle","tag-local-news","tag-manitoba","tag-markets","tag-national-news","tag-new-brunswick","tag-newfoundland-and-labrador","tag-northwest-territories","tag-nova-scotia","tag-nunavut","tag-ontario","tag-pei","tag-photos","tag-political-news","tag-political-opinion","tag-politics","tag-politics-news","tag-quebec","tag-sports-news","tag-technology","tag-travel","tag-trudeau","tag-us-news","tag-world-news","tag-yukon"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41670","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41670"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41670\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/41671"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41670"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41670"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41670"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}