{"id":41963,"date":"2025-08-02T14:06:10","date_gmt":"2025-08-02T14:06:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/41963\/"},"modified":"2025-08-02T14:06:10","modified_gmt":"2025-08-02T14:06:10","slug":"fantasy-baseball-lineup-advice-and-betting-tips-for-saturday-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/41963\/","title":{"rendered":"Fantasy baseball lineup advice and betting tips for Saturday"},"content":{"rendered":"

Check out all of our starting pitcher rankings and other lineup selection tools here to help you make smart fantasy baseball<\/a> lineup decisions. MLB betting tips<\/a> for each day’s slate of games will also be added in the morning. MLB game odds are provided by ESPN BET<\/a>, and all fantasy advice is geared toward ESPN 10-team leagues with standard scoring<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Note: All information is accurate as of the time of publication. For updates, including what you might have missed from last night, as well as any breaking news that might impact today’s MLB slate, be sure to check out the latest fantasy baseball news<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Jump to: Pitching notes<\/a> | Hitting notes<\/a> | Betting tips<\/a>
Reliever depth chart<\/a> | Start a new league<\/a><\/p>\n

Pitchers to stream on Saturday<\/p>\n

Eury Perez<\/a> isn’t pitching as deep as the elite starters, but his rate stats since July 1 are among the best in the league, with a 1.29 and 0.64 WHIP leading the way. His 26.2% K\/BB% is the ninth best among pitchers throwing at least 20 innings during this span. On Saturday, the Miami Marlins<\/a> host the New York Yankees<\/a> in an interleague affair. Even without Aaron Judge<\/a>, the visitors rely on power, and LoanDepot Park is a big downgrade from Yankee Stadium.<\/p>\n

Max Scherzer<\/a> is coming off his best outing of the season, fanning 11 with no walks in seven innings against the Detroit Tigers<\/a>. He’ll be hard-pressed to match that effort at home against the Kansas City Royals<\/a>, but it’s a favorable matchup against the offense with the fourth-lowest wOBA facing right-handed pitchers.<\/p>\n

Chase Burns<\/a> gets the nod for the Cincinnati Reds<\/a> against the Atlanta Braves<\/a> in the 2025 MLB Speedway Classic in Bristol, Tennessee. The dimensions of the venue will be similar to the Great American Ballpark, but the huge grandstand area could skew depth perception, resulting in subpar batter’s eye. As a strikeout pitcher, Burns could benefit, especially facing a lineup that has a high strikeout and is missing Ronald Acuna.<\/p>\n

Pitchers to avoid on Saturday<\/p>\n

Bailey Ober<\/a> is slated to be activated from the 15-day IL in advance of the Minnesota Twins<\/a>‘ road date with the Cleveland Guardians<\/a>. When he was last on a major league mound over a month ago, he surrendered seven earned runs in consecutive efforts. Even if Ober’s hip impingement was responsible for his struggles and he’s now healthy, the team context is terrible after the club gutted its bullpen and lineup at the trade deadline. If Ober were to manage five solid frames, the Twins’ suspect bullpen puts holding a lead in jeopardy.<\/p>\n

Today’s best matchups for pitchers<\/p>\n

Chicago Cubs<\/a> pitchers vs. Orioles hitters
Offense: D | Park: B | Umpire: B | Temperature: C- | Wind: A+ | Home
The average pitcher would post a 3.56 ERA in this matchup.<\/p>\n

Los Angeles Angels<\/a> pitchers vs. White Sox hitters
Offense: B | Park: C | Umpire: B | Temperature: D+ | Wind: D | Home
The average pitcher would post a 3.85 ERA in this matchup.<\/p>\n

San Diego Padres<\/a> pitchers vs. Cardinals hitters
Offense: C | Park: B | Umpire: C | Temperature: B- | Wind: B | Home
The average pitcher would post a 3.93 ERA in this matchup.<\/p>\n

Today’s worst matchups for pitchers<\/p>\n

Colorado Rockies<\/a> pitchers vs. Pirates hitters
Offense: B | Park: F | Umpire: F | Temperature: D- | Wind: D | Home
The average pitcher would post a 5.98 ERA in this matchup.<\/p>\n

Pittsburgh Pirates<\/a> pitchers vs. Rockies hitters
Offense: A | Park: F | Umpire: F | Temperature: D- | Wind: D | Away
The average pitcher would post a 5.85 ERA in this matchup.<\/p>\n

Tampa Bay Rays<\/a> pitchers vs. Dodgers hitters
Offense: F | Park: C | Umpire: B | Temperature: D- | Wind: D | Home
The average pitcher would post a 5.13 ERA in this matchup.<\/p>\n

Hitters to stream on Saturday<\/p>\n

Walker Buehler<\/a> posted quality starts in two of his last three outings, but that is misleading, as he issued 10 walks while fanning only nine over those 17 2\/3 frames. In addition, Buehler recorded a high 42% hard-hit rate in that span. On Saturday, the Boston Red Sox<\/a> host a revamped Houston Astros<\/a> batting order. Not only is Jeremy Pena<\/a> back, but the club acquired Carlos Correa<\/a> and Jesus Sanchez<\/a>, adding punch to a below-average offense. Correa, Cam Smith<\/a>, Christian Walker<\/a> and Sanchez are the chief targets to stream.<\/p>\n

Today’s best matchups for hitters<\/p>\n

Pittsburgh Pirates<\/a> batters vs. Rockies pitchers
SP: B | Bullpen: D | Park: A+ | Umpire: A | Framing: B | Temperature: A | Wind: A | Away
The average hitter would post a .385 wOBA in this matchup.<\/p>\n

Colorado Rockies<\/a> batters vs. Pirates pitchers
SP: F | Bullpen: D | Park: A+ | Umpire: A | Framing: C | Temperature: A | Wind: A | Home
The average hitter would post a .345 wOBA in this matchup.<\/p>\n

Arizona Diamondbacks<\/a> LHB vs. Athletics pitchers
SP: B | Bullpen: C | Park: B | Umpire: C | Framing: B | Temperature: A | Wind: B | Away
The average hitter would post a .341 wOBA in this matchup.<\/p>\n

Today’s worst matchups for hitters<\/p>\n

Baltimore Orioles<\/a> LHB vs. Cubs pitchers
SP: F | Bullpen: C | Park: D | Umpire: D | Framing: D | Temperature: C | Wind: F | Away
The average hitter would post a .260 wOBA in this matchup.<\/p>\n

Texas Rangers<\/a> RHB vs. Mariners pitchers
SP: F | Bullpen: C | Park: F | Umpire: B | Framing: F | Temperature: C | Wind: B | Away
The average hitter would post a .266 wOBA in this matchup.<\/p>\n

Detroit Tigers<\/a> RHB vs. Phillies pitchers
SP: F | Bullpen: C | Park: C | Umpire: B | Framing: C | Temperature: B | Wind: D | Away
The average hitter would post a .270 wOBA in this matchup.<\/p>\n

Betting tips<\/p>\n

Best\/worst pitcher\/hitter matchups and betting projections are generated by THE BAT X, a system created by Derek Carty using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing, and lots more. Betting projections for every player, team, and game can be found at EV Analytics.<\/p>\n

Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to wager $1.00 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.<\/p>\n

Today’s top home run prop bets<\/p>\n

Vladimir Guerrero Jr<\/a>. | OVER 0.5 HR (+475) <\/a><\/p>\n

Projection: 19% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.63 EV
One reason to bet this: Rogers Centre projects as the No. 4 field in the game for righty home runs.<\/p>\n

Junior Caminero<\/a> | OVER 0.5 HR (+475) <\/a><\/p>\n

Projection: 19% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.92 EV
One reason to bet this: George M. Steinbrenner Field has the lowest average fence height in the league.<\/p>\n

Vinnie Pasquantino<\/a> | OVER 0.5 HR (+475) <\/a><\/p>\n

Projection: 19% chance of this bet hitting, with a $6.38 EV
One reason to bet this: Compared to his seasonal average of 16.4 degrees, Vinnie Pasquantino has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 20.1 degrees mark over the last 14 days.<\/p>\n

Today’s top pitcher prop bets<\/p>\n

Blake Snell<\/a> | UNDER 5.5 K (-105) <\/a><\/p>\n

Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $8.34 EV
One reason to bet this: Blake Snell struggled when it came to striking hitters out in his last game started and posted two Ks.<\/p>\n

Drew Rasmussen<\/a> | OVER 4.5 K (+105) <\/a><\/p>\n

Projection: 52% chance of this bet hitting, with a $6.70 EV
One reason to bet this: Drew Rasmussen’s 94.8-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 79th percentile out of all starting pitchers.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Check out all of our starting pitcher rankings and other lineup selection tools here to help you make…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":41964,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[435],"tags":[49,48,462,82],"class_list":["post-41963","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-mlb","tag-ca","tag-canada","tag-mlb","tag-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41963","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41963"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41963\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/41964"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41963"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41963"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41963"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}