{"id":430377,"date":"2026-01-24T14:12:08","date_gmt":"2026-01-24T14:12:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/430377\/"},"modified":"2026-01-24T14:12:08","modified_gmt":"2026-01-24T14:12:08","slug":"ufc-324-predictions-mma-fighting","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/430377\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC 324 predictions | MMA Fighting"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Going six weeks without the UFC has been a virtual impossibility over the past few years, but that\u2019s exactly what the poor, suffering fans have had to endure since the most recent visit to the APEX in early December. Heck, it\u2019s been so long that the APEX is now the Meta APEX!<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">But the boys are back in town, with two boys chasing a golden opportunity, headliners Justin Gaethje and Paddy Pimblett. This time last year, neither \u201cThe Highlight\u201d nor \u201cThe Baddy\u201d were particularly close to a title shot, but with undisputed champion Ilia Topuria taking a hiatus for personal reasons, the stars lined up just right for the two fan favorites to face off for an interim title\u2014and possibly more, if UFC CEO Dana White\u2019s follows up the proclamation that Saturday\u2019s winner gets Topuria next.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">It\u2019s not Kayla Harrison vs. Amanda Nunes, but you could do worse for a co-main event than former UFC champion Sean O\u2019Malley taking on Song Yadong in a bantamweight bout with substantial contender implications. Two-fight losing skid? A mere bump in the road for \u201cThe Suga Show,\u201d because you can bet if O\u2019Malley puts on a vintage striking performance against Song, that Petr Yan rematch awaits.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">In other main card action, heavyweights Waldo Cortes-Acosta and Derrick Lewis throw down in a fight with low-key contender implications, flyweights Natalia Silva and Rose Namajunas clash in a fight with high-key contender implications, and Arnold Allen takes on Jean Silva in a guaranteed featherweight thriller.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Where: T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">When: Saturday, Jan. 24. The three-fight early preliminary card begins at 5:30 p.m. ET, followed by a four-fight preliminary card at 7 p.m. ET. The five-fight main card begins at 9 p.m. ET with the entire event streaming live on Paramount+.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">(Numbers in parentheses indicate standing in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mmafighting.com\/rankings\/464487\/mmaf-year-end-divisional-rankings-who-were-the-biggest-movers-and-shakers-of-2025\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">MMA Fighting Global Rankings<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mmafighting.com\/rankings\/457012\/mma-pound-for-pound-rankings-valentina-shevchenko-cements-no-1-spot-is-she-now-the-goat\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Pound-for-Pound Rankings<\/a>)<\/p>\n<p>Justin Gaethje (5) vs. Paddy Pimblett (T11)<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">There are so many narratives surrounding Justin Gaethje that are clouding my judgment.<\/p>\n<p>Whether he wants to acknowledge it or not, is there a chance this is his last fight? I\u2019m always hesitant to pick guys who have even half of half a foot out the door, especially when the stakes are so high and when you\u2019re dealing with an opponent as dangerous as Paddy Pimblett. If Gaethje is even considering retirement, that could dull his edge just enough for him to have an off night.He\u2019s been kind of testy this week. Is that a good thing? A bad thing? I mean, when we\u2019re talking about Gaethje, we should all want him to be in a bit of a bad mood, right? Well, all of us except for Pimblett.IS IT STAPH OR NOT, JUSTIN???<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">I bring all of that up because on paper, Gaethje should kick Pimblett\u2019s butt. Unless you\u2019re a Khabib- or do Bronx-level grappler\u2014and maybe Pimblett is\u2014you\u2019re not dominating Gaethje on the ground. Pimblett has always had raw power, but enough to threaten Gaethje? Come on. And is there really a chance Pimblett flat-out out-strikes Gaethje for 25 minutes? Come on.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">So I\u2019m being sensible, really. As much as I\u2019ve touted Pimblett as a dark horse title contender for years\u2014and guess what? I bet he fights for a title again someday even if he loses\u2014I think his championship dreams hit a snag here. Gaethje beats him on the feet and becomes the first-ever two-time interim UFC champion. Cue the fireworks.<\/p>\n<p>Sean O\u2019Malley (5) vs. Song Yadong (8)<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Sean O\u2019Malley, the stage is set for your comeback. Don\u2019t mess it up.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The only reason O\u2019Malley isn\u2019t a bigger favorite here (hovering around -215 on <a href=\"https:\/\/sportsbook.fanduel.com\/mma\/ufc-matches\/sean-o\u2019malley-v-song-yadong-35009878\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">FanDuel<\/a>) is the two-fight losing streak he\u2019s on, but I think we all understand the context there. Getting swarmed twice by Merab Dvalishvili does not a shameful skid make. Yes, you can question whether O\u2019Malley has taken his eye off the ball since winning the championship as he seems happy being a wacky social media bro at times, but we know how good he can be and if he\u2019s serious about making one last run to the title, he\u2019ll be at his best Saturday.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Song\u2019s strengths are obvious. He hits like a truck and when he wants to he can wrestle some, which could prove highly valuable when dealing with O\u2019Malley. However, O\u2019Malley has a considerable reach advantage, is highly difficult to hit unless your name is Petr Yan, and also difficult to takedown unless your name is Merab Dvalishvili. I\u2019d also argue O\u2019Malley\u2019s accuracy gives him the better chance of landing a one-hitter quitter even if you want to give Song the edge in pure punching power.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">If Song can set the tone early and give O\u2019Malley little room to breathe, business could pick up, but the safe and smart bet is O\u2019Malley picking Song apart en route to a finish in Round 2 or 3, or a decision nod.<\/p>\n<p>Waldo Cortes-Acosta (7) vs. Derrick Lewis (13)<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The unstoppable force meets the immovable object with a 2026 twist.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">In theory, there\u2019s no slowing down Waldo Cortes-Acosta, who went from non-factor to beloved heavyweight with a rash of activity in 2025 that saw him win four out of five fights, including two wins in the month of November alone. Not only was \u201cSalsa Boy\u201d winning, he found his finishing touch, racking up three knockouts last year to achieve surprising notoriety.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">On the other side of this main card matchup you have Derrick Lewis, who, for lack of a kinder phrase, refuses to go away. A few weeks shy of his 41st birthday, Lewis had plenty of opportunities to fade into obscurity over the past few years, but with his unique alchemy of knockout power and wacky post-fight antics, he\u2019s not only stayed in the spotlight, he might damn well be one win away from a UFC White House title fight. He has also knocked off a hype train or two in his day, which feels relevant here.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Cortes-Acosta is good. Very good. For a heavyweight, anyway. But I\u2019ve been on the wrong end of the \u201cDerrick Lewis is going to roll over\u201d pick before. Not today, my friends.<\/p>\n<p>Natalia Silva (3, P4P-7) vs. Rose Namajunas (9, P4P-14)<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">It\u2019s been said that Rose Namajunas is more dangerous as the predator than prey and we\u2019ve seen flashes of that at 125. Finishes at the higher weight class have eluded her (she hasn\u2019t ended a fight inside the distance since that incredible head kick of Zhang Weili in 2021), but she hasn\u2019t been a fish out of water. She\u2019s looked well ahead of mid-tier flyweights like Amanda Ribas, Tracy Cortez, and Miranda Maverick, and was competitive in losses to Erin Blanchfield and Manon Fiorot. There\u2019s still some championship-quality \u201cThug Rose\u201d in there.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The problem is there\u2019s plenty of championship-quality in Natalia Silva. Like, right now. \u201cNatty Ice\u201d has been a popular pick of the MMA Fighting Crew to dethrone Valentina Shevchenko (or claim a vacant title if Shevchenko exits for whatever reason) and I don\u2019t see Namajunas altering that trajectory. Remember what I said about the Blanchfield and Fiorot fights? Same story, Namajunas won\u2019t be outclassed, but she will consistently be beaten to the punch. And I don\u2019t have a lot of faith in her just bull-rushing Silva and tapping her. Again, it\u2019s been a while.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Silva\u2019s speed is the big factor here. She\u2019s younger and a natural flyweight, so when you add those physical advantages to her striking expertise, that\u2019s too much for the always game Namajunas to overcome.<\/p>\n<p>Arnold Allen (7) vs. Jean Silva (8)<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">My bold prediction here: Arnold Allen and Jean Silva are about to set the bar for 2026 Fight of the Year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">These two have all the motivation in the world to put on a career-best performance, with Allen always looking to make up for lost time and Silva determined to refortify his contender case after suffering his first UFC loss and watching Diego Lopes waltz into a rematch with Alexander Volkanovski. Whatever you consider to be the best version of these fighters, you\u2019re going to see it tonight.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Give me Allen, even though I don\u2019t feel the slightest bit confident about it. The knock on Allen is that he\u2019s not a finisher (fair) and he hasn\u2019t been able to win the big one (evidence is against him so far). Look closer and you\u2019ll find a smart fighter who picks his spots when it comes to pushing the pace and has put scares into Max Holloway and Movsar Evloev, two of the featherweight division\u2019s best.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Silva is never a bad pick, of course. The emotionally charged Brazilian can KO anyone at 145 pounds, even someone like Arnold who has rarely been badly hurt in the cage. One mistake from Allen, this is over, and Silva is right back to breathing down the neck of whoever is champion after UFC 325.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Allen doesn\u2019t make many mistakes, or at least that\u2019s what I expect this time, so I have him winning a decision after a tense three rounds.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Umar Nurmagomedov (3) def. Deiveson Figueiredo (7)<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Ateba Gautier def. Andrey Pulyaev<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Modestas Bukauskas def. Nikita Krylov (14)<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Charles Johnson def. Alex Perez (12)<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Alexander Hernandez def. Michael Johnson<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Josh Hokit def. Denzel Freeman<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Ty Miller def. Adam Fugitt<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Going six weeks without the UFC has been a virtual impossibility over the past few years, but that\u2019s&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":430378,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[444],"tags":[49,48,641,701,638,82,640,702],"class_list":["post-430377","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-mma","tag-ca","tag-canada","tag-fighting","tag-latest-news","tag-mma","tag-sports","tag-ufc","tag-ufc-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/430377","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=430377"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/430377\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/430378"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=430377"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=430377"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=430377"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}