{"id":434050,"date":"2026-01-26T09:38:20","date_gmt":"2026-01-26T09:38:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/434050\/"},"modified":"2026-01-26T09:38:20","modified_gmt":"2026-01-26T09:38:20","slug":"whats-eating-canadian-consumers-the-most-try-grocery-prices","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/434050\/","title":{"rendered":"What\u2019s eating Canadian consumers the most? Try grocery prices"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a style=\"display:block\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/resizer\/v2\/O2X3JB7Y5FAVLCARPRWCRDZYLM.jpg?auth=fdc81c868069eeadc96c8e85ccaa75a97d771f4ada47858e759930557fb20d73&amp;width=600&amp;height=400&amp;quality=80&amp;focal=2726%2C997\" aria-haspopup=\"true\" data-photo-viewer-index=\"0\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Open this photo in gallery:<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"figcap-text\">Canada\u2019s Food Price Report for 2026 forecasts that grocery bills will go up by another 4 per cent to 6 per cent this year.ANDREJ IVANOV\/AFP\/Getty Images<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">To many economists, the affordability crisis is an illusion.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">The financial pressure weighing so heavily on Canadian households over the cost of living doesn\u2019t really show up in the numbers.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, incomes have grown faster than inflation. Average weekly wages have risen by 29 per cent since the end of 2019, according to Statistics Canada. The Consumer Price Index is up by 21 per cent over the same period.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">It would appear as though the average household is in better shape, financially speaking. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">This is tough to reconcile with how Canadians feel about their finances. Survey after survey shows how deeply cost pressures have taken root. Nearly half of Canadians feel like they\u2019re barely hanging on, according to a recent Abacus survey.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">But it\u2019s not all in your head. Households are being squeezed, especially when it comes to food prices.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Inflation overall may have been wrestled back under control in the broader economy, but not in the grocery store. Food prices continue to rise at about double the rate of inflation, and that\u2019s coming off the worst blow to food affordability in postwar history. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">If you want to know what has spoiled the national mood, the grocery store is a prime culprit.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">There are other pressure points, of course. Rent has risen by 32 per cent over the past six years. Home insurance by 45 per cent. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">But grocery prices serve as a constant weekly reminder of the cumulative toll of nearly five years of excessive food inflation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">\u201cGood evidence that groceries (and gas) prices drive sentiment and beliefs about inflation more generally,\u201d University of Calgary economist Trevor Tombe said in an e-mail. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Many shoppers are still psychologically anchored to prepandemic grocery prices and every trip to the market strikes the same nerve.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">They are attuned not just to rising prices, but also to other retail tactics, like \u201cshrinkflation,\u201d or when volume declines but the price stays the same, and \u201cskimpflation,\u201d when product quality declines.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">\u201cCanadians feel like they\u2019re being cheated,\u201d said Sylvain Charlebois, director of Dalhousie University\u2019s Agri-Food Analytics Lab. When he started tracking grocery prices about 20 years ago, most people didn\u2019t pay much attention to their food budgets, he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">\u201cThe journey toward understanding the true cost of their food has been very painful for Canadians.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">There is more to the problem than just feelings and perception. Mr. Tombe calculated that the amount of food that can be purchased by the average family\u2019s disposable income has fallen back to 2005 levels, after trending upward for several years.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">The grocery store was at the leading edge of the inflation crisis of 2021-23, which has morphed from a temporary spike in prices to a permanent feature of day-to-day life. It\u2019s not hard to be shocked by some of the prices shoppers encounter on grocery store shelves. Beef prices are up by 62 per cent since the end of 2019. Coffee has risen 63 per cent.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text mv-16 l-inset text-pb-8\" data-sophi-feature=\"interstitial\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/business\/commentary\/article-cost-of-living-crisis-data-perception\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Opinion: What cost-of-living crisis? The data tell a different story<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">And now, food inflation has come roaring back. In December, groceries were up by 5 per cent year over year. Some of that had to do with the GST\/HST holiday, which temporarily lowered food prices starting in December, 2024, making the gains since then appear even more pronounced. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Canada\u2019s Food Price Report for 2026 forecasts that grocery bills will go up by another 4 per cent to 6 per cent this year. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">There are lots of forces driving grocery prices ever higher. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/topics\/ukraine\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/topics\/ukraine\/\">Russia\u2019s invasion of Ukraine<\/a>, part of the world\u2019s \u201cbreadbasket,\u201d had a big impact on wheat products, like bread and pasta. And then the global supply chain buckled under the weight of pandemic lockdowns. Canadians\u2019 food-purchasing power had its biggest one-year loss in the postwar era in 2022, Mr. Tombe calculated. The second-biggest decline was in 2023.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Climate forces Canada to be a heavy importer of food \u2013 about $70-billion annually \u2013 making it highly vulnerable to supply disruptions elsewhere in the world. Coffee prices rose to record highs last year due to a mix of extreme weather, tariffs, and a weaker loonie, which makes imports more expensive.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Homegrown problems are part of the picture, as well. Beef prices have also risen to record highs, partly because extreme drought in parts of Western Canada have shrunk the total herd size to its lowest level since the 1980s.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Meanwhile, Canada has not made the manufacturing and supply-chain investments needed to improve the country\u2019s food security, Mr. Charlebois said. Food manufacturing is under threat in Canada, he added. In August, Statistics Canada reported that the volume of food sold by Canadian manufacturers declined by 2.7 per cent.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">These are not comforting trends for the Canadian shopper, who is already beleaguered by food expenses. The average family of four can expect to shell out about $1,000 more on groceries in 2026 than last year, according to the food price report. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">If food prices are at the root of our discontent, the bad vibes aren\u2019t likely to go away any time soon.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Open this photo in gallery: Canada\u2019s Food Price Report for 2026 forecasts that grocery bills will go up&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":434051,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[901,888,902,879,877,903,45,49,48,876,895,896,891,878,875,46,549,295,894,887,914,880,881,893,889,890,884,904,885,909,910,912,907,911,905,908,882,898,899,714,897,906,865,61,900,892,886,883,913],"class_list":{"0":"post-434050","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-business","8":"tag-alberta","9":"tag-arts-news","10":"tag-bc","11":"tag-breaking-news","12":"tag-breaking-news-video","13":"tag-british-columbia","14":"tag-business","15":"tag-ca","16":"tag-canada","17":"tag-canada-news","18":"tag-canada-sports","19":"tag-canada-sports-news","20":"tag-canada-trafficcanada-weather","21":"tag-canadian-breaking-news","22":"tag-canadian-news","23":"tag-economy","24":"tag-education","25":"tag-environment","26":"tag-federal-government","27":"tag-foreign-news","28":"tag-globe-and-mail","29":"tag-globe-and-mail-breaking-news","30":"tag-globe-and-mail-canada-news","31":"tag-government","32":"tag-life-news","33":"tag-lifestyle","34":"tag-local-news","35":"tag-manitoba","36":"tag-national-news","37":"tag-new-brunswick","38":"tag-newfoundland-and-labrador","39":"tag-northwest-territories","40":"tag-nova-scotia","41":"tag-nunavut","42":"tag-ontario","43":"tag-pei","44":"tag-photos","45":"tag-political-news","46":"tag-political-opinion","47":"tag-politics","48":"tag-politics-news","49":"tag-quebec","50":"tag-sports-news","51":"tag-technology","52":"tag-travel","53":"tag-trudeau","54":"tag-us-news","55":"tag-world-news","56":"tag-yukon"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/434050","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=434050"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/434050\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/434051"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=434050"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=434050"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=434050"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}