{"id":436562,"date":"2026-01-27T13:58:12","date_gmt":"2026-01-27T13:58:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/436562\/"},"modified":"2026-01-27T13:58:12","modified_gmt":"2026-01-27T13:58:12","slug":"uk-sofa-retailer-emerges-as-unlikely-winner-from-trumps-trade-war","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/436562\/","title":{"rendered":"UK sofa retailer emerges as unlikely winner from Trump\u2019s trade war"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Unlock the Editor\u2019s Digest for free<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__content-sign-up-topic-description o3-type-body-base\">Roula Khalaf, Editor of the FT, selects her favourite stories in this weekly newsletter.<\/p>\n<p>Tit-for-tat tariff battles are generally a net negative for the global economy. But even bad ideas can produce pockets of good. Some UK retailers provide a clue as to how this trend can play out. <\/p>\n<p>Last week, sofa specialist DFS Furniture <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dfscorporate.co.uk\/media\/n3ki0vya\/december-2025-trading-update.pdf\" title=\"\" data-trackable=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">said its full-year profit was going to be higher than analysts had been forecasting.<\/a> Analysts at Panmure Liberum think its gross margin \u2014 what it makes in revenue minus the cost of what it sells \u2014 will rise by 1 percentage point in the full year.<\/p>\n<p>There are lots of reasons why gross margins can go up, including steeper prices and customers choosing more profitable goods and services. But DFS may also be benefiting from US-China trade tensions and the rerouting of goods into Europe. While Chinese <a href=\"http:\/\/english.customs.gov.cn\/Statics\/3a0a3d5b-7a93-4be7-876a-e0f3b79b4e8c.html\" title=\"\" data-trackable=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">shipments<\/a> to the US fell by a fifth in 2025, exports to Europe rose by 8.4 per cent, according to China\u2019s General Administration of Customs. <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/https:\/\/d6c748xw2pzm8.cloudfront.net\/prod\/73c184a0-facc-11f0-b66d-e95f486516cd-standard.png\" alt=\"Bar chart of Year-on-year change of exports by country (%) showing Changing course \" data-image-type=\"graphic\" width=\"3500\" height=\"2500\" loading=\"lazy\"\/><\/p>\n<p>That surge hurts industries that already faced cut-throat Chinese competition. Jim Ratcliffe, chairman of chemicals maker Ineos, has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ineos.com\/news\/ineos-group\/sir-jim-ratcliffe-calls-for-immediate-action-from-europes-politicians-to-save-the-chemical-industry\/\" title=\"\" data-trackable=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">partly attributed an increase in low-priced Chinese imports into Europe<\/a> to the fact that \u201cPresident Trump\u2019s actions have pushed them out of the US\u201d. <\/p>\n<p>But the glut may improve matters for European companies that source goods from China. Analysts at Berenberg say a third of what DFS sells, measured by cost, comes from China, adding that the company has received better terms from Chinese suppliers. It also helps that freight rates from Shanghai to Felixstowe have fallen by two-fifths in the past year, according to Freightos data.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/https:\/\/d6c748xw2pzm8.cloudfront.net\/prod\/9b48fb60-fac8-11f0-a882-23deb1bb0250-standard.png\" alt=\"Line chart of Ocean container rate for Shanghai-Felixstowe route ($) showing Tailwinds \" data-image-type=\"graphic\" width=\"3500\" height=\"2500\" loading=\"lazy\"\/><\/p>\n<p>DIY retailer Kingfisher may be another beneficiary of this trend. Up to a quarter of its goods, by cost, come from east Asia, of which the majority is China. Analysts estimate that Kingfisher\u2019s gross margin will improve by 0.6 percentage points in the fiscal year ending January 2026, according to S&amp;P Capital IQ. At furniture retailer Dunelm, which imports about a third of its products from east Asia, gross margin is expected to rise by 0.4 percentage points in 2026.<\/p>\n<p>How much of the benefit of lower sourcing costs retailers can keep partly depends on what they sell. For small, commoditised things \u2014 think screwdrivers \u2014 any cost advantage may well be competed away by Amazon or Temu. Big-ticket purchases such as sofas, which are harder to deliver and often require a \u201csit test\u201d in stores, may be relatively shielded. <\/p>\n<p>To the extent that savings are passed on to consumers, that will help contain inflation, bolstering the case for interest rate cuts. Professor Alan Taylor, external member of the Bank of England\u2019s Monetary Policy Committee, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bankofengland.co.uk\/-\/media\/boe\/files\/speech\/2026\/speech-by-alan-taylor-at-national-university-of-singapore.pdf\" title=\"\" data-trackable=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">recently suggested<\/a> that the inflation-lowering effects of trade diversion might be larger than baseline forecasts, allowing the UK to meet its targets by the middle of this year.<\/p>\n<p>None of this tips the balance in favour of trade wars. But amid the chaos, sofa sellers are an example of how unintended winners can come out sitting pretty.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/mailto:gaia.freydefont@ft.com\" title=\"\" data-trackable=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">gaia.freydefont@ft.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Unlock the Editor\u2019s Digest for free Roula Khalaf, Editor of the FT, selects her favourite stories in this&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":436563,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[45,49,48,46],"class_list":{"0":"post-436562","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-business","9":"tag-ca","10":"tag-canada","11":"tag-economy"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/436562","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=436562"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/436562\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/436563"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=436562"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=436562"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=436562"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}