{"id":441775,"date":"2026-01-29T23:00:10","date_gmt":"2026-01-29T23:00:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/441775\/"},"modified":"2026-01-29T23:00:10","modified_gmt":"2026-01-29T23:00:10","slug":"why-celesticas-shares-are-down-despite-surging-demand-for-its-ai-equipment","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/441775\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Celestica\u2019s shares are down despite surging demand for its AI equipment"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">To understand the uncertainty around artificial intelligence spending, look no further than Celestica Inc. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/markets\/stocks\/CLS-N\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">CLS-N<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">The Toronto-headquartered company had a great year by all accounts, thanks to strong demand for data-centre equipment it manufactures. Celestica blew past analyst expectations when it announced fourth-quarter earnings after market close on Wednesday, boosted its financial outlook and announced plans to increase capital expenditures to keep up with customer demand.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Nevertheless, Celestica\u2019s stock fell some 15 per cent on the Toronto Stock Exchange by midday Thursday. The selloff may reflect a change in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/business\/article-what-you-need-to-know-ai-artificial-intelligence-bubble-will-pop\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/business\/article-what-you-need-to-know-ai-artificial-intelligence-bubble-will-pop\/\">how markets are thinking about AI spending<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Celestica <a href=\"https:\/\/corporate.celestica.com\/news-releases\/news-release-details\/celestica-announces-fourth-quarter-and-fy-2025-financial-results\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">earned US$3.7-billion in revenue<\/a> during the quarter, a 44 per cent increase over the same period last year, beating the analyst consensus of US$3.5-billion. Full-year revenue totalled US$12.4-billion, a 28 per cent jump compared to 2024. Adjusted earnings per share for the year grew roughly 55 per cent to US$6.05.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Celestica builds networking switches and other equipment for data centres, and has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/business\/article-celestica-stock-artificial-intelligence-boom\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/business\/article-celestica-stock-artificial-intelligence-boom\/\">seen its business take off<\/a> since OpenAI released ChatGPT in November, 2022. Its share price has skyrocketed some 2,500 per cent since then, as growing AI development and adoption kicked off a wave of data-centre construction, creating demand for Celestica\u2019s products.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">But investors are increasingly worried about whether record spending on AI infrastructure \u2013 about <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gartner.com\/en\/newsroom\/press-releases\/2026-1-15-gartner-says-worldwide-ai-spending-will-total-2-point-5-trillion-dollars-in-2026\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">US$1.4-trillion worldwide this year<\/a>, according to Gartner Inc. \u2013 is sustainable, or whether it amounts to a giant financial bubble.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">What may be causing investors concern is Celestica\u2019s plan to more than double its spending to US$1-billion (or 6 per cent of 2026 revenue) to expand operations in response to intense customer demand. Previously, Celestica aimed to allot up to US$400-million. More spending can bring more risk, especially when the financial returns from AI are not entirely clear. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Celestica is confident in its outlook. \u201cWe have no hesitation in increasing our cap ex,\u201d chief financial officer Mandeep Chawla said on an earnings call Thursday, a view supported by chief executive Rob Mionis.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">\u201cWe are experiencing an unprecedented level of demand supported by the sustained, large-scale, multiyear investments from our largest data-centre customers,\u201d Mr. Mionis said on the call. Celestica raised its outlook for 2026, too, projecting US$17-billion in revenue. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text mv-16 l-inset text-pb-8\" data-sophi-feature=\"interstitial\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/business\/article-celestica-tech-ai-stock-earnings\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Earlier: Celestica becomes Canada\u2019s third most valuable tech company as stock surges<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">The company works directly with hyperscalers, the term for the largest tech companies, and Google <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/markets\/stocks\/GOOGL-Q\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/markets\/stocks\/GOOGL-Q\/\">GOOGL-Q<\/a> and Meta Platforms Inc. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/markets\/stocks\/META-Q\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">META-Q<\/a> are among its customers. Celestica is the preferred manufacturing partner for Google\u2019s proprietary chip system, and Mr. Mionis said Thursday there is no indication that competitors are muscling in on that relationship.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">The company\u2019s rise reflects the shifting fortunes in the AI boom, where hardware is crucial. Celestica\u2019s market cap has been edging closer to that of Constellation Software Inc., Canada\u2019s second-largest tech company. Constellation, which acquires tech companies that build software for niche industries, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/business\/article-constellation-software-conference-call-investors-ai\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">has seen its share price fall 45 per cent<\/a> in the past year over fears that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/business\/article-vibe-coding-ai-tools-software-app-development\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sophisticated AI coding tools<\/a> will make customers less reliant on the company\u2019s products, and allow competitors to win business.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Celestica\u2019s switches are not easily reproduced commodities, however, and the company spends millions on research and development each year. \u201cCustomers now are viewing us less as a supply-chain partner and more as a technology leader,\u201d Mr. Mionis said Thursday.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">So why is Celestica\u2019s stock falling?<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">\u201cSome might perhaps interpret the higher capex guidance as a negative,\u201d said Thanos Moschopoulos, an analyst with BMO Capital Markets, a view echoed by RBC Capital Markets analyst Paul Treiber in a note Wednesday.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Since the fall, investors have become more concerned with the sustainability of spending on data centres. Companies such as Oracle and Meta are taking on debt to fund these facilities, while Nvidia\u2019s influential role in financing the AI ecosystem is under scrutiny. Meanwhile, it\u2019s not entirely clear when these investments will pay off.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">As a result, markets have become more skittish when companies announce plans to spend even more money on data centres. In October, Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg talked about \u201caggressively\u201d building out AI infrastructure. Investors sent the stock price down 11 per cent that day.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Investors may have already gotten over their concerns about Meta, to be fair. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/01\/28\/metas-zuckerberg-gets-green-light-from-wall-street-to-invest-in-ai.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">The company said Wednesday its AI-related spending<\/a> this year will be between US$115-billion and US$135-billion, nearly twice what it spent in 2025. Meta\u2019s stock price is up 9 per cent today, though it is buoyed by strong revenue growth in online advertising.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Celestica is different. So much of its recent growth is tied to AI and it doesn\u2019t have a gargantuan business like digital ads to fall back on should AI enthusiasm wane.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Mr. Moschopoulos, for one, is not worried about Celestica\u2019s spending plans. \u201cCelestica emphasized that it\u2019s supported by bookings and strong demand visibility into 2027 and beyond,\u201d he said. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">AI expenditures will slow down at some point, he continued. \u201cFor the time being, there are no signs of that.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"To understand the uncertainty around artificial intelligence spending, look no further than Celestica Inc. CLS-N The Toronto-headquartered company&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":441776,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[62,901,276,277,888,902,879,877,903,49,48,876,895,896,891,878,875,46,549,295,894,887,914,880,881,893,889,890,884,904,885,909,910,912,907,911,905,908,882,898,899,714,897,906,865,61,900,892,886,883,913],"class_list":["post-441775","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-artificial-intelligence","tag-ai","tag-alberta","tag-artificial-intelligence","tag-artificialintelligence","tag-arts-news","tag-bc","tag-breaking-news","tag-breaking-news-video","tag-british-columbia","tag-ca","tag-canada","tag-canada-news","tag-canada-sports","tag-canada-sports-news","tag-canada-trafficcanada-weather","tag-canadian-breaking-news","tag-canadian-news","tag-economy","tag-education","tag-environment","tag-federal-government","tag-foreign-news","tag-globe-and-mail","tag-globe-and-mail-breaking-news","tag-globe-and-mail-canada-news","tag-government","tag-life-news","tag-lifestyle","tag-local-news","tag-manitoba","tag-national-news","tag-new-brunswick","tag-newfoundland-and-labrador","tag-northwest-territories","tag-nova-scotia","tag-nunavut","tag-ontario","tag-pei","tag-photos","tag-political-news","tag-political-opinion","tag-politics","tag-politics-news","tag-quebec","tag-sports-news","tag-technology","tag-travel","tag-trudeau","tag-us-news","tag-world-news","tag-yukon"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/441775","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=441775"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/441775\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/441776"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=441775"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=441775"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=441775"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}