{"id":441851,"date":"2026-01-29T23:50:10","date_gmt":"2026-01-29T23:50:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/441851\/"},"modified":"2026-01-29T23:50:10","modified_gmt":"2026-01-29T23:50:10","slug":"can-xbox-outlast-the-ai-bubble","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/441851\/","title":{"rendered":"Can Xbox Outlast the AI Bubble?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The great green \u201cX\u201d that brought us joy over 27 years of gaming history is once again suffering from poor hardware sales and declining revenue from its cloud-based subscriptions. This is only <a href=\"https:\/\/gizmodo.com\/xbox-is-bleeding-out-black-friday-2025-sales-2000696718\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">another note<\/a> in Xbox\u2019s depressing financial diary, though this may be one of the most significant periods of loss yet.<\/p>\n<p>Microsoft\u2019s personal computing business, which accounts for Windows OS, its Surface PCs, and Xbox, was down 3% compared to the same time last year. Microsoft said Xbox was what brought down the total. At the same time, the Windows OEM (original equipment manufacturer) business\u2014namely, those businesses that partner with Microsoft to sell Windows PCs\u2014saw revenue stay effectively flat at just 1% gains (mostly because of declines in Surface revenue) compared to the same holiday period last year. PC shipments were up year over year <a href=\"https:\/\/gizmodo.com\/what-happens-when-pc-memory-prices-are-too-much-to-handle-2000710305\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">according to recent data<\/a>, but Microsoft\u2019s hardware brands took such a licking last year that it offset any gains.<\/p>\n<p>Xbox hardware revenues have <a href=\"https:\/\/gizmodo.com\/numbers-show-xbox-current-plan-not-working-2000679428\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">not had a consistently positive number<\/a> since 2023. In this past quarter ending Dec. 31, 2025, Xbox hardware declined 32%. Last year, Xbox blamed tariffs while it <a href=\"https:\/\/gizmodo.com\/microsoft-is-torpedoing-xbox-with-yet-another-price-hike-2000661572\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">hiked the price of all its gaming hardware<\/a>. An <a href=\"https:\/\/gizmodo.com\/5-years-after-launch-the-xbox-series-x-is-an-afterthought-so-whats-next-2000683762\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Xbox Series X console<\/a> now costs $600 if you get a digital edition with 1TB of storage. It\u2019s no wonder the console did not sell well over the holidays.<\/p>\n<p class=\"text-center not-prose\"><a class=\"comp-button\" href=\"https:\/\/shop.gizmodo.com\/go\/4236\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\">See Xbox Series X and S at Amazon<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Microsoft made all its money from cloud services<br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2000715536\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Satya-Nadella-Microsoft-Davos-1.jpg\" alt=\"Satya Nadella Microsoft Davos 1\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\"  \/>Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella said Xbox had \u2018record PC players and paid streaming hours\u2019 on Xbox, all while services and content revenue were down. \u00a9 Harun Ozalp\/Anadolu via Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>These dour financial forecasts for Xbox don\u2019t mean Microsoft is having a bad time. On the contrary, it\u2019s making bank off its services\u2014specifically anything that\u2019s based around AI. In its second quarterly earnings report for its 2026 fiscal year, Microsoft\u2019s total revenue was up 17% while its net income had shot up by another 23%. Its total of $81.3 billion in revenue isn\u2019t indicative of a healthy state of its consumer-end hardware.<\/p>\n<p>In a <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/satyanadella\/status\/2016671258939937076?s=20\" rel=\"nofollow\">thread on X<\/a>, CEO Satya Nadella proclaimed his company\u2019s cloud revenue had finally hit $51.5 billion, up 26% from last year. And you can guess where the real money was. Microsoft\u2019s intelligent cloud services made up the lion\u2019s share of the profit, with its Azure and other cloud service products revenue up 39%.<\/p>\n<p>Xbox content and services revenue was also down another 5%. That shouldn\u2019t be a shock, as last October Microsoft <a href=\"https:\/\/gizmodo.com\/is-xbox-game-pass-still-the-best-deal-in-gaming-after-the-new-price-hike-2000666373\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">increased the price of its Game Pass Ultimate<\/a> from $20 to $30 a month. In his earnings call on Wednesday, Nadella revered the \u201crecord PC players and paid streaming hours on Xbox.\u201d That\u2019s consistent with what Xbox boss Phil Spencer recently touted in a post on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/posts\/phil-spencer-112962_big-things-are-happening-with-xbox-cloud-activity-7399531484715614208-Wgl0\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">LinkedIn<\/a>, with Game Pass cloud hours up 45% year-over-year.<\/p>\n<p>You could blame select video games for Xbox\u2019s decline. Call of Duty: Black Ops 7 didn\u2019t sell nearly as well as Black Ops 6. Late last year, <a href=\"http:\/\/gamesindustry.biz\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">GamesIndustry.biz <\/a>quoted data from Alinea Analytics, which said the latest\u00a0Call of Duty sold just 401,000 copies on Steam close to a month after launch compared to the nearly 2.3 million of last year\u2019s rendition. Xbox had many other games released last year. Some of them were pretty good, such as The Outer Worlds 2 and Ninja Gaiden 4. There were even more remakes of Xbox 360-era classics like <a href=\"https:\/\/gizmodo.com\/gears-of-war-on-ps5-is-better-than-it-ever-was-on-xbox-2000647870\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Gears of War: Reloaded<\/a>. Even selling cross-platform, they didn\u2019t make enough money to overcome Xbox\u2019s waning hardware sales or drive more players to get a costlier Game Pass subscription.<\/p>\n<p>Microsoft has to survive the AI bubble for Xbox to live<br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2000497471\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Xbox-Series-X-Game-Pass-1.jpeg\" alt=\"Xbox Series X Game Pass 1\" width=\"1500\" height=\"1000\"  \/>\u00a9 Kyle Barr \/ Gizmodo<\/p>\n<p>This month, Xbox touted several new games from its portfolio we should get excited for. Two games\u2014the open-world racing game Forza Horizon 6 and the return of the action fantasy RPG Fable\u2014seem promising. Both of these games will also be available on PlayStation 5. The Halo remake, <a href=\"https:\/\/gizmodo.com\/halo-campaign-evolved-finally-brings-the-franchise-to-playstation-5-2000676951\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Halo: Campaign Evolved<\/a>, and Gears of War: E-Day should also be out on Xbox services and PlayStation 5 in 2026. Plus, we\u2019ll have indie games like Double Fine\u2019s pottery brawler Kiln and likely a few surprises before <a href=\"https:\/\/gizmodo.com\/gta-vi-delay-good-thing-if-it-means-release-on-handhelds-2000683095\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Grand Theft Auto VI<\/a> steals the thunder.<\/p>\n<p>There\u2019s enough here for gamers to sink their teeth into, but is any of it enough to enforce more Game Pass subscriptions? They certainly won\u2019t be buying a new Xbox console for the sake of these titles, especially when the Series X without a disc drive and 1TB of storage costs $600.<\/p>\n<p>Microsoft has never made most of its money on hardware. It\u2019s long been a software company first and foremost. Nadella was happy to announce Windows 11 had reached 1 billion users, a near 45% jump year over year. A big part of that metric is thanks to the company sunsetting Windows 10 and forcing users to make the switch.<\/p>\n<p>Xbox is dragging down Microsoft\u2019s numbers, and that should pose a red flag for anybody who remains a fan of the brand. Nadella\u2019s recent statements have shown he wants Microsoft to become the world\u2019s true AI behemoth, and the company is <a href=\"https:\/\/gizmodo.com\/microsofts-ai-spend-is-starting-to-spook-investors-2000715208\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">spending boatloads<\/a> to the tune of $37.5 billion to achieve it. Either Microsoft will continue to make record-high revenues on its software stack (while ignoring expenses), or the company will take a massive hit once the world realizes the AI buildout <a href=\"https:\/\/gizmodo.com\/the-most-worrying-bits-from-bloombergs-worrisome-ai-bubble-qa-with-jason-furman-2000702356\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">won\u2019t happen anytime soon<\/a>. In any case, Xbox is the outlier that is dampening Microsoft\u2019s positive outlook. We can only expect more firings, more studio closures, and a harder sell for any <a href=\"https:\/\/gizmodo.com\/not-only-is-the-next-gen-xbox-not-dead-it-could-be-the-consoles-redemption-2000670272\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">future Xbox hardware<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"text-center not-prose\"><a class=\"comp-button\" href=\"https:\/\/shop.gizmodo.com\/go\/4236\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\">See Xbox Series X and S at Amazon<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The great green \u201cX\u201d that brought us joy over 27 years of gaming history is once again suffering&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":441852,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[62,276,277,49,48,874,63,61,6734],"class_list":{"0":"post-441851","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-artificial-intelligence","8":"tag-ai","9":"tag-artificial-intelligence","10":"tag-artificialintelligence","11":"tag-ca","12":"tag-canada","13":"tag-gaming","14":"tag-microsoft","15":"tag-technology","16":"tag-xbox"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/441851","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=441851"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/441851\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/441852"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=441851"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=441851"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=441851"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}