{"id":458054,"date":"2026-02-06T18:01:07","date_gmt":"2026-02-06T18:01:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/458054\/"},"modified":"2026-02-06T18:01:07","modified_gmt":"2026-02-06T18:01:07","slug":"pipikaula-corner-economic-diagnosis-deja-vu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/458054\/","title":{"rendered":"Pipikaula Corner: Economic diagnosis d\u00e9j\u00e0 vu"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">Earlier this week, we <a href=\"https:\/\/alohastatedaily.com\/2026\/02\/02\/uhero-report-hawaiis-economy-one-of-nations-weakest\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">covered<\/a> the publication of \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/uhero.hawaii.edu\/beyond-the-price-of-paradise-is-hawaii-being-left-behind\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">Beyond the Price of Paradise<\/a>,&#8221; by UH\u2019s Economic Research Organization. That paper described how Hawai\u2018i doesn&#8217;t only have a high cost of living, it has an intrinsically weak, slow-growth local economy of stagnant wages.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">&#8220;\u02bbA byzantine labyrinth of laws, bureaucratic red tape\u02bb [are] choking Hawai\u2018i&#8217;s business climate. &#8220;Government intervention in the marketplace could be tolerated when the economy was booming &#8230; but the economy has [since] been stagnant and the business climate and economic development have emerged as major political issues.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">Wait, hold on. That quote is not from UHERO&#8217;s February 2026 report. <\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">It&#8217;s from me, in a September 1998 cover story for Honolulu Magazine called &#8220;We Were Warned,&#8221; and most of it is, in turn, from a September 1985 Wall Street Journal article. <\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">Kama\u2018\u0101ina of certain age will recall that while the Mainland boomed through the hot dot-com \u201990s, Hawai\u2018i stagnated, badly, seemingly endlessly. &#8220;We Were Warned&#8221; was a detailed history of all the times local observers and Mainland business journalists noticed the flaws in Hawai\u2018i&#8217;s economy, going back as far as 1973. Again and again, observers went into great detail about how Hawai\u2018i was buoyed up by external money while being dragged down by internal weaknesses \u2014 small, isolated, no manufacturing, no exports post-sugar and post-pineapple, expensive transportation costs, all overseen by an overbearing government class that treated profit as an evil.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">It is a strange feeling to read our article this week about UHERO&#8217;s report, then get up, walk past \u2018Iolani Palace, march into the main State Library and pluck my nearly 28-year-old story off the shelf.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">The pages were all yellowed. Because that issue is old.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">Even more distressing is reading that, &#8220;generally, the lost decade of the 1990s never really ended but rather it has persisted for 35 years.&#8221; That quote does indeed come UHERO&#8217;s lead authors, Steven Bond-Smith and Erich Schwartz. <\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">Yes! We know!<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">Their report directs our attention from the high cost of living to the low wages, seeing the latter problem as more significant, particularly when they looked at the motivations of people who have moved away over the past two-plus decades years. <\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">&#8220;Crucially, the combination of high prices and low incomes predicts as much outmigration as in some of the nation\u2019s most struggling cities, where low costs of living typically cushion economic disadvantages,&#8221; they write. &#8220;In short, Hawai\u02bbi\u2019s residents face a unique mix of high prices and low incomes that, together, match the economic pressures found in struggling regions more than in prosperous, high-cost cities.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">I applaud their efforts to qualify this mathematically. But my Gen X friends and I have literally been joking for decades, &#8220;We have the highest cost of living in the nation &#8230; and we make up for it with the lowest wages!&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">The UHERO authors have a prescription for their diagnosis.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">&#8220;Revitalizing growth will require deliberate, well-designed policies that identify and remove barriers to diversification and innovation, supported by strong governance that emphasizes continuous monitoring, accountability, and adaptation,&#8221; they write.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">Sounds great!<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">But what I learned writing that 1998 article, and have seen repeated since, is a consistent pattern:<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">Someone publishes a report critical of the structures that impede the local economy. If the report comes from a Mainland writer, local leaders react with rage and denunciation. Eventually, the political class notices that we, the people, actually agree with the report and are quite angry. Then politicians announce, with some fanfare, a Task Force to identify the barriers to economic growth and diversification.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">Gov. George Ariyoshi had a Task Force. Gov. Ben Cayetano had a Task Force. <\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">More recently, Gov. David Ige created a Task Force during his Covid-19 panic. Remember when he <a href=\"https:\/\/www.civilbeat.org\/2020\/04\/hawaiis-new-economic-navigator-has-a-murky-journey-ahead\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">appointed<\/a> Alan Oshima,  retired CEO of Hawaiian Electric, to be the Hawai\u2018i Economic and Community Recovery and Resiliency Navigator?<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">That effort went nowhere. <\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">Just like the findings of all the previous Task Forces. There&#8217;s a press conference for the big debut of the Task Force, then crickets when its final report is filed away. These reports are probably on a shelf somewhere just yards away from my old article.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">I think the reason for that failure to act is that the last thing our government class wants to do is exactly what these reports have said over and over.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">It needs to get out of our way. Deregulate. Cut taxes.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">We are all partly to blame for this. We, collectively, continue to beseech governor after governor, legislature after legislature \u2014 please, diversify our economy. Please, do something about the economy!<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">But the economy doesn&#8217;t come from the government. The economy is just you and me, exchanging goods and services for money.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">That&#8217;s it. We make the economy. Government comes after, ideally to facilitate our interactions. It&#8217;s handy, for example, when we have it build roads or standardize weights and measures. Less so when it behaves, decade after decade, as if its purpose were still to constrain the Big Five sugar companies.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">So simple, and yet so complex that you need a Ph.D. to be a UHERO author.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">Here&#8217;s the reality going on in the Big Square Building: The Legislature gave some mighty fine speeches on opening day about affordability, about economic diversification, about housing opportunities, about stemming the tide of kama\u2018\u0101ina fleeing for better pay and lower costs on the Mainland, all that.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">That&#8217;s what they said. What have they done so far? I see a parade of bills that mainly <a href=\"https:\/\/www.billtrack50.com\/billdetail\/1943145#:~:text=This%20bill%20prohibits%20the%20operation,%2C%20starting%20October%201%2C%202026.\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">add regulations<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/alohastatedaily.com\/2026\/02\/03\/pipikaula-corner-shopping-carts-ii-this-time-its-buy-back\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">punish<\/a> businesses, <a href=\"https:\/\/alohastatedaily.com\/2026\/02\/04\/liquor-tax-hike-advances-despite-brewers-concerns\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">micromanage <\/a>our behavior, and <a href=\"https:\/\/legiscan.com\/HI\/bill\/SB2587\/2026\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">raise taxes<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">There&#8217;s lot of tax-raising getting discussed over there. The fear is palpable in the Legislature, an extension of Gov. Josh Green&#8217;s sudden hesitancy to let us keep the tax breaks he once bragged about. That fear is, &#8220;The economy is lousy and the feds are cutting back: Where are we going to get the money for our jobs and pensions?&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">Every buck they extract from a local business is a dollar that employer doesn&#8217;t have for salaries. Every buck they extract from you eats into your buying power. <\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">And it&#8217;s totally going to happen if you don&#8217;t speak up. These people really, seriously want their state revenue. <\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">You and your needs will not come first in the Legislature if you don&#8217;t demand it. Follow the bills. Testify. Call your representatives, email them. Show up for hearings. Ask them, &#8220;How does bill grow the economy, build houses or lower costs? If it doesn&#8217;t do any of those things, why are you wasting time on it?&#8221; <\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">Even better: It&#8217;s an election year \u2014 run for office! Encourage good, smart people to run for office. Campaign for better representatives. I&#8217;m seeing this Legislature advance bad bills over business-group opposition simply because individual legislators are filled with paternalism and too few of their peers are opposing them. Ultimately, running for office is the most meaningful thing you could do, as the legislators are remarkably resistant to public opinion.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">If you don&#8217;t like where we&#8217;re going, change the navigators.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">A. Kam Napier is editor in chief of Aloha State Daily. His opinions in Pipikaula Corner are his own and not reflective of the ASD team.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">For the latest news of Hawai\u2018i,\u00a0sign up <a href=\"https:\/\/trk.send.alohastatedaily.com\/l\/01JY745RPVX9EQW3DRBDQ10H4S_29\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">here<\/a> for our free Daily Edition newsletter.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1qhc8fu1 _1qhc8fu0\">A. Kam Napier can be reached at <a href=\"https:\/\/alohastatedaily.com\/2026\/02\/06\/pipikaula-corner-economic-diagnosis-deja-vu\/mailto:kam@alohastatedaily.com\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">kam@alohastatedaily.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Earlier this week, we covered the publication of \u201cBeyond the Price of Paradise,&#8221; by UH\u2019s Economic Research Organization.&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":458055,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[45,49,48,46,266,884],"class_list":{"0":"post-458054","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-business","9":"tag-ca","10":"tag-canada","11":"tag-economy","12":"tag-hawaii","13":"tag-local-news"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/458054","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=458054"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/458054\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/458055"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=458054"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=458054"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=458054"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}