{"id":532987,"date":"2026-03-13T04:59:07","date_gmt":"2026-03-13T04:59:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/532987\/"},"modified":"2026-03-13T04:59:07","modified_gmt":"2026-03-13T04:59:07","slug":"tennis-best-bets-today-indian-wells-picks-for-sabalenka-vs-noskova-rybakina-vs-svitolina","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/532987\/","title":{"rendered":"Tennis Best Bets Today: Indian Wells picks for Sabalenka vs. Noskova & Rybakina vs. Svitolina"},"content":{"rendered":"

The 2026 BNP Paribas Open is in full swing at the Indian Wells Tennis Garden, and Friday, March 13 brings another loaded slate of ATP and WTA action from Tennis Paradise. We\u2019ve broken down the day\u2019s best tennis betting picks for Indian Wells, digging into matchup tactics, court conditions, and current form to find the sharpest edges on the board. Whether you\u2019re betting the moneyline, game spread, set spread, or total, our 2026 BNP Paribas Open best bets are built to help you profit all the way through the men\u2019s final on Sunday, March 15. I\u2019m dropping some of my favorite plays below, but make sure you also monitor the picks page<\/a> throughout the day. I generally have a few more picks over there, plus I occasionally add plays based on how lines are moving. That\u2019s also where Gill Alexander posts his best bets.<\/p>\n

RELATED: Check out our Pro Picks page for picks from all of our talented VSiN hosts, analysts and guests! <\/a><\/p>\n

BNP Paribas Open best bets for Friday, March 13 <\/p>\n

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Linda Noskova<\/p>\n

In looking at our VSiN betting splits page<\/a>, DraftKings opened with Sabalenka -391 and Noskova +307. However, money seemingly poured in on the Belarusian, pushing her out to a -720 favorite. Well, that\u2019s outrageous to me. I understand having confidence in Sabalenka here, but the opening numbers were far closer to where I have these two. That said, I think there\u2019s crazy value in backing Noskova. <\/p>\n

I\u2019ll fully acknowledge that there\u2019s a real chance Sabalenka runs away with this, as she\u2019s a big-match player and Noskova hasn\u2019t been on this type of stage very often. However, these prices just don\u2019t sit right with me, triggering some pretty aggressive plays. <\/p>\n

I just don\u2019t think you can name many players that serve as well as Noskova does. In fact, her 2026 hold percentage of 80.9% is good for the fifth-highest mark on the WTA Tour. On top of that, Noskova\u2019s 32.5% break percentage matches a career-high mark she set in 2023. She\u2019s just playing some really good tennis this season, and her game is perfect for slower hard courts. Her serve is good enough \u2014\u00a0and accurate enough \u2014\u00a0for her to rack up holds through the slower conditions, and the extra time on the ball allows her a little more time to set her feet and rip shots from the baseline. It also makes her more dangerous as a returner. <\/p>\n

As long as the moment doesn\u2019t get too big for Noskova, I see this match being very similar to the one Sabalenka just played against Victoria Mboko. I think we\u2019ll see some long, competitive sets, which means Noskova will have her chances. These two actually met one another in Adelaide in 2023, when Sabalenka earned a 6-3, 7-6 (4) win. That was well before Noskova was really a high-level WTA performer. Also, Sabalenka plays her best tennis in Australia. <\/p>\n

Bet: Noskova +5.5 Games (-110 \u2013 1.5 units), Noskova +1.5 Sets (+163 \u2013 0.5 units), Noskova ML (+590 \u2013 0.25 units)<\/p>\n

Elena Rybakina vs. Elina Svitolina<\/p>\n

I don\u2019t exactly have anything for this specific matchup, but I like Rybakina to win. I just think it\u2019s a different type of challenge trying to beat her on hard courts right now, and these conditions are interesting for her. Rybakina\u2019s still the best server in the tournament, but giving her a little more time as a returner is just unfair. We really haven\u2019t seen anyone challenge Rybakina since the opening round, but the 26-year-old has adjusted to her surroundings. Now, I genuinely believe she\u2019s the player to beat. That\u2019s why I\u2019m taking her to win the tournament. <\/p>\n

The reason I\u2019m grabbing +180 is that Rybakina was around +140 the last time she faced Sabalenka, which was in the Australian Open final. However, now that she has earned back-to-back wins over the Belarusian, I imagine she\u2019ll be closer to +120 or +125 in their next meeting. Well, that makes the +180 look pretty good. I know a moneyline rollover would theoretically pay out a little more, but I genuinely believe there\u2019s a non-zero chance Noskova wins. So, I\u2019d rather a grab a great price with Rybakina now. <\/p>\n

Bet: Rybakina To Win Indian Wells (+180 \u2013 1.5 units) <\/p>\n

Tennis Links\u00a0<\/p>\n

VSiN Tennis Betting Splits<\/a><\/p>\n

Tennis Odds<\/a><\/p>\n

Gill Alexander\u2019s Beating The Book Podcast<\/a> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The 2026 BNP Paribas Open is in full swing at the Indian Wells Tennis Garden, and Friday, March…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":532988,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[442],"tags":[6733,49,48,60,82,593,16333,4306],"class_list":["post-532987","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-tennis","tag-atp","tag-ca","tag-canada","tag-featured","tag-sports","tag-tennis","tag-tennis-bets","tag-wta"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/532987","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=532987"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/532987\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/532988"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=532987"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=532987"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=532987"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}