{"id":588196,"date":"2026-04-07T14:45:10","date_gmt":"2026-04-07T14:45:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/588196\/"},"modified":"2026-04-07T14:45:10","modified_gmt":"2026-04-07T14:45:10","slug":"2026-nfl-head-coach-rankings-rotopats-analysis-for-all-32-teams","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/588196\/","title":{"rendered":"2026 NFL head coach rankings: RotoPat\u2019s analysis for all 32 teams"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Of the 10 head coaches who were either fired or resigned this offseason, six made the playoffs with the team that let them go. Two made the postseason in 2025. Three have won Super Bowls, including two with the firing club. Tough business. It has been made even more so by the inarguable improvement in coaching over the past decade-plus. Coasting on clich\u00e9s is no longer enough when late 30something or early 40something hires keep winning Super Bowls. The demands on a coach \u2014 leadership, discipline, media savvy, scheme sophistication \u2014 are mostly the same as they have always been. What\u2019s changed is the hypersonic speed at which they continue to evolve. The NFL has never slowed down, but like the rest of modern life, it only ever moves faster.<\/p>\n<p>As I say every year, players, owners, assistants, injuries and acts of God can matter as much as coaching ability. That\u2019s why, though this is a rankings article, I try not to think of it that way. I view it as more of an almanac, an assessment of where the league\u2019s 32 coaches find themselves right now. How they got here and where they might be going. Last year\u2019s list can be <a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcsports.com\/fantasy\/football\/news\/rotopats-2025-nfl-head-coach-rankings-analysis-for-all-32-teams\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">found here<\/a>. 2024\u2019s is <a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcsports.com\/fantasy\/football\/news\/rotopats-2024-nfl-head-coach-rankings-analysis-for-all-32-teams\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">here<\/a>.  <\/p>\n<p>1. Sean McVay, Rams<\/p>\n<p>Career Record: 92-57 (.617)<br \/>With The Rams Since: 2017<br \/>Last Year\u2019s Ranking: 2<\/p>\n<p>The Sean McVay era in Los Angeles might best be described as \u201chow to win games and influence people.\u201d McVay just turned 40 years old. 16 percent of the league\u2019s 31 other head coaches have already worked for him. That does not include his former assistants who have already been hired and subsequently fired, though that list is short at two. The league is always looking for someone to follow. Perhaps counterintuitively, McVay has proven to be the perfect leader for both his team and the NFL at large because he is not so set in his ways. One year it\u2019s three-receiver sets. The next, three tight ends. Sometimes he\u2019s bringing back old coaching friends (Kliff Kingsbury). Most others, he\u2019s scouring the country for new talent (Nate Scheelhaase). Although he has stolen the mantle of the league\u2019s greatest thinker from Bill Belichick, McVay is most comparable to Nick Saban. Belichick was felled by his devotion to his friends and familiarities. Like Saban, McVay is much too restless for that. He doesn\u2019t just want to win. He wants to do so in ways either no one has ever tried before or everyone else has forgotten about. He is the perfect blend of new school and old, and destined to be remembered as one of the sport\u2019s timeless geniuses.<\/p>\n<p>2. Andy Reid, Chiefs<\/p>\n<p>Career Record: 279-157-1 (.640)<br \/>With The Chiefs Since: 2013<br \/>Last Year\u2019s Ranking: 1<\/p>\n<p>Andy Reid is one of the greatest coaches in the history of football. This was true even before he found Patrick Mahomes. If you want to say he\u2019s still the best current coach, you could easily win the debate. Now, is he still the most dynamic? That would be harder to argue. On the one hand, you could ask: Why would Reid fix what isn\u2019t broken? Why wouldn\u2019t he keep running back the same offensive approach, the same assistant coaches? On the other, that\u2019s why. For as much as 2025 was about bad luck, unfortunate injuries and sometimes both (see Travis Kelce separating Xavier Worthy\u2019s shoulder in Week 1), it was the lack of dynamism and adjustments that stood out more. I am not a \u201cfootball mind.\u201d I know there is always an overarching strategy that might not be immediately apparent to my civilian understanding. But I feel I am qualified to ask: What is the thesis of this passing game? How has watching Patrick Mahomes become boring? Then I might follow up, if it is forces beyond Reid\u2019s control holding back the aerial attack \u2014 poor draft capital, lack of cap space, league-wide defensive trends \u2014 why is it being supplemented by nothing on the ground? Reid tacitly acknowledged the need for new ideas when he let former OC Matt Nagy\u2019s contract lapse, but perhaps not the will to really implement them when his solution was simply recycling former OC Eric Bieniemy. The joke is on you if you question Reid\u2019s overall greatness. The joke will be on him, however, if he thinks mere tweaks and shufflings will be enough to right what went wrong in 2025.<\/p>\n<p>3. Kyle Shanahan, 49ers<\/p>\n<p>Career Record: 82-67 (.550)<br \/>With The 49ers Since: 2017<br \/>Last Year\u2019s Ranking: 4<\/p>\n<p>Kyle Shanahan\u2019s teams always win at least 12 games except for all the times they don\u2019t. Shanny has long since established himself as the king of variance. So is life when personnel takes a back seat to scheme and coaching. But has Shanahan finally discovered something he\u2019s been accused of lacking: Resilience? 2025 had all the hallmarks of a lost 49ers campaign. A biblical wave of injuries, including at quarterback. Acrimonious disputes with the No. 1 and 2 wideouts. Questionable to nonexistent returns from many key recent draft picks. This would usually be the cue for Shanny to accept his 6-11 fate and start planning for next year\u2019s Super Bowl loss. And yet, there his team was, playing for the NFC\u2019s No. 1 seed in Week 18. Not even the dreary home loss to the Seahawks that ensued could obscure the fact this was a different kind of Shanahan squad, one that actually punched back after getting knocked down. That was confirmed the following week when they upset the Eagles in the Wild Card Round. By that point, another rough loss to the Seahawks in the Divisional didn\u2019t even matter. This is a Shanahan team that still has all of its old strengths, but with some new ones thrown in. If \u201cShanny Ball\u201d can actually denote toughness moving forward, Shanahan will soon shed his moniker as the best active coach not to lift a Lombardi.<\/p>\n<p>4. Mike Macdonald, Seahawks<\/p>\n<p>Career Record: 24-10 (.706)<br \/>With The Seahawks Since: 2024<br \/>Last Year\u2019s Ranking: 19<\/p>\n<p>Usually you at least introduce yourself before winning a Super Bowl. Mike Macdonald hasn\u2019t been rude, but he\u2019s sure in a hurry. He went 10-7 as a first-time head coach in 2024 but wasn\u2019t satisfied. He fired OC Ryan Grubb and moved on from QB Geno Smith. Those decisive acts provided the hoped-for improvement on offense, though it was Macdonald\u2019s defensive side of the ball that once again led the way. Macdonald has been responsible for four NFL defenses. They\u2019ve finished top three in points allowed three times, surrendering the league\u2019s fewest tallies twice. His \u201cworst\u201d group was the 2024 outfit that finished 11th. Macdonald was also top 10 in the much larger FBS pool his lone season calling Michigan\u2019s plays in 2021. The word \u201cgenius\u201d is thrown around loosely these days, but Macdonald certainly appears to be one when it comes to confounding opposing play-callers and quarterbacks. His judgment is almost as good on offense, where his decisions to start Sam Darnold, hire Klint Kubiak and feature Jaxon Smith-Njigba made the group formidable enough to win a championship without a true franchise player. That\u2019s not easy in any era, but particularly now. Macdonald\u2019s sample size is small, but if you\u2019ve won a Super Bowl with Darnold before the age of 40, you are probably one of the five best active NFL coaches.<\/p>\n<p>5. Sean Payton, Broncos<\/p>\n<p>Career Record: 184-108 (.630)<br \/>With The Broncos Since: 2023<br \/>Last Year\u2019s Ranking: 12<\/p>\n<p>Sean Payton didn\u2019t need to prove anything. He\u2019s done so anyways. The last of the Parcells disciples, Payton had a .631 winning percentage with the Saints. It\u2019s .620 with the Broncos. It\u2019s actually .666 since his infamous 70-20 loss to Mike McDaniel\u2019s Dolphins in Week 3 of the 2023 season. That was Payton\u2019s wake-up call. He\u2019s been wide-eyed ever since. Payton\u2019s continued Broncos success has come despite a few strange foibles. His vaunted short-passing game isn\u2019t what it once was. The backfield has been reasonably efficient, if strangely inert. It obviously hasn\u2019t precluded winning \u2014 Payton\u2019s Broncos are the first team other than the Chiefs to take the AFC West since Patrick Mahomes became starter in 2018 \u2014 though it has turned what used to be a beautiful system into a tough watch. That\u2019s undoubtedly what led Payton to make the shocking offseason decision of surrendering play-calling duties to OC Davis Webb. Payton is one of the best play-callers in the history of the game. That he was willing to hand over the keys speaks to not only an uncommon self awareness for someone with his r\u00e9sum\u00e9, but a truly burning desire to win. If Payton fails to reach another Super Bowl, it won\u2019t be because he was unwilling to do whatever it takes.<\/p>\n<p>6. Jim Harbaugh, Chargers<\/p>\n<p>Career Record: 66-31-1 (.679)<br \/>With The Chargers Since: 2024<br \/>Last Year\u2019s Ranking: 6<\/p>\n<p>Jim Harbaugh has coached six NFL seasons. He\u2019s won fewer than 11 games once. He has never finished below .500. He has won with the San Diego Toreros, and the team that used to be the San Diego Chargers. As is the case with many of Harbaugh\u2019s all-time great compatriots, it can accurately be said he would do anything to win, right up to and including crossing the line. See the end of his time at Michigan. But if every Harbaugh and Belichick is sometimes willing to bend the rules for even the slightest of advantages, one thing they\u2019re not always willing to do? Think outside the gilded box they\u2019ve built for themselves. This was Harbaugh when he first arrived in L.A. His first hire on offense? Old friend Greg Roman. Although Harbaugh predictably won right off the bat, Roman was just as predictably stale as a play-caller. So then Harbaugh pulled off the hardest new trick for an old dog: He went outside his coaching tree. At first blush, Mike McDaniel isn\u2019t just outside Harbaugh\u2019s tree, but outside his planet. The old colliding with the new. Upon closer inspection, however, these are two gonzo thinkers who both tend to arrive at old time football principles. For Harbaugh, it\u2019s toughness and fundamentals. For McDaniel, it\u2019s execution. Paired together, they might finally find Harbaugh the Super Bowl ceiling that has eluded his annual playoff floor.<\/p>\n<p>7. Mike Vrabel, Patriots<\/p>\n<p>Career Record: 68-48 (.586)<br \/>With The Patriots Since: 2025<br \/>Last Year\u2019s Ranking: \u2014 \u2014<\/p>\n<p>Mike Vrabel overachieved until he didn\u2019t in Tennessee. The dysfunctional Titans cut bait the second Vrabel stopped working miracles with an overtaxed, quarterback-free roster. So the Patriots decided to run an experiment: What might the details-oriented, player-friendly Vrabel accomplish with a young franchise quarterback? It\u2019s doubtful even they thought the answer would be \u201cinstantly make the Super Bowl,\u201d but that\u2019s where Vrabel\u2019s squad ended the year \u2026 after another season of overachievement. After winning three rock fights during the AFC playoffs \u2014 games decided by the smallest of margins, the crevices where Vrabel has always thrived \u2014 it was clear from the opening moments of Super Bowl LX his Pats were outclassed by the Seahawks. That they had maybe arrived a little too early. But it was final confirmation that, whatever your baseline might be, Vrabel is going to raise it. It was just as impressive of a feat in Tennessee, but your ceiling can only go so high if you are working around the quarterback rather than featuring him. Vrabel now has a featured player in Drake Maye. It might not be in 2026, but at some point, Vrabel is likely to finish the Super Bowl journey he started in 2025.<\/p>\n<p>8. Dan Campbell, Lions<\/p>\n<p>Career Record: 53-43-1 (.552)<br \/>With The Lions Since: 2021<br \/>Last Year\u2019s Ranking: 7<\/p>\n<p>The rollercoaster always comes down. In the NFL, you just hope it\u2019s after you\u2019ve already won the Super Bowl. When the answer is inevitably \u201cno\u201d for all but the luckiest few, the obsession then becomes getting it back up into the air. It\u2019s a job for which the Lions\u2019 <a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=pqJkihqOxUI\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">caffeinated-consciousness<\/a>, Dan Campbell, would seem uniquely well suited, but the question for every adrenaline junkie is always: Did you burn too much fuel the first time around? The hangover effect was everywhere you looked in Detroit last season. They failed to rebound on defense and at times appeared to be going through the motions on offense. Departed OC Ben Johnson was missed even more than anticipated, with would-be replacement John Morton going less-than-one and done as play-caller after Campbell took the clipboard mid-season then fired Morton after it. Campbell did not lose the locker room. Nothing went off the rails. The Lions were competitive until the very end of the year, where they beat Johnson for the second time in as many tries in Week 18. But his words after the team\u2019s 2024 NFC Championship Game defeat \u2014 \u201cthis may have been our only shot\u201d \u2014 are looking all the more prophetic. The Lions arrived earlier than expected. The same will be true of their departure if Campbell can\u2019t fix his defense and coax a better Johnson impression out of new OC Drew Petzing.<\/p>\n<p>9. Nick Sirianni, Eagles<\/p>\n<p>Career Record: 59-26 (.694)<br \/>With The Eagles Since: 2021<br \/>Last Year\u2019s Ranking: 5<\/p>\n<p>For having never posted a losing record and winning the NFC twice in five years, Nick Sirianni isn\u2019t afforded much benefit of the doubt. That\u2019s due to dubiousness about his true importance to the Eagles\u2019 operation. Whereas the coach is usually king in the NFL, that\u2019s not true in Philadelphia. More like an MLB franchise, this is GM Howie Roseman\u2019s show. Regardless of how close that perception comes to reality, it provides a convenient buffer for Roseman, who undoubtedly believes some of his own hype after firing his previous Super Bowl-winning coach in Doug Pederson without missing a beat. So Sirianni\u2019s seat is hotter than most despite his winning percentage being higher than most everyone to ever do it. He behaves accordingly, churning through coordinators at great speed, including on the offensive side of the ball this offseason. Sirianni understands that, fairly or not, he\u2019s only as good as his next streak, and it better be winning. If that makes him a little hot under the collar \u2014 there\u2019s nothing the sideline camera loves more than finding Sirianni yelling in any general direction \u2014 it\u2019s understandable. Less understandable is what the Eagles might be missing if they fire Sirianni and move on to the next one.<\/p>\n<p>10. Matt LaFleur, Packers<\/p>\n<p>Career Record: 76-40-1 (.654)<br \/>With The Packers Since: 2019<br \/>Last Year\u2019s Ranking: 10<\/p>\n<p>Matt LaFleur has kept it respectable. The Packers have made the playoffs all three seasons since moving on from Aaron Rodgers. Unfortunately, it\u2019s translated to only one postseason victory, as LaFleur\u2019s brand of football is also expert at keeping the other team in the game. Perennially in the red in pass rate over expected, LaFleur is devoted to a balanced attack no matter how plodding the run or explosive the pass. He is an amazing individual play designer but highly questionable play sequencer. It\u2019s why he\u2019s blown second half leads in the game that eliminated the Packers two of the past three seasons, to say nothing of what happened when Rodgers was still at the helm. If you think that\u2019s just media perception, multiple Packers players have <a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.jsonline.com\/story\/sports\/nfl\/packers\/silverstein\/2026\/03\/03\/packers-coach-matt-lafleur-should-recognize-red-flag-in-player-survey-silverstein\/88953431007\/?gnt-cfr=1&amp;gca-cat=p&amp;gca-uir=false&amp;gca-epti=undefined&amp;gca-ft=0&amp;gca-ds=sophi\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">lamented their inability to put teams away in 2025<\/a>. And if LaFleur\u2019s offense struggles to finish the opposition off, his defense has had a disastrous habit of collapsing at all the most inopportune times. LaFleur has struggled mightily to find the right defensive coordinator. Jeff Hafley was his best hire, but he\u2019s now departed for the Dolphins\u2019 head-coaching gig. LaFleur is smart. He is organized. He is, as we mentioned, respectable. That includes the respect he gets from the rest of the league for letting them hang around. If things don\u2019t change in 2026 <a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7158275\/2026\/03\/30\/matt-lafleur-packers-nfl-league-meeting\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">\u2014 and he has vowed they will \u2014<\/a> it will be LaFleur who is no longer in the game in Green Bay.<\/p>\n<p>11. DeMeco Ryans, Texans<\/p>\n<p>Career Record: 32-19 (.627)<br \/>With The Texans Since: 2023<br \/>Last Year\u2019s Ranking: 17<\/p>\n<p>DeMeco Ryans is 3-for-3 on making the playoffs and has won at least one game every time he\u2019s gotten there. Ok, exactly one game every time he\u2019s gotten there. If Ryans\u2019 floor has been shockingly high, the ceiling has not appeared within reach. None of the Texans\u2019 Divisional Round losses were particularly competitive, while last season\u2019s represented the nadir for an offensive side of the ball that has been the bane of the defensive-minded Ryans\u2019 existence. Now, maybe there\u2019s only so much he can do with C.J. Stroud. He nevertheless needs to find the offensive coordinator best capable of doing it. It wasn\u2019t Bobby Slowik. It probably isn\u2019t Nick Caley. If Ryans\u2019 teams have had an identity on offense, it\u2019s conservatism. Again, maybe that\u2019s the only choice with an erratic QB. Again, it\u2019s not getting the job done when it matters most. A leader on his side of the ball, Ryans is also a player\u2019s coach. He is checking nearly every box, just not the one that matters most. Ryans may not be responsible for picking the quarterback, but he will be held responsible for the quarterback\u2019s play. That\u2019s life in the NFL. 2026 will be a critical year in Houston.<\/p>\n<p>12. Kevin O\u2019Connell, Vikings<\/p>\n<p>Career Record: 43-25 (.632)<br \/>With The Vikings Since: 2022<br \/>Last Year\u2019s Ranking: 11<\/p>\n<p>Kevin O\u2019Connell has never won a playoff game. That hard-to-believe stat is thanks to his seasons somehow always devolving into a \u201cstrange but true\u201d factoid. He went 13-4 with Kirk Cousins \u2026 with a negative point differential. A playoff loss to Daniel Jones ensued. He went 14-3 with Sam Darnold before that was something everyone did. He failed to win the division in the process and got blown out in the Wild Card Round. By far his most miserable year, this past season\u2019s J.J. McCarthy fiasco, ended with \u2026 a winning record. Now how do you make heads or tails of all that? A large part of McCarthy\u2019s prestige as a quarterback whisperer relies on the fact that he made Josh Dobbs and Nick Mullens watchable in 2023. Sometimes I wonder if that oddity is doing a little too much heavy lifting for his reputation. Then I remember the Vikings probably would have remained a playoff team in 2025 had Carson Wentz\u2019s shoulder remained attached. O\u2019Connell has it figured out on offense. His top assistant, Brian Flores, has it figured out on defense. As a head coach, you need to handle your business on your side of the ball and know who to trust on the other. O\u2019Connell passes the test. He will eventually get past the first round of the playoffs if that remains the case.<\/p>\n<p>13. Ben Johnson, Bears<\/p>\n<p>Career Record: 11-6 (.647)<br \/>With The Bears Since: 2025<br \/>Last Year\u2019s Ranking: \u2014 \u2014<\/p>\n<p>In a league and media landscape addicted to hyperbole and quick-fixes, no label gets misapplied more frequently than \u201coffensive genius.\u201d Well, maybe \u201cfranchise savior.\u201d Ben Johnson arrived in Chicago to expectations of both. He blew them away. Tasked with \u201cfixing\u201d Caleb Williams, Johnson helped reduce Williams\u2019 sack total from 68 to 24. Ridiculous. The Bears went from 26th in offensive EPA per play to seventh. They scored 131 more points than the year prior, jumping from 28th to ninth in scoring. So, offense fixed. If that was the longed-for first step, step two was something along the lines of: Just stop getting embarrassed in the rugged NFC North. Johnson won the division, earned the conference\u2019s No. 2 seed, then humiliated arch-rival Green Bay with an epic Wild Card comeback. One year, etc. but these Bears are no longer embarrassing. They were lucky in 2025, living off one-score, and even sometimes one-point, victories. Regression comes for even the best players and coaches. The follow-up will be 10 times more difficult than the opening act. Johnson knows this, and as the rare offensive-minded coach who doesn\u2019t just call plays but <a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=Sw0uqT9qWWc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">sets the tone for all 53 of his players<\/a>, he seems perfectly-suited to keep leveling up. You should never speak too soon in the NFL \u2014 Chip Kelly, et. al say hello \u2014 but it sure seems like it won\u2019t take long for Johnson to accomplish even greater things in Chicago.<\/p>\n<p>14. Liam Coen, Jaguars<\/p>\n<p>Career Record: 13-4 (.765)<br \/>With The Jaguars Since: 2025<br \/>Last Year\u2019s Ranking: \u2014 \u2014<\/p>\n<p>Liam Coen\u2019s Jaguars tenure had inauspicious beginnings. He somehow bungled the <a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/43551022\/tampa-bay-buccaneers-liam-coen-jacksonville-jaguars-head-coach-happened\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">very act of getting hired<\/a> before uttering the Jags\u2019 signature \u201cDuval\u201d chant in the cadence of a <a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/shorts\/hwG7DIvthKs\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">killer movie clown<\/a> at his introductory press conference. Paired with new GM James Gladstone\u2019s \u201cmillennial word salad\u201d-style of speech, Coen started off looking like the latest in a long line of failed Jaguars saviors. Then he got to saving them. Although that did not result in a postseason victory, Coen and company posted the club\u2019s highest winning percentage of the 21st century. Making the playoffs is the first goal for any NFL head coach, but for Coen it was really just icing on the cake of his primary 2025 objective: Getting Trevor Lawrence\u2019s career back on track. The often tentative and scattershot would-be franchise player was a more believable roster cornerstone by season\u2019s end. So Coen accomplished his first-year priorities and then some, arguably cramming 2-3 years of work into one. Just like we shouldn\u2019t overreact to one bad press conference, the same is true of one good season. But Coen certainly looks like the man primed to get the Jags out of the draft lottery for good.<\/p>\n<p>15. Shane Steichen, Colts<\/p>\n<p>Career Record: 25-26 (.490)<br \/>With The Colts Since: 2023<br \/>Last Year\u2019s Ranking: 20<\/p>\n<p>We are trying to answer an either\/or question with Shane Steichen. Does he deserve credit for keeping a dysfunctional franchise on the tracks, or blame for remaining mired at .500? I tend to believe the former, but it\u2019s easy to indulge in the latter after Indy started 8-2 last season only to collapse out of the playoffs before Week 18 even started. It is inarguable that things could be worse in Indy. But how does Steichen make things better than his current 8-9, 9-8 carousel? Talk inevitably turns to things beyond Steichen\u2019s control. Were GM Chris Ballard\u2019s \u201clost years\u201d more about late owner Jim Irsay than himself? Will new owner Carlie Irsay-Gordon run a more traditional operation, giving Steichen more stability and leeway? The early returns on both of those questions are \u201cno\u201d after last November\u2019s hyper-aggressive, ultimately ill-considered trade for Sauce Gardner. Indy now lacks the draft capital it needs to get out of quarterback purgatory. That probably ultimately means Steichen\u2019s Colts tenure will get hit with an incomplete grade and we might not get a final answer on his coaching ability until he is recycled elsewhere.<\/p>\n<p>16. Todd Bowles, Bucs<\/p>\n<p>Career Record: 61-74 (.452)<br \/>With The Bucs Since: 2022<br \/>Last Year\u2019s Ranking: 15<\/p>\n<p>Has Todd Bowles\u2019 Bucs tenure gone better or worse than expected? It\u2019s certainly never been worse than it was down the stretch in 2025, where an apocalyptic 1-7 post-bye stretch rendered the Bucs\u2019 Week 18 victory over the Panthers irrelevant, coughing up one of the easier-to-claim division titles in recent memory. It would be easy to say it was emblematic of Bowles\u2019 time by the bay, but until last season he had primarily been backing into good outcomes. His first year featured an 8-9 division title with the greatest player in league history before he pulled off similar feats each of the next two campaigns with the <a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/search?q=baker+mayfield+walk-on&amp;oq=baker+mayfield+walk-on&amp;gs_lcrp=EgZjaHJvbWUyBggAEEUYOTIICAEQABgWGB4yCAgCEAAYFhgeMggIAxAAGBYYHjIICAQQABgWGB4yCAgFEAAYFhgeMggIBhAAGBYYHjIICAcQABgWGB4yCAgIEAAYFhgeMggICRAAGBYYHtIBCDI1MDRqMGo0qAIAsAIB&amp;sourceid=chrome&amp;ie=UTF-8\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">greatest walk-on<\/a> in league history. Bowles\u2019 somewhat-sustained offensive success has belied a conservative and stodgy reputation. It\u2019s been necessary since he hasn\u2019t quite lived up to expectations on the defensive side of the ball. That was especially true in 2025. On the whole, Bowles has been running pure in the 8-10 win zone. Good for him, but that\u2019s an unsustainable approach whether you\u2019re Jeff Fisher or Mike Tomlin, and Bowles seems much more like the former. Absent a big 2026 step forward, there will probably be big changes on the Bucs\u2019 sideline.<\/p>\n<p>17. Zac Taylor, Bengals<\/p>\n<p>Career Record: 52-63-1 (.453)<br \/>With The Bengals Since: 2019<br \/>Last Year\u2019s Ranking: 14<\/p>\n<p>Zac Taylor is now the longest-tenured head coach in the AFC North because he\u2019s the only-tenured head coach in the AFC North. A man who seemingly half the world wants fired has now outlasted Mike Tomlin and John Harbaugh. It\u2019s not due to merit, of course. Taylor would have been churned in almost any other city by now. But Mike Brown\u2019s Bengals will never be any other franchise. They favor thrift. They prefer slow and steady. They never win the race, but that\u2019s a matter for another day. So if Taylor isn\u2019t going anywhere, what are the Bengals left to work with? A coach who at least abides by \u201cyou\u2019re only as good as your quarterback.\u201d When Joe Burrow is healthy, Taylor doesn\u2019t get in his way and the Bengals score a ton of points. When Burrow is out, Taylor stands around waiting for him to return. Hardly ideal. Also not as disastrous as it could be. A replacement-level in-game decision-maker, Taylor is never going to steal a game on his own. I guess Bengals fans should be thankful he \u2014 usually \u2014 doesn\u2019t lose them on his own, either.<\/p>\n<p>18. Kellen Moore, Saints<\/p>\n<p>Career Record: 6-11 (.353)<br \/>With The Saints Since: 2025<br \/>Last Year\u2019s Ranking: \u2014 \u2014<\/p>\n<p>Kellen Moore is only 36 years old but already had six years of NFL play-calling experience before landing the Saints\u2019 head-coaching gig. Unlike some of his wiz kid brethren, Moore also played big-time college football and bounced around the fringes of NFL rosters for a few seasons before turning in his helmet and picking up a headset. That is the long way of saying he had more experience than most fans probably realized upon his arrival in New Orleans. It showed his first year on the job. Handed a 53-man roster the entire league knew was going nowhere, the best Moore could hope for was winning around the edges. He did just that as ran the fastest offense in the NFL as a way to at least keep opposing defenses off-balance. He benched Spencer Rattler and cajoled far better results than expected out of second-rounder Tyler Shough. Passing production of any kind should not have been easy to come by considering the Saints\u2019 undermanned skill corps and underpowered running game, but Moore\u2019s attack was positively league-average by season\u2019s end. That would be damning with faint praise elsewhere, but genuinely surprising for the 2025 Saints. The next step is dealing with actual expectations after clearing last year\u2019s nonexistent bar.<\/p>\n<p>19. Dave Canales, Panthers<\/p>\n<p>Career Record: 13-21 (.382)<br \/>With The Panthers Since: 2024<br \/>Last Year\u2019s Ranking: 23<\/p>\n<p>Dave Canales has never had a winning season. That didn\u2019t stop him from almost winning a playoff game last year. Canales\u2019 8-9 club did not close particularly well \u2014 it went 2-3 after Thanksgiving \u2014 but those victories were over previous division dominator Tampa Bay and Sean McVay\u2019s Rams. It was those same Rams Canales and company nearly beat in the Wild Card Round. Strange. Probably random. Maybe, just maybe something. That\u2019s not a lot to go on, but it is more to go on than the Panthers have had since the end of the Cam Newton era. Canales seems to be doing the best he can on his own offensive side of the ball. The defense got (a lot) better in 2025. Bryce Young is occasionally watchable. Canales has several factors holding him back. Young is, at best, a 2-3 year solution, and owner Dave Tepper does not seem to be a predictable man to work for. This is probably a hard-capped job. Canales is nevertheless doing his best to find out, and if nothing else, putting together a nice clip reel for his next gig.<\/p>\n<p>20. Dan Quinn, Commanders<\/p>\n<p>Career Record: 60-59 (.504)<br \/>With The Commanders Since: 2024<br \/>Last Year\u2019s Ranking: 13<\/p>\n<p>If the Commanders\u2019 2024 felt a little too good to be true, well \u2026 there\u2019s no harm in letting someone have their moment. That felt especially apropos in Washington, where fans were desperate for anything to go right after the hellish Snyder years. So it was easy to look the other way when everything went right, right down to Dan Quinn reaching 12 wins for the first time in his coaching career. Even though it felt flimsy, I wanted to believe in the power of positivity. It just goes to show. That free lunch was paid for and then some in 2025, where Washington again became the football town where every good deed promptly gets punished. That included on Quinn\u2019s sideline, where his bet that 2024 was the birth of a new Kliff Kingsbury was quickly disproven. He was also forced to fire DC Joe Whitt, reaching deep into his bag of scapegoats just one year after it seemed like the good vibes would never die. In some ways, that was actually true, as Quinn was one of just two head coaches to earn an <a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/nflpa.com\/report-cards\/2025\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">A+ grade in the NFLPA\u2019s annual survey<\/a>. Players have always loved Quinn. That has never been up for debate. 2025 was just a necessary reminder of the limits of personality(-based coaching) in a league where personnel and play-calling are everything.<\/p>\n<p>21. Brian Schottenheimer, Cowboys<\/p>\n<p>Career Record: 7-9-1 (.441)<br \/>With The Cowboys Since: 2025<br \/>Last Year\u2019s Ranking: \u2014 \u2014<\/p>\n<p>The Dallas sky did not fall during Brian Schottenheimer\u2019s first year on the job. It did not brighten, either. If the initial reaction of \u201cwhy didn\u2019t they just let a fan coach the team\u201d was a little over the top for an assistant with 25 years of NFL experience, it was still directionally accurate. Schottenheimer exceeded expectations only because there weren\u2019t any. A team that used to dream of Super Bowls now seems content to break parking and concessions records. If you\u2019re wondering, \u201cwhat does any of that have to do with Brian Schottenheimer,\u201d the answer is nothing. That\u2019s because this project is no longer really about football. It used to be the only Cowboy who was graded on a curve was owner Jerry Jones. \u201cFor an owner, he actually knows about football.\u201d \u201cListen, the Cowboys at least usually get their first-round picks right.\u201d That permissive attitude now permeates the entire operation. \u201cSmall wins\u201d are enough. The 2025 squad might have gone 7-9-1, but Dak Prescott stayed healthy. They won the George Pickens trade. And yes, last but not least, they didn\u2019t hire the very worst coach in football. Congratulations. To whom, we aren\u2019t exactly sure.<\/p>\n<p>22. Aaron Glenn, Jets<\/p>\n<p>Career Record: 3-14 (.176)<br \/>With The Jets Since: 2025<br \/>Last Year\u2019s Ranking: \u2014 \u2014<\/p>\n<p>What was Aaron Glenn supposed to do? It\u2019s hard to say, other than \u201cnot that.\u201d Glenn was plopped down in the middle of a collective nightmare. He failed to wake anyone up. A defensive coach, Glenn oversaw a unit that allowed the franchise\u2019s second most points per week since the 16-game schedule was implemented. As you may have heard, the Jets were the first defense not to intercept a single pass since at least 1933. The front office didn\u2019t do Glenn any favors when it traded Sauce Gardner and Quinnen Williams, but Glenn did himself no favors when he treated the press with Belichickian high-handedness. That might not matter on the field, but it also ensures no benefit of the doubt will be afforded off of it from the famously bloodthirsty New York media. To wit, the local scribes spent the offseason giddily keeping count of Glenn\u2019s fired assistants <a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47899429\/new-york-jets-aaron-glenn-coaching-staff-changes-offseason\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">(12, last time they checked)<\/a>. That includes both coordinators. In a tried-and-true desperation move, Glenn will call his own plays in 2026. It\u2019s a sign Glenn at least realizes the gravity of the situation. He\u2019s lucky to have received a second chance. You could credibly argue no one could succeed under these all-too typical Jets circumstances. You would also be correct to say the Jets\u2019 2026 \u201cplan\u201d of Geno Smith and Frank Reich on offense likely means it will be someone else\u2019s turn to fail in 2027.<\/p>\n<p>New Hires (In Alphabetical Order)Joe Brady, Bills<\/p>\n<p>Career Record: \u2014 \u2014<\/p>\n<p>Don\u2019t ever let anyone tell you the college doesn\u2019t matter on the r\u00e9sum\u00e9. If a Harvard alum will never go hungry on Wall Street, the same is true for the play-caller of an elite NCAA quarterback. They keep calling Kliff Kingsbury back from Thailand because he knew Patrick Mahomes way back when. Joe Brady? How about Joe Burrow, Ja\u2019Marr Chase and Justin Jefferson. Unlike Kingsbury, Brady\u2019s LSU team actually won something. Like Kingsbury, however, Brady\u2019s failures, whether they be up or down, haven\u2019t seemed to have much effect on his job status since. There will apparently always be someone willing to take the chance you were the real brains behind the historic season. In fact, sometimes it will even be your own team. There is where I have to break in and say, Brady did at least make the spreadsheets go brr last year. Either that, or he knew to step aside long enough to let Josh Allen do so. The Bills needed to try something different. We\u2019re about to find out if promoting the executive vice president to CEO was enough.<\/p>\n<p>Jeff Hafley, Dolphins<\/p>\n<p>Career Record: \u2014 \u2014<\/p>\n<p>Where were you in December 2023? Then Boston College coach Jeff Hafley was busy beating SMU in the \u201cWasabi Fenway Bowl.\u201d He celebrated by stepping down and becoming the Packers\u2019 defensive coordinator. Always well regarded for what he wasn\u2019t in Boston \u2014 embarrassing \u2014 Hafley remained respectable in Green Bay. It arguably should have been more, especially after the 2025 arrival of all-world edge rusher Micah Parsons, but it\u2019s a tough game, tough division, etc. \u201cLeague circles\u201d seem to love Hafley for his defensive problem-solving and quiet dignity. He\u2019s going to need bushels of both in Miami. This is a talent-emptied roster currently dominated by Tua Tagovailoa\u2019s record-setting dead cap hit. Hafley\u2019s initial plan is to build a \u201cGreen Bay South\u201d outpost in South Beach, right down to recycling Nathaniel Hackett and the Pack\u2019s No. 2 quarterback, Malik Willis. Hafley is just trying to buy time before the Dolphins\u2019 \u201creal\u201d future can take shape. It\u2019s his only real option. It\u2019s also a low-probability approach in a league where time is the scarcest commodity.<\/p>\n<p>John Harbaugh, Giants<\/p>\n<p>Career Record: 180-113 (.614)<\/p>\n<p>John Harbaugh had ceased to make his own luck in Baltimore. Long before Tyler Loop\u2019s missed Week 18 kick, it had seemed as if Harbaugh had become cursed with something of a reverse Midas touch. \u201cThe process\u201d was almost always right. The results \u2026 uniformly wrong. That\u2019s why he was ushered out after 18 of the most successful seasons you will ever see from an NFL coach. Well, that was mostly why. If Harbaugh\u2019s horrible misfortune in all the biggest moments got the most attention, his frosty relationship with Lamar Jackson had become a difficult-to-ignore subplot. Like most, if not all, franchise players, Jackson can be a prickly pear. It\u2019s entirely possible the situation was not Harbaugh\u2019s fault. But if luck is an all too common NFL denominator, fairness is not. Jackson is a future Hall-of-Fame quarterback still in his prime. Harbaugh is a coach. The QB wins that debate nine times out of 10.<\/p>\n<p>Harbaugh has, of course, landed on his feet. The Giants were so eager to hire him they let him win a power struggle with GM Joe Schoen before he was even onboarded. This is Harbaugh\u2019s show in New York in a way it no longer was in Baltimore. That should be good as long as Harbaugh is a 63-year-old coach willing to adapt some new practices. His first Giants offseason was mixed in that regard, as he recycled woebegone assistant Greg Roman and shelled out for both the Ravens\u2019 former fullback and punter. If Harbaugh fixates on creating Ravens 2.0 in New York, he will fail. If he allows Giants 1.0 to come to him, his lengthy track record suggests he will be successful.<\/p>\n<p>Klint Kubiak, Raiders<\/p>\n<p>Career Record: \u2014 \u2014<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s no secret how Klint Kubiak got his foot in the coaching door. The right last name continues to work wonders in the NFL. It does not work miracles, however. 2025 Raiders offensive line coach Brennan Carroll can attest to that. Nepotism gets you the opportunity. Success is required to sustain it. Arguably no coordinator had more of it in 2025 than Kubiak. Building off the good work of so many others \u2014 his dad, the Shanahan family, Kevin O\u2019Connell \u2014 Kubiak helped finish the Sam Darnold product that led the Seahawks to their second-ever Super Bowl victory. If Kubiak comes from a long line of \u201cShanahan system\u201d adherents, he is implementing the latest, greatest version of it. That\u2019s really all you can ask for right now in a league where cycles and adjustments seem to be taking place over a 2-3 year period instead of 5-10. You might have an old NFL last name, but you have to have the new innovative energy. That was Kubiak as Seahawks play-caller. We\u2019ll see how he does in the seemingly cursed position of Raiders head coach.<\/p>\n<p>Mike LaFleur, Cardinals<\/p>\n<p>Career Record: \u2014 \u2014<\/p>\n<p>Although he wasn\u2019t Sean McVay\u2019s play-caller in Los Angeles, Mike LaFleur actually has called plays \u2026 for the 2021-22 Jets. They finished 26th and 25th in scoring, respectively. Now, longtime NFL observers will know there were no miracles to be worked with Zach Wilson and Mike White, but as I\u2019ve said before, even that is a useful data point because some play-callers do arrive heaven sent. LaFleur evidently isn\u2019t one of them. That\u2019s fine. It just means he is likely settling in for a long, laborious rebuilding process for a team without a franchise player or any legitimate short-term prospects in a division that might have the three best coaches in football. If you\u2019re not a miracle worker, it is exceedingly difficult to navigate those circumstances to a second contract. If you don\u2019t crash the playoffs, you either crash out in a year or two or do just well enough to raise expectations, inadvertently leading to your own firing after you\u2019ve set the stage for the next guy. Steeped in both the McVay and Kyle Shanahan systems, LaFleur was a by-the-book hire for 2026. There\u2019s just no book on how to survive in a division where you\u2019re coaching against those luminaries in addition to the defending Super Bowl champion, Mike Macdonald.<\/p>\n<p>Mike McCarthy, Steelers<\/p>\n<p>Career Record: 174-112-2 (.608)<\/p>\n<p>Mike McCarthy won 61.8 percent of his games in Green Bay. He won 58.3 percent of the time in Dallas. He won 13 games in 2007, and at least 12 games three times this decade. Regardless of whether he\u2019s overrated, underrated, exactly-perfectly-rated, there shouldn\u2019t be much debate about whether he deserves an NFL head-coaching job. Maybe he\u2019s not your cup of tea, but he makes sense in the right situation. Is the ghost of Aaron Rodgers and Will Howard that situation? I certainly don\u2019t think so. 62-year-old McCarthy should be a job-finisher at this stage of his career. You\u2019ve tried everything else, so why not bring in McCarthy and see what he can do for 3-4 years? That\u2019s what makes his hiring by what had been the longest time horizon franchise in North American sports so baffling. McCarthy is not here to build a culture. He\u2019s also not here to wring every last drop out of an imperfect quarterback situation. He\u2019s supposed to take a loaded group and ensure they score points. That is not the setup in Pittsburgh, and it likely means a coach who has always had a difficult time getting his just due is fated to be remembered even more unfairly by the time he\u2019s through in his hometown.<\/p>\n<p>Jesse Minter, Ravens<\/p>\n<p>Career Record: \u2014 \u2014<\/p>\n<p>The latest Brothers Harbaugh protege has the unusual assignment of replacing one of them after they were let go against their will. Jesse Minter also has the unenviable inevitability of being compared to the last NFL head coach nurtured along by John and Jim, Mike Macdonald. All of this for an organization that\u2019s had just two previous sideline leaders in the 21st century. If that is a lot of weight to place on a first-timer\u2019s shoulders, Minter has earned the opportunity. He was lights out for Jim at Michigan then even better for the higher-strung Harbaugh in Los Angeles. He also knows the Ravens well, having worked for John from 2017-20. If that hands-on experience and success is what makes Minter worthy of a head-coaching gig at the age of 42, it\u2019s the Ravens\u2019 still-prodigious talent base that could make him an instant success. Minter has the kind of foundation first-time head coaches almost never get. It\u2019s good fortune of the highest order. So if it\u2019s better to be lucky than good, it\u2019s even better to be both. That\u2019s the kind of setup Minter and Baltimore seem to be looking at for 2026.<\/p>\n<p>Todd Monken, Browns<\/p>\n<p>Career Record: \u2014 \u2014<\/p>\n<p>Many are undoubtedly wondering \u201cwhy now?\u201d when it comes to 60-year-old Todd Monken getting his first NFL head-coaching opportunity. One person who is probably not wondering is Monken himself. Although he has a solid, decades-long reputation as a play-caller and coordinator, Monken isn\u2019t coming off his best work in Baltimore. The Ravens, after all, cleaned house following the season. Even during the best of times, Monken was mostly along for the Lamar Jackson ride. His job was to get the car pointed in the right direction then stay out of the way. All of this is the long way of saying, Monken has the necessary experience to be a head coach, but he is neither an up-and-comer nor a late-bloomer. He\u2019s just a football coach who needed a job. The Cleveland Browns are a franchise that needed a coach. Any coach, because this is a desperate situation between both QBs and stadiums. As the Browns count down the days to their new domed enclave, they have no discernible quarterback of the future, and no way to find one this spring. This is a thankless, serve-holding gig. No one would mistake Monken as \u201cthe guy\u201d in Cleveland. Now, as the guy before the guy? Monken is credible enough. It will just be difficult to put a credible product on the field in 2026.<\/p>\n<p>Robert Saleh, Titans<\/p>\n<p>Career Record: 20-36 (.357)<\/p>\n<p>You don\u2019t so much \u201ccoach\u201d the New York Jets. It is more they school you. On what not to do. On the harsh realities of being a human being. On whether coaching football is what you really want to be doing with your one and only life on this earth. The Woody Johnson Jets have broken far more men than they have made. The man who preceded Robert Saleh in New York, Adam Gase, just now got back into coaching after a five-year sabbatical. It takes time to process one\u2019s time in Florham Park. Saleh did his thinking on the job. The 49ers scooped him as soon the paperwork processed from his Jets firing, and Saleh immediately revived a typically injured and undermanned Niners defense. An avowed leader of men, Saleh\u2019s 49ers return confirmed he can still coach \u2018em up with the best of \u2018em on defense. He makes all the sense in the world as another post-Jets reclamation project. Now, Saleh\u2019s Titans setup isn\u2019t a whole lot better than his Jets foundation, but Cam Ward is a sturdier quarterback prospect than Zach Wilson, and OC Brian Daboll is a more qualified offensive leader than Mike LaFleur and Nathaniel Hackett were during Saleh\u2019s Jets tenure. All the qualities that made Saleh attractive as a head coach the first time around remain intact. While it was John Harbaugh and Kevin Stefanski who got the most \u201csecond chance\u201d attention on this year\u2019s coaching carousel,, it could be Saleh who gets the best results.<\/p>\n<p>Kevin Stefanski, Falcons<\/p>\n<p>Career Record: 45-56 (.446)<\/p>\n<p>For having just gotten fired, Kevin Stefanski has it pretty good right now. Coming from what is widely perceived to be a thankless job, he gets to take all of the credit for his two 11-win campaigns and none of the blame for any of the various other fiascos. The thing is, this is probably the right call. Quite literally no other coach has had even one 11-win season for the reincarnated Browns. It\u2019s a compelling data point \u2026 that lives amongst a sea of other noise. Why did Stefanski have to keep stripping himself of play-calling duties? Why does he get so much credit for one good Baker Mayfield season when the feat ended up getting repeated elsewhere? Why did Mayfield even have to play elsewhere? Why couldn\u2019t Stefanski keep it going in Cleveland? It\u2019s widely assumed \u2014 emphasis on assumed \u2014 Stefanski didn\u2019t deserve any of the blame for the Browns\u2019 Deshaun Watson courtship, but what about Watson\u2019s disastrously poor play in Stefanski\u2019s system? Again, it\u2019s possible if not probable a washed Watson would have failed for any head coach. But like so many of the explanations for Stefanski\u2019s ultimate Browns failure, it\u2019s unfalsifiable. He has been graded on a sliding scale. It\u2019s time to see what happens for a vaguely more competent franchise.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Of the 10 head coaches who were either fired or resigned this offseason, six made the playoffs with&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":588197,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[436],"tags":[49,48,514,82],"class_list":["post-588196","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-nfl","tag-ca","tag-canada","tag-nfl","tag-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/588196","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=588196"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/588196\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/588197"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=588196"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=588196"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=588196"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}