{"id":600942,"date":"2026-04-13T10:03:12","date_gmt":"2026-04-13T10:03:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/600942\/"},"modified":"2026-04-13T10:03:12","modified_gmt":"2026-04-13T10:03:12","slug":"mark-carney-could-win-majority-government","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/600942\/","title":{"rendered":"Mark Carney could win majority government"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Founder of Nanos Research Nik Nanos breaks down the state of play for the parties and the leaders that could bring the Liberals closer to a majority. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">Canadians in three ridings are heading to the polls today. How they vote could determine if Prime Minister Mark Carney\u2019s Liberals secure a majority government by the end of the night. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">Nearly a year after last April\u2019s minority government victory and on the heels of courting five opposition MPs to cross the floor, the Liberals\u2019 control over Parliament is on the verge of stabilizing, depending on the results of three byelections. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">Up for grabs are two Ontario Liberal strongholds where former senior cabinet ministers Chrystia Freeland and Bill Blair resigned: University-Rosedale and Scarborough Southwest, respectively. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">Should Carney also pick up the hotly contested Terrebonne, Que. riding \u2013 after last year\u2019s election result was invalidated by the Supreme Court \u2013 that would mean the Liberals could be sitting at 174 seats come tomorrow. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">In Freeland\u2019s old University-Rosedale riding, family doctor Danielle Martin is facing off against Conservative candidate Don Hodgson and New Democrat Serena Purdy. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">In Blair\u2019s former Scarborough Southwest riding, former Ontario NDP deputy leader Doly Begum is hoping to beat Conservative candidate Diana Filipova and NDP candidate Fatima Shaban. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">In hotly-contested Terrebonne, Que., Liberal candidate Tatiana Auguste is facing off against Bloc Quebecois candidate Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagn\u00e9 \u2013 who held the seat from 2021 until last year\u2019s election \u2013 and Conservative hopeful Adrienne Charles. <\/p>\n<p>CTV National News: Byelections loom as key Quebec riding draws national attention The Liberals are eying wins in two ridings, but Terrebonne remains a wildcard. Annie Bergeron-Oliver explains why this Quebec race is drawing national focus. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">This seat was vacated earlier this year, after the razor-thin 2025 election result was <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ctvnews.ca\/politics\/article\/liberals-chase-a-majority-government-as-bloc-chases-a-return-to-parliament-in-terrebone\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.ctvnews.ca\/politics\/article\/liberals-chase-a-majority-government-as-bloc-chases-a-return-to-parliament-in-terrebone\/\">invalidated by the Supreme Court<\/a>. With 48 people on the ballot in Monday\u2019s by-election \u2013 due to the \u201clongest ballot\u201d protest effort \u2013 Elections Canada is using write-in ballots. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.elections.ca\/content.aspx?section=ele&amp;dir=2026&amp;document=index&amp;lang=ehttps:\/\/www.elections.ca\/content.aspx?section=ele&amp;dir=2026&amp;document=index&amp;lang=e\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.elections.ca\/content.aspx?section=ele&amp;dir=2026&amp;document=index&amp;lang=ehttps:\/\/www.elections.ca\/content.aspx?section=ele&amp;dir=2026&amp;document=index&amp;lang=e\">Polls are open in these ridings<\/a> between 8:30 a.m. and 8:30 p.m. ET. <\/p>\n<p>Floor-crossers played a role in nearing majority <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">The Liberals have hovered around the 172-seat threshold for a majority government since the 2025 general election, when they came up just three ridings short, winning 169 seats. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">After months of working across party lines to garner enough support to pass bills, and those two aforementioned Trudeau-era cabinet ministers resigning, a series of floor-crossings started to make the math easier for Carney\u2019s minority government. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">In about as many months, Carney attracted five opposition MPs to cross the floor, putting his party at 171 seats as of last Wednesday when Marilyn Gladu became the newest Liberal recruit. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">The standings in the House of Commons going into tonight\u2019s by-elections are: Liberals 171 seats, Conservatives 140 seats, Bloc Quebecois 22 seats, NDP six seats, Greens one seat, and of course the three vacancies. Combined, the opposition parties hold 169 seats. <\/p>\n<p>\u2018Persistent indications\u2019 in Parliament that there are more floor crossings ahead, Tom Mulcair says CTV News\u2019 Political Commentator Tom Mulcair says Tories are \u2018nervous\u2019 about Poilievre not being able to win an election, hence the recent floor crossings. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">If the Liberals win just one riding, they would have a majority on paper, but would need Liberal MP and House Speaker Francis Scarpaleggia to cast a vote in their favour in the case of a tie. Any additional victories this evening would strengthen their ability to control parliamentary outcomes. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">Carney has already insisted that he is not considering proroguing Parliament if he secures a majority. He wouldn\u2019t need to, in order to take control of House committees, which are widely considered where the bulk of work in the Commons can be accomplished. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">\u201cWe are absolutely focused on working with Parliament, getting legislation through Parliament, adjusting legislation where it needs to be, where it\u2019s better informed by the discussions in Parliament,\u201d Carney said in late March. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">This is a developing story. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Founder of Nanos Research Nik Nanos breaks down the state of play for the parties and the leaders&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":600943,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[712,49,48,44],"class_list":["post-600942","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-canada","tag-apple-news","tag-ca","tag-canada","tag-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/600942","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=600942"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/600942\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/600943"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=600942"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=600942"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=600942"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}