{"id":621343,"date":"2026-04-22T15:56:15","date_gmt":"2026-04-22T15:56:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/621343\/"},"modified":"2026-04-22T15:56:15","modified_gmt":"2026-04-22T15:56:15","slug":"daily-mlb-expert-picks-baseball-predictions-april-22","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/621343\/","title":{"rendered":"Daily MLB Expert Picks & Baseball Predictions April 22"},"content":{"rendered":"

Want to get more Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account here<\/a>.<\/p>\n

We’re running with run lines for our MLB best bets today, taking advantage of the prices available at Polymarket<\/a> (which allows users across the country to join in on baseball action).<\/p>\n

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Read on to see why our expert MLB picks<\/a> for April 22 feature the Cubs<\/a>, Padres<\/a>, and Dodgers<\/a> all winning by multiple runs.<\/p>\n

MLB expert picks for today<\/p>\n

Pick<\/p>\n

Odds<\/p>\n

Josh Inglis<\/a>: SD -1.5<\/p>\n

-104<\/p>\n

Neil Parker<\/a>: LAD -1.5<\/p>\n

-117<\/p>\n

Joe Osborne<\/a>: CHC -1.5<\/p>\n

+122<\/p>\n

Prices courtesy of Polymarket.<\/p>\n

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Josh Inglis’ expert pick: Padres -1.5<\/p>\n

Price: 51\u00a2 (-104) at Polymarket<\/p>\n

Don\u2019t let the sub-4.00 ERA from Tomoyuki Sugano<\/a> fool you: He\u2019s been one of the luckiest pitchers to start the year, carrying a 7.71 xERA vs. a 3.92 actual ERA. He\u2019s getting hit hard, running a low BABIP and stranding 88% of runners \u2014 clear regression signals. The San Diego Padres<\/a>, sitting at 16-7 SU, are well-positioned to stack runs tonight, and a late comeback is unlikely with a fully available bullpen, including closer Mason Miller<\/a>. The fair price on the moneyline sits around -195, versus a -165 market, and the run line breakeven is closer to -130, making -104 strong value. The Rockies were just shut out last night, and I’m expecting those struggles to continue today.<\/p>\n

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Neil Parker’s expert pick: Dodgers -1.5<\/p>\n

Price: 54\u00a2 (-117) at Polymarket<\/p>\n

If Shohei Ohtani<\/a>\u2019s first three starts are any indication, this could be his best season yet on the mound. He\u2019s posted a 0.50 ERA with 18 strikeouts and a 0.72 WHIP, limiting baserunners at an elite level, which lines up strongly against a Giants lineup that’s ranked 27th in OBP over the last two weeks. Meanwhile, Tyler Mahle<\/a> has allowed 5+ earned runs in two of his last three starts and faces the league\u2019s top offense vs. right-handed pitching. I’m also expecting to see a motivated Dodgers<\/a> team after last night\u2019s loss: They\u2019re 5-1 in games following a defeat in 2026.<\/p>\n

Joe Osborne’s expert pick: Cubs -1.5<\/p>\n

Price: 45\u00a2 (+122) at Polymarket<\/p>\n

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The\u00a0Cubs<\/a> are on a 10-3 heater, while scoring 6.4 runs per game and pacing the majors in wOBA during that span. Chicago<\/a> has also covered the run line in eight of those 10 wins \u2014 and 14 of the past 22 at Wrigley Field overall. Philadelphia<\/a> is projected to open with Kyle Backhus<\/a>, followed by veteran Taijuan Walker<\/a> in a bulk role, which sets up poorly for the Phillies<\/a>: Walker has been saddled with a 5.08 ERA and 4.90 xFIP, alongside the fourth-lowest strikeout-to-walk rate (7.9%) in the majors across the last four seasons.<\/p>\n

More MLB best bets for today<\/p>\n

Pick<\/p>\n

Odds<\/p>\n

Orioles<\/a> ML<\/p>\n

+115<\/p>\n

Read analysis in our Orioles vs. Royals predictions<\/a><\/p>\n

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.<\/p>\n

This article originally appeared on Covers.com<\/a>, read the full article here<\/a> and view our best betting sites<\/a> or check out our top sportsbook promos<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Want to get more Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account here. We’re…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":621344,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[435],"tags":[49,48,6681,1501,511,233231,233229,157354,233232,10726,462,233230,7669,7673,1518,1498,477,482,82,58578,28242,71493],"class_list":{"0":"post-621343","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-mlb","8":"tag-ca","9":"tag-canada","10":"tag-chicago","11":"tag-cubs","12":"tag-dodgers","13":"tag-expert-pick","14":"tag-joe-osborne","15":"tag-josh-inglis","16":"tag-kyle-backhus","17":"tag-mason-miller","18":"tag-mlb","19":"tag-neil-parker","20":"tag-orioles","21":"tag-padres","22":"tag-philadelphia","23":"tag-phillies","24":"tag-san-diego-padres","25":"tag-shohei-ohtani","26":"tag-sports","27":"tag-taijuan-walker","28":"tag-tomoyuki-sugano","29":"tag-tyler-mahle"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/621343","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=621343"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/621343\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/621344"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=621343"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=621343"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=621343"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}