{"id":628105,"date":"2026-04-25T17:00:35","date_gmt":"2026-04-25T17:00:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/628105\/"},"modified":"2026-04-25T17:00:35","modified_gmt":"2026-04-25T17:00:35","slug":"pirates-vs-brewers-prediction-picks-odds-for-tonights-mlb-game","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/628105\/","title":{"rendered":"Pirates vs Brewers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s MLB Game"},"content":{"rendered":"

Want to get more Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account here<\/a>.<\/p>\n

The Milwaukee Brewers<\/a> hope to bounce back on Saturday in the second game of their series against the visiting Pittsburgh Pirates<\/a>.<\/p>\n

They were nearly the victim of a Paul Skenes<\/a> perfect game last night, but our MLB odds have them favored to continue Pittsburgh\u2019s 15-game streak of alternating victories with defeats.<\/p>\n

Here are my Pirates vs. Brewers predictions and MLB picks<\/a> for the side and total for Saturday, April 25.<\/p>\n

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Who will win Pirates vs Brewers today: Brewers (-134)<\/p>\n

Jacob Misiorowski<\/a> has shown some nasty stuff to start the season.<\/p>\n

He ranks in the 98th percentile in fastball velocity, whiff rate, and strikeout rate.<\/p>\n

Add in an extension that sits in the 99th percentile, and it\u2019s problematic for a Pittsburgh Pirates<\/a> lineup that has the seventh-highest whiff rate in the majors. The Pirates also chase a fair amount, but have the fifth-lowest chase contact rate.<\/p>\n

Mitch Keller<\/a> is outperforming his xERA and xFIP by nearly a full run. He\u2019s facing a serious platoon disadvantage, and his command issues will be exploited by a Milwaukee Brewers<\/a> lineup ranked second in walk rate.<\/p>\n

\"Covers\"<\/p>\n

Covers<\/p>\n

COVERS INTEL:<\/p>\n

Jacob Misiorowski has generated a 43.6% whiff rate on his four-seam fastball, up from 32.5% a season ago.<\/p>\n

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Pirates vs Brewers Over\/Under pick: \u00a0Under 8.5 (-133)<\/p>\n

While I expect the Brewers to get to Keller, I am not expecting a high-run output. Milwaukee ranks fourth-worst in both ISO and xwOBA, and third-worst in xwOBAcon.<\/p>\n

The Brewers have made up for that by drawing walks and ranking fifth in generating runs on the basepaths. Even so, I can\u2019t see them posting a big number.<\/p>\n

Misiorowski\u2019s biggest issue has been home runs, but the Pirates rank just 20th in ISO.<\/p>\n

Both bullpens rank in the top half of the league in xFIP and are rested after yesterday\u2019s game. They\u2019ll limit damage in the late innings to push this total Under.<\/p>\n

Jason Ence’s 2026 Transparency Record<\/p>\n

ML\/RL bets: 1-3, -2.23 units<\/p>\n

Over\/Under bets: 4-0, +4.08 units<\/p>\n

Pirates vs Brewers odds<\/p>\n

Moneyline: Pirates +122 | Brewers -127<\/p>\n

Run line: Pirates +1.5 (-178) | Brewers +1.5 (+170)<\/p>\n

Over\/Under: Over 8.5 (+113) | Under 8.5 (-117)<\/p>\n

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Pirates vs Brewers trend<\/p>\n

The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 away games (+10.25 Units \/ 31% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends<\/a> for Pirates vs. Brewers.<\/p>\n

How to watch Pirates vs Brewers and game info<\/p>\n

Location<\/p>\n

American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI<\/p>\n

Date<\/p>\n

Saturday, April-25, 2026<\/p>\n

First pitch<\/p>\n

7:10 p.m. ET<\/p>\n

TV<\/p>\n

MLB.TV<\/p>\n

Pirates starting pitcher<\/p>\n

Mitch Keller
(2-1, 2.79 ERA)<\/p>\n

Brewers starting pitcher<\/p>\n

Jacob Misiorowski
(1-3, 3.04 ERA)<\/p>\n

Pirates vs Brewers latest injuriesPirates vs Brewers weather<\/p>\n

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.<\/p>\n

This article originally appeared on Covers.com<\/a>, read the full article here<\/a> and view our best betting sites<\/a> or check out our top sportsbook promos<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Want to get more Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account here. The…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":628106,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[435],"tags":[49,48,469,493,13945,462,504,509,82],"class_list":{"0":"post-628105","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-mlb","8":"tag-ca","9":"tag-canada","10":"tag-jacob-misiorowski","11":"tag-milwaukee-brewers","12":"tag-mitch-keller","13":"tag-mlb","14":"tag-paul-skenes","15":"tag-pittsburgh-pirates","16":"tag-sports"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/628105","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=628105"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/628105\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/628106"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=628105"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=628105"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=628105"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}