{"id":640702,"date":"2026-05-01T12:00:10","date_gmt":"2026-05-01T12:00:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/640702\/"},"modified":"2026-05-01T12:00:10","modified_gmt":"2026-05-01T12:00:10","slug":"nascar-wurth-400-sleeper-picks-and-predictions-texas-motor-speedway","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/640702\/","title":{"rendered":"NASCAR Wurth 400 Sleeper Picks and Predictions \u2014 Texas Motor Speedway"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>                           <img decoding=\"async\" width=\"40\" height=\"40\" loading=\"eager\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/14875b4d-effe-471e-a271-6df9b47cb9aa.jpg\" alt=\"Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com\"\/><\/p>\n<p>                        <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"covers-mini-logo\" src=\"https:\/\/img.covers.com\/covers\/icons\/global-icons\/covers-c-new.svg\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\" loading=\"eager\" fetchpriority=\"high\"\/><\/p>\n<p>\n            Updated:<br \/>\nMay 1, 2026 , 06:06 AM ET<\/p>\n<p>                \u2022 4 min read<\/p>\n<p class=\"covers-Articlemodern-cutLine\">See why Daniel Suarez tops Robert Criscola&#8217;s sleeper selections and long shot picks for the Wurth 400.<\/p>\n<p>Photo By &#8211; Reuters Connect. NASCAR Cup Series driver Daniel Suarez.<\/p>\n<p>They say everything is bigger in Texas, and my Wurth 400 sleeper picks are hoping that&#8217;s the case when it comes to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.covers.com\/nascar\/nascar-cup-series-odds\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NASCAR Cup Series odds<\/a> on Sunday&#8217;s winner at Texas Motor Speedway.<\/p>\n<p>See why my <a href=\"https:\/\/www.covers.com\/picks\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">free betting picks<\/a> for May 3 have identified Daniel Suarez as one of the best value bets on the board.<\/p>\n<p>Wurth 400 sleeper picks<\/p>\n<p>Wallace (+1800)<br \/>\nKeselowski (+1800)<br \/>\nSuarez (+5500)<\/p>\n<p>Picks were made on 5-1.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/preferences\/source?q=covers.com\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"googleLink border-0 bg-lighter rounded-2 py-2 px-3 d-flex gap-2 justify-content-between align-items-center mb-5\" data-linkcont=\"Article-Google-Preferences-Click\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/1777636810_525_google-preferred-source-badge.png\" width=\"102\" height=\"36\" alt=\"Add as a preferred source on Google\" loading=\"lazy\"\/><\/a>Wurth 400 sleeper predictions<\/p>\n<p>Sleeper pick to win: Bubba Wallace<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.covers.com\/betting\/sportsbookredirect?vertical=betting&amp;location=editorial&amp;slug=draft-kings\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">+1800 at DraftKings<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Success at Texas was elusive for Bubba Wallace early on in his career, but he&#8217;s begun to piece it together.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Wallace ran third while leading 111 laps here in September 2023, placing in both stages. He followed that up in April 2024 with a seventh, including five laps led and another two stage placements.<\/p>\n<p>Wallace failed to lead any laps at Texas last May but placed fifth in Stage 2. However, a late-race accident doomed him to a 33rd-place result.<\/p>\n<p>That last effort could serve to muddy his form a bit, as might his accident at Talladega last Sunday, and keep these odds nice and healthy.<\/p>\n<p>Sleeper pick to win: Brad Keselowski<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.covers.com\/betting\/sportsbookredirect?vertical=betting&amp;location=editorial&amp;slug=draft-kings\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">+1800 at DraftKings<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Brad Keselowski had a string of six straight Top 10s at Texas interrupted last May, where he ran 28th, by a crash.<\/p>\n<p>Those Top 10s were not cheapies either, as he completed the exacta twice in that span. He also led laps three times and recorded seven stage placings.<\/p>\n<p>Keselowski has run sixth and second, respectively, in the last two intermediate tracks on the Cup Series circuit (Kansas and Darlington).<\/p>\n<p>Sleeper pick to win: Daniel Suarez<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.covers.com\/betting\/sportsbookredirect?vertical=betting&amp;location=editorial&amp;slug=draft-kings\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">+5500 at DraftKings<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Daniel Suarez has just two wins from 333 career Cup Series starts, but he did take the All-Star Open at Texas Motor Speedway back in 2022, and followed that up with a fifth in the All-Star Race itself.<\/p>\n<p>Since those exhibition events, Suarez has run 12th, eighth, fifth, and 10th at Texas, and recorded three stage placings.<\/p>\n<p>Suarez has only one DNF this season as he&#8217;s been figuring things out at Spire Motorsports, and his overall average finish on the year ranks 13th, not bad at all for a 50-1 shot.<\/p>\n<p> Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.<br \/>Not intended for use in MA.<br \/>Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.<\/p>\n<p>        Pages related to this topic<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Updated: May 1, 2026 , 06:06 AM ET \u2022 4 min read See why Daniel Suarez tops Robert&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":640703,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[446],"tags":[49,48,634,82],"class_list":["post-640702","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-nascar","tag-ca","tag-canada","tag-nascar","tag-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/640702","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=640702"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/640702\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/640703"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=640702"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=640702"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=640702"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}