{"id":647056,"date":"2026-05-04T11:31:10","date_gmt":"2026-05-04T11:31:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/647056\/"},"modified":"2026-05-04T11:31:10","modified_gmt":"2026-05-04T11:31:10","slug":"premier-league-relegation-battle-can-nottingham-forest-take-a-step-towards-safety-at-chelsea","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/647056\/","title":{"rendered":"Premier League relegation battle: Can Nottingham Forest take a step towards safety at Chelsea?"},"content":{"rendered":"

How many points do you need to stay in the Premier League?published at 11:41 BST<\/p>\n

11:41 BST<\/p>\n

\"\"Jonty Colman
BBC Sport Journalist<\/p>\n

\"Ask<\/p>\n

Premier League teams finishing on 36 or more points in each of the past nine seasons were guaranteed safety from relegation.<\/p>\n

In the 20-team Premier League era, starting from the 1995-96 season, the average number of points needed for survival by finishing 17th is 35.53.<\/p>\n

No team in the past nine campaigns has earned 36 points and been relegated.<\/p>\n

However, this season is on track to be the toughest to survive in 15 years. After 35 rounds of games, 18th place is projected to finish on 39 points, meaning 40 points would be enough to guarantee survival.<\/p>\n

In the 30 Premier League 38-game seasons, 36 points has ensured survival 60% of the time.<\/p>\n

That rate of survival increases to 80% for 38 points, 90% for 40 points and 100% for 43 or more points.<\/p>\n

West Ham hold the record for the team relegated with the most points in the 20-team era. In the 2002-03 season, the Hammers picked up 42 points but were still relegated.<\/p>\n

The safety thresholds for the last two seasons have been significantly lower due to newly promoted teams struggling in the Premier League. The last two seasons have seen 26 and 27 points be enough to seal safety respectively.<\/p>\n

Only once prior to the 2023-24 season has a total below 30 points been enough to seal survival.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"How many points do you need to stay in the Premier League?published at 11:41 BST 11:41 BST Jonty…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":647057,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[440],"tags":[49,48,561,82],"class_list":["post-647056","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-soccer","tag-ca","tag-canada","tag-soccer","tag-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/647056","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=647056"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/647056\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/647057"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=647056"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=647056"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=647056"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}