{"id":656361,"date":"2026-05-08T16:53:08","date_gmt":"2026-05-08T16:53:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/656361\/"},"modified":"2026-05-08T16:53:08","modified_gmt":"2026-05-08T16:53:08","slug":"best-mlb-home-run-prop-bet-picks-today-target-juan-soto-nick-kurtz-munetaka-murakami","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/656361\/","title":{"rendered":"Best MLB Home Run Prop Bet Picks Today (Target Juan Soto, Nick Kurtz, Munetaka Murakami)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p id=\"inline-text-0\" class=\"mt-[18px] md:mt-0 mb-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7k\">Looking for a home run prop to kick off this weekend\u2019s MLB action?\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-1\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7n\">All 30 teams will play on Friday night, giving bettors plenty of options to choose from when it comes to the home run market.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-2\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7q\">On Friday, I\u2019m targeting three left-handed sluggers, including New York Mets star Juan Soto, who has dominated right-handed pitching so far in 2026.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-3\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7t\">Betting on home run props isn\u2019t easy, but usually bettors can land a pretty favorable payout if they get a pick correct. Just this week, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/betting\/best-mlb-home-run-prop-bet-picks-today-bet-on-aaron-judge-byron-buxton-cubs-of\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">I hit a +610 prop for Ian Happ<\/a> to leave the yard against the Cincinnati Reds.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-4\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7w\">So, let\u2019s see if we can stay hot with these three picks on May 8.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Best MLB Home Run Prop Bet Picks for Friday, May 8<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-6\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"82\"><a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/4kJjtBu\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Nick Kurtz to Hit a Home Run (+328)<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-8\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"88\">A\u2019s first baseman Nick Kurtz is off to a bit of a slow start in 2026, hitting just five homers in 36 games, but he\u2019s really crushed right-handed pitching.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-9\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8b\">Kurtz has all five of his homers and a .932 OPS against righties this season, and I\u2019m buying him in Friday\u2019s game against the Baltimore Orioles.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-10\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8e\">Orioles righty Kyle Bradish is on the mound, and he\u2019s struggled in 2026, posting a 5.03 ERA in seven starts. Bradish ranks in the 24th percentile in expected ERA and just the ninth percentile in barrel percentage so far this season.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-11\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8h\">On top of that, he\u2019s allowed five home runs, including at least one homer in three consecutive starts. This is a solid matchup for Kurtz, who did hit 36 home runs (with a .290 average) as a rookie in 2025.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Juan Soto to Hit a Home Run (+249)<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-13\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8n\">New York Mets star Juan Soto is hitting .367 with a 1.079 OPS against right-handed pitchers this season, making him an intriguing bet against the Arizona Diamondbacks and righty Ryne Nelson.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-14\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8q\">Soto is 3-for-12 with two homers and seven walks against Nelson in his career, and the D-Backs righty has struggled with the long ball in 2026. Nelson, who has a 6.61 ERA, has given up seven homers in as many starts. On top of that, he ranks in the 13th percentile in expected ERA, the 14th percentile in average exit velocity against, the ninth percentile in barrel percentage and the 10th percentile in hard-hit percentage.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-15\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8t\">Simply put, bettors can\u2019t trust Nelson to keep this New York offense in check.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-16\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8w\">Since Soto has fared so well against Nelson in his career, I don\u2019t mind targeting him in this series opener on Friday night.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Munetaka Murakami to Hit a Home Run (+302)<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-18\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"92\">Chicago White Sox star Munetaka Murakami is in his first season in MLB, and he\u2019s already showing that he can be an elite power bat.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-19\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"95\">Murakami has 14 home runs in 37 games, including 10 home runs and a .935 OPS against right-handed pitching. On Friday, he takes on Seattle Mariners righty Emerson Hancock, who has pitched well to open this season despite some home-run issues.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-20\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"98\">Hancock has a 2.59 ERA, but he has allowed seven home runs in seven starts. That\u2019s a good sign for Murakami, as he\u2019s homered twice in the last week (six games, five starts) and four times over the last two weeks.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-21\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9b\">I think the White Sox slugger is worth a look to stay hot in this matchup. <\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-23\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9g\">Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-24\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9j\">If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-25\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9m\">Claim the latest\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/betting\/sportsbook-promos\/draftkings-promo-code\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">DraftKings promo code<\/a>\u00a0offer today. Sign up and get\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/4kJjtBu\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" target=\"_blank\">$100 in bonus bets instantly when you make your first $5 bet<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"22\" height=\"22\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.minutemediacdn.com\/platform\/google_discover_icon.svg\" class=\"shrink-0\"\/>Add us as a preferred source on Google<a aria-label=\"Follow si.com on Google News\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/preferences\/source?q=si.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" class=\"flex h-[30px] w-[30px] shrink-0 items-center justify-center rounded-full bg-primary font-group-large text-sm font-medium text-white transition-colors hover:bg-secondary focus:bg-secondary md:w-auto md:gap-2.5 md:px-4 md:py-[5px]\">Follow<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Looking for a home run prop to kick off this weekend\u2019s MLB action?\u00a0 All 30 teams will play&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":656362,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[435],"tags":[49,48,462,82],"class_list":["post-656361","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-mlb","tag-ca","tag-canada","tag-mlb","tag-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/656361","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=656361"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/656361\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/656362"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=656361"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=656361"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=656361"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}