And there\u2019s bets you can make on this event, too. Check out odds and my best bets for the evening, below:<\/p>\n
Rate the MVP MMA: Rousey vs. Carano card out of 10!<\/p>\n <\/a><\/p>\n For what it is, I’m rating this pretty high. This is one of the more exciting main cards that we’ve seen this year, even if that main event will likely be terrible MMA. <\/p>\n Diaz vs. Perry, even at this stage of their careers, is more intriguing and potentially exciting than 80 percent of what I’ve seen in the Octagon this year.<\/p>\n I’m going 9 here (with hopes that they really go all out on the production for this thing and don’t just try and be a UFC clone).<\/p>\n Rousey vs. Carano Main Card Money Line Odds<\/p>\n NEW YORK, NY – APRIL 15: Ronda Rousey and Gina Carano attend Rousey vs. Carano NYC Press Conference at The Palladium on April 15, 2026 in New York, New York. (Photo by Sarah Stier\/Getty Images for Netflix) Getty Images for Netflix<\/p>\n Ronda Rousey (-535) vs. Gina Carano (+400)<\/p>\n She\u2019s been out of MMA for 15 years and I bet it\u2019s been a long time since she stepped into a gym and threw at some pads. There is no reason to believe she has any chance of winning a fair and honest fight against Rousey, who is five years younger and not as far removed from the sport.<\/p>\n I\u2019m not even sure if Carano is going to make it to fight night.<\/p>\n Despite the odds being quite reserved here, I think this fight is going to happen exactly how Rousey wants it to. What we\u2019re left wondering, though, is how does she want it to go?<\/p>\n Rousey has both the biggest and most fragile ego we\u2019ve perhaps seen in MMA. She\u2019s shown us, time and time again, that she is obsessed with maintaining an aura of specialness around her. For this fight, we have to wonder what would be more special to Rousey.<\/p>\n Would she like to finish this as quick as possible and show the world she is leagues above the only ever woman we can compare to her for prime popularity and mainstream crossover success?<\/p>\n Or would she like to create a spectacle and soak up the spotlight for longer than a minute, before then getting her win?<\/p>\n I think she\u2019s capable of doing either. But it\u2019s very hard to known what Rousey thinks would look best for her.<\/p>\n If she takes Carano down early, then it\u2019s a wrap. There\u2019s no way Carano will be able to stop the arm bar.<\/p>\n If Rousey decides she wants to show the world she can box, she might try and extend this fight. If she does that, will Carano be able to answer back on the feet? Probably not, she\u2019s 44! But there\u2019s a chance Rousey might get hit once or twice. Even though Rousey has been stopped before, and has apparently horrible concussions<\/a>, I still don\u2019t think Carano has the strength or technique left to land anything hard.<\/p>\n With these two scenarios in mind, the market we have to focus on is the round total.<\/p>\n Right now the total is 1.5 rounds. The over is +150 and the under is -195. So Vegas thinks a quick win is on the cards.<\/p>\n I\u2019m leaning that way, too. I think there\u2019s a great chance that Rousey wants to go in there and dunk on Carano as hard as she possibly can and then finish her career in the dominating fashion that she most wants to be remembered for. I do think there\u2019s a chance she messes around on the feet a little, but I just don\u2019t see Rousey having the confidence to let this go too far until she takes the fight into her safezone, where she\u2019s guaranteed a win.<\/p>\n So I think this fight lasts either 10 seconds or four minutes, but nothing longer than that.<\/p>\n It seems pretty obvious that Rousey will choose to win this by submission. There\u2019s -250 odds on that. Rousey by KO\/TKO is +450. That\u2019s interesting, since we don\u2019t know how Carano is going to react to getting hit and we might see Rousey land a big ugly shot like she did on Bethe Correia.<\/p>\n Rousey by decision is +1200. The odds on Carano are +550 for TKO\/KO, +2000 for submission and +2500 for decision. How are the odds shorter for submission than decision?<\/p>\n I think we\u2019re looking at a Rousey submission here, but I\u2019d rather go the safer route for my best bet. For a little extra value, I\u2019ll go with round one as the winning round.<\/p>\n Best bet: Fight ends in Round 1 (-130)<\/p>\n Who wins this weekend Ronda Rousey or Gina Carano and HOW?<\/p>\n <\/a><\/p>\n Well, I think we are all watching this shit on Saturday. How do you think it’s going to go?<\/p>\n The most obvious thing seems to be Rousey with a quick hip toss to armbar. But… maybe she effs around and finds out instead?<\/p>\n Closes in 3 days \u2022 40 total votesView results<\/p>\n Rousey by submissionRousey by TKO\/KORousey by decisionCarano by submissionCarano by TKO\/KOCarano by decisionRec 0CommentsThin Stroke Comment Icon BubbleReplyRead 3 replies NEW YORK, NY – APRIL 15: Nate Diaz and Mike Perry attend Rousey vs. Carano NYC Press Conference at The Palladium on April 15, 2026 in New York, New York. (Photo by Sarah Stier\/Getty Images for Netflix) Getty Images for Netflix<\/p>\n Nate Diaz (+180) vs. Mike Perry (-218)<\/p>\n Perry has been one of the more busy and successful fighters on the post-UFC combat sports smorgasbord tour. He\u2019s 7-1 since he left the Octagon and he\u2019s fought some big names. In bare knuckle action he\u2019s beaten Michael Page, Luke Rockhold, Eddie Alvarez, Thiago Alves and Jeremy Stephens. There\u2019s two active UFC fighters on that list. Perry\u2019s only loss was his boxing match with Jake Paul, where he came in late and gave up a ton of size.<\/p>\n Diaz has fought twice since leaving UFC. He lost a boxing match to Paul in 2023 and then beat Jorge Masvidal in 2024, also in boxing.<\/p>\n Diaz really looked like he didn\u2019t try much in the Paul fight, both in the promotion or in the actual contest. He seemed almost embarrassed to be there. He performed much better against Masvidal and looked a lot like his old self, peppering away with shots and withstanding the hardest stuff Gamebred could throw at him.<\/p>\n Diaz is the slight underdog for this fight and I think that\u2019s mostly because of where he is in his career\/life right now. He\u2019s 41. Perry, despite feeling like he\u2019s been around for ages, is only 34. If this fight were happening ten years ago, you\u2019d expect Diaz to totally overwhelm Perry with his size, reach and volume striking.<\/p>\n Right now, though, I just don\u2019t think Diaz will be able to show that same amount of fire. I feel pretty confident that Perry has enough in the tank to fight at a relatively high pace, though.<\/p>\n Perry has been stopping guys lately without gloves on, but I don\u2019t think he can crack that famous Diaz chin. It feels to me we are heading to a decision on this one and Vegas agrees with me. The round total is 4.5 and it\u2019s -115 for either the over or the under.<\/p>\n For my best bet, I\u2019m just going to go with Perry. I think he\u2019s going to be the one moving forwards and doing the most.<\/p>\n Best bet: Mike Perry moneyline (-218)<\/p>\n What are you watching this weekend? UFC or Ronda vs. Gina?<\/p>\n <\/a><\/p>\n I’ll be locked on the APEX, since I have to do the play-by-play. If I wasn’t working, I would invite some folks over and watch the MVP card.<\/p>\n Closes in 2 days \u2022 75 total votesView results<\/p>\n UFC Vegas 117MVP: Rousey vs. CaranoLittle bit of bothNeitherRec 1CommentsThin Stroke Comment Icon BubbleReplyRead 18 replies INGLEWOOD, CALIFORNIA – MARCH 10: Francis Ngannouand Philipe Lins face off during Netflix\u2019s Ronda Rousey x Gina Carano Los Angeles MMA Press Conference at Intuit Dome on March 10, 2026 in Inglewood, California. (Photo by Melina Pizano\/Getty Images for Netflix) Getty Images for Netflix<\/p>\n Francis Ngannou (-1450) vs. Philipe Lins (+850)<\/p>\n The last time we saw Ngannou was in October, 2024. That\u2019s when he smashed Renan Ferreira (see it here<\/a>) to reclaim the PFL Heavyweight title. That was his first MMA fight since he beat Ciryl Gane at UFC 270 in 2022. In between those fights he lost to Tyson Fury and Anthony Joshua. He lost the Joshua fight by crushing KO (see it here<\/a>).<\/p>\n A lot has happened around Ngannou during this time. He was involved in a fatal car accident. He suffered the tragic loss of his infant son. And he had a very unsatisfying career with PFL. That was initially sold as a unique partnership that would see Ngannou revolutionize fighter-promoter dynamics as well as jumpstart serious MMA development in Africa. Ngannou and PFL ended with a bad breakup, with very little accomplishments to show for it. All that, stacked on top of each other, along with the humbling experience of being KO\u2019d for the first time in his life, has to weight on you.<\/p>\n Ngannou also turns 40 in September.<\/p>\n Lins turns 41 in August. He was released by UFC despite being on a four fight winning streak which included a TKO over Ovince St. Preux (see it here<\/a>). The Brazilian\u2019s last fight was in 2024, a unanimous decision over Ion Cutelaba.<\/p>\n I don\u2019t think this is a lay-up for Ngannou. I think he probably still wins, but I don\u2019t think its going to be one of those where he goes in there and knocks his opponent\u2019s head off without getting touched.<\/p>\n Ngannou is certainly the better striker here. And he\u2019ll have five inches of reach on Lins, too. Lins is likely not going to push his luck on the feet. I expect him to go for takedowns here. In his UFC days, Ngannou had a 71 percent takedown defense.<\/p>\n Ngannou is probably still good enough to stuff most takedowns and hurt Lins on the feet. But I think the stuff that\u2019s gone on outside the cage is really significant. So everything I think Ngannou should probably do feels a little less likely to me. I still think he will win, but that doubt is going to have me pick the over in this fight. This way, I win if Ngannou is slow to start or if this one is a lot tougher than it needs to be.<\/p>\n Best bet: Over 1.5 rounds (+165)<\/p>\n France\u2019s Salahdine Parnasse, two-time KSw champion, has his hands wrapped backstage before his English boxing duel fight against France\u2019s Franck Petitjean (not pictured), former European super-lightweight champion, at the Adidas Arena in Paris on October 4, 2025. (Photo by Anna KURTH \/ AFP via Getty Images) AFP via Getty Images<\/p>\n Salahdine Parnasse (-1100) vs. Kenny Cross (+700)<\/p>\n Parnasse has been the best fighter outside UFC for years now. He was a dominant double champ in KSW and he\u2019s still only 28 years old. There are plenty of fights he could win in UFC and he\u2019s a real coup for MVP MMA.<\/p>\n He\u2019s been given a warm body here. Cross is a 17-4 pro, but he\u2019s never fought on a show bigger than Bellator. And he lost his lone Bellator appearance, by submission. He won on Contender Series, a decision over Kevin Snyder, but wasn\u2019t signed to UFC after that (that tells you all you need to know about the performance).<\/p>\n Parnasse should run through Cross and end this quickly.<\/p>\n Best bet: Under 1.5 rounds (-140)<\/p>\n Betting on sports involves risk, so please only wager amounts you can afford to lose. If you or someone you know if struggling with gambling help can be found with the organizations listed below:<\/p>\n USA: National Problem Gambling Helpline \u2014 Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER to receive support and learn about available services.UK: GamCare – Call 0808 8020 133 to speak to an advisor about gambling (or visit gamecare.org.uk for live chat and forum options).Canada: Visit responsiblegambling.org for resources on helplines in Canada\u2019s various provinces and territories.Australia\/New Zealand: National Gambling Helpline \u2014 Call (800) 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au. LAS VEGAS, NEVADA – DECEMBER 12: Junior Dos Santos of Brazil prepares to enter the Octagon prior to his heavyweight bout against Ciryl Gane of France during the UFC 256 event at UFC APEX on December 12, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Jeff Bottari\/Zuffa LLC) Zuffa LLC via Getty Images<\/p>\n Junior dos Santos (+300) vs. Robelis Despaigne (-380)<\/p>\n MVP MMA has booked this fight hoping to start our main card off with a bang.<\/p>\n The 42 year-old Dos Santos most recently fought in 2024. That\u2019s when he stopped Alan Belcher in Gamebred Bareknuckle MMA to earn that promotion\u2019s Heavyweight title. He debuted with Gamebred the year before, taking a decision over Fabricio Werdum. Prior to that he lost to Yorgan De Castro, due to a shoulder injury, at Eagle FC.<\/p>\n All those fights came after he was released by UFC in 2020. That release mercifully came after a four fight losing streak that saw stoppage losses to Ciryl Gane, Jairzinho Rozenstruik, Curtis Blaydes and Francis Ngannou.<\/p>\n Despaigne was a cause c\u00e9l\u00e8bre when he was first signed to UFC in 2024. The massive taekwondo fighter came to the promotion after four second and three second wins in Fury FC. He won his Octagon debut after just 18 seconds (see it here<\/a>). After that he was beaten by Waldo Cortes-Acosta and Austen Lane, who took him down and tired him out. He was bounced from UFC and then landed in Karate Combat, a promotion he seems made for.<\/p>\n In Karate Combat he went 7-0 and, in December, almost killed Sam Alvey to win the Heavyweight title (see it here<\/a>).<\/p>\n JDS is not taking Despaigne down here, so I think we\u2019re going to see another big finish for the Cuban fighter. The round total is 1.5 and the under -238. Despaigne to win by KO\/TKO\/DQ in round 1 is just -125. A first minute finish in this fight is only +500. It\u2019s usually +2000.<\/p>\n It\u2019s really hard to find any value in this fight if, like me, you think Cigano is going to get brutalized. For my best bet, I\u2019m going to go all in on this this ending early and take one of the alternate round totals available.<\/p>\n Best bet: Under 0.5 rounds (+215)<\/p>\n Rousey vs. Carano \u2018Prelims\u2019 Under Card Odds<\/p>\n There\u2019s no pictures of these guys in our database. Here\u2019s a coral reef, instead. Have fun finding Namo. Anadolu via Getty Images<\/p>\n Namo Fazil (-345) vs. Jake Babian (+275)<\/p>\n There\u2019s not a lot of info or tape around on these guys. Fazil is a the heavy favorite and I\u2019m not going to argue with it. He\u2019s been around among much higher competition than Babian has. He\u2019s won in ONE, UAE Warriors and Karate Combat. Babian has never fought outside of California.<\/p>\n Best bet: Namo Fazil moneyline (-345)<\/p>\n DENVER, COLORADO – MAY 5: (L-R) Demetrious Johnson checks Adriano Moraes kick during ONE Championship Fight Night 10 on May 05, 2023, at the 1st Bank Center in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Christopher Colon\/Pximages\/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) Icon Sportswire via Getty Images<\/p>\n Adriano Moraes vs. Phumi Nkuta<\/p>\n Moraes was supposed to be fighting Muhammad Mokaev at this event. That would have been pretty compelling. Instead, he gets Nkuta, who is 11-0 and has appearences on Bellator and LFA.<\/p>\n Moraes is a former Flyweight and Bantamweight champion in ONE Championship. There are no odds out for this yet, but I expect him to be a big favorite. Things haven\u2019t gone well for him lately, though. He\u2019s 1-3 in his last four and is coming off a first round TKO loss to Yuya Wakamatsu. The other two losses were both to Demetrius Johnson.<\/p>\n I watched some of Nkuta\u2019s recent fights and he might be worth a look as an underdog, especially if you can get him plus some points on the spread.<\/p>\n NASHVILLE, TN – JUNE 12: Jason Jackson looks on before fighting Thad Jean during the semifinals of the PFL 2025 World Tournament at Nashville Municipal Auditorium on June 12, 2025 in Nashville, Florida. (Photo by Cooper Neill\/Getty Images) Getty Images<\/p>\n Jason Jackson vs. Jeff Creighton<\/p>\n Jackson was supposed to fight Lorenz Larkin here. Larkin\u2019s injury means Creighton steps in. Since this was announced so recently, like the fight above, there are no odds for it right now.<\/p>\n Jackson was a star in Bellator and PFL. He won the Bellator Welterweight belt with a TKO over Yaroslav Amosov. That looks pretty good now, eh? In PFL he made it to the 2025 final but lost a decision to Thad Jean (plenty scored it for him, though).<\/p>\n Creighton is a local fighter who has had a couple of wins on LFA. He was also a cast member on last years\u2019 The Ultimate Fighter season.<\/p>\n At 35, Jackson is five years older than Creighton, but he\u2019s also got some decent size on him. Jackson will be a big favorite here and I don\u2019t think there\u2019s much reason to deny that.<\/p>\n LAS VEGAS, NEVADA – SEPTEMBER 02: (L-R) David Mgoyan of Russia punches Tommy McMillen in a featherweight fight during Dana White\u2019s Contender Series season nine, week four at UFC APEX on September 02, 2025 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Chris Unger\/Zuffa LLC)<\/p>\n David Mgoyan (-535) vs. Albert Morales (+400)<\/p>\n Mgoyan looked pretty good on Contender Series against Sean O\u2019Malley\u2019s boy Tommy McMillen until he started to wear down. Early on Mgoyan was lighting McMillen up and out grappling him. That majority decision loss was the first and only defeat of Mgoyan\u2019s career.<\/p>\n Morales went 1-4-1 in UFC between 2016 and 2018. He\u2019s 34 now.<\/p>\n I think the 21 year-old Mgoyan will be too fast and too crafty for Morales. Mgoyan has won by a few decisions lately, so I\u2019ll take the over here when it comes out. Right now I\u2019ve only for the moneyline to go on, though.<\/p>\n Best bet: David Mgoyan moneyline (-535)<\/p>\n No pictures of these ladies either. So here is some fresh cut jade from a mine in Myanmar. LightRocket via Getty Images<\/p>\n Aline Pereira (-425) vs. Jade Masson-Wong (+330)<\/p>\n This could be a sleeper for fight of the night.<\/p>\n Pereira is the younger sister of UFC Heavyweight title challenger Alex Pereira. She\u2019s 2-2 in MMA having originally cut her teeth as a kickboxer. She\u2019s had a few viral wins in Karate Combat. Her most recent fight was a decision win on LFA last November.<\/p>\n Masson-Wong is mostly known for bare knuckle boxing. In BKFC she fought some of the bigger names over there, including a split decision loss to Christine Ferea and a unanimous decision win over Taylor Starling.<\/p>\n Pereira is going to tower over Masson-Wong. She\u2019s four inches taller and has a seven inch reach advantage. Masson-Wong is going to want to brawl, but she might struggle to get inside. I think these ladies are really going to put on a show, though, and there could be a finish (especially considering Masson-Wong isn\u2019t that used to seeing kicks).<\/p>\n I would look for under props and \u2018ends by TKO\/KO\/DQ\u2019 when they are available. Right now, though, I gotta do the moneyline again.<\/p>\n Best bet: Aline Pereira moneyline (-425)<\/p>\n DALLAS, TEXAS – AUGUST 05: Chris Avila gestures to the crowd after defeating Jeremy Stephens by decision at the American Airlines Center on August 05, 2023 in Dallas, Texas. (Photo by Sam Hodde\/Getty Images) Getty Images<\/p>\n Chris Avila (+250) vs. Brandon Jenkins -310)<\/p>\n Avila gets tagged onto the card, probably because that\u2019s somewhere in Nate Diaz\u2019s contract. Avila lost to Ariel Perez in boxing at an MVP event in August 2025. Before that he lost, also in boxing, to Benson Henderson on a Misfits card. He has boxing wins over Anthony Pettis and Jeremy Stephens. His last MMA fight was in 2021.<\/p>\n Jenkins went 0-2 in UFC in 2022, getting finished by Rongzhu and Drakkar Klose. He\u2019s been on the Karate Combat circuit a lot since then. His last MMA fight was in 2025. That ended in a kimura.<\/p>\n I\u2019ll take Avila here, since Jenkins doesn\u2019t feel like he should be a -300 favorite against anyone.<\/p>\n Best bet: Chris Avila moneyline (+250)<\/p>\n![\"Tim](\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/IMG_1018..jpeg\"\/)
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<\/p>\n<\/a>Rec 0CommentsThin Stroke Comment Icon BubbleReplyRead 12 replies<\/p>\n
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