{"id":671002,"date":"2026-05-15T11:04:09","date_gmt":"2026-05-15T11:04:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/671002\/"},"modified":"2026-05-15T11:04:09","modified_gmt":"2026-05-15T11:04:09","slug":"retirees-could-see-the-biggest-social-security-raise-in-4-years-heres-what-drives-it","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/671002\/","title":{"rendered":"Retirees Could See the Biggest Social Security Raise in 4 Years. Here&#8217;s What Drives It."},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Soaring inflation is making everyone miserable these days. But there is one upside to the price hikes: It should facilitate a sizable cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) for Social Security beneficiaries at the beginning of next year.<\/p>\n<p>A very specific number, determined by a different branch of government<\/p>\n<p>Contrary to a common belief, the annual increases in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/retirement\/social-security\/\" class=\"text-cyan-900 hover:text-cyan-800\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Social Security<\/a>&#8216;s monthly payments aren&#8217;t arbitrarily pulled out of a hat or based on what the program&#8217;s administrators feel is an affordable raise for any given year. These payment improvements are actually based on the nation&#8217;s consumer inflation rates, as officially determined by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.<\/p>\n<p>And it&#8217;s not just the number for a full calendar year. To ensure these adjustments are indicative of conditions at the time before going into effect in January, the Social Security Administration uses the average annualized consumer inflation rate for the three months of the third quarter of the calendar year. Last year, that number was 2.8%, translating into about a $56 improvement in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/research\/average-social-security-check\/\" class=\"text-cyan-900 hover:text-cyan-800\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">average monthly payment<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"Person sitting at a kitchen table while using a calculator. \" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"880\" height=\"587\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" class=\"h-auto max-w-full rounded object-contain\" style=\"color:transparent\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/1778843049_388_.jpeg\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">Image source: Getty Images.<\/p>\n<p>The United States is on track for a year of above-average inflation. In April, the annualized rate of overall consumer inflation reached <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/investing\/2026\/05\/12\/inflation-just-hit-its-highest-level-since-2023-he\/\" class=\"text-cyan-900 hover:text-cyan-800\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">nearly a three-year high of 3.8%<\/a>. If nothing changes between now and then, 2027&#8217;s Social Security COLA, announced after the third quarter for the beginning of 2027, will be in this ballpark, marking the biggest increase since the 8.7% increase that took effect in 2023. <\/p>\n<p>This will roughly be 2027&#8217;s COLA (for what it&#8217;s worth)<\/p>\n<p>Sure, things could change between now and then. Recent price increases could be reeled in.<\/p>\n<p>Realistically speaking, however, a significant unwinding of the inflation we&#8217;re currently experiencing seems unlikely. The recent numbers should align with the cost-of-living adjustment that will be announced in October.<\/p>\n<p>Just remember, this impending raise will <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/retirement\/2026\/05\/10\/a-bigger-social-security-cola-could-actually-leave\/\" class=\"text-cyan-900 hover:text-cyan-800\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">only offset this year&#8217;s higher prices<\/a>. It won&#8217;t leave more inflation-adjusted money in beneficiaries&#8217; pockets. Also, you&#8217;re already out of pocket for the price increases that the upcoming COLA is meant to offset.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Soaring inflation is making everyone miserable these days. But there is one upside to the price hikes: It&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":671003,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[45,49,48,133,131,132],"class_list":["post-671002","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-personal-finance","tag-business","tag-ca","tag-canada","tag-finance","tag-personal-finance","tag-personalfinance"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/671002","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=671002"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/671002\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/671003"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=671002"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=671002"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=671002"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}