Spread<\/p>\n
Spurs -5.5 (-110)Timberwolves +5.5 (-110)<\/p>\n
Moneyline<\/p>\n
Spurs: -218Timberwolves: +180<\/p>\n
Total<\/p>\n
218.5 (Over -110\/Under -110)Spurs vs. Timberwolves How to WatchDate: Friday, May 15Time: 9:30 p.m. ESTVenue: Target CenterHow to Watch (TV): Prime VideoSeries: San Antonio leads 3-2Spurs vs. Timberwolves Injury ReportsSpurs Injury ReportTimberwolves Injury ReportSpurs vs. Timberwolves Best NBA Prop BetsTimberwolves Best NBA Prop BetAnthony Edwards 25+ Points (-153)<\/p>\n
Edwards has seen all types of defensive coverage from the Spurs in this series, yet he\u2019s scored 32, 36 and 20 points in his last three games (all starts). The 20-point showing in Game 5 came on just 13 shots, and I expect Ant to be much more aggressive with the Wolves\u2019 season on the line.\u00a0<\/p>\n
In his playoff career, Edwards is averaging 25.9 points per game, and this is the first postseason where he hasn\u2019t averaged at least 25 per game in his entire career.<\/p>\n
When facing elimination, Edwards has put up 30, 34, 29, 27, 16, 29, 28 and 19 points. So, he\u2019s scored at least 25 in six of eight games. He\u2019s averaging 26.5 points on 22.5 shots in those games, so I expect his volume to increase on Friday night.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Edwards\u2019 two best games in this series came at home, and the two days off between Game 5 and Game 6 are huge for him since he\u2019s dealt with knee injuries all postseason. I think this line is a steal as the Wolves look to force a Game 7 in this second-round series.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Spurs vs. Timberwolves Prediction and Pick<\/p>\n
Earlier today, I shared in my NBA Best Bets column \u2013 Peter\u2019s Points<\/a> \u2013 why I\u2019m trusting the Spurs to end this series in six games:\u00a0<\/p>\n Minnesota has been a great story this postseason, as it has fought back without a healthy team to force six games in the Western Conference semifinals. Despite that, I can\u2019t get behind the Wolves at this number in Game 6.<\/p>\n Minnesota may only be alive in this series because of Wembanyama\u2019s ejection (which was deserved) in Game 4, and it failed to cover at home in Game 3, allowing him to score 39 points in the process.\u00a0<\/p>\n The Spurs are the No. 1 defense in the NBA Playoffs and rank in the top three in the league in offensive rating, defensive rating, net rating and effective field goal percentage.<\/p>\n Meanwhile, the Wolves are shooting just 41.4 percent from the field in this series, and they\u2019ve simply been outclassed since Game 2. Yes, Minnesota is 4-1 straight up at home, but it has been blown out twice by a Spurs team that has more depth.\u00a0<\/p>\n Julius Randle and Jaden McDaniels have not been efficient enough scoring the ball in this series to help Anthony Edwards, and the Spurs have done a great job taking the Wolves out of their rhythm on offense by blitzing Edwards. That\u2019s led to 80 turnovers in five games, making it extremely tough for Minnesota to keep pace with an efficient Spurs offense.\u00a0<\/p>\n It\u2019s certainly possible that the Wolves force a Game 7, but it\u2019s hard to look at the results of this series and say that these teams are equals. After all, Minnesota now has a minus-3.5 net rating in the playoffs despite winning six of 11 games.\u00a0<\/p>\n Pick: Spurs -5.5 (-110 at DraftKings)<\/a><\/p>\n Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.<\/p>\n If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.<\/p>\n Find Peter Dewey’s\u00a0NBA betting record here<\/a>\u00a0(futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on \u00a0BetStamp here<\/a>.<\/p>\n Claim the latest\u00a0DraftKings promo code<\/a>\u00a0offer today. Sign up and get\u00a0$100 in bonus bets instantly when you make your first $5 bet<\/a>.<\/p>\n
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