From several centimeters to several meters, this flooding is generally characterized by several waves, and the first waves are not necessarily the largest. The speed of the current is such that the pressure exerted on coastal infrastructure can reach several tons per square metre<\/a><\/p>\n Since 1970, tsunamis have claimed more than 250,000 lives worldwide<\/a>, notably the Boxing day tsunami in 2004 in the Indian ocean and the tsunami on March\u00a011 2011 in Japan, for instance.<\/p>\n A risk that is not so farfetched after all<\/p>\n In the collective imagination, tsunamis have long been associated with the Pacific and the Indian ocean. The risk of an offshore tsunami in the Mediterranean has often been considered marginal, and this in itself could be misleading. In June\u00a02022, UNESCO, which is committed to increasing global tsunami risk awareness among coastal communities, declared<\/a>:<\/p>\n \u201cStatistics show that there is a 100% chance of a tsunami of at least one metre high in the Mediterranean Sea in the next 30\u00a0years.\u201d<\/p>\n After the Pacific, the Mediterranean basin holds the highest number of historical tsunamis recorded, of which several have impacted France\u2019s C\u00f4te d\u2019Azur coastline<\/a>.<\/p>\n According to available data, around twenty incidences were reported in the maritime area along the French Riviera between the 16th century and the early 2000s with waves often exceeding two meters.<\/p>\n Evacuation times that are often very short<\/p>\n The sources of Mediterranean tsunamis can be local or distant. In some scenarios, run-up time for the first waves can be under ten minutes<\/a>, particularly in the event of an underwater landslide or earthquake close to the coast, such as in the Ligurian sea between Corsica and the Italian coast. Conversely, tsunamis generated further away from France, for example off the northern coast of North Africa, can reach the French Riviera in less than 90\u00a0minutes.<\/p>\n The Boumerd\u00e8s earthquake<\/a> (Algeria) on May\u00a021, 2003 caused havoc along the entire French Mediterranean coastline. A field enquiry<\/a> showed that eight marinas on the French Riviera experienced significant sea level drops (from 50 cm to 1.5 m), basin purges, strong eddies and currents, and damaged boats, consistent with harbour resonance phenomena. The effects were observed on the French Riviera coastline an hour and a quarter after the earthquake.<\/p>\n Of more local origin, the tsunami in Nice on October\u00a016 1979, triggered<\/a> by the underwater collapse of part of the construction site for the new commercial port in Nice (Alpes-Maritimes), adjacent to the airport, caused the deaths of eight people and significant damage in Antibes, Cannes and Nice. The phenomenon was observed in Antibes for around thirty minutes.<\/p>\n Another scenario that could occur closer to the coast is that of the seismic tsunami that struck the Ligurian Sea on February\u00a023, 1887<\/a>], following an underwater earthquake measuring between 6.5 and 6.8 on the Richter scale. Contemporary accounts describe a sudden retreat of the sea by about one metre in Antibes and Cannes, leaving fishing boats high and dry, before the arrival of a wave reaching nearly two metres, which covered the beaches.<\/p>\n These events are a reminder of how we are completely taken by surprise, and how such short spaces of time show the limits of traditional warning systems. Coastal communities\u2019 ability to evacuate quickly becomes crucial.<\/p>\n An operational warning system for France<\/p>\n France has had a national tsunami alert system that has been part of the Centre d\u2019alerte aux tsunamis<\/a> (Cenalt) since July\u00a02012, in conjunction with the international system coordinated by UNESCO in the Mediterranean. This system makes it possible to rapidly detect<\/a> potentially tsunami-generating earthquakes and transmit an alert in less than fifteen minutes to the interdepartmental crisis management operational centre<\/a> (Cogic) and foreign alert centers.<\/p>\n It is then up to the authorities to disseminate alert messages to the population, in particular via the FR-Alert platform<\/a>, which allows notifications to be sent to the mobile phones of people located in the danger zone.<\/p>\n However, this global system only covers tsunamis caused by distant earthquakes and is not very effective in the case of local tsunamis or those caused by underwater landslides, where the time it takes for the tsunami to reach the coast may be less than the warning time. This is why it is important to raise awareness among coastal populations about detecting warning signs: felt earthquakes, abnormal sea movements, most often seawater retreats preceding the run-up of the tsunami, but not always.<\/p>\n Nice \u2013 C\u00f4te d\u2019Azur coastline is highly at risk<\/p>\n Along the entire French Mediterranean coastline, an evacuation zone has been defined by government agencies and the University of Montpellier, based on altitude, distance from the sea and historical data. It corresponds to coastal areas with an altitude of less than 5 meters that are less than 200 metres from the sea. Along river mouths, this distance is extended to 500 metres with respect to the estuary.<\/p>\n Including Corsica, 1,700 km of coastline, 187 towns along the French Mediterranean coast, and at least 164,000 residents would be affected. At the height of the summer, an estimated 835,000 beach users<\/a> would also need to be taken into consideration in the event of a tsunami.<\/p>\n The Nice \u2013 C\u00f4te d\u2019Azur metropolitan area is vulnerable for a number of reasons: dense urbanization, strong tourist appeal, and very busy beaches. Our photo analysis and modelling work have enabled us to estimate that tens of thousands of people are present in the area to be evacuated during periods of high visitor numbers (between 10,000 and 87,000 people on the beaches, depending on the season and time of day).<\/p>\n Evacuating ahead of a tsunami: the plan for Nice and surrounding coastal areas<\/p>\n When faced with a tsunami, evacuation is the only effective means of ensuring civilian safety. International experience shows that rapid and well-prepared evacuation procedures can save the vast majority of exposed populations. Reactive evacuation measures, for example, saved 96% of Japanese inhabitants<\/a> when the major tsunami struck the T\u014dhoku coast on March\u00a011 2011.<\/p>\n In Nice \u2013 C\u00f4te d\u2019Azur, a comprehensive evacuation strategy has been developed and supported by scientific research led by the University of Montpellier\u2019s Laboratory of Geography and Land Planning<\/a>. It is based on optimized walking routes, taking into account slopes, obstacles, travel speeds and congestion points. Refuge sites located out of \u201cwaves\u2019 reach\u201d were identified and validated by local authorities, and evacuation routes were devised using algorithms to find the fastest routes.<\/p>\n In total, nearly a hundred refuge sites have been mapped out and incorporated into operational evacuation plans designed to quickly guide people to safe places.<\/p>\n From science to action: preparing the population<\/p>\n Raising tsunami awareness should go beyond evacuation mapping: safety drills such as evacuation exercises, particularly in schools or gradually introducing public warning signage; contribute to encouraging responsible behavior. Several initiatives like these have been implemented in Nice via a project with students in Montpellier<\/a>.<\/p>\n In Nice, a publicly accessible information platform<\/a> with interactive maps also allows users to find evacuation zones, routes and instructions to follow in the event of an alert. These tools contribute to the development of a genuine tsunami risk culture.<\/p>\n Becoming \u2018Tsunami Ready\u2019 territory<\/p>\n Beyond France\u2019s C\u00f4te d\u2019Azur coastal area, the information<\/a> portal can be applied to other coastlines elsewhere in France and Europe, both in the Mediterranean and overseas, where tsunami run-up times can be just as short.<\/p>\n The initiatives that are being implemented in Nice are in keeping with UNESCO\u2019s Tsunami Ready<\/a> international recognition program (TRRP). This 12-point program aims to certify territories that are capable of anticipating a tsunami risk, prepare their populations and coordinate an appropriate response.<\/p>\n The first towns to be awarded the label and that have benefited from our team\u2019s<\/a> scientific and technical support were Deshaies<\/a> in Guadeloupe and Cannes, with Nice set to join the program in the near future.<\/p>\n When facing a wave that can arrive in a matter of minutes, being prepared to evacuate undoubtedly makes all the difference.<\/p>\n This article was written with the help of Louis Monnier, Monique Gherardi, Matthieu P\u00e9roche and No\u00e9 Carles, Universit\u00e9 de Montpellier Paul-Val\u00e9ry.![\"The](\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/1779339008_669_count.gif\")
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