{"id":69132,"date":"2025-08-14T13:48:13","date_gmt":"2025-08-14T13:48:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/69132\/"},"modified":"2025-08-14T13:48:13","modified_gmt":"2025-08-14T13:48:13","slug":"economists-think-tariffs-will-cause-inflation-soon","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/69132\/","title":{"rendered":"Economists think tariffs will cause inflation soon"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Goldman Sachs chairman and CEO David Solomon speaks during Goldman Sachs analyst impact fund competition at Goldman Sachs Headquarters in New York City, U.S., November 14, 2023.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Brendan Mcdermid | Reuters<\/p>\n<p>Don&#8217;t mess with DJ D-Sol \u2014 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/GS\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Goldman Sachs<\/a> CEO David Solomon&#8217;s stage name when he&#8217;s rocking the clubs in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2018\/03\/14\/goldman-sachs-david-solomon-has-gigs-as-a-dj-around-the-world.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">his other life as a DJ<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>U.S. President Donald Trump <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/08\/12\/trump-solomon-goldman-sachs-economist-tariffs.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">criticized Goldman<\/a> on Tuesday for predicting that tariffs would push up inflation, and said Solomon &#8220;should go out and get himself a new Economist or, maybe, he ought to just focus on being a DJ.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>In response, Goldman defended the results of its study, according to a CNBC interview with the bank&#8217;s economist David Mericle.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0&#8220;If the most recent tariffs, like the April tariff, follow the same pattern that we&#8217;ve seen with those earliest February tariffs, then eventually, by the fall, we estimate that consumers would bear about two-thirds of the cost,&#8221; Mericle said.<\/p>\n<p>Goldman, in fact, is not the only Wall Street bank putting forth this view.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/UBSG-CH\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">UBS<\/a> senior economist Brian Rose wrote that &#8220;the downward trend in core inflation has been broken as tariffs start to feed through into retail prices,&#8221; while Michael Feroli, chief U.S. economist at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/JPM\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">JPMorgan Chase<\/a>, said in a note that tariffs could &#8220;add 1-1.5% to inflation, some of which has already occurred.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Of course, a consensus view does not mean predictions will come true. Recall how economists were all but certain a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2022\/12\/23\/why-everyone-thinks-a-recession-is-coming-in-2023.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">U.S. recession would happen in 2023<\/a> \u2014 only for the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2024\/01\/25\/gdp-q4-2023-the-us-economy-grew-at-a-3point3percent-pace-in-the-fourth-quarter.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">economy to grow 2.5% that year<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>In any case, if Goldman \u2014 and economists from other banks \u2014is proven wrong on tariff-driven inflation, and Trump, in a hypothetical scenario, manages to somehow push Solomon out of his position, at least DJ D-Sol will still be out there spinning records.<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 CNBC&#8217;s Jeff Cox contributed to this report<\/p>\n<p><a id=\"headline0\"\/>What you need to know today<\/p>\n<p>Economists agree that higher tariff inflation is coming. Despite Trump on Tuesday slamming Goldman Sachs for predicting higher consumer prices, the bank is<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/08\/13\/goldman-stands-by-call-that-consumers-will-bear-the-brunt-of-tariffs-after-trump-blasts-banks-economist.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"> standing by its research<\/a>. Other Wall Street economists <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/08\/13\/as-trump-berates-goldman-other-economists-agree-that-higher-tariff-inflation-is-coming.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">agree with its call<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Trump is considering 11 candidates for Fed chair. Among the list of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/08\/13\/trump-considering-11-candidates-for-fed-chair-including-david-zervos-and-rick-rieder-sources-say.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">potential nominees<\/a> are Federal Reserve officials, a Bush administration economic advisor, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/JEF\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Jefferies<\/a> Chief Market Strategist David Zervos and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/BLK\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BlackRock&#8217;s<\/a> Rick Rieder.<\/p>\n<p>New records for U.S. stocks again. The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/.SPX\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">S&amp;P 500<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/.IXIC\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Nasdaq Composite<\/a> climbed Wednesday to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/08\/12\/stock-market-today-live-updates.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">close at fresh highs<\/a>, with the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/.DJI\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Dow Jones Industrial Average<\/a> also rising. Shares of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/PSKY\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Paramount Skydance<\/a> popped 36.7%. However, Asia-Pacific markets <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/08\/14\/asia-stock-markets-today-live-updates-nikkei-225-asx-200-kospi-hang-seng-csi-300-sensex-nifty-50.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">mostly fell Thursday<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>xAI&#8217;s co-founder Igor Babuschkin leaves. Babuschkin said he&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/08\/13\/elon-musks-xai-loses-co-founder-igor-babuschkin-for-venture-firm.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">starting a venture firm<\/a> to support AI safety research and invest in startups. Musk wrote, in response, &#8220;Thanks for helping build @xAI! We wouldn&#8217;t be here without you.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>[PRO] The state of India&#8217;s IT stocks after layoffs. Big Indian corporations, such as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/TCS-IN\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Tata Consultancy Services<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/INFY-IN\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Infosys<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/WIPRO-IN\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Wipro<\/a>, have either trimmed their workforce or hiring. Here&#8217;s what <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/08\/14\/buy-or-avoid-indian-tech-three-pros-share-their-take.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">analysts think of the sector&#8217;s stocks<\/a> in light of those job cuts.<\/p>\n<p><a id=\"headline1\"\/>And finally&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Customers buying groceries at a supermarket in Singapore.<\/p>\n<p>Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Goldman Sachs chairman and CEO David Solomon speaks during Goldman Sachs analyst impact fund competition at Goldman Sachs&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":69133,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[27268,45,161,49,48,1377,1376,4357,46,42628,6501,135,43510,43082,4495,100,3098,13959,14829,1378,43511,61,43083,772,43509,2163],"class_list":["post-69132","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-blackrock-inc","tag-business","tag-business-news","tag-ca","tag-canada","tag-donald-j-trump","tag-donald-trump","tag-dow-jones-industrial-average","tag-economy","tag-goldman-sachs-bdc-inc","tag-goldman-sachs-group-inc","tag-inflation","tag-infosys-ltd","tag-jefferies-financial-group-inc","tag-jpmorgan-chase-co","tag-markets","tag-nasdaq-composite","tag-paramount-global","tag-prices","tag-sp-500-index","tag-tata-consultancy-services-ltd","tag-technology","tag-ubs-group-ag","tag-united-states","tag-wipro-ltd","tag-world-markets"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69132","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=69132"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69132\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/69133"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=69132"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=69132"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=69132"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}