Spread<\/p>\n
Lynx -3.5 (-108)Mercury +3.5 (-112)<\/p>\n
Moneyline<\/p>\n
Total<\/p>\n
166.5 (Over -112\/Under -108)Lynx vs. Mercury How to WatchDate: Monday, June 1Time: 10:00 p.m. ESTVenue: Mortgage Matchup CenterHow to Watch (TV): Peacock, NBCSNLynx record: 6-2Mercury record: 2-7Lynx vs. Mercury Injury ReportsLynx Injury ReportDorka Juhasz \u2013 outNapheesa Collier \u2013 outEmma Cechova \u2013 outMercury Injury ReportLynx vs. Mercury Best WNBA Prop BetsLynx Best WNBA Prop BetCourtney Williams OVER 1.5 3-Pointers Made (-120)<\/p>\n
Courtney Williams is a dominant mid-range player, but she\u2019s also shot the 3-ball well in the 2026 season. The two-time All-Star is shooting 39.4 percent from 3 in the 2026 campaign, knocking down multiple 3-pointers in four of her eight matchups.<\/p>\n
Williams does have a few games where she\u2019s dialed back the volume from 3, taking just one attempt from deep in two of her last three, but she did attempt four 3-pointers in the first meeting with the Mercury in 2026.<\/p>\n
Phoenix ranks dead last in the W in opponent 3s made per game and opponent 3-point percentage (38.4%) so far in 2026. So, this is a favorable matchup for Williams, who is averaging a career-high 4.1 3-point attempts per game this season.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n
Lynx vs. Mercury Prediction and Pick<\/p>\n
Earlier today, I shared in my WNBA Best Bets column \u2013 Peter\u2019s Points<\/a> \u2013 why I believe Minnesota is undervalued on the road:\u00a0<\/p>\n Minnesota has been the best team in the WNBA through the first few weeks, ranking No. 1 in net rating and No. 1 in defensive rating. The offense (eighth in the W) hasn\u2019t been as effective as it would be if Napheesa Collier (out, ankle) was playing, but it\u2019s been good enough for the Lynx to start 6-2 and cover the spread in seven of their eight games.<\/p>\n I\u2019m going to forget the points in this matchup and simply take the Lynx to win outright on the road. Minnesota is 4-0 away from Target Center this season, and it already has an 88-84 road win over the Mercury.<\/p>\n Phoenix started the season with a bang, blowing out the defending champion Las Vegas Aces, but it has since lost seven of eight games and is currently on a five-game skid. The Mercury don\u2019t have a terrible net rating (minus-1.2), but they have the worst 3-point defense in the WNBA and are 10th in points per game on offense.\u00a0<\/p>\n The loss of Satou Sabally has hurt the Mercury early in the season, and I expect them to struggle against the WNBA\u2019s best defense. Plus, Phoenix has been the worst team to bet on to cover (3-6 against the spread) through nine games.\u00a0<\/p>\n I\u2019ll bet on the Lynx staying hot in this Commissioner\u2019s Cup opener.\u00a0<\/p>\n Pick: Lynx Moneyline (-162 at DraftKings)<\/a><\/p>\n Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.<\/p>\n If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.<\/p>\n Find Peter Dewey’s\u00a0WNBA betting record here<\/a>\u00a0(futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on \u00a0BetStamp here<\/a>.<\/p>\n Claim the latest\u00a0DraftKings promo code<\/a>\u00a0offer today. Sign up and get\u00a0$200 in bonus bets instantly when you make your first $5 bet.<\/a><\/p>\n
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