{"id":739782,"date":"2026-06-16T04:54:17","date_gmt":"2026-06-16T04:54:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/739782\/"},"modified":"2026-06-16T04:54:17","modified_gmt":"2026-06-16T04:54:17","slug":"global-reallocation-of-rainfed-crops-can-boost-production-and-reduce-climate-risk","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/739782\/","title":{"rendered":"Global reallocation of rainfed crops can boost production and reduce climate risk"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR1\">Zhu, P. et al. Warming reduces global agricultural production by decreasing cropping frequency and yields. Nat. Clim. Change 12, 1016\u20131023 (2022).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1038\/s41558-022-01492-5\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1038\/s41558-022-01492-5\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038%2Fs41558-022-01492-5\" aria-label=\"Article reference 1\" data-doi=\"10.1038\/s41558-022-01492-5\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"ads reference\" data-track-action=\"ads reference\" href=\"http:\/\/adsabs.harvard.edu\/cgi-bin\/nph-data_query?link_type=ABSTRACT&amp;bibcode=2022NatCC..12.1016Z\" aria-label=\"ADS reference 1\" target=\"_blank\">ADS<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"cas reference\" data-track-action=\"cas reference\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/cas-redirect\/1:CAS:528:DC%2BB38Xis1eis7jM\" aria-label=\"CAS reference 1\" target=\"_blank\">CAS<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 1\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Warming%20reduces%20global%20agricultural%20production%20by%20decreasing%20cropping%20frequency%20and%20yields&amp;journal=Nat.%20Clim.%20Change&amp;doi=10.1038%2Fs41558-022-01492-5&amp;volume=12&amp;pages=1016-1023&amp;publication_year=2022&amp;author=Zhu%2CP\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR2\">Caparas, M., Zobel, Z., Castanho, A. D. A. &amp; Schwalm, C. R. Increasing risks of crop failure and water scarcity in global breadbaskets by 2030. Environ. Res. Lett. 16, 104013 (2021).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1088\/1748-9326\/ac22c1\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1088\/1748-9326\/ac22c1\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1088%2F1748-9326%2Fac22c1\" aria-label=\"Article reference 2\" data-doi=\"10.1088\/1748-9326\/ac22c1\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"cas reference\" data-track-action=\"cas reference\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/cas-redirect\/1:CAS:528:DC%2BB3MXisFyqtL%2FP\" aria-label=\"CAS reference 2\" target=\"_blank\">CAS<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 2\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Increasing%20risks%20of%20crop%20failure%20and%20water%20scarcity%20in%20global%20breadbaskets%20by%202030&amp;journal=Environ.%20Res.%20Lett.&amp;doi=10.1088%2F1748-9326%2Fac22c1&amp;volume=16&amp;publication_year=2021&amp;author=Caparas%2CM&amp;author=Zobel%2CZ&amp;author=Castanho%2CADA&amp;author=Schwalm%2CCR\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR3\">The United Nations World Water Development Report 3: Water in a Changing World (World Water Assessment Programme, 2009).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR4\">Hayashi, K., Llorca, L., Rustini, S., Setyanto, P. &amp; Zaini, Z. Reducing vulnerability of rainfed agriculture through seasonal climate predictions: a case study on the rainfed rice production in Southeast Asia. Agric. Syst. 162, 66\u201376 (2018).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1016\/j.agsy.2018.01.007\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1016\/j.agsy.2018.01.007\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016%2Fj.agsy.2018.01.007\" aria-label=\"Article reference 4\" data-doi=\"10.1016\/j.agsy.2018.01.007\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 4\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Reducing%20vulnerability%20of%20rainfed%20agriculture%20through%20seasonal%20climate%20predictions%3A%20a%20case%20study%20on%20the%20rainfed%20rice%20production%20in%20Southeast%20Asia&amp;journal=Agric.%20Syst.&amp;doi=10.1016%2Fj.agsy.2018.01.007&amp;volume=162&amp;pages=66-76&amp;publication_year=2018&amp;author=Hayashi%2CK&amp;author=Llorca%2CL&amp;author=Rustini%2CS&amp;author=Setyanto%2CP&amp;author=Zaini%2CZ\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR5\">Renard, D. &amp; Tilman, D. National food production stabilized by crop diversity. Nature 571, 257\u2013260 (2019).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1038\/s41586-019-1316-y\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1038\/s41586-019-1316-y\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038%2Fs41586-019-1316-y\" aria-label=\"Article reference 5\" data-doi=\"10.1038\/s41586-019-1316-y\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"ads reference\" data-track-action=\"ads reference\" href=\"http:\/\/adsabs.harvard.edu\/cgi-bin\/nph-data_query?link_type=ABSTRACT&amp;bibcode=2019Natur.571..257R\" aria-label=\"ADS reference 5\" target=\"_blank\">ADS<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"cas reference\" data-track-action=\"cas reference\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/cas-redirect\/1:CAS:528:DC%2BC1MXht1aqtbvF\" aria-label=\"CAS reference 5\" target=\"_blank\">CAS<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"pubmed reference\" data-track-action=\"pubmed reference\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/entrez\/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&amp;db=PubMed&amp;dopt=Abstract&amp;list_uids=31217589\" aria-label=\"PubMed reference 5\" target=\"_blank\">PubMed<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 5\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=National%20food%20production%20stabilized%20by%20crop%20diversity&amp;journal=Nature&amp;doi=10.1038%2Fs41586-019-1316-y&amp;volume=571&amp;pages=257-260&amp;publication_year=2019&amp;author=Renard%2CD&amp;author=Tilman%2CD\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR6\">Climate Change and Food Security: Risks and Responses (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, 2015).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR7\">Anderson, W. B., Seager, R., Baethgen, W., Cane, M. &amp; You, L. Synchronous crop failures and climate-forced production variability. Sci. Adv. 5, eaaw1976 (2019).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1126\/sciadv.aaw1976\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1126\/sciadv.aaw1976\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1126%2Fsciadv.aaw1976\" aria-label=\"Article reference 7\" data-doi=\"10.1126\/sciadv.aaw1976\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"ads reference\" data-track-action=\"ads reference\" href=\"http:\/\/adsabs.harvard.edu\/cgi-bin\/nph-data_query?link_type=ABSTRACT&amp;bibcode=2019SciA....5.1976A\" aria-label=\"ADS reference 7\" target=\"_blank\">ADS<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"cas reference\" data-track-action=\"cas reference\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/cas-redirect\/1:STN:280:DC%2BB3MzkvF2kuw%3D%3D\" aria-label=\"CAS reference 7\" target=\"_blank\">CAS<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"pubmed reference\" data-track-action=\"pubmed reference\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/entrez\/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&amp;db=PubMed&amp;dopt=Abstract&amp;list_uids=31281890\" aria-label=\"PubMed reference 7\" target=\"_blank\">PubMed<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"pubmed central reference\" data-track-action=\"pubmed central reference\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pmc\/articles\/PMC6609162\" aria-label=\"PubMed Central reference 7\" target=\"_blank\">PubMed Central<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 7\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Synchronous%20crop%20failures%20and%20climate-forced%20production%20variability&amp;journal=Sci.%20Adv.&amp;doi=10.1126%2Fsciadv.aaw1976&amp;volume=5&amp;publication_year=2019&amp;author=Anderson%2CWB&amp;author=Seager%2CR&amp;author=Baethgen%2CW&amp;author=Cane%2CM&amp;author=You%2CL\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR8\">Zhao, C. et al. Temperature increase reduces global yields of major crops in four independent estimates. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 114, 9326\u20139331 (2017).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1073\/pnas.1701762114\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1073\/pnas.1701762114\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1073%2Fpnas.1701762114\" aria-label=\"Article reference 8\" data-doi=\"10.1073\/pnas.1701762114\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"ads reference\" data-track-action=\"ads reference\" href=\"http:\/\/adsabs.harvard.edu\/cgi-bin\/nph-data_query?link_type=ABSTRACT&amp;bibcode=2017PNAS..114.9326Z\" aria-label=\"ADS reference 8\" target=\"_blank\">ADS<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"cas reference\" data-track-action=\"cas reference\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/cas-redirect\/1:CAS:528:DC%2BC2sXhtlemu7rO\" aria-label=\"CAS reference 8\" target=\"_blank\">CAS<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"pubmed reference\" data-track-action=\"pubmed reference\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/entrez\/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&amp;db=PubMed&amp;dopt=Abstract&amp;list_uids=28811375\" aria-label=\"PubMed reference 8\" target=\"_blank\">PubMed<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"pubmed central reference\" data-track-action=\"pubmed central reference\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pmc\/articles\/PMC5584412\" aria-label=\"PubMed Central reference 8\" target=\"_blank\">PubMed Central<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 8\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Temperature%20increase%20reduces%20global%20yields%20of%20major%20crops%20in%20four%20independent%20estimates&amp;journal=Proc.%20Natl%20Acad.%20Sci.%20USA&amp;doi=10.1073%2Fpnas.1701762114&amp;volume=114&amp;pages=9326-9331&amp;publication_year=2017&amp;author=Zhao%2CC\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR9\">P\u00f6rtner, H. et al. Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability (IPCC, Cambridge Univ. Press, 2022).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR10\">Kates, R. W., Travis, W. R. &amp; Wilbanks, T. J. Transformational adaptation when incremental adaptations to climate change are insufficient. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 109, 7156\u20137161 (2012).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1073\/pnas.1115521109\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1073\/pnas.1115521109\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1073%2Fpnas.1115521109\" aria-label=\"Article reference 10\" data-doi=\"10.1073\/pnas.1115521109\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"ads reference\" data-track-action=\"ads reference\" href=\"http:\/\/adsabs.harvard.edu\/cgi-bin\/nph-data_query?link_type=ABSTRACT&amp;bibcode=2012PNAS..109.7156K\" aria-label=\"ADS reference 10\" target=\"_blank\">ADS<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"cas reference\" data-track-action=\"cas reference\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/cas-redirect\/1:CAS:528:DC%2BC38XnsVGnsL4%3D\" aria-label=\"CAS reference 10\" target=\"_blank\">CAS<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"pubmed reference\" data-track-action=\"pubmed reference\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/entrez\/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&amp;db=PubMed&amp;dopt=Abstract&amp;list_uids=22509036\" aria-label=\"PubMed reference 10\" target=\"_blank\">PubMed<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"pubmed central reference\" data-track-action=\"pubmed central reference\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pmc\/articles\/PMC3358899\" aria-label=\"PubMed Central reference 10\" target=\"_blank\">PubMed Central<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 10\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Transformational%20adaptation%20when%20incremental%20adaptations%20to%20climate%20change%20are%20insufficient&amp;journal=Proc.%20Natl%20Acad.%20Sci.%20USA&amp;doi=10.1073%2Fpnas.1115521109&amp;volume=109&amp;pages=7156-7161&amp;publication_year=2012&amp;author=Kates%2CRW&amp;author=Travis%2CWR&amp;author=Wilbanks%2CTJ\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR11\">Whitworth-Hulse, J. I. et al. The expansion of rainfed grain production can generate spontaneous hydrological changes that reduce climate sensitivity. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 349, 108440 (2023).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1016\/j.agee.2023.108440\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1016\/j.agee.2023.108440\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016%2Fj.agee.2023.108440\" aria-label=\"Article reference 11\" data-doi=\"10.1016\/j.agee.2023.108440\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 11\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=The%20expansion%20of%20rainfed%20grain%20production%20can%20generate%20spontaneous%20hydrological%20changes%20that%20reduce%20climate%20sensitivity&amp;journal=Agric.%20Ecosyst.%20Environ.&amp;doi=10.1016%2Fj.agee.2023.108440&amp;volume=349&amp;publication_year=2023&amp;author=Whitworth-Hulse%2CJI\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR12\">Rost, S. et al. Global potential to increase crop production through water management in rainfed agriculture. Environ. Res. Lett. 4, 044002 (2009).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1088\/1748-9326\/4\/4\/044002\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1088\/1748-9326\/4\/4\/044002\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1088%2F1748-9326%2F4%2F4%2F044002\" aria-label=\"Article reference 12\" data-doi=\"10.1088\/1748-9326\/4\/4\/044002\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 12\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Global%20potential%20to%20increase%20crop%20production%20through%20water%20management%20in%20rainfed%20agriculture&amp;journal=Environ.%20Res.%20Lett.&amp;doi=10.1088%2F1748-9326%2F4%2F4%2F044002&amp;volume=4&amp;publication_year=2009&amp;author=Rost%2CS\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR13\">Rosa, L., Chiarelli, D. D., Rulli, M. C., Dell\u2019Angelo, J. &amp; Paolo, D. Global agricultural economic water scarcity. Sci. Adv. 6, eaaz6031 (2020).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1126\/sciadv.aaz6031\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1126\/sciadv.aaz6031\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1126%2Fsciadv.aaz6031\" aria-label=\"Article reference 13\" data-doi=\"10.1126\/sciadv.aaz6031\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"ads reference\" data-track-action=\"ads reference\" href=\"http:\/\/adsabs.harvard.edu\/cgi-bin\/nph-data_query?link_type=ABSTRACT&amp;bibcode=2020SciA....6.6031R\" aria-label=\"ADS reference 13\" target=\"_blank\">ADS<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"pubmed reference\" data-track-action=\"pubmed reference\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/entrez\/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&amp;db=PubMed&amp;dopt=Abstract&amp;list_uids=32494678\" aria-label=\"PubMed reference 13\" target=\"_blank\">PubMed<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"pubmed central reference\" data-track-action=\"pubmed central reference\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pmc\/articles\/PMC7190309\" aria-label=\"PubMed Central reference 13\" target=\"_blank\">PubMed Central<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 13\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Global%20agricultural%20economic%20water%20scarcity&amp;journal=Sci.%20Adv.&amp;doi=10.1126%2Fsciadv.aaz6031&amp;volume=6&amp;publication_year=2020&amp;author=Rosa%2CL&amp;author=Chiarelli%2CDD&amp;author=Rulli%2CMC&amp;author=Dell%E2%80%99Angelo%2CJ&amp;author=Paolo%2CD\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR14\">Strokal, M. et al. Alarming nutrient pollution of Chinese rivers as a result of agricultural transitions. Environ. Res. Lett. 11, 024014 (2016).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1088\/1748-9326\/11\/2\/024014\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1088\/1748-9326\/11\/2\/024014\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1088%2F1748-9326%2F11%2F2%2F024014\" aria-label=\"Article reference 14\" data-doi=\"10.1088\/1748-9326\/11\/2\/024014\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 14\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Alarming%20nutrient%20pollution%20of%20Chinese%20rivers%20as%20a%20result%20of%20agricultural%20transitions&amp;journal=Environ.%20Res.%20Lett.&amp;doi=10.1088%2F1748-9326%2F11%2F2%2F024014&amp;volume=11&amp;publication_year=2016&amp;author=Strokal%2CM\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR15\">Beyer, R. M., Hua, F., Martin, P. A., Manica, A. &amp; Rademacher, T. Relocating croplands could drastically reduce the environmental impacts of global food production. Commun. Earth Environ. 3, 49 (2022).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1038\/s43247-022-00360-6\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1038\/s43247-022-00360-6\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038%2Fs43247-022-00360-6\" aria-label=\"Article reference 15\" data-doi=\"10.1038\/s43247-022-00360-6\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"ads reference\" data-track-action=\"ads reference\" href=\"http:\/\/adsabs.harvard.edu\/cgi-bin\/nph-data_query?link_type=ABSTRACT&amp;bibcode=2022ComEE...3...49B\" aria-label=\"ADS reference 15\" target=\"_blank\">ADS<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 15\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Relocating%20croplands%20could%20drastically%20reduce%20the%20environmental%20impacts%20of%20global%20food%20production&amp;journal=Commun.%20Earth%20Environ.&amp;doi=10.1038%2Fs43247-022-00360-6&amp;volume=3&amp;publication_year=2022&amp;author=Beyer%2CRM&amp;author=Hua%2CF&amp;author=Martin%2CPA&amp;author=Manica%2CA&amp;author=Rademacher%2CT\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR16\">Siderius, C. et al. The role of rainfed agriculture in securing food production in the Nile Basin. Environ. Sci. Policy 61, 14\u201323 (2016).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1016\/j.envsci.2016.03.007\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1016\/j.envsci.2016.03.007\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016%2Fj.envsci.2016.03.007\" aria-label=\"Article reference 16\" data-doi=\"10.1016\/j.envsci.2016.03.007\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 16\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=The%20role%20of%20rainfed%20agriculture%20in%20securing%20food%20production%20in%20the%20Nile%20Basin&amp;journal=Environ.%20Sci.%20Policy&amp;doi=10.1016%2Fj.envsci.2016.03.007&amp;volume=61&amp;pages=14-23&amp;publication_year=2016&amp;author=Siderius%2CC\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR17\">Xie, W. et al. Crop switching can enhance environmental sustainability and farmer incomes in China. Nature 616, 300\u2013305 (2023).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1038\/s41586-023-05799-x\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1038\/s41586-023-05799-x\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038%2Fs41586-023-05799-x\" aria-label=\"Article reference 17\" data-doi=\"10.1038\/s41586-023-05799-x\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"ads reference\" data-track-action=\"ads reference\" href=\"http:\/\/adsabs.harvard.edu\/cgi-bin\/nph-data_query?link_type=ABSTRACT&amp;bibcode=2023Natur.616..300X\" aria-label=\"ADS reference 17\" target=\"_blank\">ADS<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"cas reference\" data-track-action=\"cas reference\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/cas-redirect\/1:CAS:528:DC%2BB3sXlsFWlsLo%3D\" aria-label=\"CAS reference 17\" target=\"_blank\">CAS<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"pubmed reference\" data-track-action=\"pubmed reference\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/entrez\/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&amp;db=PubMed&amp;dopt=Abstract&amp;list_uids=36927804\" aria-label=\"PubMed reference 17\" target=\"_blank\">PubMed<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 17\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Crop%20switching%20can%20enhance%20environmental%20sustainability%20and%20farmer%20incomes%20in%20China&amp;journal=Nature&amp;doi=10.1038%2Fs41586-023-05799-x&amp;volume=616&amp;pages=300-305&amp;publication_year=2023&amp;author=Xie%2CW\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR18\">Davis, K. F., Rulli, M. C., Seveso, A. &amp; D\u2019Odorico, P. Increased food production and reduced water use through optimized crop distribution. Nat. Geosci. 10, 919\u2013924 (2017).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1038\/s41561-017-0004-5\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1038\/s41561-017-0004-5\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038%2Fs41561-017-0004-5\" aria-label=\"Article reference 18\" data-doi=\"10.1038\/s41561-017-0004-5\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"ads reference\" data-track-action=\"ads reference\" href=\"http:\/\/adsabs.harvard.edu\/cgi-bin\/nph-data_query?link_type=ABSTRACT&amp;bibcode=2017NatGe..10..919D\" aria-label=\"ADS reference 18\" target=\"_blank\">ADS<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"cas reference\" data-track-action=\"cas reference\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/cas-redirect\/1:CAS:528:DC%2BC2sXitVajtbfI\" aria-label=\"CAS reference 18\" target=\"_blank\">CAS<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 18\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Increased%20food%20production%20and%20reduced%20water%20use%20through%20optimized%20crop%20distribution&amp;journal=Nat.%20Geosci.&amp;doi=10.1038%2Fs41561-017-0004-5&amp;volume=10&amp;pages=919-924&amp;publication_year=2017&amp;author=Davis%2CKF&amp;author=Rulli%2CMC&amp;author=Seveso%2CA&amp;author=D%E2%80%99Odorico%2CP\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR19\">Senapati, N. et al. Global wheat production could benefit from closing the genetic yield gap. Nat. Food 3, 532\u2013541 (2022).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1038\/s43016-022-00540-9\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1038\/s43016-022-00540-9\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038%2Fs43016-022-00540-9\" aria-label=\"Article reference 19\" data-doi=\"10.1038\/s43016-022-00540-9\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"pubmed reference\" data-track-action=\"pubmed reference\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/entrez\/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&amp;db=PubMed&amp;dopt=Abstract&amp;list_uids=37117937\" aria-label=\"PubMed reference 19\" target=\"_blank\">PubMed<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 19\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Global%20wheat%20production%20could%20benefit%20from%20closing%20the%20genetic%20yield%20gap&amp;journal=Nat.%20Food&amp;doi=10.1038%2Fs43016-022-00540-9&amp;volume=3&amp;pages=532-541&amp;publication_year=2022&amp;author=Senapati%2CN\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR20\">Devineni, N., Perveen, S. &amp; Lall, U. Solving groundwater depletion in India while achieving food security. Nat. Commun. 13, 3374 (2022).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1038\/s41467-022-31122-9\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1038\/s41467-022-31122-9\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038%2Fs41467-022-31122-9\" aria-label=\"Article reference 20\" data-doi=\"10.1038\/s41467-022-31122-9\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"ads reference\" data-track-action=\"ads reference\" href=\"http:\/\/adsabs.harvard.edu\/cgi-bin\/nph-data_query?link_type=ABSTRACT&amp;bibcode=2022NatCo..13.3374D\" aria-label=\"ADS reference 20\" target=\"_blank\">ADS<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"cas reference\" data-track-action=\"cas reference\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/cas-redirect\/1:CAS:528:DC%2BB38XhsFGrtLjM\" aria-label=\"CAS reference 20\" target=\"_blank\">CAS<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"pubmed reference\" data-track-action=\"pubmed reference\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/entrez\/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&amp;db=PubMed&amp;dopt=Abstract&amp;list_uids=35697734\" aria-label=\"PubMed reference 20\" target=\"_blank\">PubMed<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"pubmed central reference\" data-track-action=\"pubmed central reference\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pmc\/articles\/PMC9192749\" aria-label=\"PubMed Central reference 20\" target=\"_blank\">PubMed Central<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 20\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Solving%20groundwater%20depletion%20in%20India%20while%20achieving%20food%20security&amp;journal=Nat.%20Commun.&amp;doi=10.1038%2Fs41467-022-31122-9&amp;volume=13&amp;publication_year=2022&amp;author=Devineni%2CN&amp;author=Perveen%2CS&amp;author=Lall%2CU\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR21\">Zampieri, M. et al. Estimating resilience of crop production systems: from theory to practice. Sci. Total Environ. 735, 139378 (2020).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2020.139378\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2020.139378\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016%2Fj.scitotenv.2020.139378\" aria-label=\"Article reference 21\" data-doi=\"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2020.139378\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"cas reference\" data-track-action=\"cas reference\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/cas-redirect\/1:CAS:528:DC%2BB3cXhtVGgsbbI\" aria-label=\"CAS reference 21\" target=\"_blank\">CAS<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"pubmed reference\" data-track-action=\"pubmed reference\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/entrez\/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&amp;db=PubMed&amp;dopt=Abstract&amp;list_uids=32480148\" aria-label=\"PubMed reference 21\" target=\"_blank\">PubMed<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"pubmed central reference\" data-track-action=\"pubmed central reference\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pmc\/articles\/PMC7374405\" aria-label=\"PubMed Central reference 21\" target=\"_blank\">PubMed Central<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 21\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Estimating%20resilience%20of%20crop%20production%20systems%3A%20from%20theory%20to%20practice&amp;journal=Sci.%20Total%20Environ.&amp;doi=10.1016%2Fj.scitotenv.2020.139378&amp;volume=735&amp;publication_year=2020&amp;author=Zampieri%2CM\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR22\">Ben-Ari, T. &amp; Makowski, D. Analysis of the trade-off between high crop yield and low yield instability at the global scale. Environ. Res. Lett. 11, 104005 (2016).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1088\/1748-9326\/11\/10\/104005\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1088\/1748-9326\/11\/10\/104005\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1088%2F1748-9326%2F11%2F10%2F104005\" aria-label=\"Article reference 22\" data-doi=\"10.1088\/1748-9326\/11\/10\/104005\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 22\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Analysis%20of%20the%20trade-off%20between%20high%20crop%20yield%20and%20low%20yield%20instability%20at%20the%20global%20scale&amp;journal=Environ.%20Res.%20Lett.&amp;doi=10.1088%2F1748-9326%2F11%2F10%2F104005&amp;volume=11&amp;publication_year=2016&amp;author=Ben-Ari%2CT&amp;author=Makowski%2CD\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR23\">Mitter, H., Heumesser, C. &amp; Schmid, E. Spatial modeling of robust crop production portfolios to assess agricultural vulnerability and adaptation to climate change. Land Use Policy 46, 75\u201390 (2015).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1016\/j.landusepol.2015.01.010\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1016\/j.landusepol.2015.01.010\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016%2Fj.landusepol.2015.01.010\" aria-label=\"Article reference 23\" data-doi=\"10.1016\/j.landusepol.2015.01.010\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 23\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Spatial%20modeling%20of%20robust%20crop%20production%20portfolios%20to%20assess%20agricultural%20vulnerability%20and%20adaptation%20to%20climate%20change&amp;journal=Land%20Use%20Policy&amp;doi=10.1016%2Fj.landusepol.2015.01.010&amp;volume=46&amp;pages=75-90&amp;publication_year=2015&amp;author=Mitter%2CH&amp;author=Heumesser%2CC&amp;author=Schmid%2CE\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR24\">Kahiluoto, H. et al. Decline in climate resilience of European wheat. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 116, 123\u2013128 (2019).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1073\/pnas.1804387115\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1073\/pnas.1804387115\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1073%2Fpnas.1804387115\" aria-label=\"Article reference 24\" data-doi=\"10.1073\/pnas.1804387115\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"ads reference\" data-track-action=\"ads reference\" href=\"http:\/\/adsabs.harvard.edu\/cgi-bin\/nph-data_query?link_type=ABSTRACT&amp;bibcode=2019PNAS..116..123K\" aria-label=\"ADS reference 24\" target=\"_blank\">ADS<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"cas reference\" data-track-action=\"cas reference\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/cas-redirect\/1:CAS:528:DC%2BC1MXhslOltQ%3D%3D\" aria-label=\"CAS reference 24\" target=\"_blank\">CAS<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"pubmed reference\" data-track-action=\"pubmed reference\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/entrez\/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&amp;db=PubMed&amp;dopt=Abstract&amp;list_uids=30584094\" aria-label=\"PubMed reference 24\" target=\"_blank\">PubMed<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 24\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Decline%20in%20climate%20resilience%20of%20European%20wheat&amp;journal=Proc.%20Natl%20Acad.%20Sci.%20USA&amp;doi=10.1073%2Fpnas.1804387115&amp;volume=116&amp;pages=123-128&amp;publication_year=2019&amp;author=Kahiluoto%2CH\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR25\">M\u00fcller C. et al. ISIMIP2b Simulation Data from the Agriculture Sector (v1.0). (ISIMIP Repository, 2023).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR26\">FAO Methodology for the Measurement of Food Deprivation (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, 2008).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR27\">The LIFDC Classification\u2014An Exploration Table (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, 2002).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR28\">The Future of Food and Agriculture: Alternative Pathways to 2050 (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, 2018).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR29\">Forslund, A. et al. Can healthy diets be achieved worldwide in 2050 without farmland expansion?. Glob. Food Secur. 39, 100711 (2023).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1016\/j.gfs.2023.100711\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1016\/j.gfs.2023.100711\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016%2Fj.gfs.2023.100711\" aria-label=\"Article reference 29\" data-doi=\"10.1016\/j.gfs.2023.100711\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 29\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Can%20healthy%20diets%20be%20achieved%20worldwide%20in%202050%20without%20farmland%20expansion%3F&amp;journal=Glob.%20Food%20Secur.&amp;doi=10.1016%2Fj.gfs.2023.100711&amp;volume=39&amp;publication_year=2023&amp;author=Forslund%2CA\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR30\">Folberth, C. et al. The global cropland-sparing potential of high-yield farming. Nat. Sustain. 3, 281\u2013289 (2020).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1038\/s41893-020-0505-x\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1038\/s41893-020-0505-x\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038%2Fs41893-020-0505-x\" aria-label=\"Article reference 30\" data-doi=\"10.1038\/s41893-020-0505-x\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 30\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=The%20global%20cropland-sparing%20potential%20of%20high-yield%20farming&amp;journal=Nat.%20Sustain.&amp;doi=10.1038%2Fs41893-020-0505-x&amp;volume=3&amp;pages=281-289&amp;publication_year=2020&amp;author=Folberth%2CC\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR31\">Han, T., Lu, H., L\u00fc, Y., Zhu, Y. &amp; Fu, B. Crop switching could be a win-win solution for improving both the productivity and sustainability in a typical dryland farming region\u2014Loess Plateau, China. J. Clean. Prod. 384, 135456 (2023).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1016\/j.jclepro.2022.135456\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1016\/j.jclepro.2022.135456\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016%2Fj.jclepro.2022.135456\" aria-label=\"Article reference 31\" data-doi=\"10.1016\/j.jclepro.2022.135456\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 31\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Crop%20switching%20could%20be%20a%20win-win%20solution%20for%20improving%20both%20the%20productivity%20and%20sustainability%20in%20a%20typical%20dryland%20farming%20region%E2%80%94Loess%20Plateau%2C%20China&amp;journal=J.%20Clean.%20Prod.&amp;doi=10.1016%2Fj.jclepro.2022.135456&amp;volume=384&amp;publication_year=2023&amp;author=Han%2CT&amp;author=Lu%2CH&amp;author=L%C3%BC%2CY&amp;author=Zhu%2CY&amp;author=Fu%2CB\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR32\">Davis, K. F., Downs, S. &amp; Gephart, J. A. Towards food supply chain resilience to environmental shocks. Nat. Food 2, 54\u201365 (2021).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1038\/s43016-020-00196-3\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1038\/s43016-020-00196-3\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038%2Fs43016-020-00196-3\" aria-label=\"Article reference 32\" data-doi=\"10.1038\/s43016-020-00196-3\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"pubmed reference\" data-track-action=\"pubmed reference\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/entrez\/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&amp;db=PubMed&amp;dopt=Abstract&amp;list_uids=37117650\" aria-label=\"PubMed reference 32\" target=\"_blank\">PubMed<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 32\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Towards%20food%20supply%20chain%20resilience%20to%20environmental%20shocks&amp;journal=Nat.%20Food&amp;doi=10.1038%2Fs43016-020-00196-3&amp;volume=2&amp;pages=54-65&amp;publication_year=2021&amp;author=Davis%2CKF&amp;author=Downs%2CS&amp;author=Gephart%2CJA\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR33\">Wood, A. et al. Reframing the local\u2013global food systems debate through a resilience lens. Nat. Food 4, 22\u201329 (2023).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1038\/s43016-022-00662-0\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1038\/s43016-022-00662-0\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038%2Fs43016-022-00662-0\" aria-label=\"Article reference 33\" data-doi=\"10.1038\/s43016-022-00662-0\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"ads reference\" data-track-action=\"ads reference\" href=\"http:\/\/adsabs.harvard.edu\/cgi-bin\/nph-data_query?link_type=ABSTRACT&amp;bibcode=2023idhc.book.....W\" aria-label=\"ADS reference 33\" target=\"_blank\">ADS<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"pubmed reference\" data-track-action=\"pubmed reference\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/entrez\/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&amp;db=PubMed&amp;dopt=Abstract&amp;list_uids=37118580\" aria-label=\"PubMed reference 33\" target=\"_blank\">PubMed<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 33\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Reframing%20the%20local%E2%80%93global%20food%20systems%20debate%20through%20a%20resilience%20lens&amp;journal=Nat.%20Food&amp;doi=10.1038%2Fs43016-022-00662-0&amp;volume=4&amp;pages=22-29&amp;publication_year=2023&amp;author=Wood%2CA\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR34\">Strategic Framework 2022\u201331 (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, 2021).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR35\">Hadjikakou, M., Dumas, P., Zhang, X. &amp; Bryan, B. A. Ambitious food system interventions required to mitigate the risk of exceeding Earth\u2019 s environmental limits. One Earth 8, 101351 (2025).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1016\/j.oneear.2025.101351\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1016\/j.oneear.2025.101351\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016%2Fj.oneear.2025.101351\" aria-label=\"Article reference 35\" data-doi=\"10.1016\/j.oneear.2025.101351\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 35\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Ambitious%20food%20system%20interventions%20required%20to%20mitigate%20the%20risk%20of%20exceeding%20Earth%E2%80%99%20s%20environmental%20limits&amp;journal=One%20Earth&amp;doi=10.1016%2Fj.oneear.2025.101351&amp;volume=8&amp;publication_year=2025&amp;author=Hadjikakou%2CM&amp;author=Dumas%2CP&amp;author=Zhang%2CX&amp;author=Bryan%2CBA\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR36\">Geyik, \u00d6, Hadjikakou, M. &amp; Bryan, B. A. Climate-friendly and nutrition-sensitive interventions can close the global dietary nutrient gap while reducing GHG emissions. Nat. Food 4, 61\u201373 (2023).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1038\/s43016-022-00648-y\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1038\/s43016-022-00648-y\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038%2Fs43016-022-00648-y\" aria-label=\"Article reference 36\" data-doi=\"10.1038\/s43016-022-00648-y\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"cas reference\" data-track-action=\"cas reference\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/cas-redirect\/1:CAS:528:DC%2BB38Xjt1Sntr7M\" aria-label=\"CAS reference 36\" target=\"_blank\">CAS<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"pubmed reference\" data-track-action=\"pubmed reference\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/entrez\/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&amp;db=PubMed&amp;dopt=Abstract&amp;list_uids=37118573\" aria-label=\"PubMed reference 36\" target=\"_blank\">PubMed<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 36\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Climate-friendly%20and%20nutrition-sensitive%20interventions%20can%20close%20the%20global%20dietary%20nutrient%20gap%20while%20reducing%20GHG%20emissions&amp;journal=Nat.%20Food&amp;doi=10.1038%2Fs43016-022-00648-y&amp;volume=4&amp;pages=61-73&amp;publication_year=2023&amp;author=Geyik%2C%C3%96&amp;author=Hadjikakou%2CM&amp;author=Bryan%2CBA\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR37\">Mueller, N. D. et al. Closing yield gaps through nutrient and water management. Nature 490, 254\u2013257 (2012).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1038\/nature11420\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1038\/nature11420\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038%2Fnature11420\" aria-label=\"Article reference 37\" data-doi=\"10.1038\/nature11420\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"ads reference\" data-track-action=\"ads reference\" href=\"http:\/\/adsabs.harvard.edu\/cgi-bin\/nph-data_query?link_type=ABSTRACT&amp;bibcode=2012Natur.490..254M\" aria-label=\"ADS reference 37\" target=\"_blank\">ADS<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"cas reference\" data-track-action=\"cas reference\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/cas-redirect\/1:CAS:528:DC%2BC38Xht1Kku7vI\" aria-label=\"CAS reference 37\" target=\"_blank\">CAS<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"pubmed reference\" data-track-action=\"pubmed reference\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/entrez\/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&amp;db=PubMed&amp;dopt=Abstract&amp;list_uids=22932270\" aria-label=\"PubMed reference 37\" target=\"_blank\">PubMed<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 37\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Closing%20yield%20gaps%20through%20nutrient%20and%20water%20management&amp;journal=Nature&amp;doi=10.1038%2Fnature11420&amp;volume=490&amp;pages=254-257&amp;publication_year=2012&amp;author=Mueller%2CND\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR38\">Wu, F., Wang, Y., Liu, Y., Liu, Y. &amp; Zhang, Y. Simulated responses of global rice trade to variations in yield under climate change: evidence from main rice-producing countries. J. Clean. Prod. 281, 124690 (2021).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1016\/j.jclepro.2020.124690\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1016\/j.jclepro.2020.124690\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016%2Fj.jclepro.2020.124690\" aria-label=\"Article reference 38\" data-doi=\"10.1016\/j.jclepro.2020.124690\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 38\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Simulated%20responses%20of%20global%20rice%20trade%20to%20variations%20in%20yield%20under%20climate%20change%3A%20evidence%20from%20main%20rice-producing%20countries&amp;journal=J.%20Clean.%20Prod.&amp;doi=10.1016%2Fj.jclepro.2020.124690&amp;volume=281&amp;publication_year=2021&amp;author=Wu%2CF&amp;author=Wang%2CY&amp;author=Liu%2CY&amp;author=Liu%2CY&amp;author=Zhang%2CY\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR39\">Gaupp, F., Hall, J., Mitchell, D. &amp; Dadson, S. Increasing risks of multiple breadbasket failure under 1.5 and 2\u2009\u00b0C global warming. Agric. Syst. 175, 34\u201345 (2019).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1016\/j.agsy.2019.05.010\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1016\/j.agsy.2019.05.010\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016%2Fj.agsy.2019.05.010\" aria-label=\"Article reference 39\" data-doi=\"10.1016\/j.agsy.2019.05.010\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 39\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Increasing%20risks%20of%20multiple%20breadbasket%20failure%20under%201.5%20and%202%E2%80%89%C2%B0C%20global%20warming&amp;journal=Agric.%20Syst.&amp;doi=10.1016%2Fj.agsy.2019.05.010&amp;volume=175&amp;pages=34-45&amp;publication_year=2019&amp;author=Gaupp%2CF&amp;author=Hall%2CJ&amp;author=Mitchell%2CD&amp;author=Dadson%2CS\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR40\">Gaupp, F., Hall, J., Hochrainer-Stigler, S. &amp; Dadson, S. Changing risks of simultaneous global breadbasket failure. Nat. Clim. Change 10, 54\u201357 (2020).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1038\/s41558-019-0600-z\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1038\/s41558-019-0600-z\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038%2Fs41558-019-0600-z\" aria-label=\"Article reference 40\" data-doi=\"10.1038\/s41558-019-0600-z\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"ads reference\" data-track-action=\"ads reference\" href=\"http:\/\/adsabs.harvard.edu\/cgi-bin\/nph-data_query?link_type=ABSTRACT&amp;bibcode=2020NatCC..10...54G\" aria-label=\"ADS reference 40\" target=\"_blank\">ADS<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 40\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Changing%20risks%20of%20simultaneous%20global%20breadbasket%20failure&amp;journal=Nat.%20Clim.%20Change&amp;doi=10.1038%2Fs41558-019-0600-z&amp;volume=10&amp;pages=54-57&amp;publication_year=2020&amp;author=Gaupp%2CF&amp;author=Hall%2CJ&amp;author=Hochrainer-Stigler%2CS&amp;author=Dadson%2CS\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR41\">Hertel, T., Elouafi, I., Tanticharoen, M. &amp; Ewert, F. Diversification for enhanced food systems resilience. Nat. Food 2, 832\u2013834 (2021).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1038\/s43016-021-00403-9\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1038\/s43016-021-00403-9\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038%2Fs43016-021-00403-9\" aria-label=\"Article reference 41\" data-doi=\"10.1038\/s43016-021-00403-9\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"pubmed reference\" data-track-action=\"pubmed reference\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/entrez\/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&amp;db=PubMed&amp;dopt=Abstract&amp;list_uids=37117513\" aria-label=\"PubMed reference 41\" target=\"_blank\">PubMed<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 41\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Diversification%20for%20enhanced%20food%20systems%20resilience&amp;journal=Nat.%20Food&amp;doi=10.1038%2Fs43016-021-00403-9&amp;volume=2&amp;pages=832-834&amp;publication_year=2021&amp;author=Hertel%2CT&amp;author=Elouafi%2CI&amp;author=Tanticharoen%2CM&amp;author=Ewert%2CF\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR42\">Lipper, L. et al. Climate-smart agriculture for food security. Nat. Clim. Change 4, 1068\u20131072 (2014).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1038\/nclimate2437\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1038\/nclimate2437\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038%2Fnclimate2437\" aria-label=\"Article reference 42\" data-doi=\"10.1038\/nclimate2437\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"ads reference\" data-track-action=\"ads reference\" href=\"http:\/\/adsabs.harvard.edu\/cgi-bin\/nph-data_query?link_type=ABSTRACT&amp;bibcode=2014NatCC...4.1068L\" aria-label=\"ADS reference 42\" target=\"_blank\">ADS<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 42\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Climate-smart%20agriculture%20for%20food%20security&amp;journal=Nat.%20Clim.%20Change&amp;doi=10.1038%2Fnclimate2437&amp;volume=4&amp;pages=1068-1072&amp;publication_year=2014&amp;author=Lipper%2CL\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR43\">Ando, A. W. &amp; Mallory, M. L. Optimal portfolio design to reduce climate-related conservation uncertainty in the Prairie Pothole Region. Proc. Natl Acad. Ssci. USA 109, 6484\u20136489 (2012).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1073\/pnas.1114653109\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1073\/pnas.1114653109\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1073%2Fpnas.1114653109\" aria-label=\"Article reference 43\" data-doi=\"10.1073\/pnas.1114653109\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"ads reference\" data-track-action=\"ads reference\" href=\"http:\/\/adsabs.harvard.edu\/cgi-bin\/nph-data_query?link_type=ABSTRACT&amp;bibcode=2012PNAS..109.6484A\" aria-label=\"ADS reference 43\" target=\"_blank\">ADS<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"cas reference\" data-track-action=\"cas reference\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/cas-redirect\/1:CAS:528:DC%2BC38XmslyjtL4%3D\" aria-label=\"CAS reference 43\" target=\"_blank\">CAS<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 43\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Optimal%20portfolio%20design%20to%20reduce%20climate-related%20conservation%20uncertainty%20in%20the%20Prairie%20Pothole%20Region&amp;journal=Proc.%20Natl%20Acad.%20Ssci.%20USA&amp;doi=10.1073%2Fpnas.1114653109&amp;volume=109&amp;pages=6484-6489&amp;publication_year=2012&amp;author=Ando%2CAW&amp;author=Mallory%2CML\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR44\">Runting, R. K. et al. Reducing risk in reserve selection using modern portfolio theory: coastal planning under sea-level rise. J. Appl. Ecol. 55, 2193\u20132203 (2018).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1111\/1365-2664.13190\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1111\/1365-2664.13190\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1111%2F1365-2664.13190\" aria-label=\"Article reference 44\" data-doi=\"10.1111\/1365-2664.13190\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 44\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Reducing%20risk%20in%20reserve%20selection%20using%20modern%20portfolio%20theory%3A%20coastal%20planning%20under%20sea-level%20rise&amp;journal=J.%20Appl.%20Ecol.&amp;doi=10.1111%2F1365-2664.13190&amp;volume=55&amp;pages=2193-2203&amp;publication_year=2018&amp;author=Runting%2CRK\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR45\">FAO and IIASA. Global Agro Ecological Zones Version 4 (GAEZ V4). (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations and the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, 2023).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR46\">Wang, Z. et al. Integrating crop redistribution and improved management towards meeting China\u2019s food demand with lower environmental costs. Nat. Food 3, 1031\u20131039 (2022).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1038\/s43016-022-00646-0\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1038\/s43016-022-00646-0\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038%2Fs43016-022-00646-0\" aria-label=\"Article reference 46\" data-doi=\"10.1038\/s43016-022-00646-0\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"pubmed reference\" data-track-action=\"pubmed reference\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/entrez\/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&amp;db=PubMed&amp;dopt=Abstract&amp;list_uids=37118293\" aria-label=\"PubMed reference 46\" target=\"_blank\">PubMed<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 46\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Integrating%20crop%20redistribution%20and%20improved%20management%20towards%20meeting%20China%E2%80%99s%20food%20demand%20with%20lower%20environmental%20costs&amp;journal=Nat.%20Food&amp;doi=10.1038%2Fs43016-022-00646-0&amp;volume=3&amp;pages=1031-1039&amp;publication_year=2022&amp;author=Wang%2CZ\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR47\">Agriculture, Trade and Food Security: Issues and Options in the WTO Negotiations from the Perspective of Developing Countries (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, 2000).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR48\">van Zeist, W. J. et al. Are scenario projections overly optimistic about future yield progress?. Glob. Environ. Change 64, 102120 (2020).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1016\/j.gloenvcha.2020.102120\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1016\/j.gloenvcha.2020.102120\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016%2Fj.gloenvcha.2020.102120\" aria-label=\"Article reference 48\" data-doi=\"10.1016\/j.gloenvcha.2020.102120\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 48\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Are%20scenario%20projections%20overly%20optimistic%20about%20future%20yield%20progress%3F&amp;journal=Glob.%20Environ.%20Change&amp;doi=10.1016%2Fj.gloenvcha.2020.102120&amp;volume=64&amp;publication_year=2020&amp;author=Zeist%2CWJ\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR49\">Jagermeyr, J. et al. Climate impacts on global agriculture emerge earlier in new generation of climate and crop models. Nat. Food 2, 873\u2013885 (2021).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1038\/s43016-021-00400-y\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1038\/s43016-021-00400-y\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038%2Fs43016-021-00400-y\" aria-label=\"Article reference 49\" data-doi=\"10.1038\/s43016-021-00400-y\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"pubmed reference\" data-track-action=\"pubmed reference\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/entrez\/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&amp;db=PubMed&amp;dopt=Abstract&amp;list_uids=37117503\" aria-label=\"PubMed reference 49\" target=\"_blank\">PubMed<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 49\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Climate%20impacts%20on%20global%20agriculture%20emerge%20earlier%20in%20new%20generation%20of%20climate%20and%20crop%20models&amp;journal=Nat.%20Food&amp;doi=10.1038%2Fs43016-021-00400-y&amp;volume=2&amp;pages=873-885&amp;publication_year=2021&amp;author=Jagermeyr%2CJ\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR50\">Chen, M. et al. Global land use for 2015\u20132100 at 0.05\u00b0 resolution under diverse socioeconomic and climate scenarios. Sci. Data 7, 320 (2020).<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__links u-hide-print\"><a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"10.1038\/s41597-020-00669-x\" data-track-item_id=\"10.1038\/s41597-020-00669-x\" data-track-value=\"article reference\" data-track-action=\"article reference\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038%2Fs41597-020-00669-x\" aria-label=\"Article reference 50\" data-doi=\"10.1038\/s41597-020-00669-x\" target=\"_blank\">Article<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"pubmed reference\" data-track-action=\"pubmed reference\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/entrez\/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&amp;db=PubMed&amp;dopt=Abstract&amp;list_uids=33009403\" aria-label=\"PubMed reference 50\" target=\"_blank\">PubMed<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" data-track-value=\"pubmed central reference\" data-track-action=\"pubmed central reference\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pmc\/articles\/PMC7532189\" aria-label=\"PubMed Central reference 50\" target=\"_blank\">PubMed Central<\/a>\u00a0<br \/>\n    <a data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-value=\"google scholar reference\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-item_id=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Scholar reference 50\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.google.com\/scholar_lookup?&amp;title=Global%20land%20use%20for%202015%E2%80%932100%20at%200.05%C2%B0%20resolution%20under%20diverse%20socioeconomic%20and%20climate%20scenarios&amp;journal=Sci.%20Data&amp;doi=10.1038%2Fs41597-020-00669-x&amp;volume=7&amp;publication_year=2020&amp;author=Chen%2CM\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Google Scholar<\/a>\u00a0\n                <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-references__text\" id=\"ref-CR51\">Li, C. et al. Code for \u201cGlobal Reallocation of Rainfed Crops Can Boost Production and Reduce Climate Risk\u201d. figshare <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.6084\/m9.figshare.27050401\" data-track=\"click_references\" data-track-action=\"external reference\" data-track-value=\"external reference\" data-track-label=\"10.6084\/m9.figshare.27050401\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.6084\/m9.figshare.27050401<\/a> (2026).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Zhu, P. et al. Warming reduces global agricultural production by decreasing cropping frequency and yields. Nat. Clim. Change&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":739783,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[49,48,152275,295,1099,1100,66,4935],"class_list":["post-739782","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-environment","tag-ca","tag-canada","tag-climate-change-adaptation","tag-environment","tag-humanities-and-social-sciences","tag-multidisciplinary","tag-science","tag-sustainability"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/739782","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=739782"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/739782\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/739783"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=739782"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=739782"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=739782"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}