{"id":744471,"date":"2026-06-18T07:16:40","date_gmt":"2026-06-18T07:16:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/744471\/"},"modified":"2026-06-18T07:16:40","modified_gmt":"2026-06-18T07:16:40","slug":"ufc-vegas-119s-best-betting-props-parlays-and-picks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/744471\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Vegas 119\u2019s best betting props, parlays and picks"},"content":{"rendered":"

UFC Vegas 119<\/a> is live this weekend (Sat., June 20n 2026) inside META APEX<\/a> and streaming on Paramount+<\/a>. We are going from the White House<\/a> to the Nevada warehouse<\/a> this weekend, but the card waiting for us isn\u2019t half bad.<\/p>\n

The main event is Manel Kape vs. Kyoji Horiguchi<\/a>, which is a rematch from their RIZIN days. The winner of this is likely the next man up<\/a> after Joshua Van rematches with Alexandre Pantoja for the Flyweight strap<\/a>.<\/p>\n

The co-main is Ion Cutelaba vs. Navajo Sitrling. Stirling showed some signs that he might be worth the hype in his last fight. And Cutelaba is always worth a watch.<\/p>\n

Rounding out the main card is Christian Rodriguez vs. Hyder Amil, Andre Lima vs. Kevin Borjas, Vinicius Oliveira vs. Andre Fili and Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Murtazali Magomedov.<\/p>\n

The featured \u201cPrelim\u201d is soon to be contender Bia Mesquita vs. Melissa Mulins. There\u2019s also Mitch Raposo vs. Allan Nascimento and Michael Aswell Jr. vs. Gaston Bolanos.<\/p>\n

As always, there\u2019s lots to bet on this card and we\u2019ve got odds for all the fights below:<\/p>\n

\"Tim<\/a>\"MMA<\/p>\n

FIGHT STREAK RESULTS FOR UFC FREEDOM 250!!! Get your picks in for UFC Vegas 119!<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Well… glad that’s over. I can’t deny, though, that the fights were fire.<\/p>\n

And it was a mostly good night for your streakers here at Mania. JKWI and Steve007 both hit on Sunday and still tied atop our leaderboard. Both now have a seven fight win streak (the most anyone has ever gotten here).<\/p>\n

JKWI was one of many folks who went for Ruffy. Steve007 went with Nickal.<\/p>\n

I also picked Ruffy, so I now have a whopping two fight streak. You know who else picked him? My nemesis… BennyHillDariush. And he did it with panache.<\/p>\n

At the end of his fight, Chandler will be laying on the canvas as if some slipped him a Ruffy.<\/p>\n

A haiku:<\/p>\n

Mauricio it<\/p>\n

be, to get to three for me<\/p>\n

I’ll be here all week<\/p>\n

I have to give a big shout out to The Sassing Machine, who was the only one to pick Justin Gaethje. Here’s their post:<\/p>\n

I dare to dream.<\/p>\n

I dream of an American victory at this gimicky, gnat-infested, possibly thunderstorm struck event that also likely heralds the downfall of western civilization.<\/p>\n

I dream of a spot atop the streak leaderboard. Just me. Because I had the courage to make a pick that no one else will.<\/p>\n

I dream of Gaethje.<\/p>\n

Mark me down for The Highlight.<\/p>\n

God bless America. And no one else.<\/p>\n

And now for something completely different… UFC Vegas 119 at the APEX.<\/p>\n

Who ya got?<\/p>\n

UFC Vegas 119 Main Event On Paramount+<\/a>:<\/p>\n

125 lbs.: Manel Kape vs. Kyoji Horiguchi 2<\/p>\n

UFC Vegas 119 Main Card on Paramount+<\/a> (8 p.m. ET):<\/p>\n

205 lbs.: Ion Cutelaba vs. Navajo Stirling
145 lbs.: Hyder Amil vs. Christian Rodriguez
125 lbs.: Kevin Borjas vs. Andre Lima
145 lbs.: Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Murtazali Magomedov
145 lbs.: Vinicius Oliveira vs. Andre Fili <\/p>\n

UFC Vegas 119 \u2018Prelims\u2019 Card on Paramount+<\/a> (5 p.m. ET):<\/p>\n

135 lbs.: Bia Mesquita vs. Melissa Mullins
125 lbs.: Mitch Raposo vs. Allan Nascimento
145 lbs.: Michael Aswell Jr. vs. Gaston Bolanos
135 lbs.: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos
170 lbs.: Leon Shahbazyan vs. Levan Chokheli
145 lbs.: Shane Collins vs. Otari Tanzilovi<\/p>\n

Give me Bia Mesquita since… she’s the real deal.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>Rec 2CommentsThin Stroke Comment Icon BubbleReplyRead 17 replies<\/p>\n

UFC Vegas 119 Main Card Money Line Odds<\/p>\n

\"Star<\/a><\/p>\n

Star Boy could earn a title shot at UFC Vegas 119. Jeff Bottari\/Zuffa LLC<\/p>\n

Manel Kape (-162) vs. Kyoji Horiguchi (+136)<\/p>\n

Kape looked like a serious contender in his last fight \u2014 a first round destruction of Brandon Royval (see it here<\/a>). That was his third win in a row, following finishes over Asu Almabayev and Bruno Silva. Both those wins were a little sketchy, though. He got away with eye pokes<\/a> against Almabayev and a groin shot on Silva (after Silva put him down with a pair of nasty groin shots himself).<\/p>\n

Horiguchi, meanwhile, has looked like a contender in his two bouts since returning to UFC, too. In Nov. 2025, he schooled Tagir Ulanbekov on the ground and scored a rear-naked choke win (see it here<\/a>). In February he boxed up Amir Albazi.<\/p>\n

This is a rematch from Kape and Horiguchi\u2019s RIZIN days. They fought in 2017 and Horiguchi won by third round head and arm choke.<\/p>\n

This is such a great fight to have right now. Both these men have really shown out in the last six months and both could pose some very interesting questions for Joshua Van (should he remain champ). I don\u2019t think it\u2019s worth paying too much attention to what happened when they faced each other nine years ago. Kape is a much better fighter today than he was then. Horiguchi hasn\u2019t progressed as much, but I still think he\u2019s a tough match-up for Kape.<\/p>\n

Kape will hope to have the striking advantage in this fight. He has amazing power for a Flyweight and he\u2019s got a five inch reach advantage on Horiguchi.<\/p>\n

Horiguchi has never shied away from a fist-fight, though. He\u2019ll like his striking in this match-up and he, too, has some power (though that was more evident when he fought at Bantamweight).<\/p>\n

Horiguchi will have a very big wrestling advantage in this fight, though.<\/p>\n

In his last loss, Kape was taken down three times by Muhammad Mokaev and that was the most significant thing that happened in the fight (Mokaev attempted eight takedowns). He managed to stay on his feet against Almabayev, who attempted six takedowns. That\u2019s pretty good takedown defense from Kape.<\/p>\n

However, Horiguchi is a different kind of wrestler than those two. Mokaev and Almabayev are extremely wrestle-heavy and when Kape got the timing on their takedowns he was able to stay out of a lot of trouble. Horiguchi mixed his takedown attempts with his striking in ways that we wish everyone else could. It\u2019s going to be much harder for Kape to read when and where the takedown is coming from on Saturday.<\/p>\n

Because of this I\u2019m siding with the above average striker and elite wrestler to defeat the elite striker and below average wrestler.<\/p>\n

The Gooch straight-up is a great bet for me, since I\u2019m getting plus money. I\u2019ll be going there, but let\u2019s look at some other interesting things, too.<\/p>\n

The round total is 4.5 with the over at -135 and the under at +105. I think this likely goes over. Both these guys are extremely durable. Horiguchi by decision is +250 and Kape by decision is +240. I think that\u2019s a good bet if you like either guy. Kape by KO\/TKO\/DQ is surprisingly short at +185. Horiguchi is +900 to win by KO\/TKO\/DQ and +800 to win by submission.<\/p>\n

Ultimately, give me Horiguchi on the moneyline. I think we\u2019re in for a fun scrap, but those takedowns and top position will make the difference.<\/p>\n

Best bet: Kyoji Horiguchi moneyline (+136)<\/p>\n

\"Tim<\/a>\"MMA\"Ion<\/a><\/p>\n

Ion Cutelaba will try and take out another prospect at UFC Vegas 119. Chris Unger\/Zuffa LLC<\/p>\n

Ion Cutelaba (+260) vs. Navajo Stirling (-325)<\/p>\n

Cutelaba has been feasting on the shiny new toys at Light Heavyweight for the past two years. That started with a decision over the debuting Ivan Erslan (a feared knockout artist back then). And it was followed with a first round submission over Ibo Aslan (who was coming off two big finishes). He then lost a split decision to Modestas Bukauskas, which was a robbery. In his last fight he submitted former highly touted prospect Oumar Sy (see it here<\/a>).<\/p>\n

Stirling is 4-0 in UFC. He\u2019s got some hype behind him, despite three of his wins being very forgettable decisions. He looked good in his last fight, though, a TKO over Bruno Lopes (see it here<\/a>).<\/p>\n

Light Heavyweight is wild, man. There\u2019s so many guys who fight like flailing maniacs and who throw themselves into highlight reel wins and losses. Cutelaba has that wild streak in him, but he\u2019s also proved very good at catching guys who get silly with him.<\/p>\n

Stirling is not very silly. He\u2019s very risk adverse and, could probably do with being a little more wild. In this match-up, though, I think he reservedness will really help him stay away from what Cutelaba is good at.<\/p>\n

Stirling\u2019s discipline will help him keep Cutelaba at arm\u2019s length, which is pretty far away for someone with a freakish 79-inch reach. Cutelaba did beat Sy (who has an even freakier 83-inch reach), but Stirling is far more technical on the feet, and better coached, than Sy.<\/p>\n

I think this could be a pretty boring fight where Stirling leads the dance from afar and doesn\u2019t let Cutelaba get close enough to make this a barn-burner. I think Stirling\u2019s coaching and intelligence might also help him if this goes to the ground.<\/p>\n

I\u2019ll take Stirling minus the points, because I think he\u2019s got an outside shot at stopping Cutelaba. But mostly I see him winning a lopsided decision.<\/p>\n

Best bet: Navajo Stirling -3.5 (-190)<\/p>\n

\"Lok<\/a><\/p>\n

Lok Dog moves up to Featherweight at UFC Vegas 119. Chris Unger\/Zuffa LLC<\/p>\n

Vinicius Oliveira (-285) vs. Andre Fili (+230)<\/p>\n

Oliveira flubbed his lines when given a chance to crash the Bantamweight title picture in February. He was shutout and then tapped out by Mario Bautista in just under three rounds (see it here<\/a>). He\u2019d won four straight bouts before that, beating names like Kyler Phillips and Said Nurmagomedov. That one loss was enough to chase him from the division, though. He moves up to Featherweight here and was initially booked to face Giga Chikadze. Chikadze is out, though, so in comes the veteran Fili.<\/p>\n

Fili has gone win-lose, win-lose for eight straight fights now. That\u2019s given him a 13-12 1 NC record in UFC. Last time out, he fought really well against Jose Delgado, but lost a split decision. Before that he got the split decision win over Christian Rodriguez.<\/p>\n

I don\u2019t like this move for \u201cLok Dog.\u201d This is one of those changes in division that looks a little bit like a band-aid solution. Oliveira looked very at home at Bantamweight and his only bad performance was against Bautista, who \u2014 we have to admit \u2014 is one of the top Bantamweights around right now. Oliveira isn\u2019t a particularly big Bantamweight and it\u2019s not like age is a factor in why he can\u2019t cut weight anymore. He\u2019s only 30. Featherweight doesn\u2019t feel like a very safe place to move up to, either. There\u2019s some big dudes up here.<\/p>\n

Fili is a lot bigger than Oliveira. I think that might provide some issues for Oliveira. He might struggle to get past Fili\u2019s jab and he might not have the muscle to put him on the ground or stay on top of him.<\/p>\n

There\u2019s a few underdogs I like deeper on the card and I\u2019ve chickened out of taking them on the moneyline. I\u2019m not going to do that here. I feel like the vibes are off on this move for Oliveira and I think Fili might continue his win-lose pattern here.<\/p>\n

Best bet: Andre Fili moneyline (+230)<\/p>\n

\"Hyder<\/a><\/p>\n

Hyder Amil will be bonus hunting at UFC Vegas 119. Jeff Bottari\/Zuffa LLC<\/p>\n

Christian Rodriguez (-185) vs. Hyder Amil (+154)<\/p>\n

Rodriguez has had a very up and down UFC career. He\u2019s 5-4 with underdog wins over Raul Rosas Jr., Isaac Dulgarian and Austin Bashi. But, he\u2019s lost, as a favorite, to Andre Fili, Julian Erosa and Melquizael Costa.<\/p>\n

Amil, on the other hand, is looking to get back to winning ways. He announced himself with a Tekken combo finish on Jeong Yeong Lee in 2024 (see it here<\/a>). But, then he squeaked past William Gomis with a split decision and then lost in 26 seconds to Jose Delgado. Last time out, he dropped a decision to Jamall Emmers.<\/p>\n

This is an awful fight to try and predict. Both these guys have under-performed a lot lately and, with both of them, it\u2019s hard to know which version of them is going to show up.<\/p>\n

Amil will be throwing the kitchen sink at Rodriguez on Saturday. I just don\u2019t know if he\u2019s going to hit or miss. On his best night, Rodriguez is great at slipping and ripping (he has a lovely trip, too). But, I don\u2019t know if he will pull the trigger.<\/p>\n

Something that is consistent, with Rodriguez, is that he doesn\u2019t get stopped a lot. He\u2019s never been finished with strikes and only been submitted once (by Erosa, who was going through a purple patch at the time). That\u2019s impressive given that he\u2019s fought 16 times. Rodriguez also doesn\u2019t get many finishes (all but one of his UFC wins were by decision).<\/p>\n

Since I doubt Amil finishes him, and that he can finish Amil, I\u2019m looking at this finishing by decision.<\/p>\n

Best bet: Fight to Go the Distance – Yes (-150)<\/p>\n

Betting on sports involves risk, so please only wager amounts you can afford to lose. If you or someone you know if struggling with gambling help can be found with the organizations listed below:<\/p>\n

USA: National Problem Gambling Helpline \u2014 Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER to receive support and learn about available services.UK: GamCare – Call 0808 8020 133 to speak to an advisor about gambling (or visit gamecare.org.uk for live chat and forum options).Canada: Visit responsiblegambling.org for resources on helplines in Canada\u2019s various provinces and territories.Australia\/New Zealand: National Gambling Helpline \u2014 Call (800) 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.\"Andre<\/a><\/p>\n

Andre Lima could show he\u2019s a sleeper contender at Flyweight with a win at UFC Vegas 119. Chris Unger\/Zuffa LLC<\/p>\n

Andre Lima (-600) vs. Kevin Borjas (+440)<\/p>\n

If Lima were more active, he might be a Top 10<\/a> Flyweight and someone we talk about as a potential title contender. As it stands, though, the 11-0 Brazilian is just 4-0 in UFC despite joining the promotion in 2023. His last fight was a submission over Daniel Barez in March, 2025. Since then he\u2019s had three fights fall through.<\/p>\n

Borjas has lost his last two bouts. He was TKO\u2019d by Imanol Rodriguez at the Mexico City card in February (see that here<\/a>). Before that he lost a decision to Sumudaerji. Borjas is 1-4 in UFC, though he\u2019s had a tough schedule.<\/p>\n

I\u2019m a big booster for Lima. At times he\u2019s looked he could give anyone in the Top 5<\/a> a tough night. He just needs to fight more often to convince us that\u2019s the case.<\/p>\n

Borjas has been pretty underwhelming lately, with his amazing striking display over Ronaldo Rodriguez looking like a fluke now. I don\u2019t think he can compete with Lima on the feet or on the ground. Lima has a 60 percent accuracy and 57 percent defense on significant strikes. Borjas has 44 percent accuracy and 49 percent defense.<\/p>\n

And Lima\u2019s got a very high 75 percent takedown accuracy. Borjas\u2019 has a 70 percent takedown defense, but I still think Lima will be able to get him down and then style on him with submission attempts.<\/p>\n

I think Lima gets the finish in this one, one way or another. I don\u2019t have the line for it, but I would take him minus the points in this match. Since I don\u2019t have that, I\u2019ll go with the under.<\/p>\n

Best bet: Under 2.5 rounds (+100)<\/p>\n

\"Melsik<\/a><\/p>\n

Melsik Baghdasaryan has been re-signed for UFC Vegas 119. Chris Unger\/Zuffa LLC<\/p>\n

Melsik Baghdasaryan (+250) vs. Murtazail Magomedov (-310)<\/p>\n

Baghdasaryan hasn\u2019t fought since Feb. 2025. That was a memorable beatdown he suffered at the hands (and elbows) of Jean Silva (see it here<\/a>). He was supposed to get back in there in Dec. 2025, but had to pull out of a fight with Joanderson Brito on a few days notice. His UFC wins are over Tucker Lutz, Bruno Souza and Collin Anglin (all of whom has a combined UFC record of 1-7).<\/p>\n

Magomedov got a first round technical knockout on Contender Series back in Sept. 2025. He\u2019s 26 with a 10-0 record. Other than that APEX fight, he\u2019s fought close to his home of Kyrgyzstan, most notably at the Octagon promotion.<\/p>\n

Magomedov looks pretty good getting off the bus, but I think that covers up a little for how raw he is. He\u2019s very athletic and powerful, but the decision making might not be there yet.<\/p>\n

Baghdasaryan is the best fighter Magomedov has faced and I think there\u2019s a chance the crafty veteran could cause an upset here. The lay-off for Baghdasaryan does concern me, though, enough for me to not straight up pick him here.<\/p>\n

I will take Baghdasaryan with the +3.5 point spread, though. This covers me if Magomedov is totally out of his depth and also if we go to a close decision.<\/p>\n

Best bet: Melsik Baghdasaryan +3.5 (+130)<\/p>\n

UFC Vegas 119 \u2018Prelims\u2019 Under Card Odds<\/p>\n

\"Bia<\/a><\/p>\n

Bia Mesquita will try to stay undefeated at UFC Vegas 119. Chris Unger\/Zuffa LLC<\/p>\n

Bia Mesquita (-550) vs. Melissa Mullins (+410)<\/p>\n

Mesquita has looked like the real deal through two UFC contests. She has totally dominated both Montse Rendon and Irina Alekseeva and scored career submissions four and five in those bouts. She\u2019s now 7-0 with most her previous wins coming in LFA (where she was a champion).<\/p>\n

Mullins is 2-2 in UFC and has had some entertaining brawls. Her last fight was more than one year ago \u2014 a unanimous decision loss to Darya Zheleznyakova (someone she beat on the regional scene). Her last win was a ground-and-pound technical knockout over Klaudia Sygula (see it here<\/a>).<\/p>\n

I\u2019ve already seen enough of Mesquita to say she deserves to be in the Bantamweight title picture. Her 10 world championships and 10 Brazilian national championships make her one of the most decorated Brazilian jiu-jitsu players in UFC, regardless of gender. And she might be one of the best women we\u2019ve seen at translating her BJJ game to MMA. She hides her takedowns behind strikes and she does not mess around with position over submission, she goes for the kill.<\/p>\n

Mullins is not on her level, on the ground. Her hope is that she can scrap and hurt Mesquita enough to make her BJJ less dangerous. I don\u2019t see it happening, though. I\u2019ll take the under here, since I don\u2019t have a line for Mesquita by submission.<\/p>\n

Best bet: Under 1.5 rounds (-140)<\/p>\n

\"Allan<\/a><\/p>\n

Allan Nascimento meets a fellow grappler at UFC Vegas 119. Chris Unger\/Zuffa LLC<\/p>\n

Mitch Raposo (+164) vs. Allan Nascimento (-198)<\/p>\n

Raposo\u2019s last fight was in Oct. 2025. That\u2019s when he took a decision over Azat Maksum as a +325 underdog. That\u2019s a fact he made sure everyone knew after he had his hand raised. He was supposed to fight Nascimento in April, but he got sick on weigh-in day. Before the Maksum win, he lost back-to-back split decisions against Sumudaerji and Andre Lima.<\/p>\n

Nascimento\u2019s last fight was in Nov. 2025. He dominated Cody Durden back then and scored an anaconda choke submission. That was his fourth win in a row, following a decision over Jafel Filho and submission over Carlos Hernandez.<\/p>\n

I feel like Raposo is finding it tough to calibrate himself for UFC competition. He won over Maksum with his boxing and despite being taken down seven times. He lost to Sumudaerji after just focusing on wrestling and offering just nine sig. strikes. So, I\u2019m not sure if he knows what he wants to be in there. Those two performances might suggest that he can do well if he can figure out when and how much to mix his striking and wrestling.<\/p>\n

Nascimento has himself figured out. He\u2019s confident in striking, but wants things to hit the ground so he can go for submissions. I think he\u2019s going to be spending some time on the ground with Raposo in this one. He might get a takedown, but he\u2019s also good at getting the upper-hand when grappling from the bottom or when pressed into the cage.<\/p>\n

I don\u2019t see Raposo being able to stay on top of Nasicmento for long, if he wants to play that game. And I\u2019m not sure how well he can box against him with a five inch reach disadvantage.<\/p>\n

Best bet: Allen Nascimento moneyline (-198)<\/p>\n

\"Michael<\/a><\/p>\n

Michael Aswell Jr. and Gaston Bolanos are both looking to rebound at UFC Vegas 119. Jasper Wax\/Getty Images<\/p>\n

Michael Aswell Jr. (-425) vs. Gaston Bolanos (+330)<\/p>\n

Aswell Jr. couldn\u2019t keep up with hot prospect Luke Riley in his last fight. He lost the decision there in March. Before that he got a first round finish over Lucas Almeida. Almeida came into that fight trying to hide a clearly broken hand. Aswell\u2019s other UFC appearances are decision losses to Bolaji Oki and Bogdan Grad (on Contender Series).<\/p>\n

Bolanos was submitted by Quang Le in his last fight. That was all the way back in May 2025. Before that he got a decision win over Cortavious Romious. Bolanos is 2-2 in UFC with his other loss being a technical knockout to Marcus McGhee.<\/p>\n

I\u2019m a little surprised by this line here. I haven\u2019t seen enough from Aswell to buy him as a -425 favorite against anyone. And I don\u2019t think he and Bolanos are too far apart. Aswell is more of a brawler and has gained a reputation for being in fun fights (of which he\u2019s mostly lost). Bolanos is one of those guys who is well rounded, but doesn\u2019t excel at any one thing.<\/p>\n

Aswell will want to brawl here, too. If Bolanos is wise, he\u2019ll try and make this more of a mixed martial arts fight.<\/p>\n

I\u2019m not feeling bold enough to pick Bolanos outright, but I will go with the over to essentially fade Aswell\u2019s chance of finishing him early.<\/p>\n

Best bet: Over 2.5 rounds (-166)<\/p>\n

\"Luana<\/a><\/p>\n

Luana Santos looks for her sixth UFC win at UFC Vegas 119. Jeff Bottari\/Zuffa LLC<\/p>\n

Karol Rosa (-118) vs. Luana Santos (-102)<\/p>\n

Rosa hasn\u2019t competed since Aug. 2025, taking a decision over Nora Cornolle. She\u2019s 8-4 in UFC now. Her other wins include decisions over Pannie Kianzad, Yana Santos and Joselyne Edwards. Her losses are to pretty decent opposition, including Ailin Perez and Irene Aldana.<\/p>\n

Santos has won two straight thanks to a decision over Melissa Croden in Dec. 2025. She also beat Tainara Lisboa with an Americana (see it here<\/a>). She\u2019s now 5-1 in UFC action. Her only loss was to Casey O\u2019Neill in 2024.<\/p>\n

This is a really tough fight to call. Santos has the higher ceiling in this match-up, by far. But Rosa is a really tough out and she\u2019s been in there with top opposition. Rosa is the more active striker, she lands almost twice the amount of sig. strikes a minute than Santos does. Santos is the more active grappler. She lands twice the number of takedowns per 15 minutes than Rosa does.<\/p>\n

If this fight stays standing, then Rosa is probably going to chip away and get the decision. If Santos gets takedowns, then she probably racks up enough control time to get the decision go her way. I\u2019m thinking we\u2019re going to see a bit of both those things happening and that this leads to a split decision.<\/p>\n

I am leaning Santos, though. She\u2019s six years younger and I think her striking is closer to Rosa\u2019s striking than Rosa\u2019s grappling is to her grappling.<\/p>\n

Best bet: Luana Santos moneyline (-102)<\/p>\n

\"Levan<\/a><\/p>\n

Levan Chokheli debuts at UFC Vegas 119. Cooper Neill\/Getty Images<\/p>\n

Leon Shahbazyan vs. Levan Chokheli<\/p>\n

Shahbazyan was knocked out by Phil Rowe on Contender Series in 2019. He went 5-2 since then, but has won his last four. He\u2019s got technical knockout losses to Ryan Loder and Gabe Green on his record. He\u2019s 12-4 with eleven submission wins.<\/p>\n

Chokheli had a long tenure in Bellator and went 4-3. He knocked out Sabah Homasi with a front kick back then. His losses include a submission against Goiti Yamauchi and a technical knockout to Lorenz Larkin.<\/p>\n

Shahbazyan is a huge Welterweight. He\u2019s 6\u2019 4\u201d with a 74 inch reach. Chokheli isn\u2019t small, though. He\u2019s just three inches shorter with an inch less in reach.<\/p>\n

There\u2019s no odds on this one, at this time of writing, but I expect the more experienced Chokheli to be the favorite.<\/p>\n

Shahbazyan is quite slow and lumbering. And his striking is not great. See him faceplant below, after whiffing on an elbow strike.<\/p>\n

I\u2019ll bet against the guy who did that.<\/p>\n

Best bet: Levan Chokheli moneyline<\/p>\n

\"Otari<\/a><\/p>\n

Otari Tanzilovi makes his debut at UFC Vegas 119, too. Chris Unger\/Zuffa LLC<\/p>\n

Shane Collins vs. Otari Tanzilovi<\/p>\n

This fight has been thrown together rather late. Collins is 26, 7-0 and has never been on a UFC property. He was a long time amateur, going 9-2 from 2019 to 2022. He\u2019s fought mostly around California and he was a champion in Urijah Faber\u2019s promotion.<\/p>\n

Tanzilovi lost a split decision to Josias Musasa on Contender Series in 2024. Musasa has since proven to be a bit of a bust. Tanzilovi has won on some recognizable promotions, including Fury FC and UAE Warriors. He\u2019s 28 and 10-1.<\/p>\n

There\u2019s no odds for this one, either, at this time of writing. Tanzilovi has done more, on bigger stages, than Collins has at this point. He\u2019s a flashy kicker, but not terribly effective with it, though. But he compliments that with pretty solid Georgian wrestling (he has some good sweeps from the bottom, too).<\/p>\n

Collins looks busy, but defensively quite porous. He\u2019s also got some wrestling. I think Tanzilovi will have his number, though.<\/p>\n

Best bet: Otari Tanzilovi moneyline<\/p>\n

\"Will<\/a><\/p>\n

Will we get a repeat of this at UFC Vegas 119? Etsuo Hara\/Getty Images<\/p>\n

UFC Vegas 119 Long Shots!<\/p>\n

Here\u2019s a couple of long shots for Saturday night\u2019s action …<\/p>\n

Kyoji Horiguchi to win by submission (+800)<\/p>\n

Who says lightning can\u2019t strike twice? Horiguchi submitted Kape nine years ago and maybe he does that again here? I\u2019m projecting him to enjoy his wrestling advantage over Kape and I think there\u2019s a good chance that ends up putting Kape in some submission trouble.<\/p>\n

Two-bet parlay: Andre Fili +3.5 and Melsik Baghdasaryan +3.5 (+406)<\/p>\n

I like both these underdogs. I think Oliveira has chosen the wrong time to move up to Featherweight. And I don\u2019t totally buy Magomedov as a big favorite. Give me both the dogs in those match-ups, plus the points please!<\/p>\n

Bia Mesquita vs. Melissa Mullins – First Minute Finish (+950)<\/p>\n

I\u2019m so high on Bia Mesquita. She\u2019s no spring chicken, so she has to work fast to get a title shot. I think she works fast on Saturday, too, and stays undefeated.<\/p>\n

To checkout the latest and greatest UFC Vegas 119: \u201cKape vs. Horiguchi\u201d news and notes be sure to hit up our comprehensive event archive right here<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"UFC Vegas 119 is live this weekend (Sat., June 20n 2026) inside META APEX and streaming on Paramount+.…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":463057,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[444],"tags":[49,48,641,33601,638,82,139445,702,17056,17055,8729],"class_list":["post-744471","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-mma","tag-ca","tag-canada","tag-fighting","tag-latest-ufc-mma-news","tag-mma","tag-sports","tag-ufc-on-paramount","tag-ufc-news","tag-ufc-odds","tag-ufc-predictions","tag-ufc-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/744471","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=744471"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/744471\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/463057"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=744471"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=744471"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=744471"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}