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John Woods \/ The Canadian Press Files<\/p>\n
Support for NDP Leader Avi Lewis and the party rose 14 per cent in suburban Winnipeg neighbourhoods since March.<\/p>\n
Across Manitoba, NDP support jumped from eight per cent in March to 14 per cent. Conservatives were down four points from 39 per cent in March and Liberal support rose to 47 per cent from 46 per cent.<\/p>\n
A shift in voter attitude was strongest in suburban Winnipeg neighbourhoods, where support for NDP Leader Avi Lewis and the party rose 14 per cent since March, and Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre and the Tories dropped 11 per cent.<\/p>\n
Lewis was elected to lead the federal NDP in a landslide victory following a leadership convention held in Winnipeg in late March. He last visited Winnipeg in May, when he discussed his priorities with supporters, including protecting door-to-door postal service and nationwide publicly-owned grocery stores.<\/p>\n
\u201cThe NDP, in Winnipeg, especially, is actually sort of taking some of that Tory vote,\u201d Mary Agnes Welch, a partner with Probe Research, said Thursday. \u201cIt\u2019s not really impacting the Liberal numbers. The NDP are stealing a little bit from that sort of populist cohort of voters.\u201d<\/p>\n
Women and younger adults were most likely to declare their new support for the NDP.<\/p>\n
\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t In rural and northern Manitoba, Conservatives remained on top with 50 per cent support. Liberals and NDP saw small gains, from 33 per cent to 35 per cent and five per cent to nine per cent, respectively.<\/p>\n Liberals continue to hold a significant advantage in Winnipeg, as they do across Canada, Welch noted.<\/p>\n \u201cI don\u2019t think we love Mark Carney instinctively in our hearts, but we respect and kind of admire his approach, and hope to God it works,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n Leah Gazan, Winnipeg\u2019s sole NDP MP (Winnipeg Centre), said the party\u2019s focus on \u201cbread and butter issues\u201d has resonated with city residents.<\/p>\n \u201cWe just came out of a leadership race electing a dynamic, highly intelligent, charismatic leader with very clear moral clarity at a time when we really need it,\u201d she said. \u201cWe are representing issues that really matter and are impacting people across Canada.\u201d<\/p>\n \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t \n\t\tWinnipeg Free Press | Newsletter\n\t<\/p>\n \t\t\t\t\t The NDP lost two longtime orange ridings in the 2025 federal election: Elmwood-Transcona, which is now represented by Conservative MP Colin Reynolds, and Churchill-Keewatinook Aski, now represented by Liberal MP Rebecca Chartrand.<\/p>\n While the next federal election is likely a long way down the road \u2014 it must be held by Oct. 15, 2029 \u2014 University of Manitoba political science professor Christopher Adams said observing the shifts at the edges of cities can paint a picture of where the province and country are moving.<\/p>\n \u201cWhat I look at in Manitoba for the polling results is what\u2019s happening in the suburban areas,\u201d he said. \u201cLike Winnipeg South, (MP) Terry Duguid\u2019s riding for the Liberals, now that is vulnerable to the Conservatives, if the Conservative support increases.\u201d<\/p>\n Probe Research surveyed a random sample of 1,000 Manitobans between May 25 and June 8, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points 95 times out of 100.<\/p>\n malak.abas@freepress.mb.ca<\/p>\n \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t Malak Abas Malak Abas is a city reporter at the Free Press. Born and raised in Winnipeg\u2019s North End, she led the campus paper at the University of Manitoba before joining the Free Press in 2020. Read more about Malak<\/a>.<\/p>\n Every piece of reporting Malak produces is reviewed by an editing team before it is posted online or published in print \u2014 part of the Free Press\u2018s tradition, since 1872, of producing reliable independent journalism. Read more about Free Press\u2019s history and mandate<\/a>, and learn how our newsroom operates<\/a>.<\/p>\n
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