{"id":74934,"date":"2025-08-16T21:20:07","date_gmt":"2025-08-16T21:20:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/74934\/"},"modified":"2025-08-16T21:20:07","modified_gmt":"2025-08-16T21:20:07","slug":"free-mlb-home-run-picks-odds-for-aug-16-christian-yelich-among-best-bets-for-saturday-hr-player-props","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/74934\/","title":{"rendered":"Free MLB home run picks, odds for Aug. 16: Christian Yelich among best bets for Saturday HR player props"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Milwaukee Brewers<\/a> can set a new franchise record with a 14th consecutive win on Saturday night when they face the Cincinnati Reds in a National League Central matchup. Milwaukee, who is -122 favorite on the money line for Saturday’s game,\u00a0erased an 8-1 deficit in the series opener on Friday, as Christian Yelich<\/a> went 4-for-5 with two home runs and five RBIs. Yelich has hit safely in 10 of his last 12 games and is up to 25 homers this season. He is +310 to go yard again in the Saturday MLB odds, and that is one of the MLB HR props that SportsLine’s model is targeting.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The Inside the Lines team is also backing Kyle Stowers<\/a> (Marlins<\/a>) and Junior Caminero<\/a> (Rays<\/a>) with their MLB HR bets on Saturday. MLB home run props are available for almost every player in every game at various\u00a0sportsbooks<\/a>, and SportsLine’s proven computer model can help you find value for your\u00a0MLB betting<\/a>\u00a0picks. New users can also use the latest\u00a0DraftKings promo code<\/a>\u00a0to receive\u00a0$200 off NFL Sunday Ticket and get $200 in bonus bets instantly after your first wager of $5 or more<\/a>, and take advantage of one of the\u00a0best sportsbook promos<\/a>:<\/p>\n

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It’s up 59.1 units on its individual MLB HR picks this season after nailing Zachary Neto<\/a> (+420) to homer on Friday, and has called two three-leg parlays paying at least 80-1 this season. Now, the model and SportsLine’s team of Data Scientists have revealed their\u00a0betting<\/a>\u00a0projections for some of the most-bet MLB HR prop bets on Saturday.\u00a0You can find even more picks in their daily blog<\/a>, and also see their top picks for Cubs vs. Pirates<\/a> and their top MLB props for Saturday<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Best MLB home run picks for Saturday, August 16:<\/p>\n

MLB Best Home Run Bets 8\/16<\/p>\n

For more real-time, free picks every day:\u00a0Inside the Lines Blog<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Kyle Stowers, Marlins (+575, BetMGM)<\/p>\n

Stowers has a tough matchup against Brayan Bello<\/a> today, but we think he is worth a play with his odds all the way at +575. Bello is coming off a start in which he wasn’t at his best, and this is the point in the season where fatigue starts to set in for many starting pitchers. Stowers has 3 doubles in his last 3 games, so he is seeing the ball well. He also has a .984 OPS against RHPs and has hit 24 of his 25 HRs against righties. We set Stowers’ line at +330 to homer. It’s\u00a0BetMGM offering the best price here<\/a>, and you can also use the latest\u00a0BetMGM promo code<\/a>\u00a0to get up to $1,500 in bonus bets if your first bet loses:<\/p>\n

Christian Yelich, Brewers (+310, FanDuel)<\/p>\n

Yelich is coming off a 4-5 game with two home runs and a double. Over his last 4 games, he is 11-17 with 4 home runs, and is seeing the ball incredibly well. Zack Littell<\/a> is tied for the MLB lead in HRs allowed at 27 on the season. Yelich has seen Littell before and is 2-6 with two singles against him. While the +310 line is pricey, we still have value and would set Yelich’s line at +275 to homer. You can find this price at FanDuel and also get\u00a0$300 in bonus bets if your first wager of $5 or more wins<\/a>:<\/p>\n

Junior Caminero, Rays (+430, FanDuel)<\/p>\n

Caminero must still think he’s in the home run derby, as he has hit a HR in 6 of his last 8 games. He’s now up to 17 HRs on the road after struggling for most of the first half of the season when playing away. Justin Verlander<\/a> has had a tough time pitching in San Francisco this season. In his 12 home starts, opponents are hitting .289 with an .814 OPS against the future Hall-of-Famer. We are probably getting a better price at +430 due to Verlander’s name rather than his actual season output. We set Caminero’s line at +330 to homer, making this a tremendous value with the listed price\u00a0available at FanDuel<\/a>:<\/p>\n

Where to bet MLB props on Saturday<\/p>\n

Here is a look at\u00a0betting sites<\/a>\u00a0that will offer MLB HR props on Saturday:\u00a0<\/p>\n

More MLB picks for Saturday\u00a0<\/p>\n

You’ve seen the model’s MLB HR prop picks for several players on Saturday. Now,\u00a0get MLB projections for every player prop at SportsLine<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Need more from SportsLine?\u00a0See today’s best MLB picks from SportsLine’s Bruce Marshall<\/a>, who is on a 97-88-1 roll (+1573) on MLB picks.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Milwaukee Brewers can set a new franchise record with a 14th consecutive win on Saturday night when…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":45947,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[435],"tags":[49,48,9105,3989,467,3981,493,462,82,480],"class_list":{"0":"post-74934","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-mlb","8":"tag-ca","9":"tag-canada","10":"tag-christian-yelich","11":"tag-junior-caminero","12":"tag-kyle-stowers","13":"tag-miami-marlins","14":"tag-milwaukee-brewers","15":"tag-mlb","16":"tag-sports","17":"tag-tampa-bay-rays"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74934","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=74934"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74934\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/45947"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=74934"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=74934"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=74934"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}