WNBA Picks<\/p>\n
Happy Father\u2019s Day to all the dads out there! We\u2019ve got a three-game slate in the WNBA to bet on as you enjoy your family time, with the Aces hosting the Valkyries at 4 p.m. ET, Minnesota vs Washington to follow at 6 p.m. ET, and the Sparks hosting Liberty at 8 p.m. ET today. Here are the TSI projections for Sunday\u2019s slate.<\/p>\n
Las Vegas Aces (-4) vs Golden State Valkyries, O\/U 167.5<\/p>\n
Las Vegas comes into this game having won seven of eight, and is averaging 92 points per game in their last five. Golden State has won four of its last five, as they\u2019ve turned a corner defensively and are one of the best defenses in the league. Over their last five games, the Valkyries have held opponents 11 points under their season scoring averages, although in Vegas\u2019s last four wins, they\u2019ve scored 14 points above opponents\u2019 defensive averages. TSI projects Aces -6.5 with a total of 172.5 in this game, as Vegas has averaged 95 points per game in their last four home games, which was 12 points above opponent defensive averages. Plus, Vegas has been three points better against playoff teams than against non-playoff teams this season, adjusted for opponent. I\u2019m backing Becky Hammon\u2019s squad at home.<\/p>\n
Bet: Aces -4 (Play to -5)<\/p>\n
Minnesota Lynx (-13.5) vs Washington Mystics, O\/U 169<\/p>\n
The Lynx have won three straight and 11 of 12 games. They\u2019ve been the most consistent team in the league and have an average scoring margin in their last five games of 97-82. Washington has managed to figure out how to play on the road, after being atrocious the first part of the season, they\u2019ve won back-to-back road games, including the last game at New York. However, this is their 4th road game in eight days, so a tough spot having to take on Olivia Miles and co. TSI projects Lynx -12 with a total of 169. Minnesota has been awesome both home and away and against virtually anyone, but they\u2019ve really had their way with non-playoff teams, so this could get ugly for Washington, who\u2019s been six points worse against playoff teams this season. I don\u2019t have a play because TSI was too close on the projections, but I\u2019d lean Minnesota here.\u00a0<\/p>\n
LA Sparks (+4.5) vs New York Liberty, O\/U 180<\/p>\n
What a tough three-game stretch here for LA; they\u2019ve played Golden State and Minnesota, and now face New York for the last game of the stretch. All while dealing with Cameron Brink\u2019s injury and Kelsey Plum having missed time. They\u2019ve been outscored on average in their last 5 games by a score of 86-83, with an average game grade of -4.5 points below league average in those games. New York is coming off the loss to Washington, but has been playing great ball after winning eight straight prior to that loss. TSI projects Liberty -2.5 with a total of 178, so there\u2019s seemingly some value on the surface, but diving deeper, there are a lot of conflicting trends and stats for this game. New York has been two points better on the road while LA has been 5.5 points worse at home and 6.5 points worse against playoff teams, negating the initial TSI lean for me. On the total, LA home games have been about 2.5 points lower than expected (adjusted for opponent), while New York road games have been seven points above expectation, so I don\u2019t feel great about the Under either. I\u2019m going to pass on this one, too.\u00a0<\/p>\n
For all of my WNBA picks, including prop bets and live plays, be sure to follow me on X\u00a0@TShoeIndex<\/a>\u00a0and turn your notifications on to get real-time updates from me on all things\u00a0WNBA<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"WNBA Picks Happy Father\u2019s Day to all the dads out there! We\u2019ve got a three-game slate in the…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":751606,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[629],"tags":[49,48,82,630,23236],"class_list":["post-751605","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-wnba","tag-ca","tag-canada","tag-sports","tag-wnba","tag-wnba-best-bets"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/751605","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=751605"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/751605\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/751606"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=751605"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=751605"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=751605"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}