Ketel Marte to Hit a Home Run (+401)<\/p>\n
Diamondbacks star Ketel Marte has been a home run machine as of late, going deep five times over the last two weeks while posting a 1.071 OPS. Marte is now up to 17 home runs in the 2026 season, and he\u2019s been effective from both sides of the dish, hitting 10 long balls against right-handed pitching and seven against southpaws.<\/p>\n
The switch hitter has an intriguing matchup against the Milwaukee Brewers and youngster Brandon Sproat on Sunday, yet oddsmakers have him at north of 4\/1 to go deep.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Sproat has given up 14 home runs in 16 appearances this season, posting a 5.28 ERA while ranking in just the 48th percentile in ground-ball rate. Sproat ranks in the 26th percentile or worse in barrel percentage, hard-hit percentage and average exit velocity against in the 2026 campaign.\u00a0<\/p>\n
I don\u2019t mind betting on Marte to stay hot in this matchup, even though things will get tougher against the Milwaukee bullpen (3.51 ERA this season) later in this game.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Shohei Ohtani to Hit a Home Run (+243)<\/p>\n
Ohtani appears to be on track to return to the lineup on Sunday night, which would set him up for a favorable matchup against San Diego\u2019s JP Sears.<\/p>\n
Sears has struggled in two outings in 2026, allowing four home runs, 13 hits and nine runs, posting a 6.97 ERA.<\/p>\n
Ohtani has crushed the young lefty in his career, going 4-for-8 with two doubles and a run batted in. He has yet to take him deep, but the Dodgers star has been heating up, homering seven times over the last four weeks to bring his total to 18 on the season.\u00a0<\/p>\n
With Sears struggling to start his 2026 campaign, I think the Dodgers\u2019 offense (No. 1 in Weighted Runs Created Plus this season) has a big night on Sunday.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Kazuma Okamoto to Hit a Home Run (+447)<\/p>\n
Toronto Blue Jays third baseman Kazuma Okamoto has been one of the few bright spots for the team on offense, homering 19 times while posting a .776 OPs in his first season in MLB.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Okamoto has done most of his damage against right-handed pitching, homering 14 times, and he\u2019s homered three times over the last two weeks, posting a .300 batting average in the process.\u00a0<\/p>\n
At +447, Okamoto is undervalued against the Seattle Mariners and right-hander Emerson Hancock, who has given up 12 home runs in 16 outings this season. Hancock has a solid 3.47 ERA, but he ranks in the 45th percentile in ground-ball rate and the 21st percentile or worse in barrel percentage, hard-hit percentage and average exit velocity against.<\/p>\n
I don\u2019t mind a small bet on Okamoto at this long shot price. <\/p>\n
Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.<\/p>\n
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.<\/p>\n
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