Welcome to my weekly fantasy golf model for the 2025 Tour Championship!<\/p>\n
Since March 2020, I’ve shared a weekly model which offers a clear-cut ranking system based on data points weighted in a formula. It’s been a tremendous success. Winners typically rank inside the top 15 of our model, though, like any model, sometimes there are outlier champions. <\/p>\n
Let me walk you through this week’s results and how I get to them. You’ll see our top 10 for free, and the rest of the model, including potential sleepers and value picks, is available for GNN members.<\/p>\n
2025 Tour Championship: Model<\/a> Field<\/a> | Rankings<\/a> | Betting Odds and First Looks<\/a> | One and Done<\/a> | Cheat Sheet<\/a> | Tournament History<\/a> | Recent Form<\/a> | Finish Database<\/a><\/p>\n LISTEN TO GOLF NEWS NET RADIO 24\/7<\/p>\n FOLLOW GOLF NEWS NET RADIO: iHEART<\/a> | TUNEIN<\/a> <\/p>\n SAVE ON GNN MEMBERSHIP:<\/a> Join now, and get 2 years for $70 OR 3 years for $100! (One year is $40.) Access all our winning tools<\/a> and analysis, as well as two annual gifts!<\/p>\n How the rubric works<\/p>\n The biggest chunk of my rubric relies on strokes gained, as well our derivative, Quality Strokes Gained, which weights a player’s strokes gained against the depth of field they face. The rubric looks at this data over the longer term and medium term to derive a player’s quality across the tour and across different fields. I include specific weighting of strokes gained and Quality Strokes Gained against the field strength that week, creating a range of comparison to see how players do against particular competition.<\/p>\n Next, the rubric accounts for two factors I look at every week: current form in the last 10 PGA Tour events played and their average strokes gained on the host course in the last three years.<\/p>\n All told, the model is designed to point out quality players and boost those middling players who have good current form or good course history.<\/p>\n While I think a long-term view of a player’s performance is the best way to measure their potential, there’s no doubt that short-term heaters happen. To that end, for GNN members, I also have a short-term model<\/a> that compares a player’s performance to his peers over the last 10 PGA Tour events.<\/p>\n 2025 Tour Championship rankings: Top 10<\/p>\n POS 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
\nPLAYER
\nPTS
\nDK PRICE
\nODDS<\/p>\n
\nScheffler, Scottie<\/a>
\n3.029
\n13900
\n175<\/p>\n
\nMcIlroy, Rory<\/a>
\n2.083
\n11300
\n800<\/p>\n
\nFleetwood, Tommy<\/a>
\n1.692
\n9900
\n1400<\/p>\n
\nMatsuyama, Hideki<\/a>
\n1.372
\n7500
\n3000<\/p>\n
\nHenley, Russell<\/a>
\n1.333
\n9600
\n2200<\/p>\n
\nAberg, Ludvig
\n1.256
\n10100
\n1800<\/p>\n
\nCantlay, Patrick<\/a>
\n1.183
\n8700
\n2500<\/p>\n
\nHall, Harry<\/a>
\n1.119
\n7000
\n5500<\/p>\n
\nMcNealy, Maverick
\n1.091
\n7200
\n4000<\/p>\n