Production estimates rose for most Canadian crops in 2026-27, surpasing earlier forecasts, according to updated supply-demand estimates from Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada.<\/p>\n
Those changes, released July 20, followed the planted area report<\/a> issued by Statistics Canada on June 30 as well as the first Canadian Crop Yield Forecast<\/a> for 2026.<\/p>\n Changes to AAFC\u2019s monthly supply and demand estimates can have an effect on futures and cash prices.<\/p>\n Aside from significant increases for canola, dry peas and lentils 2026-27 ending stocks were adjusted either way depending on the crop.<\/p>\n Canola<\/p>\n With a record amount of planted canola acres and expectations of above average yields, canola output for 2026-27 was raised to 21 million tonnes from 19.2 million in June\u2019s report.<\/p>\n Exports for 2026-27 were bumped up 500,000 tonnes to eight million tonnes. Those for 2025-26 tacked on 100,000 tonnes at 8.5 million tonnes.<\/p>\n Projected canola ending stocks for 2026-27 climbed to 2.07 million tonnes from 1.31 million in AAFC\u2019s June report. The 2025-26 canola carryout forecast was relatively steady at 2.7 million tonnes.<\/p>\n Domestic usage for 2026-27 rose to 13.75 million tonnes from 13.2 million, while 2025-26 usage held at 12.3 million.<\/p>\n All wheat and durum<\/p>\n All wheat production was upped to 35.26 million tonnes from 34.6 million in June.<\/p>\n All wheat ending stocks for 2026-27 were trimmed by 100,000 tonnes to 5.5 million, and those for 2025-26 were cut by 300,000 tonnes to 6.5 million.<\/p>\n AAFC sliced 150,000 tonnes from its 2026-27 all wheat exports of 28.35 million tonnes and those for 2025-26 were kept at 29 million.<\/p>\n Durum production for 2026-27 was increased by more than 245,000 tonnes at 6.04 million and the carryover was eased back 100,000 tonnes at 1.2 million.<\/p>\n July estimates for Canadian major crops supply and demand in million tonnes. Source: AAFC. <\/p>\n Grains and oilseeds<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n Production<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n Exports<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n 2026\/27<\/p>\n 2026\/27<\/p>\n 2025\/26<\/p>\n 2026\/27<\/p>\n 2026\/27<\/p>\n 2025\/26<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n July<\/p>\n June<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n July<\/p>\n June<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n All wheat<\/p>\n 35.260<\/p>\n 34.598<\/p>\n 39.955<\/p>\n 28.350<\/p>\n 28.500<\/p>\n 29.000<\/p>\n Durum<\/p>\n 6.042<\/p>\n 5.796<\/p>\n 7.135<\/p>\n 5.150<\/p>\n 5.300<\/p>\n 5.600<\/p>\n Barley<\/p>\n 9.200<\/p>\n 8.339<\/p>\n 9.725<\/p>\n 3.300<\/p>\n 2.900<\/p>\n 4.070<\/p>\n Corn<\/p>\n 16.400<\/p>\n 15.622<\/p>\n 14.867<\/p>\n 2.400<\/p>\n 1.900<\/p>\n 1.500<\/p>\n Oats<\/p>\n 2.940<\/p>\n 3.379<\/p>\n 3.920<\/p>\n 2.350<\/p>\n 2.350<\/p>\n 2.350<\/p>\n Canola<\/p>\n 21.000<\/p>\n 19.200<\/p>\n 21.809<\/p>\n 8.000<\/p>\n 7.500<\/p>\n 8.500<\/p>\n Flaxseed<\/p>\n 0.350<\/p>\n 0.400<\/p>\n 0.454<\/p>\n 0.275<\/p>\n 0.275<\/p>\n 0.280<\/p>\n Soybeans<\/p>\n 7.500<\/p>\n 7.500<\/p>\n 6.793<\/p>\n 5.600<\/p>\n 5.400<\/p>\n 5.500<\/p>\n TOTAL<\/p>\n 93.249<\/p>\n 89.661<\/p>\n 98.321<\/p>\n 50.457<\/p>\n 49.007<\/p>\n 51.352<\/p>\n \u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n Domestic Usage<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n Ending Stocks<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n 2026\/27<\/p>\n 2026\/27<\/p>\n 2025\/26<\/p>\n 2026\/27<\/p>\n 2026\/27<\/p>\n 2025\/26<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n July<\/p>\n June<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n July<\/p>\n June<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n All wheat<\/p>\n 8.015<\/p>\n 7.403<\/p>\n 8.725<\/p>\n 5.500<\/p>\n 5.600<\/p>\n 6.500<\/p>\n Durum<\/p>\n 0.697<\/p>\n 0.501<\/p>\n 1.039<\/p>\n 1.200<\/p>\n 1.300<\/p>\n 1.000<\/p>\n Barley<\/p>\n 6.090<\/p>\n 5.909<\/p>\n 6.054<\/p>\n 0.900<\/p>\n 0.700<\/p>\n 0.900<\/p>\n Corn<\/p>\n 15.900<\/p>\n 15.722<\/p>\n 15.251<\/p>\n 2.100<\/p>\n 2.000<\/p>\n 1.800<\/p>\n Oats<\/p>\n 0.960<\/p>\n 1.249<\/p>\n 1.296<\/p>\n 0.450<\/p>\n 0.600<\/p>\n 0.800<\/p>\n Canola<\/p>\n 13.751<\/p>\n 13.201<\/p>\n 12.301<\/p>\n 2.074<\/p>\n 1.306<\/p>\n 2.707<\/p>\n Flaxseed<\/p>\n 0.105<\/p>\n 0.104<\/p>\n 0.089<\/p>\n 0.210<\/p>\n 0.268<\/p>\n 0.210<\/p>\n Soybeans<\/p>\n 2.200<\/p>\n 2.300<\/p>\n 2.050<\/p>\n 0.386<\/p>\n 0.378<\/p>\n 0.286<\/p>\n TOTAL<\/p>\n 47.514<\/p>\n 46.350<\/p>\n 46.235<\/p>\n 11.866<\/p>\n 11.152<\/p>\n 13.632<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n Pulse and Special Crops<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n Production<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n Exports<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n 2026\/27<\/p>\n 2026\/27<\/p>\n 2025\/26<\/p>\n 2026\/27<\/p>\n 2026\/27<\/p>\n 2025\/26<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n July<\/p>\n June<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n July<\/p>\n June<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n Dry peas<\/p>\n 3.150<\/p>\n 2.950<\/p>\n 3.934<\/p>\n 2.700<\/p>\n 2.700<\/p>\n 2.700<\/p>\n Lentils<\/p>\n 2.650<\/p>\n 2.350<\/p>\n 3.363<\/p>\n 2.300<\/p>\n 2.300<\/p>\n 2.300<\/p>\n Dry beans<\/p>\n 0.450<\/p>\n 0.310<\/p>\n 0.438<\/p>\n 0.380<\/p>\n 0.370<\/p>\n 0.405<\/p>\n Chickpeas<\/p>\n 0.420<\/p>\n 0.340<\/p>\n 0.482<\/p>\n 0.230<\/p>\n 0.230<\/p>\n 0.250<\/p>\n Mustard<\/p>\n 0.140<\/p>\n 0.152<\/p>\n 0.140<\/p>\n 0.095<\/p>\n 0.095<\/p>\n 0.095<\/p>\n Canaryseed<\/p>\n 0.140<\/p>\n 0.168<\/p>\n 0.235<\/p>\n 0.135<\/p>\n 0.135<\/p>\n 0.135<\/p>\n Sunflower<\/p>\n 0.067<\/p>\n 0.058<\/p>\n 0.069<\/p>\n 0.035<\/p>\n 0.035<\/p>\n 0.033<\/p>\n TOTAL<\/p>\n 6.917<\/p>\n 6.328<\/p>\n 8.661<\/p>\n 5.875<\/p>\n 5.865<\/p>\n 5.920<\/p>\n \u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n Domestic Usage<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n Ending Stocks<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n 2025\/26<\/p>\n 2025\/26<\/p>\n 2025\/26<\/p>\n 2026\/27<\/p>\n 2026\/27<\/p>\n 2025\/26<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n July<\/p>\n May<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n July<\/p>\n June<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n Dry peas<\/p>\n 0.650<\/p>\n 0.650<\/p>\n 0.746<\/p>\n 0.810<\/p>\n 0.710<\/p>\n 0.990<\/p>\n Lentils<\/p>\n 0.300<\/p>\n 0.300<\/p>\n 0.254<\/p>\n 1.540<\/p>\n 1.240<\/p>\n 1.415<\/p>\n Dry beans<\/p>\n 0.070<\/p>\n 0.070<\/p>\n 0.073<\/p>\n 0.030<\/p>\n 0.005<\/p>\n 0.060<\/p>\n Chickpeas<\/p>\n 0.090<\/p>\n 0.090<\/p>\n 0.089<\/p>\n 0.380<\/p>\n 0.315<\/p>\n 0.240<\/p>\n Mustard<\/p>\n 0.053<\/p>\n 0.051<\/p>\n 0.051<\/p>\n 0.145<\/p>\n 0.160<\/p>\n 0.145<\/p>\n Canaryseed<\/p>\n 0.015<\/p>\n 0.013<\/p>\n 0.014<\/p>\n 0.160<\/p>\n 0.190<\/p>\n 0.170<\/p>\n Sunflower<\/p>\n 0.067<\/p>\n 0.068<\/p>\n 0.056<\/p>\n 0.145<\/p>\n 0.135<\/p>\n 0.155<\/p>\n TOTAL<\/p>\n 1.245<\/p>\n 1.242<\/p>\n 1.283<\/p>\n 3.210<\/p>\n 2.655<\/p>\n 3.175<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Production estimates rose for most Canadian crops in 2026-27, surpasing earlier forecasts, according to updated supply-demand estimates 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