{"id":855627,"date":"2026-08-12T18:10:13","date_gmt":"2026-08-12T18:10:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/855627\/"},"modified":"2026-08-12T18:10:13","modified_gmt":"2026-08-12T18:10:13","slug":"uk-heatwaves-may-have-cost-economy-4-4bn-in-lost-output-so-far-this-year-analysis-finds-economics","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/855627\/","title":{"rendered":"UK heatwaves may have cost economy \u00a34.4bn in lost output so far this year, analysis finds | Economics"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Repeated debilitating heatwaves this summer are likely to have cost the UK economy more than \u00a34bn in lost economic output by the end of July, new analysis shows.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Green thinktank Verdant had suggested June\u2019s unseasonally hot weather <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/2026\/jul\/16\/how-green-andy-burnham-britain-next-pm-tough-climate-decisions\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">had an economic cost of \u00a32.36bn<\/a>. Updating its assessment to include last month\u2019s high temperatures, it finds a \u00a34.4bn hit to output.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">As <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/uk-news\/2026\/aug\/10\/uk-temperatures-heatwave-summer-met-office-warning\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">temperatures soar once again this week<\/a>, Verdant\u2019s director, James Meadway, said: \u201cThe economic costs of climate change are already with us, and set to worsen in future years. Action by the government to protect workers and businesses from the severe effects of extreme heat is well overdue.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Direct economic costs arise because workers across many industries become less productive in heatwaves, while infrastructure and equipment overheats and has to be shut down.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">This week\u2019s amber weather warning for extreme heat in England from the Met Office, comes after three previous heatwaves in the UK in May, June and July. The forecaster has said the UK is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.metoffice.gov.uk\/blog\/2026\/warmest-uk-summer-on-record-increasingly-likely-as-temperatures-stay-well-above-average\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">on course to record its hottest summer ever<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Verdant is calling for the government to implement a maximum working temperature; and be ready to step in to compensate workers when they are forced to cut their hours because of extreme heat.<\/p>\n<p><a data-name=\"placeholder\" href=\"https:\/\/interactive.guim.co.uk\/datawrapper\/embed\/nf6oa\/1\/\" class=\"dcr-olkhl1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">chart<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">The report also points to the need for investment in urban redesign, to create more cooler green spaces in the UK\u2019s towns and cities.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Verdant\u2019s estimates exclude indirect losses such as the cost of fighting wildfires, and additional electricity consumption from running fans and air conditioning. The largest effect is likely to have been felt in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/uk\/london\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" data-component=\"auto-linked-tag\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">London<\/a> and the south-east, where temperatures have been highest, the thinktank argues.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">If heatwaves continue to intensify at the same rate as in the last decade, it suggests the annual economic cost could rise to more than \u00a325bn by 2030.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Verdant relies on cross-European estimates by the insurer Allianz, that suggest for every degree above 30C that temperatures rise, workers\u2019 output an hour declines by 3%.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">The estimates correspond with work<a href=\"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/news\/june-heatwave-cost-uk-economy-more-than-1-billion-study-finds\/\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"> by the Grantham Research Institute at London School of Economics<\/a>, which suggested a \u00a31bn-plus loss of output during June\u2019s heatwave alone, from workers cutting back their hours or being less productive than usual, because of high temperatures.<\/p>\n<p><a data-ignore=\"global-link-styling\" href=\"#EmailSignup-skip-link-12\" class=\"dcr-76akua\">skip past newsletter promotion<\/a>Free newsletter | Every weekday<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-vf9hps\">Sign up to Business Today<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1r7my33\">Get set for the working day \u2013 we&#8217;ll point you to all the business news and analysis you need every morning<\/p>\n<p><img src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/1782314834_381_500.jpg\" alt=\"\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"dcr-xiq31o\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"EmailSignup-skip-link-12\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-label=\"after newsletter promotion\" role=\"note\" class=\"dcr-76akua\">after newsletter promotion<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">In a survey of 2,000 people, the institute\u2019s researchers found that 3.6% of respondents did not work at all during the week of 22 June due to searing temperatures; while 87% reported at least one health-related impact, from disrupted sleep to dizziness.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Economists have increasingly warned about the mounting economic costs of extreme weather events \u2013 including the risks of higher inflation due to rising food prices, as production is hit by droughts, floods and wildfires.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Almost three-quarters of England has been declared officially in drought after the repeated heatwaves, which have also affected much of Europe this summer.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">The London mayor, Sadiq Khan, recently pointed to the impact of this year\u2019s extreme temperatures as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/commentisfree\/2026\/aug\/08\/burning-summer-climate-denial-green-policies-sadiq-khan\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">evidence that Labour should take on net zero sceptics<\/a> and stick to its climate targets. \u201cThe climate emergency is here \u2013 and no one can say they didn\u2019t see it coming,\u201d he wrote.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Paul Nowak, general secretary of the TUC, said: \u201cAs climate change causes more heatwaves, workers are suffering \u2013 and productivity is taking a hit too. Many of us have experienced this directly as we\u2019ve struggled to keep working through the heat.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">\u201cUnions are calling for rules that require employers to take action to reduce temperatures when they exceed 24C, and for work to stop when temperatures reach 30C, or 27C for strenuous jobs.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Repeated debilitating heatwaves this summer are likely to have cost the UK economy more than \u00a34bn in lost&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":855628,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[49,48,295,66],"class_list":["post-855627","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-environment","tag-ca","tag-canada","tag-environment","tag-science"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/855627","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=855627"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/855627\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/855628"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=855627"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=855627"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=855627"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}