![\"Phil](\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/1787255890_302_91559d23-3670-4701-8507-b3d51b3a15a8.png\")
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\n Updated:
\nAug 20, 2026 , 01:14 PM ET<\/p>\n
\u2022 4 min read<\/p>\n
Don’t sleep on the total in Vegas tonight as the Aces and Sun are primed to smash the Over in Sin City.<\/p>\n
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Las Vegas Aces guard Chelsea Gray (12) reacts to a play against the Minnesota Lynx in the fourth quarter at Michelob Ultra Arena.<\/p>\n
The Las Vegas Aces enter tonight\u2019s matchup against the Connecticut Sun at Michelob ULTRA Arena as heavy -15.5 favorites.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Despite the game total dropping significantly from its 169.5-point opener, my Sun vs. Aces predictions and WNBA picks<\/a> are backing the Over in a high-scoring affair for Thursday, Aug. 20.<\/p>\n UPDATE: Added Chelsea Gray prop!<\/p>\n Sun vs Aces prediction The Connecticut Sun<\/a> and Las Vegas Aces<\/a> have both been inefficient lately, but tonight\u2019s game total has dropped far enough to create value on the Over.<\/p>\n The Sun have scored 92.9 points per 100 possessions over their last five games, yet the Aces own a below-average 113.6 defensive rating<\/a> during that span.<\/p>\n Las Vegas has also allowed opponents to shoot 48.4% from the field and 38.6% from three. With A\u2019ja Wilson capable of carrying Vegas offensively, Connecticut only needs modest improvement for this game to clear 167.5 points.<\/p>\n That makes the dipping game total worth attacking to 168.5 points tonight.<\/p>\n Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account I like the Over, and since the game total dipped, the scoring props for A\u2019ja Wilson<\/a> and Olivia-Nelson Ododa<\/a> are prime to attack.<\/p>\n The Sun are allowing nearly 39 paint points per game across the last five, and the incomparable Wilson has scored at least 25 points in five of her previous eight games.<\/p>\n Nelson-Ododa has seen a major spike in minutes and has scored at least 13 points in her past two. She faces an Aces defense that has surrendered 43.6 paint points per game in their previous five contests.<\/p>\n Sun vs Aces SGP +400<\/a><\/p>\n Over 166.5 Want more basketball parlays? Check out our WNBA parlay picks<\/a> page!<\/p>\n Sun vs Aces player prop pick Chelsea Gray<\/a> is heating up from downtown, and that\u2019s a bad thing for a Sun defense allowing 8.2 triples per game across their last five.<\/p>\n Gray is the Aces’ engine. She pushes the pace (97.0), and her 33 minutes of action, alongside a 19% usage rate over her last five contests, means she has the ball in her hands often.<\/p>\n Gray\u2019s recent five-game sample is fantastic. 51% of her points have come from downtown, and she\u2019s knocked down at least two or more from deep in four of her past six games.<\/p>\n Play Gray\u2019s made threes to -135 tonight.<\/p>\n Phil Naessens’ 2026 Transparency Record<\/p>\n Best bet: 15-11-1, +0.91 units Sun vs Aces odds<\/p>\n Spread: Connecticut +13.5 | Las Vegas -13.5 Sun vs Aces trend<\/p>\n Aces are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Find more\u00a0WNBA betting trends<\/a>.<\/p>\n How to watch Sun vs Aces<\/p>\n Location Date Tip-off TV Sun vs Aces latest injuries<\/p>\n
\nSun vs Aces best bet: Over 166.5 -105<\/a><\/p>\n![\"Covers\"](\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/1787255891_758_logo.png\"){kind=logo}
COVERS INTEL: Across their last five games,<\/a> the Sun have allowed 18 points per game from turnovers. They meet a Vegas group averaging 26 ppg in the paint during that same span.<\/p>\n![\"Add](\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/1787255891_261_google-preferred-source-badge.png\"){kind=icon}
<\/a>Sun vs Aces same-game parlay<\/p>\n
\nA’ja Wilson Over 24.5 points
\nOlivia Nelson-Ododa Over 13.5 points<\/p>\n
\nChelsea Gray Over 1.5 made threes -127<\/a><\/p>\n
\nSGP: 6-21, +1.10 units
\nPlayer prop: 4-9, -4.65 units<\/p>\n
\nMoneyline: Connecticut +600 | Las Vegas -900
\nOver\/Under: Over 170.5 | Under 170.5<\/p>\n
\nMohegan Sun Arena, Paradise, NV<\/p>\n
\nThursday, Aug. 20, 2026<\/p>\n
\n10 p.m. ET<\/p>\n
\nNBCSB, KMCC<\/p>\n