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\n Updated:
\nSep 17, 2026 , 09:38 AM ET<\/p>\n
\u2022 4 min read<\/p>\n
The WNBA returns with a five-game card, and we\u2019re making a moneyline pick for every matchup, capped by a massive 15.26x combo!\n<\/p>\n
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Dallas Wings guard Paige Bueckers.<\/p>\n
The WNBA returns tonight from the FIBA break, and we\u2019ll offer you our best WNBA moneyline predictions for all five games on tonight’s card.<\/p>\n
With such an abundance of heavy favorites, we\u2019ll look to the combo markets and roll with a five-leg combo trading at 15.26x.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Read on for our WNBA picks<\/a> for Sept. 17.\u00a0<\/p>\n WNBA moneyline picks tonight: September 17<\/p>\n For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator<\/a>.<\/p>\n Percentages courtesy of Kalshi<\/a>, one of the best prediction market apps<\/a>.<\/p>\n Start trading with Kalshi today!<\/p>\n Sign up now using our exclusive Kalshi promo code<\/a> ‘COVERS35’ and trade $25 on any event contracts to get $35 \u2014 including the WNBA!<\/p>\n *Eligible U.S. locations only<\/p>\n Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Kalshi probability: 91%<\/a><\/p>\n The Atlanta Dream<\/a> at 91% is a rock-solid combo play tonight.<\/p>\n Atlanta completely outclasses the Connecticut Sun<\/a> across both units, posting a blistering +11.6 net rating over their last 10 games behind an elite\u00a0102.4 defensive rating. <\/p>\n That spells doom for a spiraling Sun squad that sits dead last in the league with a -15.6 net rating and an ice-cold 94.7 offensive rating.<\/p>\n With Kennedy Burke ruled out and Brittney Griner, Diamond Miller, and Leila Lacan all questionable, Connecticut\u2019s league-worst bench (-7.7 net rating, 39.8% eFG%) will be exposed.<\/p>\n Atlanta rolls comfortably at home.<\/p>\n Mystics vs Sky pick: Mystics<\/p>\n Kalshi probability: 53%<\/a><\/p>\n The Washington Mystics<\/a> at 53% is a solid standalone play tonight.<\/p>\n Sonia Citron\u2019s<\/a> absence will grab headlines, but the Chicago Sky<\/a> lacks the offensive firepower to exploit Washington’s turnover issues, scraping together just 13.4 points off giveaways and a miserable 99.4 offensive rating over their last 10 games.<\/p>\n That forces Chicago into the half-court set where Washington is an absolute fortress, scoring a league-best 44.4 points in the paint while surrendering just 35.6 inside.<\/p>\n Furthermore, Washington ends possessions instantly by hauling in a league-leading 79.5% defensive rebound rate. Against Chicago\u2019s ice-cold shooting and depleted backcourt, Washington\u2019s interior muscle will prevail.<\/p>\n Play the Mystics to 55% tonight.\u00a0<\/p>\n Sparks vs Wings pick: Wings<\/p>\n Kalshi probability: 75%<\/a><\/p>\n The Dallas Wings<\/a> at 75% adds another strong combo play tonight.\u00a0<\/p>\n Dallas commands a massive interior edge, generating a sturdy 112.0 offensive rating over their last 10 games while holding opponents to just 34.8 points in the paint and 42.9% shooting. <\/p>\n That creates an impossible matchup for the Los Angeles Sparks<\/a>, who have dropped seven of their last 10 while surrendering a league-worst\u00a045.6 paint points and coughing up 21.5 points off giveaways nightly.\u00a0<\/p>\n Even with Alanna Smith<\/a> sidelined, Dallas\u2019s second unit (53.6 PIE) comfortably outguns an undisciplined Sparks bench (-3.8 net rating) for the straight-up home win.<\/p>\n Mercury vs Fire pick: Mercury<\/p>\n Kalshi probability: 56%<\/a><\/p>\n The Phoenix Mercury<\/a> at 56% is a sharp standalone play this evening.<\/p>\n While Kelsey Plum is sidelined and Kahleah Copper is questionable with a groin issue, the Portland Fire<\/a> has had its entire core wiped out with Carla Leite<\/a>, Bridget Carleton<\/a>, Megan DiLeo<\/a>, Sania Feagin, and Teja Oblak all confirmed out.\u00a0<\/p>\n That strips the Fire of over 43 points per game and forces a bench with a -3.1 net rating and 9.6% turnover rate into starting roles they aren’t prepared for.\u00a0<\/p>\n Phoenix\u2019s starters hold a decisive edge on both ends of the floor against a severely depleted Portland rotation that fouls constantly, securing the road victory.<\/p>\n Play the Mercury to 60%.\u00a0<\/p>\n Aces vs Storm pick: Aces<\/p>\n Kalshi probability: 82%<\/a><\/p>\n The Las Vegas Aces<\/a> at 82% is another strong combo leg.<\/p>\n The Seattle Storm’s<\/a> roster has been decimated by injuries, with interior anchor Ezi Magbegor<\/a> and Katie Lou Samuelson ruled out alongside Jordan Horston and Jade Melbourne listed as questionable.<\/p>\n The Storm were already spiraling on a 2-8 skid, posting a league-worst 46.3% eFG% while surrendering 13.5 fast-break points and 22.8 opponent free-throw attempts nightly. <\/p>\n Facing a completely healthy, veteran-laden Las Vegas roster that protects the ball with a tidy 15.4% turnover rate, shorthanded Seattle lacks the firepower or rim protection to prevent an Aces blowout.<\/p>\n Today’s WNBA moneyline combo<\/p>\n![\"Add](\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/1789660331_456_google-preferred-source-badge.png\"){kind=icon}
<\/a>Expert WNBA moneyline picks: September 17
\nSun vs Dream pick: Dream<\/p>\n
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