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Zak Hanshew<\/a> 8+ years betting experience<\/p>\n \n Updated: \u2022 4 min read<\/p>\n Paige Bueckers and the Wings cover the spread as 57% favorites. <\/p>\n Photo By – Reuters Connect. Dallas Wings guard Paige Bueckers (5) is guarded by Golden State Valkyries forward Gabby Williams (1) in the first quarter at Chase Center. Mandatory Credit: David Gonzales-Imagn Images<\/p>\n The Dallas Wings host the Phoenix Mercury on Saturday afternoon as the teams kick off a two-game series that concludes Monday in Phoenix.<\/p>\n My Mercury vs. Wings predictions and free WNBA picks<\/a> point to the home team covering the spread and extending its five-game win streak.<\/p>\n Read on to see why I\u2019m also backing the Under and how I think Paige Bueckers will perform in front of the faithful at College Park Center.<\/p>\n \u00a0TOP PICK The Dallas Wings<\/a> are tied for the best ATS record at 13-8, including an 8-5 mark as the home favorite. The Phoenix Mercury<\/a> are just 10-11 ATS on the road, including a 1-4 mark across their last five.<\/p>\n Dallas ranks in the Top 5 in Offensive and Defensive Ratings at home, and the Wings\u2019 11.4 Net Rating is best in the W. On the road, the Mercury rank ninth in Net Rating (-4.6).<\/p>\n Even if Kahleah Copper plays, she\u2019ll likely be at less than 100%, hindering an already struggling offense playing in a tough spot.<\/p>\n Paige Bueckers<\/a> has hit multiple treys in 11 of 20 home games, shooting 43.2% compared to just 35.2% on the road. Phoenix has surrendered the most 3PM on the road at 10.2, giving them up at 36.1%.\u00a0<\/p>\n Dallas has hit the Under more than any other team, going 17-24 to the Under overall and 6-15 at home. The Mercury are 8-13 to the Under on the road, good for second-highest.<\/p>\n The Wings are 1-4 to the Under across their current home stand, and I\u2019ll back this line down to 172.5.<\/p>\n Mercury vs Wings combo<\/p>\n Wings -7.5 Want more basketball combos? Check out our WNBA parlay picks<\/a> page!<\/p>\n Mercury vs Wings player prop: Paige Bueckers Over 19.5 points<\/p>\n I\u2019m counting on 2+ triples from Bueckers, and that should mean a healthy dose of points. Dallas\u2019 superstar guard has produced 20+ points in 15 of 20 games in which she hit multiple triples.<\/p>\n She\u2019s shooting 43.2% from long distance at home compared to just 35.2% on the road. Bueckers knocked down three of five triples in her lone matchup with the Mercury this season, finishing with 31 points.<\/p>\n I\u2019ll play this one at 19.5 up to 55%.<\/p>\n Zak Hanshew’s 2026 Transparency Record<\/p>\n Top picks: 33-37, -6.96 units Mercury vs Wings odds<\/p>\n Spread: Mercury +7.5 | Wings -7.5 Mercury vs Wings trend<\/p>\n Dallas has hit the Under in seven of its last eight games. Find more\u00a0WNBA betting trends<\/a>.<\/p>\n How to watch Mercury vs Wings<\/p>\n Location Date Tip-off TV Mercury vs Wings latest injuries<\/p>\n
\n \u2022 Betting Analyst<\/p>\n
\nSep 19, 2026 , 08:53 AM ET<\/p>\n
Mercury vs Wings prediction: Wings -7.5<\/p>\n![\"Covers\"](\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/1789826539_842_logo.png\"){kind=logo}
COVERS INTEL: The Wings are tied with the Indiana Fever for the best home point differential<\/a> at 9.2 ppg, and they\u2019re tied with the Golden State Valkyries for the best home Defensive Rating at a paltry 99.9.
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<\/a>Mercury vs Wings combo<\/p>\n
\nPaige Bueckers Over 1.5 made threes
\nUnder 174.5<\/p>\n
\nCombos: 7-63 -26.0 units<\/p>\n
\nMoneyline: Mercury 13% | Wings 88%
\nOver\/Under: Over 174.5 | Under 174.5<\/p>\n
\nCollege Park Center, Arlington, TX<\/p>\n
\nSaturday, Sept. 19, 2026<\/p>\n
\n1 p.m. ET<\/p>\n
\nCBS<\/p>\n