{"id":909843,"date":"2026-09-26T02:44:29","date_gmt":"2026-09-26T02:44:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/909843\/"},"modified":"2026-09-26T02:44:29","modified_gmt":"2026-09-26T02:44:29","slug":"wnba-notes-bright-future-for-storm-mercury-at-crossroads","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/909843\/","title":{"rendered":"WNBA Notes: Bright future for Storm, Mercury at crossroads"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Welcome back to WNBA Notes, your journey into trends and analysis around the league. Today we\u2019re looking at the 2026 obituaries, seeing where the non-playoff teams go from here and assessing whether they\u2019re worth having faith in.<\/p>\n<p>Tankathon Check-in<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The regular season is over! Let\u2019s see where our teams are right now in the lottery standings and where they project to end up:<\/p>\n<p>Team:Odds of No. 1 draft pick*:Odds of top-two draft pick*:Connecticut29.5%55.1%Toronto29.5%55.1%Washington (via Chicago)16.0%34.0%Seattle10.5%23.1%Portland7.0%15.7%Los Angeles4.5%10.2%Also Los Angeles (via Phoenix)3.0%6.9%*<a href=\"https:\/\/www.tankathon.com\/wnba\/pick_odds\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Per Tankathon<\/a>\u2018s placeholders and assuming the lottery still draws for only the top two picks and then fills the last five in order. Tankathon ended up within a couple of percentage points of the eventual odds last year, for what it\u2019s worth.<\/p>\n<p>Chicago Sky<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bright spots:<\/p>\n<p>Finding an All-Rookie season from Sydney Taylor out of the Polish league<\/p>\n<p>The Rickea Jackson trade was a win for four games<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Concerns:<\/p>\n<p>Marquee free agent point guard addition missed half the season with a vague knee injury<\/p>\n<p>Still the worst front office in the league by some margin<\/p>\n<p>Still one of the least attractive destinations for free agents<\/p>\n<p>Do not own their own first-round pick until 2029<\/p>\n<p>No rotation-caliber players under 25<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Yeah, I got nothing. Given the track record, there\u2019s no path to contention here while Jeff Pagliacca is at the helm, and even if ownership does the right thing tomorrow, there\u2019s still little hope of even righting the ship until 2030 given the lack of draft picks, barring some stars bucking years-long trends by electing to go to the Sky.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The only saving grace is that the lowest score I can give is a half-star and not zero.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Hope Rating: \u00bd \u2606\u2606\u2606\u2606<\/p>\n<p>Connecticut Sun<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bright spots:<\/p>\n<p>About to become a much better free agency destination<\/p>\n<p>Extra first-round pick in a class with decent depth<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Concerns:<\/p>\n<p>The involvement of Tilman Fertitta<\/p>\n<p>Almost all the young players did not improve<\/p>\n<p>Shed an as-of-now unknown number of points in lottery odds after losing the DooDoo For JuJu game Thursday night<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This is officially the last article I\u2019m writing in which it\u2019s Connecticut and not Houston. I will not remember these last couple of teams fondly; that was some painful basketball. Did you know Saniya Rivers just had <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/stathead\/tiny\/kFknQ\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">the worst offensive season<\/a> in the League Pass era?<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As I wrote last year, discounting the Wubble season, after each of this franchise\u2019s previous skids, it added: Tina Charles and Kara Lawson; Jonquel Jones; and now, hopefully JuJu Watkins. <\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Because if not, things are pretty bleak. Le\u00efla Lacan is pretty clearly a plus starter despite by far the worst offensive context in the league, and Aaliyah Edwards is still worth rotation minutes, but every other player under 25 on this roster might be too poor at putting the ball in the hoop to be playable, and the Diamond Miller renaissance has failed for the third time.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On the other hand, you could really talk me into a Lacan-Rivers-Watkins starting backcourt managing to do enough to get the combination of Olivia Nelson-Ododa and whoever wants to move to Houston and start at power forward to the No. 8 seed.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The nice thing about taking a ton of chances on players like Rivers, Edwards, the now-Tempo Aneesah Morrow, Nell Angloma and Gianna Kneepkens is that even if they\u2019re all very unlikely to become a starting-caliber player on a playoff team, collectively the odds aren\u2019t bad that one of them pops. Although it is still looking pretty unlikely, supplanting that in free agency is about to get way easier than it used to be.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Hope Rating: \u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2606\u2606<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-fl-body-bg-background-color has-background has-small-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Listen now to The IX Sports Podcast and Women\u2019s Sports Daily<br \/>We are excited to announce the launch of TWO new podcasts for all the women\u2019s sports fans out there looking for a daily dose of women\u2019s sports news and analysis. Stream on Spotify, Apple Podcasts or anywhere you listen to podcasts, and make sure to subscribe!<\/p>\n<p>Los Angeles Sparks<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bright spots:<\/p>\n<p>Probably getting a coaching upgrade this winter<\/p>\n<p>Two likely late lottery picks in a class with a strong middle<\/p>\n<p>Total odds that either Sparks pick ends up No. 1 is 7.5%*, and the odds that at least one pick jumps into the top two are 15.5%*.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Concerns:<\/p>\n<p>There\u2019s no way Cameron Brink is going to be good on this team<\/p>\n<p>Two of the worst contracts in the league (Dearica Hamby and Ariel Atkins) for two more years<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Cameron Brink is a lot like a Kristi Toliver in 2009, or a pitcher for the Pittsburgh Pirates in the 2010s, or Courtney Williams in 2016 or Wyatt Langford right now: probably going to make their next team look really smart for acquiring them, but in the meantime absolutely certain to do nothing great in this situation. I\u2019d say somebody should probably be fired to preemptively fix that, but general manager Raegan Pebley was fired in July, with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/wnba\/story\/_\/id\/50028304\/sources-sparks-fire-head-coach-lynne-roberts-2-seasons\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Lynne Roberts following her today<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The bigger issue for the Sparks is that they\u2019re locked into much of the roster Pebley built, and it doesn\u2019t align to any particular competitive window. Dearica Hamby is still tough to build around as an outstanding play-finisher who hasn\u2019t held up defensively in years; Rae Burrell is also purely a play-finisher; Monique Akoa Makani is a complementary piece; and Erica Wheeler is guaranteed starting-level money for backup-level play.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Getting the Mercury first and Akoa Makani for Kelsey Plum was a nice piece of business, but by the time the two upcoming first-rounders are entering their prime, Hamby and Wheeler will likely be, or soon to be, retired, and Burrell and Akoa Makani will both have hit free agency deals.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If I thought the veteran deals were moveable, I\u2019d say Los Angeles is positioned more than anyone for a hard sell and rebuild.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Hope Rating: \u2b50\u2b50\u2606\u2606\u2606<\/p>\n<p>Phoenix Mercury<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bright spots:<\/p>\n<p>Will probably have what could be the best top three in the league<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Concerns:<\/p>\n<p>Alyssa Thomas\u2019 peak has finally ended<\/p>\n<p>No first-round pick<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Mercury took a lot of swings on their roster; most of them whiffed, and both Alyssa Thomas and Sami Whitcomb might be too far past their primes in a way that tangibly lowers the team\u2019s ceiling. So that\u2019s not a great start here.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On the bright side, Kahleah Copper firmly turned around her abysmal start, and No\u00e9mie Brochant and Natasha Mack are still cost-controlled pieces that could play big minutes on a contender. Assuming Phoenix re-signs Kelsey Plum, there\u2019s still some money to throw at the free agent market to improve on what was a dreadful bench this year. Given how much this roster is leveraged toward three players in their 30s, and the difficulty of finding the right frontcourt partner for Thomas, I\u2019d expect at least the Mercury\u2019s 2028 first-round pick to be shopped, if not their 2029 pick as well.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The path to contention here is pretty straightforward, even if it banks on no one suddenly entering the decline phase and nailing at least a couple of offseason acquisitions.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Hope Rating: \u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u00bd \u2606<\/p>\n<p>Portland Fire<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bright spots:<\/p>\n<p>Carla Leite is awesome<\/p>\n<p>One of the best coaches in the league<\/p>\n<p>Found or developed a handful of good complementary pieces<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Concerns:<\/p>\n<p>Almost everyone turns the ball over way too much<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The approach of using the end of the roster on a middling team to rotate through interesting role players that Connecticut and Phoenix also tried actually worked incredibly well here. <\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">At the top of the roster, Carla Leite can be an offensive engine, Bridget Carleton can add usage without losing efficiency, adjusting Emily Engstler\u2019s shooting form makes her a strong complementary frontcourt piece, Sarah Ashlee Barker \u2014 assuming she doesn\u2019t lose more than expected to the ACL tear \u2014 is a high-leverage scorer, and Megan DiLeo can hold up in bigger minutes as a great play-finisher off the PnR. Frieda B\u00fchner could join that list if her 3-point shooting holds up in a larger sample.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Engstler, Barker, DiLeo and B\u00fchner turn the ball over too much for the limited playmaking ability they\u2019ve demonstrated in this system, and more importantly, Engstler is a free agent. That\u2019s probably not a huge concern, because what else is Portland going to do with its cap space, but it\u2019s a sign this franchise is limited in how quickly it can build to contention, barring a lottery miracle.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The early returns are encouraging for Alex Sarama\u2019s ability to make demonstrable gains in player development, and a full offseason should only help shore up that foundation as the Fire move toward a competitive window. Being able to develop quality role players also provides a solid base for possible future trades for stars if they don\u2019t come via the draft or free agency, another area where their unique payroll flexibility can shine.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Hope Rating: \u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2606<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-background has-small-font-size wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"background-color:#f2f2f2\">The IX Daily: Six different women\u2019s sports in your inbox every week!<br \/>Subscribe now and join us, just $6 a month or $60 a year. It\u2019s the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theixsports.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">women\u2019s sports media network<\/a>\u00a0we all wished for, and now it\u2019s here! Soccer Monday, Tennis Tuesday, Basketball Wednesday, Golf Thursday, Hockey Friday \u2013 powered by The Ice Garden \u2014 and Gymnastics Saturday.<\/p>\n<p>Seattle Storm<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bright spots:<\/p>\n<p>Best young frontcourt duo in the league<\/p>\n<p>Two-game head start on Suffering For Sarah (Strong)<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Concerns:<\/p>\n<p>Ezi Magbegor will have missed most of 2025 and 2026 to right leg injuries<\/p>\n<p>Can Dominique Malonga be less addicted to midrange fadeaways?<\/p>\n<p>If Seattle doesn\u2019t win one of the next two lotteries, where is the difference-making star coming from?<\/p>\n<p>Jordan Horston still can\u2019t shoot<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Between Dominique Malonga and Awa Fam, Seattle has a strong chance of joining Washington as the only teams with multiple rookie-scale All-Stars. That\u2019s a better starting point than any other team here short of Phoenix.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It\u2019s clich\u00e9 to say that how the franchise builds around them is a tougher, crucial step, but it\u2019s true. The Storm still need high-level lead guard play, and that\u2019s unlikely to come through this draft unless they can jump into the top two. If adding that presence, which would scale down Flau\u2019jae Johnson\u2019s role, allows Johnson to improve her issues with shot selection and tunnel vision, that gives Seattle an extremely strong piece to pair with the stars for the future.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That assumption is also predicated upon Malonga developing her post game beyond spamming turnaround fadeaways, which has been an issue for a couple of years now, and Fam\u2019s interior scoring game rounding out. But thanks to the Storm entering 2027 with the best lottery record, getting Sarah Strong \u2014 or JuJu Watkins, if she elects to use her fifth year \u2014 might negate any of those concerns.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Hope Rating: \u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u00bd<\/p>\n<p>Toronto Tempo<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bright spots:<\/p>\n<p>The accidental tank job actually worked; won the DooDoo For JuJu game<\/p>\n<p>Marina Mabrey and Kiki Rice<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Concerns:<\/p>\n<p>How many WNBA-caliber players are actually on this roster? How many of them are going to be on the first Toronto contender?<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Like most teams on this list, the Tempo churned through a lot of players this year. What did they learn? Marina Mabrey can be a 1A-level scorer, Laura Ju\u0161kait\u0117 is a W-level player but maybe not a playoff rotation player, and Kiki Rice is as much a draft-day steal as we thought. They also discovered a bunch of players weren\u2019t W-level \u2014 which, to be clear, is an approach I admire, even though it did not work out for most of the 20 players who saw the floor for Toronto.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As long as the Tempo stick in the top three after the lottery, the lineup of Rice-Mabrey-Watkins\/Madison Booker\/Mikaylah Williams-Ju\u0161kait\u0117-Whoever is going to be incredibly fun. That\u2019s not a winning formula, at least not yet, but there are worse places to be starting from. Just go back and read the Chicago or Los Angeles sections!<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Hope Rating: \u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u00bd \u2606<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Rep The IX Sports at your next game! <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/the-ix-sports.myshopify.com\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"1024\" data-attachment-id=\"50185\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.theixsports.com\/?attachment_id=50185\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/www.theixsports.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/unisex-premium-sweatshirt-black-zoomed-in-69d805eea2e49.webp\" data-orig-size=\"2000,2000\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"unisex-premium-sweatshirt-black-zoomed-in-69d805eea2e49\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/unisex-premium-sweatshirt-black-zoomed-in-69d805eea2e49-1024x1024.webp\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/unisex-premium-sweatshirt-black-zoomed-in-69d805eea2e49-1024x1024.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-50185 size-full\"  \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Shop the logo collection or special \u201cWomen\u2019s Sports are Front Page News\u201d collection now on Shopify.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tRelated<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Welcome back to WNBA Notes, your journey into trends and analysis around the league. Today we\u2019re looking at&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":909844,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[629],"tags":[123728,104805,297179,49,48,726,3458,46470,632,3461,104252,1611,82,630],"class_list":["post-909843","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-wnba","tag-2026-wnba-draft-lottery","tag-2026-wnba-season","tag-2027-wnba-draft","tag-ca","tag-canada","tag-chicago-sky","tag-connecticut-sun","tag-houston-comets","tag-los-angeles-sparks","tag-phoenix-mercury","tag-portland-fire","tag-seattle-storm","tag-sports","tag-wnba"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/909843","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=909843"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/909843\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/909844"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=909843"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=909843"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=909843"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}