{"id":919167,"date":"2026-10-03T14:48:25","date_gmt":"2026-10-03T14:48:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/919167\/"},"modified":"2026-10-03T14:48:25","modified_gmt":"2026-10-03T14:48:25","slug":"mark-carney-donald-trump-among-contenders-for-nobel-peace-prize","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/919167\/","title":{"rendered":"Mark Carney, Donald Trump among contenders for Nobel Peace Prize"},"content":{"rendered":"

Open this photo in gallery:<\/a><\/p>\n

Norwegian Nobel Committee will announce the winner on Oct. 9 in Oslo.Jacquelyn Martin\/The Associated Press<\/p>\n

Not-so-outlandish, prognosticators say: The Nobel Peace Prize this year could go galactic, with an award to the International Space Station. But terrestrial contenders loom too, including U.S. President Donald Trump<\/a>, Prime Minister Mark Carney<\/a>, emergency teams in Sudan, children\u2019s advocates in Ukraine<\/a> and two top international courts, experts say.<\/p>\n

The annual guessing game about who will win the prize, often called the most prestigious award on the planet, is revving up ahead of the Norwegian Nobel Committee\u2019s Oct. 9 announcement of the winner in Oslo. <\/p>\n

Predicting the outcome is inherently speculative. Some surprising and controversial choices have appeared over the years. The committee received 287 candidates for this year\u2019s prize, and just over a quarter of them are organizations.<\/p>\n

Experts say the committee, in its process of awarding the prize, typically focuses on the durability of peace, the promotion of international fraternity and the quiet work of institutions that strengthen those goals. <\/p>\n

International Space Station a symbol of global cooperation<\/p>\n

Haakon Gjerl\u00f8w, director of the Peace Research Institute Oslo, is considered a top forecaster. He says the ISS \u2013 well, the organization behind it \u2013 is a rare symbol of global cooperation in a quest toward the heavens at a time when multilateralism is crumbling and many countries have retreated into narrower national interests on Earth.<\/p>\n

The institute\u2019s annual watch list is one of the sources that most informs pundits and punters about the top contenders. <\/p>\n

Mr. Trump has made no secret of his desire to win the prize, and has been nominated again, but could be viewed as a controversial choice after the U.S., along with Israel<\/a>, launched an ongoing war on Iran<\/a> in February. <\/p>\n

Trump and Canada\u2019s Carney are both candidates<\/p>\n

Canada\u2019s Mr. Carney has made a mark internationally this year, in large part by standing up to Mr. Trump on issues like U.S. tariffs. <\/p>\n

Mr. Gjerl\u00f8w\u2019s list this year also features Ukrainian children\u2019s advocate Mykola Kuleba and Save the Children; Sudan\u2019s Emergency Response Rooms, a grassroots relief network; and the Committee to Protect Journalists after the deadliest two years for reporters since record-keeping began nearly 45 years ago.<\/p>\n

The International Court of Justice and International Criminal Court, jointly, also got a nod. The ICC has faced criticism and controversy among some, and respect from others, over its arrest warrants against leaders like Russian President Vladimir Putin<\/a> and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu<\/a>. <\/p>\n

Mr. Trump has long criticized the ICC, and Secretary of State Marco Rubio in July announced a campaign to \u201cdismantle the threat \u2026 posed by the International Criminal Court to U.S. sovereignty.\u201d Later that month, the ICC\u2019s chief prosecutor was removed from office over sexual misconduct allegations.<\/p>\n

Mr. Gjerl\u00f8w said the committee\u2019s choice is complicated by recent turmoil after 2025 laureate Mar\u00eda Corina Machado of Venezuela, in a symbolic gesture, presented her prize to Mr. Trump days after U.S. forces removed Venezuelan President Nicol\u00e1s Maduro from power.<\/p>\n

Conflicts and wars mark this year\u2019s prize<\/p>\n

This year\u2019s peace prize comes in an era marked by the most war and conflict in decades, including in Sudan, Ukraine, Yemen, Iran and the Middle East. <\/p>\n

Shawn Davies, a senior analyst at the Uppsala Conflict Data Program, which monitors conflicts, cited \u201cincreased international tensions and changes in the global security order\u201d that he linked to an erosion of U.S. willingness to enforce international rules. Washington has gone from guarantor of the postwar order to a violator of it in some cases, he said. <\/p>\n

\u201cI don\u2019t even think his own base would believe\u201d Mr. Trump could win the prize now, \u201cgiven how he\u2019s stuck in what looks like a forever war in Iran,\u201d Mr. Davies said. <\/p>\n

Jody Williams, who won the 1997 Peace Prize jointly with the International Campaign to Ban Landmines, says she hopes for a continued trend toward awarding the prize to women. Only 20 of the prize\u2019s 112 individual laureates have been women in its 125-year history. <\/p>\n

In the past 15 years, eight women have won the prize individually, compared to just six men.<\/p>\n

Among names of the women circulating in prediction markets this year are Gaza surgeon Sara al-Saqqa and Yulia Navalnaya, the Russian opposition figure and widow of Alexei Navalny.<\/p>\n

Nobels start with prize for medicine<\/p>\n

Nobel week kicks off Monday with the announcement of the medicine prize, followed by the physics prize on Tuesday, chemistry on Wednesday and literature on Thursday. After Friday\u2019s peace prize is awarded, the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences will be announced on Oct. 12.<\/p>\n

The prize money this year is 12 million Swedish kronor (about US$1.2 million), whether for an individual, small group of laureates or organization.<\/p>\n

When it comes to the peace prize selection, expect political fallout no matter who wins. <\/p>\n

\u201cTrump will be unhappy whoever gets the Nobel,\u201d said Nelson Wiseman, a University of Toronto professor emeritus. \u201cIf Carney got it, it would make relations with Canada rockier than they are.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Open this photo in gallery: Norwegian Nobel Committee will announce the winner on Oct. 9 in Oslo.Jacquelyn Martin\/The…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":919168,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[901,888,902,879,877,903,48,876,895,896,891,878,875,46,549,295,894,887,914,880,881,893,43,889,890,884,904,885,909,910,44,912,907,911,905,908,882,898,899,714,897,906,865,61,41,39,42,40,900,892,886,883,913],"class_list":["post-919167","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-headlines","tag-alberta","tag-arts-news","tag-bc","tag-breaking-news","tag-breaking-news-video","tag-british-columbia","tag-canada","tag-canada-news","tag-canada-sports","tag-canada-sports-news","tag-canada-trafficcanada-weather","tag-canadian-breaking-news","tag-canadian-news","tag-economy","tag-education","tag-environment","tag-federal-government","tag-foreign-news","tag-globe-and-mail","tag-globe-and-mail-breaking-news","tag-globe-and-mail-canada-news","tag-government","tag-headlines","tag-life-news","tag-lifestyle","tag-local-news","tag-manitoba","tag-national-news","tag-new-brunswick","tag-newfoundland-and-labrador","tag-news","tag-northwest-territories","tag-nova-scotia","tag-nunavut","tag-ontario","tag-pei","tag-photos","tag-political-news","tag-political-opinion","tag-politics","tag-politics-news","tag-quebec","tag-sports-news","tag-technology","tag-top-news","tag-top-stories","tag-topnews","tag-topstories","tag-travel","tag-trudeau","tag-us-news","tag-world-news","tag-yukon"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/919167","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=919167"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/919167\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/919168"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=919167"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=919167"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=919167"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}