Dream: -105Valkyries: -115<\/p>\n
Golden State opens as a slight favorite in the series odds, but this line suggests we have a true toss-up series in the Finals.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Dream vs. Valkyries Series Correct ScoreValkyries in 7: +425Dream in 6: +425Valkyries in 5: +550Valkyries in 6: +600Dream in 7: +600Dream in 5: +650Valkyries in 4: +850Dream in 4: +850<\/p>\n
Oddsmakers are expecting a long series, and both of these teams have been dominant at home in the postseason. So, this series may come down to the first road team able to take a game.\u00a0<\/p>\n
A sweep for either team is considered the least possible outcome, which is interesting after both teams swept their opponent in the semifinals.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Dream vs. Valkyries Series SpreadDream -1.5 Games (+150)Valkyries +1.5 Games (-185)<\/p>\n
It\u2019s interesting that the closest spread odds actually have the Valkyries as underdogs, though they\u2019re heavily favored to keep this series within one game. Golden State is 4-1 in the postseason, including an impressive 4-1 mark when favored.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Dream vs. Valkyries Game 1 Odds<\/p>\n
Spread<\/p>\n
Dream +2.5 (-115)Valkyries -2.5 (-105)<\/p>\n
Moneyline<\/p>\n
Dream: +114Valkyries: -135<\/p>\n
Total<\/p>\n
153.5 (Over -112\/Under -108)<\/p>\n
Golden State is favored at home in Game 1 where it is a perfect 4-0 in the playoffs. Golden State beat Dallas in Games 1 and 3 in the first round before taking the first two games at home against Las Vegas.\u00a0<\/p>\n
The Valkyries were 17-5 at home in the regular season, but it\u2019s worth noting that Atlanta had the best net rating (plus-8.7) on the road of any team during the regular season.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Dream vs. Valkyries Series Prediction<\/p>\n
Atlanta is 5-0 so far in the postseason, and this team beat the New York Liberty despite the fact that Gray missed the last two games of that semifinal series.<\/p>\n
Now, the All-Star forward has a week off to get ready for Game 1.\u00a0<\/p>\n
These teams haven\u2019t played since early July, so I don\u2019t want to put too much stock into the regular season matchups. Two of those three games were decided by five or fewer points, and Golden State has been beatable in the playoffs, losing Game 2 to Dallas.\u00a0<\/p>\n
I don\u2019t want to discount the Valkyries\u2019 insane defense, but this Atlanta team is a top-five squad in offensive, defensive and net rating this season. As good as Gabby Williams and Veronica Burton have been in the playoffs, Golden State\u2019s offense was just No. 7 in the league in the regular season.\u00a0<\/p>\n
I\u2019m willing to bet on the top-line talent of this Atlanta team that has a plus-13.2 net rating in the playoffs. The Valkyries have the second-best net rating in the postseason, but they\u2019re sitting at plus-2.5.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Atlanta has gotten hot at the right time, and I think it parlays that into a Finals win.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n
Pick: Dream to Win (-105), Dream in 5 (+425)<\/p>\n
Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.<\/p>\n
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.<\/p>\n
Find Peter Dewey’s\u00a0WNBA betting record here<\/a>\u00a0(futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on \u00a0BetStamp here<\/a>.<\/p>\n Claim the latest DraftKings promo code<\/a> offer today. Sign up and get $150 in bonus bets instantly when you make your first $5 bet.<\/a><\/p>\n
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