{"id":940638,"date":"2026-10-21T00:00:21","date_gmt":"2026-10-21T00:00:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/940638\/"},"modified":"2026-10-21T00:00:21","modified_gmt":"2026-10-21T00:00:21","slug":"no-canada-u-s-trade-deal-expected-before-american-midterm-elections-sources","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/940638\/","title":{"rendered":"No Canada-U.S. trade deal expected before American midterm elections: sources"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">The Canada-U.S. trade war is poised to grind on for the foreseeable future, as sources tell CBC News hope of a deal before the American midterm elections has completely faded.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">According to three sources with knowledge of the situation, Canadian government officials have been informing industry groups over the past few weeks that there is no expectation a deal can be reached before the Nov. 3 vote.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">There is no substantial engagement at this time, according to the sources, even though officials from both countries remain in contact.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">The sources have also been told that the White House is fully immersed in the election campaign. U.S. President Donald Trump is spending much of his time on the road holding rallies, as polls suggest his Republican Party is facing an uphill battle to maintain control of the House and possibly even the Senate.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">CBC News agreed not to name the sources as they were not authorized to speak publicly about this active and sensitive issue.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">&#8220;There was some optimism within some parts of the [federal] government and in certain parts of Canadian industry that we might have seen a deal ahead of the midterms,&#8221; said Brian Clow, who was former prime minister Justin Trudeau&#8217;s deputy chief of staff.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">&#8220;But that window appears to be entirely closed.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">The optimism was rooted in the idea that because the trade war with Canada is unpopular with some American voters \u2014 those who blame Trump&#8217;s trade and tariff policies for an increase in the cost of living \u2014 the Trump administration would be motivated to cut a deal.<\/p>\n<p>WATCH | Affordability a top voter issue in U.S.:<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/1792540820_336_default.jpg\"  alt=\"\" class=\"thumbnail\" loading=\"lazy\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"video-item-title\">Inflation top of mind for voters ahead of U.S. midterms<\/p>\n<p>U.S. President Donald Trump\u2019s approval ratings have dipped to around 30 per cent ahead of the midterm elections, according to recent polls, as affordability continues to be a top voter issue.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">The trade war with Canada is unpopular enough that some Republican candidates have distanced themselves from the president and his agenda. Sen. Susan Collins of Maine is among the <a class=\"link-_o8iA html-anchor\" href=\"https:\/\/feed.cbc.ca\/news\/world\/trump-tariffs-maine-senate-susan-collins-troy-jackson-9.7360317\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Republicans who have publicly pushed back<\/a> as she finds herself in a tight re-election race.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">Canada-U.S. Trade Minister Dominic LeBlanc confirmed that the government isn&#8217;t expecting a deal before the midterm elections in an interview with CBC&#8217;s Power &amp; Politics following publication of this story.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">&#8220;We have continued to remain engaged with the United States. But we&#8217;re not going to rush into some particular circumstance and \u2026 agree to something that we don&#8217;t think is in Canada&#8217;s sovereign interest or economic interest,&#8221; he told host David Cochrane. <\/p>\n<p>Trump will keep Trumping, regardless of result<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">Whatever the results of the midterm elections may be, Clow said that Canadians should not anticipate much change when it comes to trade.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">He suggests the Democrats taking power away from Republicans would provide &#8220;a marginal benefit to Canada&#8221; at best.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">He says Trump could be distracted if a Democrat-led House or Senate launches investigations into his administration. They also could pass legislation that attempts to rein in some of Trump&#8217;s policies.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">However, Trump has already signalled he will veto anything he doesn&#8217;t like.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">&#8220;He still has a lot of tools to inflict a lot of damage on Canada and the rest of the world when it comes to trade,&#8221; Clow said. &#8220;I expect no matter what happens \u2026 he&#8217;s still going to use those tools.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">Trump has carried out his tariff strategy using executive orders, along with actions by the U.S. Commerce Department and the U.S. Trade Representative&#8217;s office. None of those options go away if Republicans lose the midterms.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">&#8220;We&#8217;re not going to get relief from Congress changing in the short term,&#8221; said Flavio Volpe, a member of the Canada-U.S. economic advisory committee and president of the Automotive Parts Manufacturers&#8217; Association.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">But if Democrats are successful, Volpe says that will mean &#8220;more adults in the room.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>More threatened tariffs on horizon\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">With no end in sight to the trade tensions, more threatened tariffs are less than three months away.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">Days after trade talks fell apart in August, Trump again complained about Canada &#8220;ripping off&#8221; the United States.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">&#8220;On January First, 2027, Tariffs on all Cars, Trucks, both large and small, Automotive Parts and Steel will be increased to 50%,&#8221; he wrote on his Truth Social platform.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">&#8220;WE DON&#8217;T NEED CANADA, THEY NEED US!&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">Clow says this new deadline will incentivize Canada to see if there&#8217;s some sort of agreement to be made.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">&#8220;Like a lot of threats we&#8217;ve seen from this administration you have to take it seriously even if it may not come to pass,&#8221; he said. &#8220;And unfortunately we won&#8217;t know until Jan. 1 whether this is a real threat.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">LeBlanc noted on Power &amp; Politics that the administration has yet to move forward with anything official on increasing auto tariffs.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">&#8220;But there&#8217;s no doubt that that is obviously of concern to us. That&#8217;s why we continue to say to our American counterparts \u2026 that all of this is avoidable if the two countries can come to an agreement,&#8221; the minister said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">When asked about the status of these possible tariffs, U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer declined to provide specific details.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">At the G20 trade ministers&#8217; summit in Milwaukee three weeks ago, Greer rejected the assertion that this is a threat and denied that Canada is being targeted.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">He said tariffs are part of U.S. &#8220;domestic economic policy&#8221; and that they&#8217;re &#8220;not focused on any one country.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>WATCH | More about the G20 ministers&#8217; summit:<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/1792540821_46_default.jpg\"  alt=\"\" class=\"thumbnail\" loading=\"lazy\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"video-item-title\">\u2018Door is always open\u2019 for U.S.-Canada trade talks, says Greer<\/p>\n<p>G20 trade ministers gathered in Milwaukee, Wis., for a summit, but no formal talks between the U.S. and Canada are expected. U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer told American media the \u2018door is always open\u2019 for negotiations.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">If work is happening behind the scenes to move ahead with these new tariffs, Canadian industry officials say they have not been given any sort of heads up.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">&#8220;We haven&#8217;t seen any paperwork,&#8221; says Volpe.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">In order for a tariff threat to become a reality, it requires some form of legal documentation to bring the policy into force. Those documents outline the scope of the policy and the laws being used to enforce the levies.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">&#8220;They know that if they tariff auto parts from Canada, they shut down the entire American automotive manufacturing structure simply because those parts will not get delivered,&#8221; Volpe said.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">While Volpe is confident the Trump administration will back away from new tariffs on auto parts, he said he isn&#8217;t so sure about autos and steel.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">&#8220;[Trump] just might be willing to sink Detroit trying to prove some point that nobody can understand,&#8221; he said.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Canada the irritant<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">Trump routinely uses Canada as a punching bag in his campaign rally speeches.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">&#8220;At some point, we&#8217;re making a deal that&#8217;s gonna be amazing,&#8221; Trump said during a stop in Highland Heights, Ky., on Saturday.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">&#8220;But for years we&#8217;ve lost billions and billions of dollars, and they just felt so emboldened.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">Trump has long been frustrated by trade deficits, including with Canada. However, he regularly exaggerates the actual number.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">He was cheered when he called Trudeau a &#8220;loser&#8221; before taking aim at Prime Minister Mark Carney.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">&#8220;Your current guy&#8217;s good \u2026 he&#8217;s a nice guy, but he&#8217;s not nice when it comes to trade,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">&#8220;They&#8217;re learning and they&#8217;re suffering.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Canada-U.S. trade war is poised to grind on for the foreseeable future, as sources tell CBC News&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":940639,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[49,48,44],"class_list":["post-940638","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-canada","tag-ca","tag-canada","tag-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/940638","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=940638"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/940638\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/940639"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=940638"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=940638"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=940638"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}